CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTrojan Arena, Troy, AL
CSU Northridge
Efficiency #196
2025-26: 20-14 · 13-9 conf
@
Troy
Efficiency #136
2025-26: 22-12 · 14-6 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET
74.0
win 30%
Projected
80.2
win 70%
No line posted yet.
Model: TROY −6.2 · total 154.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Troy 66.8, CSU Northridge 72.4 → 70.8 possessions
+5.5
Troy offense vs CSU Northridge defense
+1.3
CSU Northridge offense vs Troy defense
−0.8
Projected total
154.3
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Troy offense vs CSU Northridge defense
+1.3
CSU Northridge offense vs Troy defense
+0.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Troy by 6.2
6.2
CSU Northridge side ◂▸ Troy side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 154.2 against a projected 154.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Troy.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, CSU Northridge is the faster team (75.3, #3 of 365) and Troy the slower (67.0, #245). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
154.3
model
Projected team totals
74.0 / 80.2
CSU Northridge / Troy
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.4#3
CSU Northridge
66.8#303
Troy
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
Troy averages 67.0 possessions per 40, CSU Northridge 75.3. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashTroy
Style match: 3-point volume
Troy takes 45.9% of its shots from three; CSU Northridge lets opponents take 48.6% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 50.5% — both habits push the same way.
ClashTroy
Style match: ball movement
Troy assists on 57.5% of its made baskets; CSU Northridge allows assists on 57.9% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 59.2% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Troy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect CSU Northridge at about 34.5% of its shots from three, Troy about 50.5%.
ClashTroy
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
Troy (#58 in offensive rebounding) against CSU Northridge (#26 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 31.5%. Historically Troy's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
CSU Northridge has the ball
OffenseTroy allowsvs D1 avg
51.3% #183
50.2% #111
-0.8 pt/100
17.5% #239
16.7% #173
-0.5 pt/100
31.9% #130
31.7% #243
+1.0 pt/100
34.2% #200
31.4% #92
-0.3 pt/100
66.8% #345
—
-0.5 pt/100
CSU Northridge net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Troy has the ball
OffenseCSU Northridge allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #171
51.6% #191
+0.5 pt/100
17.3% #224
16.4% #191
-0.1 pt/100
34.6% #58
26.6% #26
+0.7 pt/100
36.2% #147
34.3% #162
+0.0 pt/100
74.2% #122
—
+0.2 pt/100
Troy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCSU Northridgeoffense vsTroydefense
Share of shots by zone
CSU Northridge shoots
48.7
6.0
12.0
33.3
Troy allows
39.7
4.0
17.8
38.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.0%#194 | 55.3%#68 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.7%#319 | 48.6%#346 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.9%#62 | 44.6%#344 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#260 | 31.6%#47 | 33.7% |
Troyoffense vsCSU Northridgedefense
Share of shots by zone
Troy shoots
43.6
4.2
6.1
46.1
CSU Northridge allows
33.0
4.9
13.1
49.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.3%#259 | 58.4%#162 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.5%#278 | 37.4%#122 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.3%#214 | 40.2%#248 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#229 | 34.4%#210 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCSU Northridge
+1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#133 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#130
Def reb %
73.4%
#26
Turnover %
17.5%
#239
Forced TO %
16.4%
#191
FT rate
34.2%
#200
FT allowed
34.3%
#162
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.3
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Troy
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#101 of 365
Off reb %
34.6%
#58
Def reb %
68.3%
#243
Turnover %
17.3%
#224
Forced TO %
16.7%
#173
FT rate
36.2%
#147
FT allowed
31.4%
#92
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.3
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−0.3
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Troy has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.9 (#101 of 365) to CSU Northridge’s +1.1 (#133).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
CSU Northridge2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Josiah Davis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 46.6% | 16.7% | 1.1 | 70.0% | 31.7% | |
| 2 | Larry Hughes II | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 31.6 | 17.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 53.3% | 39.5% | 7.8 | 86.0% | 28.0% | |
| 11 | Mahmoud Fofana | F | Sr | 6'6" | 34-34 | 29.5 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 63.2% | 20.0% | 0.1 | 60.5% | 17.4% | |
| 23 | Jordan Brinson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-1 | 18.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 85.0% | 10.9% | |
| 1 | Davius Loury | F | So | 6'7" | 33-22 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 29.4% | 3.1 | 64.7% | 19.6% | |
| 5 | James Evans Jr. | G | Fr | 6'6" | 34-10 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 44.6% | 33.0% | 2.6 | 58.8% | 25.1% | |
| 21 | Grady Lewis | F | Sr | 6'9" | 31-2 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 65.5% | — | 0.0 | 38.9% | 19.6% | |
| 15 | Jai Chisolm | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-1 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 42.9% | 20.3% | 1.9 | 60.0% | 22.3% | |
| 13 | Aleks Szymczyk | C | Jr | 6'10" | 26-0 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 53.7% | 18.2% | 0.4 | 58.1% | 19.4% | |
| 24 | Greg Gazarian | G | Fr | 6'0" | 9-0 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 31.3% | |
| 20 | Robert Thibiant | G | Sr | 6'2" | 8-0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 0.9 | — | 39.3% | |
| 6 | Joseph Barrio | G | Jr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 5.7% | |
| 3 | Jalen Barbee | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Max Rehl | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Omer Dahan | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| — | Quinton Webb | G | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Troy2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cooper Campbell | G | So | 6'1" | 34-33 | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 53.5% | 39.1% | 5.1 | 83.1% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Victor Valdes | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-29 | 29.2 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 44.8% | 24.4% | 3.8 | 76.1% | 35.3% | |
| 2 | Cobi Campbell | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-31 | 27.9 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 55.3% | 40.0% | 5.3 | 81.3% | 18.7% | |
| 33 | Theo Seng | F | Sr | 6'9" | 28-26 | 28.6 | 12.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 57.1% | 32.5% | 2.9 | 76.8% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Jerrell Bellamy | C | Sr | 6'9" | 34-8 | 16.6 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 66.1% | 28.6% | 0.6 | 61.5% | 25.8% | |
| 0 | Kerrington Kiel | F | So | 6'5" | 34-5 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 27.3% | 1.6 | 72.5% | 17.6% | |
| 95 | Austin Cross | G | Fr | 6'3" | 34-1 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 45.1% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 56.5% | 16.1% | |
| 5 | Javen Colbert | G | Fr | 6'1" | 19-1 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 51.9% | 41.7% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 23.0% | |
| 25 | Evan Griffin | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.8% | |
| 22 | Corbin Green | F | Sr | 6'4" | 14-1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 44.4% | 21.6% | |
| 4 | Emmanuel Clarton | G | Fr | 6'5" | 13-1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 25.0% | 29.8% | |
| 14 | Kameryn Mitchell | G | Sr | 6'4" | 9-1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 0.6 | — | 16.6% | |
| 30 | Hikaru Awata | G | Fr | 5'7" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 87.3% | |
| 7 | Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow | G | Sr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
CSU Northridge2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Josiah Davis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 46.6% | 16.7% | 1.1 | 70.0% | 31.7% | |
| 2 | Larry Hughes II | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 31.6 | 17.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 53.3% | 39.5% | 7.8 | 86.0% | 28.0% | |
| 11 | Mahmoud Fofana | F | Sr | 6'6" | 34-34 | 29.5 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 63.2% | 20.0% | 0.1 | 60.5% | 17.4% | |
| 23 | Jordan Brinson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-1 | 18.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 85.0% | 10.9% | |
| 1 | Davius Loury | F | So | 6'7" | 33-22 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 29.4% | 3.1 | 64.7% | 19.6% | |
| 5 | James Evans Jr. | G | Fr | 6'6" | 34-10 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 44.6% | 33.0% | 2.6 | 58.8% | 25.1% | |
| 21 | Grady Lewis | F | Sr | 6'9" | 31-2 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 65.5% | — | 0.0 | 38.9% | 19.6% | |
| 15 | Jai Chisolm | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-1 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 42.9% | 20.3% | 1.9 | 60.0% | 22.3% | |
| 13 | Aleks Szymczyk | C | Jr | 6'10" | 26-0 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 53.7% | 18.2% | 0.4 | 58.1% | 19.4% | |
| 24 | Greg Gazarian | G | Fr | 6'0" | 9-0 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 31.3% | |
| 20 | Robert Thibiant | G | Sr | 6'2" | 8-0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 0.9 | — | 39.3% | |
| 6 | Joseph Barrio | G | Jr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 5.7% | |
| 3 | Jalen Barbee | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Max Rehl | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Omer Dahan | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| — | Quinton Webb | G | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26CSU Northridge
Against the spread
Season
15-17
Home
9-4
Road
5-10
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-13
Home
7-6
Road
11-4
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.9
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | UC Irvine | N | L 78–93 | +4.0 | L−11.0 | 153.0 | O171 | 110.4 | 131.7 | 70.6 |
| Mar 12 | UC San Diego | N | W 80–70 | +2.0 | W+12.0 | 153.5 | U150 | 110.2 | 96.4 | 72.6 |
| Mar 7 | Fullerton | H | L 77–90 | −6.0 | L−19.0 | 170.5 | U167 | 93.1 | 108.9 | 82.7 |
| Mar 5 | Bakersfield | A | W 86–84 | −8.0 | L−6.0 | 165.0 | O170 | 108.2 | 105.7 | 79.5 |
| Feb 28 | UC Riverside | A | L 84–95 | −5.5 | L−16.5 | 158.0 | O179 | 105.8 | 119.6 | 79.4 |
| Feb 26 | UC Irvine | H | L 67–68 | −1.0 | L−2.0 | 154.0 | U135 | 91.7 | 93.0 | 73.1 |
| Feb 21 | Long Beach St | A | W 78–76 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 157.5 | U154 | 108.7 | 105.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 19 | Santa Barbara | A | W 85–83 OT | +5.5 | W+7.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 102.1 | 99.7 | 83.2 |
| Feb 14 | Hawai'i | H | W 84–60 | +3.0 | W+27.0 | 163.0 | U144 | 117.1 | 83.6 | 71.7 |
| Feb 7 | UC Riverside | H | W 88–74 | −10.5 | W+3.5 | 159.5 | O162 | 120.9 | 101.6 | 72.8 |
Troy
Against the spread
Season
15-14-3
Home
6-4-1
Road
7-7-2
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
5-6
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −8.2
Under 2 straightOver in 2 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #4Nebraska | N | L 47–76 | +13.0 | L−16.0 | 139.5 | U123 | 77.4 | 125.1 | 60.8 |
| Mar 9 | GA Southern | N | W 77–61 | −5.0 | W+11.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 122.0 | 96.7 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | Southern Miss | N | W 78–70 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 143.0 | O148 | 109.4 | 98.2 | 71.3 |
| Feb 27 | UL Monroe | H | W 80–65 | −18.0 | L−3.0 | 153.5 | U145 | 128.4 | 104.3 | 62.3 |
| Feb 24 | Louisiana | H | W 78–59 | −11.0 | W+8.0 | 134.5 | O137 | 136.6 | 103.3 | 57.1 |
| Feb 21 | South Alabama | A | L 54–65 | −2.5 | L−13.5 | 143.0 | U119 | 92.2 | 111.0 | 58.5 |
| Feb 18 | UL Monroe | A | W 77–76 | −17.0 | L−16.0 | 155.5 | U153 | 109.0 | 107.6 | 70.6 |
| Feb 14 | Southern Miss | A | L 65–69 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 98.3 | 104.4 | 66.1 |
| Feb 11 | Texas St | A | L 62–74 | −5.0 | L−17.0 | 140.5 | U136 | 97.4 | 116.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | Akron | H | W 79–69 | +3.5 | W+13.5 | 157.0 | U148 | 123.2 | 107.6 | 64.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCSU NorthridgeTroy
Efficiency
107.8
110.0
108.9
108.1
72.4
66.8
—
—
Shooting
51.3%
51.5%
52.6%
53.2%
32.4%
33.0%
66.8%
74.2%
34.2%
36.2%
Ball control & glass
17.5%
17.3%
16.4%
16.7%
31.9%
34.6%
26.6%
31.7%
10.7%
9.9%
10.1%
10.9%
Style
33.6%
45.9%
50.4%
43.0%
14.8%
13.0%
56.6%
57.5%
26.5%
26.0%
Roster
3.43
2.69
6'4.8"
6'4.8"
83.8%
82.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCSU Northridge
Returning minutes: 83.8%Returning production: 81.4%
Lost
- Joshua O'Garro 32.5 mpg, 14.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Max Rehl no D1 minutes last season
- Jalen Barbee no D1 minutes last season
- Omer Dahan no D1 minutes last season
- Quinton Webb no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 84% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Troy
Returning minutes: 82.6%Returning production: 78.3%
Lost
- Thomas Dowd 36.1 mpg, 14.4 ppg · transferred to Auburn
Added
- Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 16 | 2025-26 | Troy 85 – 94 CSU Northridge |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.