CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CA
Chicago St
Efficiency #342
2025-26: 7-25 · 5-14 conf
@
San Diego
Efficiency #269
2025-26: 12-21 · 6-14 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · TBD
69.8
win 24%
Projected
78.2
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: USD −8.4 · total 148.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: San Diego 68.8, Chicago St 67.2 → 67.7 possessions
−1.3
San Diego offense vs Chicago St defense
+2.8
Chicago St offense vs San Diego defense
−1.7
Projected total
148.0
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
San Diego offense vs Chicago St defense
+2.8
Chicago St offense vs San Diego defense
+1.7
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
San Diego by 8.4
8.4
Chicago St side ◂▸ San Diego side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help San Diego.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, San Diego is the faster team (68.8, #159 of 365) and Chicago St the slower (65.8, #304). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.0
model
Projected team totals
69.8 / 78.2
Chicago St / San Diego
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.2#272
Chicago St
68.8#136
San Diego
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashSan Diego
Style match: ball movement
San Diego assists on 59.1% of its made baskets; Chicago St allows assists on 72.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 69.9% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageSan Diego
Where San Diego scores: shooting
San Diego shoots an effective 51.2% (#185); Chicago St allows 56.7% (#354). Expect about 54.0%, 2.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.9 points per 100 possessions.
ClashSan Diego
Style match: 3-point volume
San Diego takes 43.7% of its shots from three; Chicago St lets opponents take 50.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 50.2% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversSan Diego
San Diego turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.3% is worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions against San Diego's offense.
AdvantageChicago St
Where Chicago St struggles: shooting
Chicago St shoots an effective 45.3% (#358); San Diego allows 54.7% (#320). Expect about 49.6%, 1.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseChicago St
Chicago St's ball-hawking
Chicago St ranks #19 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.5% of San Diego's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Chicago St has the ball
OffenseSan Diego allowsvs D1 avg
45.3% #358
54.7% #320
-2.4 pt/100
15.6% #113
18.9% #55
-0.9 pt/100
28.3% #255
34.5% #328
+0.3 pt/100
30.0% #311
38.8% #281
-0.0 pt/100
75.0% #84
—
+0.2 pt/100
Chicago St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.8 pts/100
San Diego has the ball
OffenseChicago St allowsvs D1 avg
51.2% #185
56.7% #354
+3.9 pt/100
17.5% #237
20.1% #20
-3.1 pt/100
28.1% #262
35.0% #339
+0.4 pt/100
25.8% #358
38.0% #261
-0.3 pt/100
74.7% #95
—
+0.2 pt/100
San Diego net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersChicago Stoffense vsSan Diegodefense
Share of shots by zone
Chicago St shoots
33.6
8.8
26.8
30.7
San Diego allows
39.6
6.5
13.9
39.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 49.8%#361 | 63.2%#328 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.0%#195 | 50.0%#354 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#232 | 47.3%#361 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.1%#275 | 32.7%#100 | 33.7% |
San Diegooffense vsChicago Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
San Diego shoots
32.2
6.3
17.0
44.5
Chicago St allows
37.0
4.0
8.8
50.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.6%#174 | 64.9%#350 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.9%#270 | 31.0%#19 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.6%#168 | 44.1%#341 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.6%#141 | 35.6%#290 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersChicago St
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#232 of 365
Off reb %
28.3%
#255
Def reb %
65.0%
#339
Turnover %
15.6%
#113
Forced TO %
20.1%
#20
FT rate
30.0%
#311
FT allowed
38.0%
#261
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+2.3
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed−0.7
San Diego
−4.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#334 of 365
Off reb %
28.1%
#262
Def reb %
65.5%
#328
Turnover %
17.5%
#237
Forced TO %
18.9%
#55
FT rate
25.8%
#358
FT allowed
38.8%
#281
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers+1.5
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Chicago St has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.0 (#232 of 365) to San Diego’s −4.3 (#334).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Chicago St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | CJ Ray | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 31.1 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 47.8% | 37.2% | 3.5 | 85.2% | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Marcus Tankersley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 30.6 | 13.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 46.5% | 23.3% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 29.9% | |
| 3 | Doyel Cockrill III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 24.4 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 49.4% | 36.4% | 5.8 | 83.3% | 29.7% | |
| 21 | Braelon Bush | G | Sr | 5'9" | 26-9 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 45.6% | 27.7% | 3.9 | 91.9% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Corey Sands | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-20 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 39.4% | 25.8% | 2.1 | 73.3% | 13.1% | |
| 8 | Stephen Byard | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-9 | 22.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 48.3% | 41.7% | 0.5 | 73.4% | 28.7% | |
| 9 | Malek Robinson | G | Fr | 5'11" | 32-22 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 36.5% | 31.8% | 0.7 | 70.4% | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Dailliss Cox | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-21 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 48.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 14.0% | |
| 15 | Joseph Owens | F | Sr | 6'7" | 26-2 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 53.7% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 13.5% | |
| 11 | Lionel Larvadain III | G | So | 6'0" | 21-1 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 20.0% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Chauncey Gibson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 15-4 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 37.8% | 26.4% | 3.5 | 42.9% | 30.0% | |
| 6 | Daniel Zatsepin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 25-2 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.2% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 10.1% | |
| 25 | Dakari Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 19-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 8.3% | |
| 20 | CJ Delancy | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 44.4% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 12.4% | |
| 1 | Deshawn Jean-Charles | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-3 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 7.7% | |
| 12 | DaJuan Bates | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Greg Spate | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
San Diego2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted San Diego's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toneari Lane | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-17 | 26.8 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 58.2% | 44.0% | 5.8 | 85.0% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Adrian McIntyre | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-17 | 24.8 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 57.1% | 32.1% | 2.4 | 73.5% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Juanse Gorosito | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-17 | 24.3 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 51.9% | 38.2% | 5.6 | 83.3% | 26.2% | |
| 34 | Vuk Boskovic | F | Fr | 6'7" | 33-18 | 20.3 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 55.7% | 35.8% | 3.3 | 60.5% | 20.0% | |
| 5 | Ty-Laur Johnson | G | Jr | 6'0" | 23-21 | 28.0 | 14.6 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 47.7% | 30.9% | 3.5 | 82.6% | 33.8% | |
| 7 | Assane Diop | F | Jr | 6'9" | 29-19 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 56.4% | 41.9% | 1.5 | 59.3% | 19.4% | |
| 14 | Dominique Ford | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-17 | 17.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 44.6% | 22.9% | 1.5 | 76.4% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Tim Moore Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 31-10 | 14.9 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 49.7% | 20.0% | 1.8 | 79.7% | 25.0% | |
| 12 | Gavin Ripp | F | Fr | 6'7" | 26-7 | 17.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48.3% | 23.5% | 0.7 | 80.0% | 17.0% | |
| 21 | Alejandro Aviles | F | Fr | 6'10" | 24-8 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 76.2% | 18.0% | |
| 3 | D'Arrae Goodwin | F | Fr | 6'6" | 14-6 | 14.6 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 53.6% | 33.3% | 2.6 | 66.7% | 20.1% | |
| 22 | Emmanuel Callas | G | Jr | 6'5" | 16-4 | 9.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 41.7% | — | 0.0 | 60.0% | 8.3% | |
| 24 | Brandon Benjamin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 19-0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 25.7% | |
| 23 | Piotr Winkowski | C | Jr | 6'10" | 15-4 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 56.5% | — | 0.0 | 45.5% | 21.4% | |
| 10 | Neel Beniwal | G | Jr | 6'5" | 9-0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 80.0% | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Josh Hecht | G | Jr | 6'2" | 8-0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 35.5% | |
| 15 | Caleb Versher | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 41.7% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 27.3% | |
| 53 | Nick Del Bosque | G | So | 6'0" | 5-0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.0% | |
| 6 | Boden Grant | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Kjay Bradley Jr. | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Chicago St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | CJ Ray | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 31.1 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 47.8% | 37.2% | 3.5 | 85.2% | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Marcus Tankersley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 30.6 | 13.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 46.5% | 23.3% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 29.9% | |
| 3 | Doyel Cockrill III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 24.4 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 49.4% | 36.4% | 5.8 | 83.3% | 29.7% | |
| 21 | Braelon Bush | G | Sr | 5'9" | 26-9 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 45.6% | 27.7% | 3.9 | 91.9% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Corey Sands | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-20 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 39.4% | 25.8% | 2.1 | 73.3% | 13.1% | |
| 8 | Stephen Byard | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-9 | 22.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 48.3% | 41.7% | 0.5 | 73.4% | 28.7% | |
| 9 | Malek Robinson | G | Fr | 5'11" | 32-22 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 36.5% | 31.8% | 0.7 | 70.4% | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Dailliss Cox | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-21 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 48.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 14.0% | |
| 15 | Joseph Owens | F | Sr | 6'7" | 26-2 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 53.7% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 13.5% | |
| 11 | Lionel Larvadain III | G | So | 6'0" | 21-1 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 20.0% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Chauncey Gibson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 15-4 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 37.8% | 26.4% | 3.5 | 42.9% | 30.0% | |
| 6 | Daniel Zatsepin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 25-2 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.2% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 10.1% | |
| 25 | Dakari Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 19-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 8.3% | |
| 20 | CJ Delancy | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 44.4% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 12.4% | |
| 1 | Deshawn Jean-Charles | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-3 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 7.7% | |
| 12 | DaJuan Bates | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Greg Spate | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Chicago St
Against the spread
Season
14-16-1
Home
6-4
Road
8-12-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-16
Home
3-7
Road
12-9
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −2.1
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Long Island | A | L 75–79 | +11.0 | W+7.0 | 138.0 | O154 | 122.2 | 128.7 | 61.4 |
| Feb 28 | Wagner | A | L 61–80 | +5.0 | L−14.0 | 135.5 | O141 | 88.6 | 116.2 | 68.9 |
| Feb 26 | Long Island | A | L 56–73 | +11.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | U129 | 85.8 | 111.9 | 65.3 |
| Feb 21 | C Connecticut | H | W 70–51 | +3.0 | W+22.0 | 138.5 | U121 | 113.1 | 82.4 | 61.9 |
| Feb 19 | FDU | H | L 59–60 | +2.0 | W+1.0 | 132.0 | U119 | 111.6 | 113.5 | 52.9 |
| Feb 14 | Le Moyne | A | L 63–81 | +7.0 | L−11.0 | 146.0 | U144 | 91.5 | 117.6 | 68.9 |
| Feb 12 | Stonehill | H | W 68–55 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 132.5 | U123 | 121.5 | 98.3 | 56.0 |
| Feb 9 | Saint Francis Red Wolves | H | W 80–75 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 145.5 | O155 | 112.7 | 105.7 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | New Haven | A | W 63–57 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 127.5 | U120 | 106.9 | 96.8 | 58.9 |
| Feb 5 | C Connecticut | A | L 67–78 | +9.0 | L−2.0 | 137.0 | O145 | 107.5 | 125.1 | 62.3 |
San Diego
Against the spread
Season
16-15
Home
10-5
Road
4-9
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.1
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-18-1
Home
6-9
Road
6-6-1
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −1.1
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Seattle U | N | L 56–58 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 139.0 | U114 | 91.6 | 94.9 | 61.1 |
| Mar 5 | LMU | N | W 66–62 | +5.5 | W+9.5 | 145.5 | U128 | 107.6 | 101.1 | 61.3 |
| Feb 28 | Portland | A | L 74–87 | +3.5 | L−9.5 | 148.5 | O161 | 107.0 | 125.8 | 69.2 |
| Feb 25 | Oregon St | A | L 82–92 OT | +6.5 | L−3.5 | 144.0 | O174 | 110.3 | 123.8 | 74.3 |
| Feb 21 | LMU | H | L 65–77 | +2.5 | L−9.5 | 149.5 | U142 | 104.7 | 124.0 | 62.1 |
| Feb 15 | San Francisco | H | L 79–92 | +5.0 | L−8.0 | 148.0 | O171 | 114.3 | 133.2 | 69.1 |
| Feb 11 | Portland | H | W 71–58 | −2.5 | W+10.5 | 151.5 | U129 | 111.4 | 91.0 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | LMU | A | L 63–83 | +6.0 | L−14.0 | 151.5 | U146 | 99.8 | 131.5 | 63.1 |
| Feb 4 | Saint Mary's | A | L 60–87 | +19.5 | L−7.5 | 149.0 | U147 | 94.0 | 136.3 | 63.8 |
| Jan 31 | Oregon St | H | L 76–78 OT | −3.5 | L−5.5 | 150.5 | O154 | 93.0 | 95.4 | 81.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeChicago StSan Diego
Efficiency
102.4
106.6
114.4
112.0
67.2
68.8
—
—
Shooting
45.3%
51.2%
44.0%
50.8%
32.1%
34.6%
75.0%
74.7%
30.0%
25.8%
Ball control & glass
15.6%
17.5%
20.1%
18.9%
28.3%
28.1%
35.0%
34.5%
8.4%
10.0%
8.7%
10.1%
Style
30.9%
43.7%
41.8%
39.6%
11.7%
15.1%
50.3%
59.1%
39.8%
39.6%
Roster
3.49
3.00
6'3.7"
6'4.7"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputChicago St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
San Diego
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted San Diego's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.