CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceColeman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Kennesaw St
Efficiency #154
2025-26: 21-14 · 13-10 conf
@
Alabama
Efficiency #18
2025-26: 25-10 · 13-6 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · TBD
76.7
win 9%
Projected
92.0
win 91%
No line posted yet.
Model: ALA −15.3 · total 168.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Alabama 71.9, Kennesaw St 70.8 → 74.4 possessions
+13.1
Alabama offense vs Kennesaw St defense
+9.2
Kennesaw St offense vs Alabama defense
−1.8
Projected total
168.7
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Alabama offense vs Kennesaw St defense
+9.2
Kennesaw St offense vs Alabama defense
+1.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.3
Alabama by 15.3
15.3
Kennesaw St side ◂▸ Alabama side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Alabama.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 74.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Alabama is the faster team (74.2, #5 of 365) and Kennesaw St the slower (71.8, #28). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
74.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
168.7
model
Projected team totals
76.7 / 92.0
Kennesaw St / Alabama
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.8#20
Kennesaw St
71.9#5
Alabama
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Alabama averages 74.2 possessions per 40, Kennesaw St 71.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 75 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
DefenseKennesaw St
Kennesaw St's shot-blocking
Kennesaw St ranks #13 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 14.2% of Alabama's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageKennesaw St
Where Kennesaw St scores: ball control
Kennesaw St turns it over on 16.7% of possessions (#178); Alabama forces turnovers on 12.8% of opponent possessions (#359). Expect about 14.2%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.2 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAlabama
Where Alabama scores: ball control
Alabama turns it over on 13.1% of possessions (#9); Kennesaw St forces turnovers on 16.0% of opponent possessions (#221). Expect about 14.2%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.1 points per 100 possessions.
GlassKennesaw St
Kennesaw St owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.9% is worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions for Kennesaw St's offense.
ClashAlabama
Strength vs strength: eFG%
Alabama (#34 in eFG%) against Kennesaw St (#43 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 52.0%. Historically Alabama's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.58 vs 0.51).
Kennesaw St has the ball
OffenseAlabama allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #224
49.2% #73
-2.3 pt/100
16.7% #178
12.8% #359
+3.2 pt/100
35.2% #44
32.8% #295
+2.8 pt/100
45.1% #5
32.0% #103
+0.4 pt/100
70.1% #268
—
-0.2 pt/100
Kennesaw St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.8 pts/100
Alabama has the ball
OffenseKennesaw St allowsvs D1 avg
55.2% #34
48.3% #43
+1.1 pt/100
13.1% #9
16.0% #221
+3.1 pt/100
32.4% #111
31.6% #234
+1.2 pt/100
36.0% #150
47.1% #358
+1.0 pt/100
76.7% #39
—
+0.4 pt/100
Alabama net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersKennesaw Stoffense vsAlabamadefense
Share of shots by zone
Kennesaw St shoots
41.3
5.9
10.2
42.6
Alabama allows
36.8
7.0
21.2
35.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.7%#250 | 55.1%#64 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.1%#329 | 36.3%#98 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.4%#302 | 38.5%#175 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#203 | 33.8%#170 | 33.7% |
Alabamaoffense vsKennesaw Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama shoots
33.8
4.7
7.5
54.0
Kennesaw St allows
42.8
7.0
13.3
36.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#98 | 51.0%#8 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.6%#88 | 44.6%#284 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 45.7%#10 | 36.1%#113 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#66 | 33.5%#154 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersKennesaw St
+0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#166 of 365
Off reb %
35.2%
#44
Def reb %
68.4%
#234
Turnover %
16.7%
#178
Forced TO %
16.0%
#221
FT rate
45.1%
#5
FT allowed
47.1%
#358
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−0.5
Foul shots drawn+2.6
Foul shots allowed−3.0
Alabama
+0.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#148 of 365
Off reb %
32.4%
#111
Def reb %
67.2%
#295
Turnover %
13.1%
#9
Forced TO %
12.8%
#359
FT rate
36.0%
#150
FT allowed
32.0%
#103
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security+2.5
Forcing turnovers−2.7
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.8
Alabama has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.8 (#148 of 365) to Kennesaw St’s +0.4 (#166).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Kennesaw St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Braedan Lue | F | So | 6'9" | 35-34 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 48.8% | 26.7% | 2.5 | 69.5% | 25.2% | |
| 2 | Trey Simpson | F | Fr | 6'8" | 35-23 | 25.6 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 54.7% | 34.3% | 4.8 | 67.2% | 19.9% | |
| 6 | Frankquon Sherman | F | Jr | 6'7" | 35-25 | 25.2 | 10.4 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 51.8% | 28.7% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kaden Rickard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 35-16 | 19.9 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 46.4% | 32.8% | 1.7 | 54.9% | 21.0% | |
| 23 | Amir Taylor | F | Fr | 6'9" | 33-19 | 17.2 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.9% | 40.5% | 1.1 | 64.8% | 22.3% | |
| 5 | Simeon Cottle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 17-17 | 30.4 | 20.2 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 53.0% | 37.7% | 8.6 | 87.6% | 34.0% | |
| 21 | Jaden Harris | G | Sr | 6'4" | 20-2 | 24.3 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 49.2% | 36.9% | 5.2 | 85.7% | 19.3% | |
| 0 | Ramone Seals | F | So | 6'6" | 22-14 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 32.8% | 3.0 | 76.6% | 23.5% | |
| 3 | Darius Washington III | G | Fr | 6'5" | 24-0 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 32.3% | 1.3 | 65.3% | 21.6% | |
| 12 | Perry Smith Jr. | C | Sr | 6'8" | 26-3 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 63.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 53.6% | 13.8% | |
| 9 | Eric Holland | G | Sr | 5'8" | 8-0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 28.3% | |
| 31 | Charles Stone | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.8% | 14.3% | 1.2 | 50.0% | 29.1% | |
| 30 | Dozie Onyirimba | F | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 21.5% | |
| 1 | Davin Cosby Jr. | G | Jr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 24 | Brendan Tousignaut | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Chase Clemmons | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Jamil Miller | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Nigel Thomas | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Alabama2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amari Allen | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-24 | 28.3 | 11.4 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 53.3% | 34.1% | 4.3 | 73.8% | 21.7% | |
| 22 | Aiden Sherrell | F | So | 6'10" | 34-34 | 23.9 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 59.5% | 33.8% | 2.4 | 71.3% | 22.4% | |
| 2 | Aden Holloway | G | Jr | 6'1" | 28-27 | 28.4 | 16.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 59.9% | 43.8% | 6.0 | 86.4% | 27.3% | |
| 7 | Taylor Bol Bowen | F | Jr | 6'10" | 30-11 | 19.1 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 51.0% | 30.2% | 3.2 | 79.6% | 18.0% | |
| 6 | London Jemison | F | Fr | 6'8" | 33-13 | 15.6 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 54.1% | 34.8% | 2.7 | 60.4% | 21.5% | |
| 15 | Noah Williamson | C | Sr | 7'0" | 33-0 | 8.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 36.5% | 16.7% | 0.9 | 64.3% | 14.7% | |
| 1 | Jalil Bethea | G | So | 6'5" | 26-0 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.5% | 31.4% | 2.0 | 80.6% | 27.6% | |
| 4 | Davion Hannah | G | Fr | 6'6" | 10-0 | 12.7 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 36.4% | 1.1 | 62.5% | 16.4% | |
| 10 | Keitenn Bristow | F | So | 6'10" | 10-1 | 12.6 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 37.9% | 11.1% | 0.9 | 73.3% | 20.0% | |
| 11 | Preston Murphy Jr. | G | Jr | 6'1" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 17.8% | |
| 25 | Jacob Martin | F | So | — | 9-0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 8.1% | |
| 34 | Collins Onyejiaka | C | Fr | 6'11" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 22.7% | |
| 31 | Jack Fagan | G | So | — | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 30 | Klark James | G | Sr | — | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Kennesaw St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Braedan Lue | F | So | 6'9" | 35-34 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 48.8% | 26.7% | 2.5 | 69.5% | 25.2% | |
| 2 | Trey Simpson | F | Fr | 6'8" | 35-23 | 25.6 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 54.7% | 34.3% | 4.8 | 67.2% | 19.9% | |
| 6 | Frankquon Sherman | F | Jr | 6'7" | 35-25 | 25.2 | 10.4 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 51.8% | 28.7% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kaden Rickard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 35-16 | 19.9 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 46.4% | 32.8% | 1.7 | 54.9% | 21.0% | |
| 23 | Amir Taylor | F | Fr | 6'9" | 33-19 | 17.2 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.9% | 40.5% | 1.1 | 64.8% | 22.3% | |
| 5 | Simeon Cottle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 17-17 | 30.4 | 20.2 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 53.0% | 37.7% | 8.6 | 87.6% | 34.0% | |
| 21 | Jaden Harris | G | Sr | 6'4" | 20-2 | 24.3 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 49.2% | 36.9% | 5.2 | 85.7% | 19.3% | |
| 0 | Ramone Seals | F | So | 6'6" | 22-14 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 32.8% | 3.0 | 76.6% | 23.5% | |
| 3 | Darius Washington III | G | Fr | 6'5" | 24-0 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 32.3% | 1.3 | 65.3% | 21.6% | |
| 12 | Perry Smith Jr. | C | Sr | 6'8" | 26-3 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 63.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 53.6% | 13.8% | |
| 9 | Eric Holland | G | Sr | 5'8" | 8-0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 28.3% | |
| 31 | Charles Stone | G | Sr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.8% | 14.3% | 1.2 | 50.0% | 29.1% | |
| 30 | Dozie Onyirimba | F | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 21.5% | |
| 1 | Davin Cosby Jr. | G | Jr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 24 | Brendan Tousignaut | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Chase Clemmons | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Jamil Miller | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Nigel Thomas | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Kennesaw St
Against the spread
Season
16-15-1
Home
6-7
Road
5-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +3.6
Covered 4 straightCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 5 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
7-6
Road
4-7-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg vs total −0.6
Under 3 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #3Gonzaga | N | L 64–73 | +20.5 | W+11.5 | 151.5 | U137 | 92.6 | 105.6 | 69.1 |
| Mar 14 | Louisiana Tech | N | W 71–60 | +1.0 | W+12.0 | 142.0 | U131 | 110.1 | 93.1 | 64.5 |
| Mar 13 | Sam Houston | N | W 79–73 | +2.0 | W+8.0 | 159.5 | U152 | 113.4 | 104.8 | 69.7 |
| Mar 12 | Western KY | N | W 96–87 | +1.0 | W+10.0 | 159.5 | O183 | 124.6 | 113.0 | 77.0 |
| Mar 7 | New Mexico St | A | L 76–79 | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 157.5 | U155 | 112.5 | 116.9 | 67.6 |
| Mar 5 | UTEP | A | L 71–78 | −3.5 | L−10.5 | 149.0 | P149 | 94.7 | 104.1 | 74.9 |
| Feb 28 | Delaware | H | W 90–82 | −12.0 | L−4.0 | 143.0 | O172 | 129.4 | 117.9 | 69.5 |
| Feb 26 | Liberty | H | W 74–65 | −1.0 | W+8.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 116.9 | 102.7 | 63.3 |
| Feb 21 | Louisiana Tech | H | W 58–55 | −6.0 | L−3.0 | 147.5 | U113 | 85.6 | 81.1 | 67.8 |
| Feb 18 | Missouri St | A | W 91–87 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 152.5 | O178 | 125.8 | 120.3 | 72.3 |
Alabama
Against the spread
Season
16-19
Home
6-9
Road
5-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +2.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
18-17
Home
7-8
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +2.0
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | #1Michigan | N | L 77–90 | +9.5 | L−3.5 | 173.0 | U167 | 108.3 | 126.6 | 71.1 |
| Mar 22 | #5Texas Tech | N | W 90–65 | −1.0 | W+24.0 | 164.5 | U155 | 129.9 | 93.8 | 69.3 |
| Mar 20 | #13Hofstra | N | W 90–70 | −11.5 | W+8.5 | 159.0 | O160 | 129.1 | 100.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 13 | Ole Miss | N | L 79–80 | −12.5 | L−13.5 | 164.5 | U159 | 107.5 | 108.8 | 73.5 |
| Mar 7 | Auburn | H | W 96–84 | −6.0 | W+6.0 | 175.0 | O180 | 134.9 | 118.0 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | Georgia | A | L 88–98 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 180.0 | O186 | 117.7 | 131.1 | 74.7 |
| Feb 28 | #22Tennessee | A | W 71–69 | +5.0 | W+7.0 | 162.5 | U140 | 112.7 | 109.5 | 63.0 |
| Feb 25 | Mississippi St | H | W 100–75 | −12.5 | W+12.5 | 175.5 | U175 | 131.7 | 98.8 | 75.9 |
| Feb 21 | LSU | A | W 90–83 | −7.5 | L−0.5 | 172.0 | O173 | 126.7 | 116.9 | 71.0 |
| Feb 18 | #20Arkansas | H | W 117–115 2OT | −4.0 | L−2.0 | 181.0 | O232 | 133.6 | 131.3 | 87.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeKennesaw StAlabama
Efficiency
109.6
120.7
108.5
104.9
70.8
71.9
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
55.2%
50.5%
57.0%
33.4%
35.8%
70.1%
76.7%
45.1%
36.0%
Ball control & glass
16.7%
13.1%
16.0%
12.8%
35.2%
32.4%
31.6%
32.8%
11.0%
8.6%
13.0%
12.6%
Style
42.5%
54.3%
40.7%
35.8%
11.3%
14.3%
50.9%
54.3%
34.4%
33.9%
Roster
2.17
2.08
6'6.7"
6'7.4"
86.5%
62.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputKennesaw St
Returning minutes: 86.5%Returning production: 84.0%
Lost
- RJ Johnson 27.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Brendan Tousignaut no D1 minutes last season
- Chase Clemmons no D1 minutes last season
- Nigel Thomas no D1 minutes last season
- Jamil Miller no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Alabama
Returning minutes: 62.0%Returning production: 60.6%
Lost
- Labaron Philon Jr. 29.1 mpg, 20.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Houston Mallette 23.3 mpg, 6.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 21.0 mpg, 10.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Charles Bediako 3.1 mpg, 1.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
Nobody of note.
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 62% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5.
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Dec 21 | 2025-26 | Kennesaw St 81 – 92 Alabama(N) |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.