CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
C Arkansas
Efficiency #139
2025-26: 22-12 · 17-4 conf
@
Arkansas
Efficiency #19
2025-26: 28-9 · 16-5 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · TBD
73.3
win 11%
Projected
87.3
win 89%
No line posted yet.
Model: ARK −13.9 · total 160.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Arkansas 70.9, C Arkansas 68.7 → 71.3 possessions
+6.5
Arkansas offense vs C Arkansas defense
+7.8
C Arkansas offense vs Arkansas defense
−2.0
Projected total
160.6
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Arkansas offense vs C Arkansas defense
+7.8
C Arkansas offense vs Arkansas defense
+2.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Arkansas by 13.9
13.9
C Arkansas side ◂▸ Arkansas side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 160.5 against a projected 160.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Arkansas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Arkansas is the faster team (72.8, #13 of 365) and C Arkansas the slower (68.9, #158). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
160.6
model
Projected team totals
73.3 / 87.3
C Arkansas / Arkansas
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#148
C Arkansas
70.9#17
Arkansas
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageArkansas
Where Arkansas scores: shooting
Arkansas shoots an effective 56.4% (#16); C Arkansas allows 54.9% (#328). Expect about 56.1%, 4.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +6.9 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Arkansas averages 72.8 possessions per 40, C Arkansas 68.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
DefenseArkansas
Arkansas's shot-blocking
Arkansas ranks #25 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.4% of C Arkansas's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageC Arkansas
Where C Arkansas scores: shooting
C Arkansas shoots an effective 54.0% (#68); Arkansas allows 51.8% (#201). Expect about 53.1%, 1.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.6 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Arkansas) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect C Arkansas at about 46.0% of its shots from three, Arkansas about 42.5%.
TurnoversC Arkansas
C Arkansas protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.2% is worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions for C Arkansas's offense.
C Arkansas has the ball
OffenseArkansas allowsvs D1 avg
54.0% #68
51.8% #201
+2.6 pt/100
15.4% #94
15.6% #246
+1.9 pt/100
28.8% #240
30.9% #197
-0.6 pt/100
31.2% #278
31.2% #87
-0.5 pt/100
70.7% #246
—
-0.1 pt/100
C Arkansas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.3 pts/100
Arkansas has the ball
OffenseC Arkansas allowsvs D1 avg
56.4% #16
54.9% #328
+6.9 pt/100
12.2% #1
19.0% #47
+1.4 pt/100
32.0% #121
27.4% #48
-0.2 pt/100
35.9% #155
30.1% #60
-0.3 pt/100
75.1% #77
—
+0.2 pt/100
Arkansas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +8.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersC Arkansasoffense vsArkansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
C Arkansas shoots
37.6
5.7
8.4
48.2
Arkansas allows
40.1
6.9
15.3
37.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.7%#58 | 62.6%#313 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.4%#188 | 45.4%#308 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 28.3%#362 | 34.7%#66 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.5%#89 | 31.8%#54 | 33.7% |
Arkansasoffense vsC Arkansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Arkansas shoots
41.8
6.3
19.1
32.8
C Arkansas allows
35.7
3.9
8.3
52.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.7%#10 | 63.7%#337 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.3%#325 | 30.2%#15 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.3%#258 | 38.6%#185 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.2%#16 | 35.2%#262 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersC Arkansas
+3.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#47 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#240
Def reb %
72.6%
#48
Turnover %
15.4%
#94
Forced TO %
19.0%
#47
FT rate
31.2%
#278
FT allowed
30.1%
#60
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+1.3
Arkansas
+4.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#35 of 365
Off reb %
32.0%
#121
Def reb %
69.1%
#197
Turnover %
12.2%
#1
Forced TO %
15.6%
#246
FT rate
35.9%
#155
FT allowed
31.2%
#87
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+3.2
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Arkansas has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.1 (#35 of 365) to C Arkansas’s +3.4 (#47).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
C Arkansas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Camren Hunter | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 30.9 | 21.0 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 58.0% | 36.9% | 6.0 | 79.6% | 35.2% | |
| 32 | Luke Moore | G | Fr | 6'2" | 34-31 | 29.7 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 47.0% | 32.1% | 3.9 | 56.5% | 21.6% | |
| 12 | Ty Robinson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.6 | 14.2 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 57.8% | 37.4% | 6.0 | 76.7% | 27.0% | |
| 24 | Cole McCormick | F | So | 6'6" | 32-15 | 22.2 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 56.0% | 31.4% | 3.2 | 73.8% | 22.4% | |
| 25 | Malchiah Marable | F | Fr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 20.5 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 55.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.4% | 14.3% | |
| 0 | Truman Byrne | F | Fr | 6'10" | 34-0 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 53.5% | 34.5% | 2.5 | 88.9% | 16.2% | |
| 9 | Harry Beauchamp | G | Fr | 6'5" | 34-0 | 15.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 60.3% | 42.9% | 2.5 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 5 | Tyler Lee | G | Fr | 6'5" | 34-0 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 54.5% | 37.1% | 1.0 | 65.0% | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Parker Applegate | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-0 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 43.9% | 21.4% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 20.3% | |
| 11 | Rashad Bolden | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 23.0 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 35.5% | 25.0% | 5.3 | 66.7% | 26.9% | |
| 23 | Chris Mason | F | So | 6'7" | 4-0 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | — | 18.5% | |
| 10 | Owen Derhmann | G | So | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 0.5 | — | 9.9% | |
| 17 | Ethan Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 8-0 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 37.5% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 10.9% | |
| 4 | J.C. Shulman | G | Fr | 6'2" | 10-0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.3% | 42.9% | 0.7 | — | 11.8% | |
| 7 | R.J. Newton | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Rylie Marshall | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Arkansas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Billy Richmond III | G | Jr | 6'7" | 37-19 | 27.6 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 58.8% | 25.9% | 1.6 | 78.4% | 20.6% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Wilkinsonat Georgia | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-21 | 25.6 | 17.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 50.6% | 35.7% | 7.1 | 78.6% | 36.1% | |
| 21 | Cooper Bowserat Furman | F | Sr | 6'11" | 25-22 | 29.6 | 13.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 76.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 62.2% | 21.4% | |
| 30 | Isaiah Sealy | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 75.0% | 21.1% | |
| 2 | Amere Brown | G | So | 5'9" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 26.3% | |
| 4 | Ayden Kelley | G | Jr | 5'10" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 14.4% | |
| 99 | Paulo Semedo | F | So | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Abdou Toure | F | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Caleb Ourigou | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Davion Thompson | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Ilia Frolov | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | JJ Andrews | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Jordan Smith Jr. | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Maper Maker | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Miikka Muurinen | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Cooper Bowser (from Furman), Jeremiah Wilkinson (from Georgia)
C Arkansas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Camren Hunter | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 30.9 | 21.0 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 58.0% | 36.9% | 6.0 | 79.6% | 35.2% | |
| 32 | Luke Moore | G | Fr | 6'2" | 34-31 | 29.7 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 47.0% | 32.1% | 3.9 | 56.5% | 21.6% | |
| 12 | Ty Robinson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 27.6 | 14.2 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 57.8% | 37.4% | 6.0 | 76.7% | 27.0% | |
| 24 | Cole McCormick | F | So | 6'6" | 32-15 | 22.2 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 56.0% | 31.4% | 3.2 | 73.8% | 22.4% | |
| 25 | Malchiah Marable | F | Fr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 20.5 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 55.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.4% | 14.3% | |
| 0 | Truman Byrne | F | Fr | 6'10" | 34-0 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 53.5% | 34.5% | 2.5 | 88.9% | 16.2% | |
| 9 | Harry Beauchamp | G | Fr | 6'5" | 34-0 | 15.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 60.3% | 42.9% | 2.5 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 5 | Tyler Lee | G | Fr | 6'5" | 34-0 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 54.5% | 37.1% | 1.0 | 65.0% | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Parker Applegate | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-0 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 43.9% | 21.4% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 20.3% | |
| 11 | Rashad Bolden | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 23.0 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 35.5% | 25.0% | 5.3 | 66.7% | 26.9% | |
| 23 | Chris Mason | F | So | 6'7" | 4-0 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | — | 18.5% | |
| 10 | Owen Derhmann | G | So | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 0.5 | — | 9.9% | |
| 17 | Ethan Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 8-0 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 37.5% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 10.9% | |
| 4 | J.C. Shulman | G | Fr | 6'2" | 10-0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.3% | 42.9% | 0.7 | — | 11.8% | |
| 7 | R.J. Newton | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Rylie Marshall | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26C Arkansas
Against the spread
Season
21-10-1
Home
11-1-1
Road
8-8
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +2.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 7 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-15-1
Home
8-4-1
Road
6-10
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +5.8
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 9 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Queens | N | L 93–98 OT | −2.0 | L−7.0 | 157.0 | O191 | 116.0 | 122.3 | 80.2 |
| Mar 7 | FGCU | N | W 73–63 | −4.5 | W+5.5 | 145.0 | U136 | 104.2 | 89.9 | 70.0 |
| Mar 6 | Bellarmine | N | W 86–73 | −8.0 | W+5.0 | 155.0 | O159 | 136.2 | 115.6 | 63.1 |
| Feb 28 | Queens | H | W 84–79 | −2.5 | W+2.5 | 163.0 | P163 | 118.4 | 111.3 | 70.9 |
| Feb 25 | Austin Peay | A | W 93–88 | +5.0 | W+10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 137.2 | 129.9 | 67.8 |
| Feb 21 | FGCU | A | L 71–75 OT | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 153.0 | U146 | 98.8 | 104.4 | 71.9 |
| Feb 19 | Stetson | A | W 88–76 | −10.0 | W+2.0 | 149.0 | O164 | 133.0 | 114.9 | 66.2 |
| Feb 14 | West Georgia | H | W 79–62 | −11.0 | W+6.0 | 152.0 | U141 | 114.7 | 90.0 | 68.9 |
| Feb 11 | Bellarmine | H | W 84–76 | −7.5 | W+0.5 | 149.5 | O160 | 128.0 | 115.9 | 65.6 |
| Feb 9 | North Alabama | A | W 72–65 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 145.0 | U137 | 106.8 | 96.4 | 67.4 |
Arkansas
Against the spread
Season
23-14
Home
13-5
Road
6-4
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −0.7
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
21-15-1
Home
11-6-1
Road
4-6
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +14.2
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 | #1Arizona | N | L 88–109 | +8.0 | L−13.0 | 165.5 | O197 | 110.1 | 136.4 | 79.9 |
| Mar 21 | #12High Point | N | W 94–88 | −12.0 | L−6.0 | 170.5 | O182 | 121.5 | 113.8 | 77.4 |
| Mar 19 | #13Hawai'i | N | W 97–78 | −15.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O175 | 126.5 | 101.8 | 76.7 |
| Mar 15 | #22Vanderbilt | N | W 86–75 | +2.0 | W+13.0 | 164.5 | U161 | 122.6 | 107.0 | 70.1 |
| Mar 14 | Ole Miss | N | W 93–90 OT | −8.5 | L−5.5 | 158.5 | O183 | 119.7 | 115.8 | 77.7 |
| Mar 13 | Oklahoma | N | W 82–79 | −6.0 | L−3.0 | 167.0 | U161 | 117.2 | 112.9 | 70.0 |
| Mar 7 | Missouri | A | W 88–84 OT | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 115.1 | 109.9 | 76.4 |
| Mar 4 | Texas | H | W 105–85 | −7.0 | W+13.0 | 164.5 | O190 | 132.8 | 107.5 | 79.0 |
| Feb 28 | #7Florida | A | L 77–111 | +10.5 | L−23.5 | 170.0 | O188 | 95.3 | 137.4 | 80.8 |
| Feb 25 | Texas A&M | H | W 99–84 | −7.5 | W+7.5 | 170.0 | O183 | 128.1 | 108.7 | 77.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeC ArkansasArkansas
Efficiency
109.3
120.3
107.7
104.8
68.7
70.9
—
—
Shooting
54.0%
56.4%
54.7%
56.0%
35.5%
38.2%
70.7%
75.1%
31.2%
35.9%
Ball control & glass
15.4%
12.2%
19.0%
15.6%
28.8%
32.0%
27.4%
30.9%
9.1%
6.7%
10.7%
6.4%
Style
48.7%
33.0%
40.4%
47.6%
14.5%
20.9%
58.0%
53.1%
35.1%
28.5%
Roster
1.74
3.22
6'5"
6'6.3"
89.6%
15.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputC Arkansas
Returning minutes: 89.6%Returning production: 89.3%
Lost
- Javion Guy-King 21.1 mpg, 9.2 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Added
- Rylie Marshall no D1 minutes last season
- R.J. Newton no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 90% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Arkansas
Returning minutes: 15.7%Returning production: 15.1%
Lost
- Darius Acuff Jr. 34.3 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trevon Brazile 30.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Meleek Thomas 30.5 mpg, 15.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- D.J. Wagner 22.3 mpg, 7.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Malique Ewin 21.0 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Pringle 17.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jeremiah Wilkinson from Georgia · 24.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg last season
- Cooper Bowser from Furman · 21.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg last season
- Miikka Muurinen no D1 minutes last season
- Caleb Ourigou no D1 minutes last season
- Maper Maker no D1 minutes last season
- Paulo Semedo no D1 minutes last season
Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 11 | 2025-26 | C Arkansas 56 – 93 Arkansas |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.