CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceNeutral siteEvent Center, Huntsville, AL

West Florida

Efficiency #352

Record unknown

Cleveland St

Efficiency #330

2025-26: 11-22 · 7-15 conf

Fri, Nov 13 · TBD

77.4

win 40%

Projected

80.5

win 60%

No line posted yet.

Model: CLE −3.1 · total 158.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Cleveland St 69.9, West Florida 68.3 → 69.9 possessions

+3.4

Cleveland St offense vs West Florida defense

+4.7

West Florida offense vs Cleveland St defense

+1.6

Projected total

158.0

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Cleveland St offense vs West Florida defense

+4.7

West Florida offense vs Cleveland St defense

−1.6

Cleveland St by 3.1

3.1

West Florida side ◂▸ Cleveland St side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 157.9 against a projected 158.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Cleveland St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.

Projected possessions

69.9

per team, 40 min

Projected total

158.0

model

Projected team totals

77.4 / 80.5

West Florida / Cleveland St

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.3#183

West Florida

69.9#59

Cleveland St

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Cleveland St

−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#331 of 365

Off reb %

27.0%

#294

Def reb %

63.4%

#356

Turnover %

17.8%

#262

Forced TO %

15.1%

#278

FT rate

37.9%

#105

FT allowed

35.5%

#196

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.1

Defensive rebounding−1.9

Ball security−0.7

Forcing turnovers−1.1

Foul shots drawn+0.7

Foul shots allowed−0.1

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Cleveland St2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
3	Tre Beard	G	Sr	5'10"	30-30	30.9	12.6	3.2	3.3	1.2	58.6%	41.9%	6.8	85.7%	20.5%
2	Jaidon Lipscomb	G	Sr	6'5"	33-32	27.4	12.9	3.1	3.0	2.0	61.2%	41.7%	7.0	85.5%	24.5%
1	Chevalier Emery	G	Jr	6'0"	33-1	21.8	12.7	1.2	2.0	2.0	54.9%	38.2%	4.0	78.0%	32.3%
7	Dayan Nessah	F	So	6'7"	26-26	27.4	15.5	6.4	2.5	2.7	57.0%	33.3%	0.9	75.0%	30.9%
0	Foster Wonders	G	Sr	6'5"	31-9	22.1	5.4	2.0	0.8	0.4	53.0%	34.4%	3.9	72.7%	13.7%
22	Josiah Harris	F	Jr	6'7"	22-14	26.6	9.0	6.6	1.9	1.4	49.4%	33.0%	4.1	81.3%	20.4%
24	Kamari Jones	G	So	6'4"	23-4	10.9	4.3	1.0	0.4	0.4	47.1%	31.7%	2.6	78.3%	23.6%
5	David Giddens	G	Jr	6'7"	22-3	10.1	3.8	1.2	0.4	0.5	51.4%	29.6%	2.5	70.0%	22.3%
23	Manny Hill	G	Sr	6'0"	19-0	6.9	2.4	1.1	0.7	0.6	47.4%	33.3%	0.3	69.2%	23.6%
15	Ivan Spirov	F	Jr	6'8"	17-0	7.6	2.2	1.7	0.2	0.5	54.4%	33.3%	0.5	—	18.7%
13	Lucas Burton	F	Sr	6'8"	13-1	7.3	2.9	1.2	0.5	0.2	61.5%	0.0%	0.1	66.7%	19.3%
50	Kevo St. Hilaire	F	Fr	6'10"	15-0	5.2	1.2	1.3	0.1	0.2	58.3%	—	0.0	40.0%	14.4%
11	Waqo Tessema	G	Jr	6'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

West Florida

No completed games yet.

Cleveland St

Against the spread

Season

12-18

Home

4-8

Road

6-10

Last 10

2-8

avg cover −3.5

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 9 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

19-11

Home

7-5

Road

10-6

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total +5.5

Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 4	Wright StAdjEM #119	A	L 61–90	+14.5	L−14.5	161.5	U151	88.1	130.0	69.2
Mar 2	IU IndyAdjEM #315	H	W 101–93	−1.0	W+7.0	169.5	O194	121.7	112.1	83.0
Feb 28	Robert MorrisAdjEM #142	A	L 64–83	+12.5	L−6.5	157.5	U147	100.1	129.8	63.9
Feb 25	N KentuckyAdjEM #164	H	L 70–81	+8.0	L−3.0	165.5	U151	97.0	112.2	72.2
Feb 22	Purdue FWAdjEM #258	H	L 86–92	+3.0	L−3.0	163.0	O178	112.8	120.7	76.2
Feb 18	Youngstown StAdjEM #204	A	L 82–106	+11.0	L−13.0	156.5	O188	116.8	151.0	70.2
Feb 15	Wright StAdjEM #119	H	L 90–102	+7.5	L−4.5	158.5	O192	121.2	137.4	74.2
Feb 12	Robert MorrisAdjEM #142	H	L 68–85	+4.0	L−13.0	154.0	U153	108.3	135.3	62.8
Feb 7	IU IndyAdjEM #315	A	L 74–82	+2.5	L−5.5	168.5	U156	98.7	109.3	75.0
Feb 4	OaklandAdjEM #172	H	W 91–78	+8.0	W+21.0	169.5	U169	127.7	109.5	71.3

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

West FloridaCleveland St

Efficiency

100.8

108.3

115.4

118.5

68.3

69.9

—

Shooting

—

54.2%

—

52.0%

—

37.5%

—

76.2%

—

37.9%

Ball control & glass

—

17.8%

—

15.1%

—

27.0%

—

36.6%

—

9.5%

—

14.4%

Style

—

50.8%

—

33.3%

—

17.7%

—

57.9%

—

36.1%

Roster

—

3.30

—

6'3.7"

—

82.4%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

West Florida

Returning minutes: —Returning production: —

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

New to Division I this season -- no returning-minutes baseline.

Cleveland St

Returning minutes: 82.4%Returning production: 86.3%

Lost

Preist Ryan 20.9 mpg, 6.8 ppg · transferred to Canisius
Holden Pierre-Louis 14.2 mpg, 3.0 ppg · transferred to Quinnipiac

Added

Waqo Tessema no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 82% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.