CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to −4.1 against −4.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help West Florida.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 65.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersGrade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Ruedinger | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-33 | 35.3 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 54.7% | 41.1% | 4.9 | 90.8% | 19.6% | |
| 10 | C.J. O'Hara | G | So | 6'4" | 33-33 | 32.6 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 79.4% | 23.6% | |
| 13 | Marcus Hall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 30-30 | 34.6 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 58.6% | 40.6% | 5.2 | 76.4% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Justin Allen | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-22 | 26.4 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 51.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 23 | Caden Wilkins | F | So | 6'6" | 33-22 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 56.5% | 40.3% | 3.6 | 68.3% | 18.9% | |
| 22 | LeBron Thomas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-6 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 48.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 68.4% | 23.0% | |
| 0 | Ramel Bethea | F | So | 6'9" | 30-4 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 74.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.7% | 14.4% | |
| 4 | Mac Wrecke | G | So | 6'5" | 23-5 | 11.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.7% | 36.0% | 1.1 | 69.6% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Maruan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 21-9 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 59.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 3 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | Fr | 6'3" | 18-0 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 34.6% | 1.4 | — | 15.1% | |
| 15 | Rob Stroud | F | Sr | 6'5" | 12-1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.9% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 40.1% | |
| 1 | Josh Hines | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 63.3% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 0.0% | 16.3% | |
| 12 | Dontrell Hewlett | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 28.9% | 14.3% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 33.5% | |
| 21 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 6.8% | |
| 11 | Trey Schachter | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Team | ATH | — | — | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Brandon Burford | PG | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Conor Flanagan | G | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Darrin Jenkins | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | David Petit-Homme | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 42 | Jackson Henningfield | G | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Kendall Bynum | PG | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | LaTrell Tate | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Michael Maumbe | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Rodney Bryant | PG | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| — | Rodney Bryant Jr | ATH | — | — | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Wendell Matthews | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Ruedinger | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-33 | 35.3 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 54.7% | 41.1% | 4.9 | 90.8% | 19.6% | |
| 10 | C.J. O'Hara | G | So | 6'4" | 33-33 | 32.6 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 79.4% | 23.6% | |
| 13 | Marcus Hall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 30-30 | 34.6 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 58.6% | 40.6% | 5.2 | 76.4% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Justin Allen | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-22 | 26.4 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 51.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 23 | Caden Wilkins | F | So | 6'6" | 33-22 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 56.5% | 40.3% | 3.6 | 68.3% | 18.9% | |
| 22 | LeBron Thomas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-6 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 48.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 68.4% | 23.0% | |
| 0 | Ramel Bethea | F | So | 6'9" | 30-4 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 74.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.7% | 14.4% | |
| 4 | Mac Wrecke | G | So | 6'5" | 23-5 | 11.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.7% | 36.0% | 1.1 | 69.6% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Maruan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 21-9 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 59.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 3 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | Fr | 6'3" | 18-0 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 34.6% | 1.4 | — | 15.1% | |
| 15 | Rob Stroud | F | Sr | 6'5" | 12-1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.9% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 40.1% | |
| 1 | Josh Hines | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 63.3% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 0.0% | 16.3% | |
| 12 | Dontrell Hewlett | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 28.9% | 14.3% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 33.5% | |
| 21 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 6.8% | |
| 11 | Trey Schachter | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | N Kentucky | N | L 76–96 | +4.0 | L−16.0 | 147.5 | O172 | 115.2 | 145.5 | 66.0 |
| Mar 3 | Purdue FW | H | W 64–56 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 145.0 | U120 | 110.6 | 96.7 | 57.9 |
| Feb 28 | Youngstown St | H | W 85–63 | −1.5 | W+20.5 | 142.0 | O148 | 130.0 | 96.4 | 65.4 |
| Feb 22 | Detroit Mercy | A | L 70–74 | +1.0 | L−3.0 | 147.5 | U144 | 101.4 | 107.2 | 69.0 |
| Feb 20 | Oakland | A | W 73–68 | +6.5 | W+11.5 | 153.5 | U141 | 115.7 | 107.8 | 63.1 |
| Feb 15 | Milwaukee | A | L 72–75 | +2.5 | L−0.5 | 145.5 | O147 | 117.0 | 121.8 | 61.6 |
| Feb 12 | Purdue FW | H | W 76–59 | −1.5 | W+15.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 129.0 | 100.1 | 58.9 |
| Feb 7 | Detroit Mercy | H | W 76–63 | −4.0 | W+9.0 | 148.0 | U139 | 114.3 | 94.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 4 | N Kentucky | A | W 87–84 OT | +8.0 | W+11.0 | 150.5 | O171 | 115.3 | 111.3 | 75.5 |
| Feb 1 | Wright St | H | L 75–83 | +4.0 | L−4.0 | 144.0 | O158 | 118.4 | 131.1 | 63.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputReturns 97% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
New to Division I this season -- no returning-minutes baseline.
Head-to-head
this season and lastThe CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.