CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceArena-Auditorium, Laramie, WY
Sam Houston
Efficiency #101
2025-26: 22-12 · 14-8 conf
@
Wyoming
Efficiency #98
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-12 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · TBD
75.2
win 36%
Projected
79.4
win 64%
No line posted yet.
Model: WYO −4.2 · total 154.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wyoming 67.7, Sam Houston 70.1 → 69.5 possessions
+2.5
Wyoming offense vs Sam Houston defense
+2.0
Sam Houston offense vs Wyoming defense
+1.8
Projected total
154.6
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wyoming offense vs Sam Houston defense
+2.0
Sam Houston offense vs Wyoming defense
−1.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Wyoming by 4.2
4.2
Sam Houston side ◂▸ Wyoming side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 154.5 against a projected 154.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wyoming.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Sam Houston is the faster team (70.6, #69 of 365) and Wyoming the slower (67.6, #221). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
154.6
model
Projected team totals
75.2 / 79.4
Sam Houston / Wyoming
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.1#42
Sam Houston
67.7#237
Wyoming
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetWatch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Sam Houston) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Sam Houston at about 34.2% of its shots from three, Wyoming about 43.8%.
AdvantageSam Houston
Where Sam Houston scores: the offensive glass
Sam Houston rebounds 35.9% of its own misses (#25); Wyoming lets opponents grab 28.0% of their own misses (#66). Expect about 33.1%, 2.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashSam Houston
Style match: 3-point volume
Sam Houston rarely shoots threes (35.8% of its shots); Wyoming runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 34.2% — both habits push the same way.
Sam Houston has the ball
OffenseWyoming allowsvs D1 avg
52.5% #128
52.0% #211
+1.5 pt/100
16.8% #181
16.8% #171
-0.0 pt/100
35.9% #25
28.0% #66
+1.6 pt/100
34.4% #199
47.9% #360
+0.9 pt/100
71.6% #216
—
-0.1 pt/100
Sam Houston net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.0 pts/100
Wyoming has the ball
OffenseSam Houston allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #154
51.4% #180
+0.6 pt/100
16.3% #155
16.1% #219
+0.9 pt/100
34.1% #66
30.1% #168
+1.5 pt/100
35.4% #166
36.7% #230
+0.1 pt/100
74.3% #115
—
+0.2 pt/100
Wyoming net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSam Houstonoffense vsWyomingdefense
Share of shots by zone
Sam Houston shoots
41.6
7.6
14.7
36.2
Wyoming allows
41.4
6.9
16.1
35.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.0%#297 | 61.7%#292 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.6%#129 | 44.2%#273 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.7%#158 | 36.1%#111 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.2%#24 | 32.8%#108 | 33.7% |
Wyomingoffense vsSam Houstondefense
Share of shots by zone
Wyoming shoots
41.6
3.7
11.6
43.1
Sam Houston allows
37.8
5.9
14.9
41.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#242 | 61.5%#285 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#72 | 36.3%#97 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.3%#102 | 35.9%#105 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#234 | 32.5%#89 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSam Houston
+1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#138 of 365
Off reb %
35.9%
#25
Def reb %
69.9%
#168
Turnover %
16.8%
#181
Forced TO %
16.1%
#219
FT rate
34.4%
#199
FT allowed
36.7%
#230
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Wyoming
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#66
Def reb %
72.0%
#66
Turnover %
16.3%
#155
Forced TO %
16.8%
#171
FT rate
35.4%
#166
FT allowed
47.9%
#360
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−3.3
Sam Houston has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.0 (#138 of 365) to Wyoming’s −0.7 (#213).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Sam Houston2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Damon Nicholas Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.1 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 35.2% | 2.1 | 82.0% | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Kashie Natt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 48.7% | 38.3% | 2.4 | 78.0% | 23.7% | |
| 55 | Jacob Walker | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-12 | 25.8 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 50.9% | 35.8% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 26.1% | |
| 35 | Po'Boigh King | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 37.0% | 5.9 | 84.8% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | Veljko Ilic | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-34 | 24.3 | 11.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 59.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 45.0% | 26.8% | |
| 2 | Jacobe Coleman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-3 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 56.0% | 37.8% | 3.6 | 69.2% | 22.1% | |
| 5 | Justin Begg | G | So | 6'0" | 22-22 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 48.4% | 32.3% | 4.5 | 73.7% | 26.7% | |
| 13 | Isaiah Manning | F | So | 6'8" | 16-0 | 19.8 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 54.8% | 34.9% | 3.9 | 86.8% | 27.8% | |
| 1 | CJ Beaumont | G | Jr | 6'8" | 30-0 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.9% | 46.8% | 1.6 | 62.5% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Matt Dann | F | Fr | 7'0" | 31-0 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 64.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.6% | 17.6% | |
| 10 | Jaxson Ford | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 60.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 23 | Cheikh Ndiaye | F | So | 6'10" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 22 | Jackson Rogers | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Nathan Nguyen | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Noah Benny | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wyoming2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leland Walker | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-32 | 28.7 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 28.6% | 3.6 | 82.7% | 31.7% | |
| 3 | Khaden Bennett | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-32 | 28.3 | 10.2 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 3.8 | 80.2% | 22.0% | |
| 2 | Nasir Meyer | G | Fr | 6'7" | 31-23 | 27.6 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 4.6 | 75.5% | 27.7% | |
| 1 | Damarion Dennis | G | So | 6'1" | 32-19 | 23.9 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 58.7% | 34.0% | 3.1 | 86.1% | 23.7% | |
| 13 | Adam Harakow | G | Jr | 6'7" | 33-7 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 57.1% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 68.0% | 18.1% | |
| 0 | Uriyah Rojas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-2 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 47.3% | 31.3% | 2.9 | 76.3% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Gavin Gores | F | Fr | 6'10" | 28-8 | 18.0 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 62.3% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 68.8% | 21.9% | |
| 8 | Kiani Saxon | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-16 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 51.8% | 37.5% | 0.5 | 32.1% | 10.9% | |
| 10 | Abou Magassa | F | So | 6'7" | 29-11 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 57.6% | — | 0.0 | 51.2% | 18.2% | |
| 35 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-3 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 46.6% | 30.8% | 2.4 | 100.0% | 26.2% | |
| 7 | Matija Belic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 13-12 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 50.0% | 21.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 23.4% | |
| 9 | Jared Harris | G | So | 6'2" | 12-0 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.2% | 30.0% | 1.7 | 80.0% | 23.7% | |
| 14 | Garrett Spielman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.4 | — | 24.8% | |
| 32 | Talan Taylor | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 45 | Neil Summers | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Sam Houston2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Damon Nicholas Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.1 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 35.2% | 2.1 | 82.0% | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Kashie Natt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 48.7% | 38.3% | 2.4 | 78.0% | 23.7% | |
| 55 | Jacob Walker | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-12 | 25.8 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 50.9% | 35.8% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 26.1% | |
| 35 | Po'Boigh King | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 37.0% | 5.9 | 84.8% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | Veljko Ilic | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-34 | 24.3 | 11.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 59.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 45.0% | 26.8% | |
| 2 | Jacobe Coleman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 33-3 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 56.0% | 37.8% | 3.6 | 69.2% | 22.1% | |
| 5 | Justin Begg | G | So | 6'0" | 22-22 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 48.4% | 32.3% | 4.5 | 73.7% | 26.7% | |
| 13 | Isaiah Manning | F | So | 6'8" | 16-0 | 19.8 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 54.8% | 34.9% | 3.9 | 86.8% | 27.8% | |
| 1 | CJ Beaumont | G | Jr | 6'8" | 30-0 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.9% | 46.8% | 1.6 | 62.5% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Matt Dann | F | Fr | 7'0" | 31-0 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 64.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.6% | 17.6% | |
| 10 | Jaxson Ford | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 60.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 23 | Cheikh Ndiaye | F | So | 6'10" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 22 | Jackson Rogers | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Nathan Nguyen | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Noah Benny | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Sam Houston
Against the spread
Season
20-11
Home
7-4
Road
10-6
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +0.1
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
18-13
Home
6-5
Road
10-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.2
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | New Mexico | A | L 83–107 | +11.5 | L−12.5 | 163.0 | O190 | 109.2 | 140.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Kennesaw St | N | L 73–79 | −2.0 | L−8.0 | 159.5 | U152 | 104.8 | 113.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 11 | New Mexico St | N | W 69–61 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Mar 7 | Liberty | A | L 72–79 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 115.8 | 127.1 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Delaware | A | L 80–83 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O163 | 112.4 | 116.7 | 71.2 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri St | H | W 86–81 | −7.0 | L−2.0 | 154.5 | O167 | 127.1 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
| Feb 26 | FIU | H | W 100–67 | −6.0 | W+27.0 | 162.0 | O167 | 136.4 | 91.4 | 73.3 |
| Feb 21 | Jax State | H | W 82–78 | −7.5 | L−3.5 | 148.5 | O160 | 121.6 | 115.7 | 67.4 |
| Feb 18 | MTSU | H | W 78–70 | −4.0 | W+4.0 | 151.5 | U148 | 112.0 | 100.5 | 69.6 |
| Feb 14 | Kennesaw St | A | W 83–79 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 163.0 | U162 | 125.4 | 119.3 | 66.2 |
Wyoming
Against the spread
Season
16-16
Home
9-8
Road
5-8
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +1.2
Covered 4 straightCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16
Home
11-6
Road
4-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.3
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Wichita St | A | L 70–74 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 93.7 | 99.0 | 74.7 |
| Mar 11 | UNLV | N | L 70–73 | +3.5 | W+0.5 | 153.0 | U143 | 106.7 | 111.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | San José St | A | W 88–78 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 148.0 | O166 | 146.0 | 129.4 | 60.3 |
| Mar 3 | Nevada | H | W 83–73 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 144.0 | O156 | 125.2 | 110.1 | 66.3 |
| Feb 28 | Air Force | H | W 66–62 | −21.5 | L−17.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 101.1 | 95.0 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | Boise St | A | L 62–72 | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 146.0 | U134 | 97.4 | 113.1 | 63.7 |
| Feb 21 | Grand Canyon | A | W 70–65 | +8.5 | W+13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 103.7 | 96.3 | 67.5 |
| Feb 17 | Fresno St | H | W 92–82 | −9.5 | W+0.5 | 147.5 | O174 | 140.9 | 125.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 14 | Colorado St | A | L 68–79 | +3.5 | L−7.5 | 138.5 | O147 | 110.5 | 128.4 | 61.5 |
| Feb 7 | Utah State | H | L 83–85 | +8.5 | W+6.5 | 146.0 | O168 | 122.6 | 125.6 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSam HoustonWyoming
Efficiency
111.9
111.8
108.1
107.6
70.1
67.7
—
—
Shooting
52.5%
51.8%
50.6%
53.6%
37.2%
33.0%
71.6%
74.3%
34.4%
35.4%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
16.3%
16.1%
16.8%
35.9%
34.1%
30.1%
28.0%
9.2%
8.3%
8.4%
10.9%
Style
35.8%
43.0%
44.2%
43.0%
17.1%
9.6%
52.6%
53.8%
32.2%
37.3%
Roster
2.80
2.57
6'4.7"
6'5"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSam Houston
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Sam Houston's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Wyoming
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 19 | 2025-26 | Wyoming 70 – 78 Sam Houston |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.