CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center, Riverside, CA
AR-Pine Bluff
Efficiency #323
2025-26: 13-19 · 10-9 conf
@
CA Baptist
Efficiency #102
2025-26: 25-9 · 15-5 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · 10:30 PM ET
66.5
win 13%
Projected
79.5
win 87%
No line posted yet.
Model: CBU −13.0 · total 145.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: CA Baptist 67.4, AR-Pine Bluff 69.7 → 68.8 possessions
+1.0
CA Baptist offense vs AR-Pine Bluff defense
+2.9
AR-Pine Bluff offense vs CA Baptist defense
−6.1
Projected total
145.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
CA Baptist offense vs AR-Pine Bluff defense
+2.9
AR-Pine Bluff offense vs CA Baptist defense
+6.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
CA Baptist by 13.0
13.0
AR-Pine Bluff side ◂▸ CA Baptist side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 146.0 against a projected 145.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help CA Baptist.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, AR-Pine Bluff is the faster team (71.2, #43 of 365) and CA Baptist the slower (67.5, #223). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
145.9
model
Projected team totals
66.5 / 79.5
AR-Pine Bluff / CA Baptist
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#73
AR-Pine Bluff
67.4#256
CA Baptist
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageAR-Pine Bluff
Where AR-Pine Bluff struggles: shooting
AR-Pine Bluff shoots an effective 50.0% (#233); CA Baptist allows 46.3% (#16). Expect about 48.0%, 3.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.6 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageCA Baptist
Where CA Baptist scores: the offensive glass
CA Baptist rebounds 37.5% of its own misses (#13); AR-Pine Bluff lets opponents grab 34.2% of their own misses (#321). Expect about 37.2%, 6.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.2 points per 100 possessions.
GlassAR-Pine Bluff
AR-Pine Bluff gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.1% is worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions against AR-Pine Bluff's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (CA Baptist's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect AR-Pine Bluff at about 32.6% of its shots from three, CA Baptist about 32.1%.
TurnoversAR-Pine Bluff
AR-Pine Bluff turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.0% is worth roughly -1.5 points per 100 possessions against AR-Pine Bluff's offense.
AR-Pine Bluff has the ball
OffenseCA Baptist allowsvs D1 avg
50.0% #233
46.3% #16
-4.6 pt/100
18.7% #309
17.0% #154
-1.5 pt/100
27.9% #271
27.2% #41
-2.0 pt/100
38.4% #91
36.6% #229
+0.3 pt/100
75.5% #65
—
+0.3 pt/100
AR-Pine Bluff net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.6 pts/100
CA Baptist has the ball
OffenseAR-Pine Bluff allowsvs D1 avg
48.3% #308
52.6% #249
-1.5 pt/100
17.9% #267
16.5% #188
-0.6 pt/100
37.5% #13
34.2% #321
+4.2 pt/100
35.9% #154
43.6% #342
+0.7 pt/100
71.3% #230
—
-0.1 pt/100
CA Baptist net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluffoffense vsCA Baptistdefense
Share of shots by zone
AR-Pine Bluff shoots
38.1
4.9
20.4
36.6
CA Baptist allows
42.2
8.8
18.7
30.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#153 | 51.3%#9 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#180 | 39.7%#186 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#299 | 38.4%#174 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.6%#190 | 29.5%#5 | 33.7% |
CA Baptistoffense vsAR-Pine Bluffdefense
Share of shots by zone
CA Baptist shoots
46.7
6.7
14.5
32.1
AR-Pine Bluff allows
41.3
4.5
17.0
37.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 51.0%#354 | 61.3%#276 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.5%#336 | 52.9%#360 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 43.1%#36 | 35.5%#89 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#200 | 33.2%#136 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluff
−4.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#345 of 365
Off reb %
27.9%
#271
Def reb %
65.8%
#321
Turnover %
18.7%
#309
Forced TO %
16.5%
#188
FT rate
38.4%
#91
FT allowed
43.6%
#342
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.1
CA Baptist
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#69 of 365
Off reb %
37.5%
#13
Def reb %
72.8%
#41
Turnover %
17.9%
#267
Forced TO %
17.0%
#154
FT rate
35.9%
#154
FT allowed
36.6%
#229
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed−0.4
CA Baptist has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#69 of 365) to AR-Pine Bluff’s −4.7 (#345).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
AR-Pine Bluff2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Quion Williams | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 36.1 | 17.7 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 49.8% | 32.2% | 2.8 | 73.6% | 30.0% | |
| 20 | Trevon Payton | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 33.8 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 67.1% | 47.1% | 4.4 | 76.3% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Alex Mirhosseini | G | Sr | 5'10" | 31-31 | 31.9 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 7.7 | 71.2% | 23.3% | |
| 9 | Milhan Charles | G | Fr | 6'7" | 30-30 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 55.7% | 23.1% | 0.9 | 72.4% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Jaquan Scott | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 28.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.1% | 1.5 | 85.1% | 32.1% | |
| 22 | Ramel Lloyd Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 21.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 45.7% | 26.5% | 2.5 | 64.6% | 21.6% | |
| 10 | Ahmad Johnson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-2 | 12.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 31.5% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 19.0% | |
| 24 | Kyle Brown | F | Sr | 6'9" | 23-1 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 34.2% | 28.6% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 14.9% | |
| 2 | Jai'chaunn Hayes | G | Fr | 6'7" | 10-1 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 23.1% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 18.3% | |
| 15 | Dennis Asoro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 59.3% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3 | Anthony Sellars | G | Jr | 6'7" | 14-0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60.7% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 100.0% | 19.1% | |
| 0 | Trejon Ware | G | Sr | 5'9" | 1-0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 9.2% | |
| 33 | Travis Pourciau | F | Sr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 23 | Harrison Pickett | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Jahmari Hamilton-Brown | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
CA Baptist2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Martel Williams | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 44.6% | 32.7% | 3.3 | 77.6% | 26.4% | |
| 3 | Jayden Jackson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 43.2% | 34.6% | 5.6 | 75.0% | 22.7% | |
| 8 | Jonathan Griman | F | Jr | 6'11" | 31-19 | 23.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 57.9% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 52.0% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Muller | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-9 | 20.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 41.8% | 35.2% | 2.7 | 75.6% | 17.7% | |
| 42 | Bradey Henige | F | So | 7'0" | 33-15 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53.5% | — | 0.0 | 55.8% | 16.2% | |
| 25 | Thomas Ndong | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-19 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 62.0% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Devon Malcolm | F | Sr | 6'5" | 33-15 | 13.6 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 30.3% | 1.0 | 61.8% | 28.5% | |
| 5 | Miles Daniels | G | Sr | 6'2" | 21-0 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 35.0% | 1.0 | 46.7% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Rene D'Amelio | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-0 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 52.4% | 16.7% | |
| 10 | Monty Bowser | G | Sr | 6'6" | 13-1 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.4% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 35 | Nate Garcia | C | Fr | 7'0" | 15-0 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 84.0% | 20.5% | |
| 2 | Jalen Dollar | G | So | 5'10" | 7-0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Chase Mayo Harmon | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Mouhamadou Dioum | F | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | OJ Blankson | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
AR-Pine Bluff2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Quion Williams | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 36.1 | 17.7 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 49.8% | 32.2% | 2.8 | 73.6% | 30.0% | |
| 20 | Trevon Payton | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 33.8 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 67.1% | 47.1% | 4.4 | 76.3% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Alex Mirhosseini | G | Sr | 5'10" | 31-31 | 31.9 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 7.7 | 71.2% | 23.3% | |
| 9 | Milhan Charles | G | Fr | 6'7" | 30-30 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 55.7% | 23.1% | 0.9 | 72.4% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Jaquan Scott | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 28.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.1% | 1.5 | 85.1% | 32.1% | |
| 22 | Ramel Lloyd Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 21.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 45.7% | 26.5% | 2.5 | 64.6% | 21.6% | |
| 10 | Ahmad Johnson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-2 | 12.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 31.5% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 19.0% | |
| 24 | Kyle Brown | F | Sr | 6'9" | 23-1 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 34.2% | 28.6% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 14.9% | |
| 2 | Jai'chaunn Hayes | G | Fr | 6'7" | 10-1 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 23.1% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 18.3% | |
| 15 | Dennis Asoro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 59.3% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3 | Anthony Sellars | G | Jr | 6'7" | 14-0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60.7% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 100.0% | 19.1% | |
| 0 | Trejon Ware | G | Sr | 5'9" | 1-0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 9.2% | |
| 33 | Travis Pourciau | F | Sr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 23 | Harrison Pickett | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Jahmari Hamilton-Brown | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26AR-Pine Bluff
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
3-5-1
Road
9-11
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −1.3
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
14-16
Home
5-4
Road
8-12
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Southern | N | L 81–84 | +5.0 | W+2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 123.9 | 128.4 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alcorn St | A | W 83–48 | −1.0 | W+34.0 | 144.0 | U131 | 111.6 | 64.5 | 74.4 |
| Mar 3 | Jackson St | A | L 78–81 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 153.0 | O159 | 112.5 | 116.8 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | Miss Valley St | H | L 69–70 | −14.0 | L−15.0 | 147.5 | U139 | 99.0 | 100.4 | 69.7 |
| Feb 21 | Prairie View | H | W 84–82 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 158.0 | O166 | 123.7 | 120.8 | 67.9 |
| Feb 19 | Texas Southern | H | L 64–83 | −1.0 | L−20.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 93.7 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 16 | Alabama A&M | A | L 70–82 | +3.5 | L−8.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 110.4 | 129.3 | 63.4 |
| Feb 14 | Alabama St | A | L 61–79 | +3.5 | L−14.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 84.2 | 109.1 | 72.4 |
| Feb 9 | Jackson St | H | W 84–63 | −6.5 | W+14.5 | 156.5 | U147 | 128.1 | 96.1 | 65.5 |
| Feb 7 | Alcorn St | H | W 84–77 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.5 | O161 | 126.7 | 116.2 | 66.3 |
CA Baptist
Against the spread
Season
20-13-1
Home
7-8
Road
9-5-1
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 straightCovered 6 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-22
Home
4-11
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −4.7
Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #4Kansas | N | L 60–68 | +14.0 | W+6.0 | 142.0 | U128 | 86.5 | 98.1 | 69.3 |
| Mar 14 | Utah Valley | N | W 63–61 | +2.5 | W+4.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 95.0 | 92.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 13 | Utah Tech | N | W 86–72 | −8.0 | W+6.0 | 143.5 | O158 | 122.2 | 102.3 | 70.4 |
| Mar 7 | Southern Utah | A | W 82–75 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 149.0 | O157 | 117.2 | 107.2 | 69.9 |
| Mar 5 | Abilene Chrstn | H | W 87–48 | −10.0 | W+29.0 | 137.0 | U135 | 120.1 | 66.2 | 72.5 |
| Feb 28 | Tarleton St | H | W 82–67 | −7.5 | W+7.5 | 139.0 | O149 | 122.7 | 100.2 | 66.8 |
| Feb 26 | UT Arlington | H | W 68–56 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 134.5 | U124 | 108.1 | 89.0 | 62.9 |
| Feb 19 | Utah Valley | A | L 46–65 | +8.5 | L−10.5 | 143.0 | U111 | 70.3 | 99.3 | 65.4 |
| Feb 14 | Utah Tech | A | L 65–70 | −3.5 | L−8.5 | 143.5 | U135 | 101.1 | 108.9 | 64.3 |
| Feb 12 | Southern Utah | A | W 83–66 | −5.5 | W+11.5 | 147.0 | O149 | 122.7 | 97.6 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAR-Pine BluffCA Baptist
Efficiency
104.6
107.2
114.0
103.5
69.7
67.4
—
—
Shooting
50.0%
48.3%
49.8%
47.4%
33.6%
33.4%
75.5%
71.3%
38.4%
35.9%
Ball control & glass
18.7%
17.9%
16.5%
17.0%
27.9%
37.5%
34.2%
27.2%
10.7%
9.9%
8.7%
9.6%
Style
37.2%
32.0%
42.7%
48.4%
13.1%
10.9%
56.3%
39.9%
20.7%
30.7%
Roster
3.25
3.00
6'4.9"
6'6"
—
82.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAR-Pine Bluff
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.1%
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
CA Baptist
Returning minutes: 82.6%Returning production: 74.2%
Lost
- Dominique Daniels Jr. 35.2 mpg, 22.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- OJ Blankson no D1 minutes last season
- Chase Mayo Harmon no D1 minutes last season
- Mouhamadou Dioum no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.