CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteMichelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NVPlayers Era Eight
West Virginia
Efficiency #58
2025-26: 21-14 · 9-10 conf
vs
Auburn
Efficiency #41
2025-26: 22-16 · 8-12 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · 11:59 PM ET
70.7
win 44%
Projected
72.4
win 56%
No line posted yet.
Model: AUB −1.7 · total 143.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Auburn 68.3, West Virginia 65.2 → 65.2 possessions
−6.7
Auburn offense vs West Virginia defense
+1.7
West Virginia offense vs Auburn defense
0.0
Projected total
143.1
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Auburn offense vs West Virginia defense
+1.7
West Virginia offense vs Auburn defense
0.0
Auburn by 1.7
1.7
West Virginia side ◂▸ Auburn side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 143.2 against a projected 143.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Auburn.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Auburn is the faster team (69.0, #146 of 365) and West Virginia the slower (64.1, #353). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.1
model
Projected team totals
70.7 / 72.4
West Virginia / Auburn
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.2#361
West Virginia
68.3#179
Auburn
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
Auburn averages 69.0 possessions per 40, West Virginia 64.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageAuburn
Where Auburn scores: the offensive glass
Auburn rebounds 37.0% of its own misses (#15); West Virginia lets opponents grab 28.6% of their own misses (#86). Expect about 34.2%, 3.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageWest Virginia
Where West Virginia scores: shooting
West Virginia shoots an effective 51.6% (#166); Auburn allows 53.7% (#291). Expect about 52.7%, 1.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.0 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Auburn's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect West Virginia at about 42.7% of its shots from three, Auburn about 39.3%.
ClashAuburn
Strength vs strength: free-throw rate
Auburn (#19 in free-throw rate) against West Virginia (#47 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 35.6%. Historically West Virginia's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.50 vs 0.61).
West Virginia has the ball
OffenseAuburn allowsvs D1 avg
51.6% #166
53.7% #291
+2.0 pt/100
16.8% #188
16.3% #199
+0.3 pt/100
30.5% #178
30.9% #196
+0.2 pt/100
35.1% #173
34.3% #161
-0.0 pt/100
68.3% #319
—
-0.4 pt/100
West Virginia net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.1 pts/100
Auburn has the ball
OffenseWest Virginia allowsvs D1 avg
53.0% #104
48.5% #50
-0.6 pt/100
14.6% #45
17.8% #108
+0.8 pt/100
37.0% #15
28.6% #86
+2.3 pt/100
43.2% #19
29.3% #47
+0.1 pt/100
74.4% #108
—
+0.2 pt/100
Auburn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersWest Virginiaoffense vsAuburndefense
Share of shots by zone
West Virginia shoots
38.5
4.6
13.3
43.6
Auburn allows
37.6
5.3
16.9
40.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.4%#150 | 59.6%#213 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.1%#348 | 38.7%#152 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.6%#89 | 38.5%#181 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.1%#227 | 36.7%#336 | 33.7% |
Auburnoffense vsWest Virginiadefense
Share of shots by zone
Auburn shoots
41.1
4.4
14.2
40.2
West Virginia allows
37.1
4.8
19.5
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#142 | 55.2%#66 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.7%#43 | 36.8%#106 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.1%#142 | 32.2%#18 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#147 | 34.3%#201 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersWest Virginia
+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#54 of 365
Off reb %
30.5%
#178
Def reb %
71.4%
#86
Turnover %
16.8%
#188
Forced TO %
17.8%
#108
FT rate
35.1%
#173
FT allowed
29.3%
#47
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+1.5
Auburn
+5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#15 of 365
Off reb %
37.0%
#15
Def reb %
69.1%
#196
Turnover %
14.6%
#45
Forced TO %
16.3%
#199
FT rate
43.2%
#19
FT allowed
34.3%
#161
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Auburn has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.6 (#15 of 365) to West Virginia’s +2.9 (#54).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
West Virginia2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Honor Huff | G | Sr | 5'10" | 35-35 | 35.9 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 50.0% | 35.4% | 9.7 | 86.9% | 28.2% | |
| 0 | Brenen Lorient | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 29.4 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 58.0% | 35.8% | 2.0 | 70.4% | 25.1% | |
| 1 | Jasper Floyd | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 28.3 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 52.9% | 37.7% | 1.7 | 70.0% | 17.9% | |
| 55 | Harlan Obioha | C | Sr | 7'0" | 35-35 | 19.9 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 56.7% | 17.3% | |
| 13 | Chance Moore | G | Sr | 6'6" | 29-1 | 22.3 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.2% | 28.1% | 1.1 | 56.3% | 29.9% | |
| 5 | DJ Thomas | F | Fr | 6'7" | 35-0 | 16.8 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 55.1% | 26.9% | 2.2 | 62.5% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Amir Jenkins | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 37.3% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 53.8% | 19.2% | |
| 23 | Morris Ugusuk | G | Jr | 6'4" | 24-0 | 11.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 17.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 11.3% | |
| 4 | Jayden Forsythe | G | Fr | 6'5" | 5-0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 1.4 | — | 22.2% | |
| 21 | Niyol Hauet | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 8 | Abraham Oyeadier | C | Fr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 29.3% | |
| 7 | Evans Barning Jr. | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | MJ Feenane | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Auburn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thomas Dowdat Troy | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-33 | 36.1 | 14.4 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 52.6% | 33.3% | 5.7 | 80.0% | 23.3% | |
| 24 | Adam Olsenat South Alabama | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 36.0 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 52.9% | 39.5% | 8.3 | 84.3% | 26.3% | |
| 0 | Tahaad Pettiford | G | Jr | 6'1" | 38-36 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 46.6% | 29.0% | 6.6 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 1 | Kevin Overton | G | Sr | 6'5" | 38-36 | 31.7 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 41.3% | 6.1 | 86.0% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kolby Kingat Utah State | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-0 | 19.3 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 60.8% | 39.3% | 3.3 | 74.7% | 20.4% | |
| 12 | Bukky Oboyeat Santa Clara | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-34 | 17.8 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 69.1% | 24.2% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 20.9% | |
| 8 | Owen Freemanat Creighton | F | Sr | 6'10" | 26-9 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 60.2% | — | 0.0 | 64.3% | 23.5% | |
| 21 | Blake Muschalek | G | Sr | 6'3" | 26-0 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 60.0% | 11.6% | |
| 10 | Simon Walker | G | So | 6'5" | 13-0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 78.6% | 52.9% | 1.3 | — | 20.9% | |
| 7 | Drake Cardwell | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 13 | Bradley Pearson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | George Kimble IIIat Vanderbilt | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jeremiah Bowman | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Joah Shay | G | Jr | 5'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 17 | Mantas Rubstavicius | G | — | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Narcisse Ngoy | C | — | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Thomas Dowd (from Troy), Owen Freeman (from Creighton), George Kimble III (from Vanderbilt), Kolby King (from Utah State), Bukky Oboye (from Santa Clara), Adam Olsen (from South Alabama)
West Virginia2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Honor Huff | G | Sr | 5'10" | 35-35 | 35.9 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 50.0% | 35.4% | 9.7 | 86.9% | 28.2% | |
| 0 | Brenen Lorient | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 29.4 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 58.0% | 35.8% | 2.0 | 70.4% | 25.1% | |
| 1 | Jasper Floyd | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 28.3 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 52.9% | 37.7% | 1.7 | 70.0% | 17.9% | |
| 55 | Harlan Obioha | C | Sr | 7'0" | 35-35 | 19.9 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 56.7% | 17.3% | |
| 13 | Chance Moore | G | Sr | 6'6" | 29-1 | 22.3 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.2% | 28.1% | 1.1 | 56.3% | 29.9% | |
| 5 | DJ Thomas | F | Fr | 6'7" | 35-0 | 16.8 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 55.1% | 26.9% | 2.2 | 62.5% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Amir Jenkins | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-0 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 37.3% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 53.8% | 19.2% | |
| 23 | Morris Ugusuk | G | Jr | 6'4" | 24-0 | 11.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 17.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 11.3% | |
| 4 | Jayden Forsythe | G | Fr | 6'5" | 5-0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 1.4 | — | 22.2% | |
| 21 | Niyol Hauet | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 8 | Abraham Oyeadier | C | Fr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 29.3% | |
| 7 | Evans Barning Jr. | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | MJ Feenane | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26West Virginia
Against the spread
Season
18-17
Home
10-8
Road
3-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.1
Covered 3 straightCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-22
Home
5-13
Road
2-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.9
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | Oklahoma | N | W 89–82 OT | +3.0 | W+10.0 | 138.5 | O171 | 123.9 | 114.2 | 71.8 |
| Apr 4 | Creighton | N | W 87–70 | −1.5 | W+15.5 | 137.0 | O157 | 128.7 | 103.6 | 67.6 |
| Apr 2 | Stanford | N | W 82–77 OT | −2.0 | W+3.0 | 135.5 | O159 | 111.7 | 104.9 | 73.4 |
| Mar 11 | BYU | N | L 48–68 | +3.5 | L−16.5 | 141.0 | U116 | 76.6 | 108.5 | 62.6 |
| Mar 6 | UCF | H | W 77–62 | −4.5 | W+10.5 | 141.5 | U139 | 115.4 | 92.9 | 66.7 |
| Mar 3 | Kansas St | A | L 63–65 | −4.0 | L−6.0 | 141.5 | U128 | 94.4 | 97.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 28 | #19BYU | H | W 79–71 | +2.0 | W+10.0 | 141.0 | O150 | 124.9 | 112.3 | 63.2 |
| Feb 24 | Oklahoma St | A | L 84–91 OT | −1.0 | L−8.0 | 143.5 | O175 | 115.4 | 125.1 | 72.8 |
| Feb 21 | TCU | A | L 54–60 | +4.5 | L−1.5 | 133.5 | U114 | 89.6 | 99.6 | 60.3 |
| Feb 18 | Utah | H | L 56–61 | −10.5 | L−15.5 | 134.0 | U117 | 91.7 | 99.9 | 61.0 |
Auburn
Against the spread
Season
16-22
Home
7-11
Road
3-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.6
Covered 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
23-15
Home
11-7
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | Tulsa | N | W 92–86 OT | −5.5 | W+0.5 | 159.5 | O178 | 112.5 | 105.2 | 81.8 |
| Apr 2 | Illinois St | N | W 88–66 | −8.0 | W+14.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 136.9 | 102.7 | 64.3 |
| Mar 25 | Nevada | H | W 75–69 | −8.0 | L−2.0 | 153.0 | U144 | 116.5 | 107.2 | 64.4 |
| Mar 22 | Seattle U | H | W 91–85 | −14.0 | L−8.0 | 146.0 | O176 | 125.2 | 116.9 | 72.7 |
| Mar 17 | South Alabama | H | W 78–67 | −18.0 | L−7.0 | 153.0 | U145 | 121.6 | 104.4 | 64.2 |
| Mar 12 | #25Tennessee | N | L 62–72 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 145.0 | U134 | 97.1 | 112.8 | 63.9 |
| Mar 11 | Mississippi St | N | W 79–61 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 159.0 | U140 | 110.8 | 85.6 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | #16Alabama | A | L 84–96 | +6.0 | L−6.0 | 175.0 | O180 | 118.0 | 134.9 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | LSU | H | W 88–74 | −10.5 | W+3.5 | 155.5 | O162 | 130.6 | 109.8 | 67.4 |
| Feb 28 | Ole Miss | H | L 79–85 | −11.0 | L−17.0 | 152.5 | O164 | 118.0 | 127.0 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWest VirginiaAuburn
Efficiency
109.6
118.2
101.3
107.4
65.2
68.3
—
—
Shooting
51.6%
53.0%
53.1%
53.9%
33.1%
34.4%
68.3%
74.4%
35.1%
43.2%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
14.6%
17.8%
16.3%
30.5%
37.0%
28.6%
30.9%
9.6%
9.2%
11.4%
12.4%
Style
43.0%
40.2%
43.1%
41.5%
10.4%
14.3%
51.9%
47.6%
30.1%
26.0%
Roster
3.39
3.79
6'4.7"
6'5.8"
84.2%
34.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWest Virginia
Returning minutes: 84.2%Returning production: 85.1%
Lost
- Treysen Eaglestaff 28.6 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jackson Fields 3.7 mpg, 1.1 ppg · transferred to Georgia Tech
Added
- MJ Feenane no D1 minutes last season
- Evans Barning Jr. no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 84% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Auburn
Returning minutes: 34.5%Returning production: 31.9%
Lost
- Keyshawn Hall 31.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sebastian Williams-Adams 27.4 mpg, 7.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elyjah Freeman 26.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- KeShawn Murphy 19.5 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Filip Jovic 17.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kaden Magwood 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Thomas Dowd from Troy · 36.1 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Adam Olsen from South Alabama · 33.8 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Kolby King from Utah State · 19.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Bukky Oboye from Santa Clara · 17.3 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Owen Freeman from Creighton · 9.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
- Narcisse Ngoy no D1 minutes last season
Returns 35% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.