CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceMemorial Gymnasium (TN), Nashville, TN

Prairie View

Efficiency #303

2025-26: 19-18 · 13-9 conf

Vanderbilt

Efficiency #12

2025-26: 27-9 · 13-8 conf

Fri, Nov 13 · TBD

67.6

win 3%

Projected

89.0

win 97%

No line posted yet.

Model: VAN −21.4 · total 156.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Vanderbilt 69.2, Prairie View 70.5 → 71.4 possessions

+6.6

Vanderbilt offense vs Prairie View defense

+9.5

Prairie View offense vs Vanderbilt defense

−7.8

Projected total

156.6

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Vanderbilt offense vs Prairie View defense

+9.5

Prairie View offense vs Vanderbilt defense

+7.8

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+4.1

Vanderbilt by 21.4

21.4

Prairie View side ◂▸ Vanderbilt side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 156.5 against a projected 156.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Vanderbilt.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 71.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Prairie View is the faster team (72.4, #16 of 365) and Vanderbilt the slower (70.4, #77). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

71.4

per team, 40 min

Projected total

156.6

model

Projected team totals

67.6 / 89.0

Prairie View / Vanderbilt

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

70.5#28

Prairie View

69.2#105

Vanderbilt

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantagePrairie View

Where Prairie View struggles: shooting

Prairie View shoots an effective 47.4% (#330); Vanderbilt allows 49.0% (#67). Expect about 47.9%, 3.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.9 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Track meet

Vanderbilt averages 70.4 possessions per 40, Prairie View 72.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 73 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

AdvantageVanderbilt

Where Vanderbilt scores: shooting

Vanderbilt shoots an effective 55.3% (#31); Prairie View allows 50.9% (#149). Expect about 53.4%, 2.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.0 points per 100 possessions.

ClashPrairie View

Style match: ball movement

Prairie View creates off the dribble (assists on 43.2% of its baskets); Vanderbilt breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.9% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 42.9% — both habits push the same way.

GlassVanderbilt

Vanderbilt owns the glass

Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.4% is worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions for Vanderbilt's offense.

DefenseVanderbilt

Vanderbilt's shot-blocking

Vanderbilt ranks #40 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.0% of Prairie View's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

Prairie View has the ball

OffenseVanderbilt allowsvs D1 avg

47.4% #330

49.0% #67

-4.9 pt/100

15.8% #124

17.7% #111

-0.1 pt/100

26.7% #305

31.5% #231

-1.2 pt/100

41.6% #35

39.5% #295

+0.7 pt/100

75.6% #63

—

+0.3 pt/100

Prairie View net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.2 pts/100

Vanderbilt has the ball

OffensePrairie View allowsvs D1 avg

55.3% #31

50.9% #149

+3.0 pt/100

13.5% #15

19.0% #50

+0.6 pt/100

31.2% #158

35.4% #344

+1.8 pt/100

38.1% #101

42.6% #333

+0.7 pt/100

78.9% #5

—

+0.6 pt/100

Vanderbilt net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.7 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Prairie Viewoffense vsVanderbiltdefense

Share of shots by zone

Prairie View shoots

37.2

6.7

24.9

31.2

Vanderbilt allows

37.6

6.5

19.0

37.0

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.1%#296	55.2%#65	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	37.6%#231	39.3%#166	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	36.8%#230	34.1%#52	38.0%
Three	32.9%#237	32.6%#96	33.7%

Vanderbiltoffense vsPrairie Viewdefense

Share of shots by zone

Vanderbilt shoots

35.2

5.1

15.3

44.4

Prairie View allows

44.4

8.5

14.8

32.4

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	65.2%#19	58.2%#150	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	43.3%#97	34.9%#56	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	39.2%#139	35.3%#83	38.0%
Three	35.6%#86	35.0%#247	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Prairie View

−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#211 of 365

Off reb %

26.7%

#305

Def reb %

64.6%

#344

Turnover %

15.8%

#124

Forced TO %

19.0%

#50

FT rate

41.6%

#35

FT allowed

42.6%

#333

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.2

Defensive rebounding−1.5

Ball security+0.7

Forcing turnovers+1.6

Foul shots drawn+1.7

Foul shots allowed−1.9

Vanderbilt

+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#73 of 365

Off reb %

31.2%

#158

Def reb %

68.5%

#231

Turnover %

13.5%

#15

Forced TO %

17.7%

#111

FT rate

38.1%

#101

FT allowed

39.5%

#295

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.3

Defensive rebounding−0.3

Ball security+2.3

Forcing turnovers+0.7

Foul shots drawn+0.8

Foul shots allowed−1.1

Vanderbilt has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#73 of 365) to Prairie View’s −0.7 (#211).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Prairie View2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Prairie View's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
12	Lance Williams	G	Sr	6'1"	37-37	35.6	10.1	3.2	3.2	1.5	50.4%	41.8%	1.8	80.1%	15.8%
13	Cory Wells	F	Sr	6'7"	37-37	33.2	13.2	7.1	2.1	2.2	44.0%	35.5%	3.3	74.2%	25.8%
2	Dontae Horne	G	Sr	6'4"	37-34	32.3	20.1	4.5	2.9	2.6	48.6%	32.0%	4.1	80.2%	35.7%
3	Tai'Reon Joseph	G	Sr	6'3"	29-23	29.9	17.7	2.3	0.9	1.7	49.0%	31.2%	7.1	76.5%	32.7%
4	Corey Dunning	F	Sr	6'9"	34-18	17.9	1.2	3.2	0.6	0.4	54.1%	0.0%	0.1	25.0%	4.9%
0	Joey Madimba	G	Sr	6'5"	27-7	17.1	8.1	3.3	0.5	0.8	50.6%	24.5%	2.0	72.1%	26.0%
25	Keeshawn Mason	F	Sr	6'8"	29-19	15.2	4.6	2.8	0.3	0.4	49.5%	33.3%	0.8	65.9%	16.8%
23	Elijah Mitchell	G	So	6'5"	28-4	12.1	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	45.7%	42.1%	0.7	86.7%	10.6%
10	Jannoy Thomas	G	Jr	5'11"	28-0	10.9	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.5	59.5%	0.0%	0.1	68.0%	11.6%
11	Hassane Diallo	F	Jr	6'8"	27-3	10.7	3.1	3.0	0.3	0.7	50.9%	—	0.0	60.9%	18.3%
24	Marcel Bryant	F	Jr	6'7"	13-0	12.8	6.5	2.8	0.3	1.4	57.4%	40.0%	1.2	76.7%	26.8%
5	Doug Young	G	Sr	6'0"	3-3	26.3	9.3	2.3	1.7	2.7	51.9%	36.4%	3.7	—	22.2%
34	Ryan Bolton Jr.	C	So	6'10"	13-0	5.8	1.7	2.1	0.2	0.6	83.3%	—	0.0	66.7%	14.0%
15	Seryee Lewis	F	Sr	6'9"	4-0	6.5	2.0	1.3	0.0	1.3	42.9%	—	0.0	50.0%	27.1%
1	Isaiah Foster	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	4.4	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.2	80.0%	66.7%	0.6	100.0%	15.3%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Vanderbilt2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
3	Tyler Tanner	G	So	6'0"	36-36	33.5	19.5	3.6	5.1	1.9	54.9%	36.8%	4.5	85.3%	30.4%
7	Chandler Bing	G	Fr	6'5"	35-0	15.3	3.7	1.6	0.4	0.6	53.9%	28.9%	1.1	63.5%	14.8%
8	Tyler Harris	F	Jr	6'7"	29-2	13.2	5.7	2.4	0.3	0.4	47.8%	28.7%	2.8	53.3%	26.4%
0	Mike James	G	Jr	6'5"	21-0	11.2	1.5	2.0	0.8	0.3	41.2%	33.3%	1.1	57.1%	10.7%
1	Frankie Collins	G	Sr	6'1"	9-0	20.9	7.8	4.2	4.7	2.2	41.8%	25.0%	1.8	66.7%	26.4%
34	Jayden Leverett	C	Fr	6'11"	26-0	4.0	1.0	1.2	0.0	0.0	61.8%	50.0%	0.1	57.1%	11.8%
12	Jaylon Dean-Vines	G	Fr	6'4"	10-0	2.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.2	90.0%	50.0%	0.2	0.0%	16.5%
25	Miles Keeffe	G	Sr	6'5"	11-0	1.9	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.2	31.3%	33.3%	0.3	—	27.0%
50	Mason Nicholson	F	Sr	6'9"	5-0	4.0	0.4	1.0	0.0	0.2	50.0%	—	0.0	—	7.9%
15	Coleson Messer	G	So	6'4"	7-0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	18.9%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Prairie View2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Prairie View's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
12	Lance Williams	G	Sr	6'1"	37-37	35.6	10.1	3.2	3.2	1.5	50.4%	41.8%	1.8	80.1%	15.8%
13	Cory Wells	F	Sr	6'7"	37-37	33.2	13.2	7.1	2.1	2.2	44.0%	35.5%	3.3	74.2%	25.8%
2	Dontae Horne	G	Sr	6'4"	37-34	32.3	20.1	4.5	2.9	2.6	48.6%	32.0%	4.1	80.2%	35.7%
3	Tai'Reon Joseph	G	Sr	6'3"	29-23	29.9	17.7	2.3	0.9	1.7	49.0%	31.2%	7.1	76.5%	32.7%
4	Corey Dunning	F	Sr	6'9"	34-18	17.9	1.2	3.2	0.6	0.4	54.1%	0.0%	0.1	25.0%	4.9%
0	Joey Madimba	G	Sr	6'5"	27-7	17.1	8.1	3.3	0.5	0.8	50.6%	24.5%	2.0	72.1%	26.0%
25	Keeshawn Mason	F	Sr	6'8"	29-19	15.2	4.6	2.8	0.3	0.4	49.5%	33.3%	0.8	65.9%	16.8%
23	Elijah Mitchell	G	So	6'5"	28-4	12.1	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	45.7%	42.1%	0.7	86.7%	10.6%
10	Jannoy Thomas	G	Jr	5'11"	28-0	10.9	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.5	59.5%	0.0%	0.1	68.0%	11.6%
11	Hassane Diallo	F	Jr	6'8"	27-3	10.7	3.1	3.0	0.3	0.7	50.9%	—	0.0	60.9%	18.3%
24	Marcel Bryant	F	Jr	6'7"	13-0	12.8	6.5	2.8	0.3	1.4	57.4%	40.0%	1.2	76.7%	26.8%
5	Doug Young	G	Sr	6'0"	3-3	26.3	9.3	2.3	1.7	2.7	51.9%	36.4%	3.7	—	22.2%
34	Ryan Bolton Jr.	C	So	6'10"	13-0	5.8	1.7	2.1	0.2	0.6	83.3%	—	0.0	66.7%	14.0%
15	Seryee Lewis	F	Sr	6'9"	4-0	6.5	2.0	1.3	0.0	1.3	42.9%	—	0.0	50.0%	27.1%
1	Isaiah Foster	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	4.4	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.2	80.0%	66.7%	0.6	100.0%	15.3%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Prairie View

Against the spread

Season

22-11

Home

5-4

Road

11-5

Last 10

9-1

avg cover +6.9

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 7 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

14-18-1

Home

3-6

Road

9-6-1

Last 10

2-8

avg vs total −9.9

Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 20	#1FloridaAdjEM #5	N	L 55–114	+35.0	L−24.0	154.0	O169	79.4	164.5	69.3
Mar 18	#16LehighAdjEM #273	N	W 67–55	+3.0	W+15.0	142.5	U122	102.8	84.4	65.2
Mar 14	SouthernAdjEM #286	N	W 72–66	+3.5	W+9.5	145.0	U138	109.3	100.2	65.9
Mar 13	Alabama A&MAdjEM #312	N	W 74–55	+2.0	W+21.0	140.5	U129	117.2	87.1	63.1
Mar 11	BethuneAdjEM #260	N	W 71–67	+5.5	W+9.5	148.0	U138	108.0	101.9	65.8
Mar 10	Alcorn StAdjEM #355	N	W 65–56	−6.0	W+3.0	142.5	U121	97.7	84.2	66.5
Mar 5	Texas SouthernAdjEM #321	A	W 70–59	+1.5	W+12.5	153.0	U129	104.4	88.0	67.0
Feb 28	Alcorn StAdjEM #355	H	W 72–51	−4.5	W+16.5	150.0	U123	102.3	72.5	70.4
Feb 26	Jackson StAdjEM #353	H	W 85–76 OT	−4.5	W+4.5	161.5	U161	114.2	102.1	74.4
Feb 21	AR-Pine BluffAdjEM #323	A	L 82–84	+3.5	W+1.5	158.0	O166	120.8	123.7	67.9

Vanderbilt

Against the spread

Season

17-18-1

Home

8-8

Road

5-6-1

Last 10

4-6

avg cover −0.2

Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 1 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

17-19

Home

8-8

Road

6-6

Last 10

5-5

avg vs total +3.5

Under 3 straightOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 21	#4NebraskaAdjEM #17	N	L 72–74	−2.0	L−4.0	147.5	U146	112.7	115.8	63.9
Mar 19	#12McNeeseAdjEM #49	N	W 78–68	−12.0	L−2.0	148.0	U146	122.1	106.4	63.9
Mar 15	#17ArkansasAdjEM #19	N	L 75–86	−2.0	L−13.0	164.5	U161	107.0	122.6	70.1
Mar 14	#4FloridaAdjEM #5	N	W 91–74	+7.0	W+24.0	160.0	O165	142.4	115.8	63.9
Mar 13	#25TennesseeAdjEM #13	N	W 75–68	+2.0	W+9.0	147.0	U143	120.3	109.1	62.4
Mar 7	#23TennesseeAdjEM #13	A	W 86–82	+3.0	W+7.0	145.5	O168	117.7	112.2	73.1
Mar 3	Ole MissAdjEM #82	A	W 89–86 OT	−7.0	L−4.0	155.5	O175	115.6	111.7	77.0
Feb 28	KentuckyAdjEM #27	A	L 77–91	+1.0	L−13.0	157.5	O168	113.2	133.7	68.0
Feb 25	GeorgiaAdjEM #32	H	W 88–80	−7.5	W+0.5	163.0	O168	133.2	121.1	66.1
Feb 21	TennesseeAdjEM #13	H	L 65–69	−3.0	L−7.0	150.0	U134	102.7	109.1	63.3

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Prairie ViewVanderbilt

Efficiency

103.2

119.5

110.8

102.9

70.5

69.2

—

Shooting

47.4%

55.3%

46.5%

56.9%

32.9%

35.6%

75.6%

78.9%

41.6%

38.1%

Ball control & glass

15.8%

13.5%

19.0%

17.7%

26.7%

31.2%

35.4%

31.5%

8.8%

7.4%

8.2%

7.4%

Style

30.6%

44.2%

41.8%

40.4%

17.7%

13.8%

43.2%

56.4%

24.1%

28.8%

Roster

3.78

2.15

6'4.6"

6'3"

—

37.6%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Prairie View

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Prairie View's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Vanderbilt

Returning minutes: 37.6%Returning production: 36.1%

Lost

Tyler Nickel 30.5 mpg, 13.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
AK Okereke 26.2 mpg, 9.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Devin McGlockton 25.3 mpg, 9.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Duke Miles 23.0 mpg, 12.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Jalen Washington 20.6 mpg, 8.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Nobody of note.

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 38% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.