CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceICCU Arena, Moscow, ID
Cal Poly
Efficiency #240
2025-26: 14-19 · 10-11 conf
@
Idaho
Efficiency #156
2025-26: 21-15 · 13-9 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · TBD
75.7
win 26%
Projected
83.2
win 74%
No line posted yet.
Model: IDHO −7.4 · total 158.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Idaho 68.4, Cal Poly 72.8 → 72.9 possessions
+9.9
Idaho offense vs Cal Poly defense
+2.0
Cal Poly offense vs Idaho defense
−1.2
Projected total
158.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Idaho offense vs Cal Poly defense
+2.0
Cal Poly offense vs Idaho defense
+1.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.2
Idaho by 7.4
7.4
Cal Poly side ◂▸ Idaho side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Idaho.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Cal Poly is the faster team (76.1, #1 of 365) and Idaho the slower (69.1, #139). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
158.9
model
Projected team totals
75.7 / 83.2
Cal Poly / Idaho
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.8#1
Cal Poly
68.4#176
Idaho
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Idaho averages 69.1 possessions per 40, Cal Poly 76.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 74 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashCal Poly
Style clash: 3-point volume
Cal Poly takes 52.6% of its shots from three; Idaho runs teams off the line (35.4% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 47.4% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
AdvantageCal Poly
Where Cal Poly struggles: the offensive glass
Cal Poly rebounds 30.0% of its own misses (#202); Idaho lets opponents grab 24.2% of their own misses (#5). Expect about 27.1%, 3.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageIdaho
Where Idaho scores: shooting
Idaho shoots an effective 51.4% (#177); Cal Poly allows 53.8% (#292). Expect about 52.6%, 1.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversIdaho
Idaho protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.4% is worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions for Idaho's offense.
Cal Poly has the ball
OffenseIdaho allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #170
50.5% #128
-0.3 pt/100
19.9% #346
15.1% #283
-0.8 pt/100
30.0% #202
24.2% #5
-2.0 pt/100
34.9% #182
38.5% #273
+0.3 pt/100
78.5% #12
—
+0.5 pt/100
Cal Poly net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.4 pts/100
Idaho has the ball
OffenseCal Poly allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #177
53.8% #292
+1.9 pt/100
15.0% #64
16.2% #209
+1.7 pt/100
28.4% #250
29.6% #141
-1.1 pt/100
34.6% #193
34.1% #154
-0.1 pt/100
72.6% #181
—
+0.0 pt/100
Idaho net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCal Polyoffense vsIdahodefense
Share of shots by zone
Cal Poly shoots
38.2
3.5
4.4
53.9
Idaho allows
36.5
7.8
20.7
35.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#209 | 55.5%#76 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.0%#148 | 43.7%#263 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.5%#357 | 38.8%#195 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#228 | 35.2%#264 | 33.7% |
Idahooffense vsCal Polydefense
Share of shots by zone
Idaho shoots
36.9
5.6
10.5
47.0
Cal Poly allows
41.3
5.9
12.5
40.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.8%#245 | 61.5%#284 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.2%#216 | 35.5%#72 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#185 | 41.2%#282 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.1%#168 | 34.7%#231 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCal Poly
−2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#270 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#202
Def reb %
70.4%
#141
Turnover %
19.9%
#346
Forced TO %
16.2%
#209
FT rate
34.9%
#182
FT allowed
34.1%
#154
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Idaho
+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#158 of 365
Off reb %
28.4%
#250
Def reb %
75.8%
#5
Turnover %
15.0%
#64
Forced TO %
15.1%
#283
FT rate
34.6%
#193
FT allowed
38.5%
#273
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding+2.1
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn−0.1
Foul shots allowed−0.8
Idaho has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.6 (#158 of 365) to Cal Poly’s −2.0 (#270).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Cal Poly2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Cal Poly's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hamad Mousa | G | So | 6'8" | 32-30 | 31.4 | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 53.9% | 37.2% | 7.1 | 87.8% | 32.2% | |
| 9 | Peter Bandelj | G | So | 6'4" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 50.8% | 34.7% | 5.2 | 85.2% | 23.5% | |
| 14 | Cayden Ward | G | So | 6'5" | 33-31 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 53.5% | 31.0% | 5.2 | 75.3% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Guzman Vasilic | G | So | 6'4" | 30-17 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 54.2% | 37.1% | 5.0 | 77.8% | 17.4% | |
| 3 | Jake Davis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-18 | 21.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 41.8% | 26.0% | 3.3 | 72.5% | 18.1% | |
| 11 | Austin Goode | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-16 | 16.3 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 30.9% | 2.5 | 73.7% | 18.1% | |
| 7 | Ali Assran | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-5 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 21.4% | 0.9 | 59.6% | 19.5% | |
| 13 | Troy Plumtree | F | Fr | 6'6" | 30-2 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 57.5% | 22.6% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 22.4% | |
| 4 | Kieran Elliott | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-10 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 54.8% | 35.0% | 1.1 | 82.6% | 14.5% | |
| 8 | Jackson Mosley | PG | Jr | 5'10" | 17-0 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 47.6% | 29.2% | 2.8 | 70.8% | 24.7% | |
| 21 | Luka Tarlac | G | Sr | 6'7" | 12-3 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 18.2% | 0.9 | 53.3% | 16.3% | |
| 15 | Aaron Price Jr. | PF | Sr | 6'8" | 21-1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 59.1% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.0% | |
| 1 | Jess Esso Essis | G | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 61.9% | 41.4% | 4.1 | 88.9% | 25.5% | |
| 0 | Jason Scott | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 0.9 | 62.5% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Eric Brown | F | Jr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.1% | |
| 2 | Braden Freeman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Idaho2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Idaho's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jackson Rasmussen | F | Fr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 31.0 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 53.4% | 32.1% | 3.1 | 68.3% | 26.3% | |
| 14 | Kolton Mitchell | G | So | 6'1" | 33-32 | 30.4 | 13.7 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 50.3% | 36.3% | 6.1 | 79.7% | 26.5% | |
| 3 | Biko Johnson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 36-35 | 27.7 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.5% | 30.8% | 5.5 | 72.5% | 29.3% | |
| 0 | Brody Rowbury | F | Sr | 6'11" | 36-36 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.0% | 38.7% | 0.9 | 68.3% | 16.5% | |
| 7 | Jack Payne | G | Jr | 6'6" | 34-22 | 21.5 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 48.8% | 31.6% | 4.0 | 82.4% | 19.8% | |
| 5 | Isaiah Brickner | G | Sr | 6'4" | 35-13 | 20.5 | 11.9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 41.1% | 3.2 | 76.0% | 31.9% | |
| 21 | Seth Joba | F | Jr | 6'9" | 36-0 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 35.5% | 2.6 | 65.6% | 17.6% | |
| 1 | Trevon Blassingame | G | Jr | 6'4" | 35-3 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 58.9% | 37.9% | 1.9 | 72.7% | 13.2% | |
| 24 | Miles Klapper | G | So | 6'3" | 29-4 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 56.3% | 42.9% | 1.4 | 68.4% | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Aidan Sevilla | G | Sr | 6'0" | 20-0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 48.5% | 28.6% | 0.7 | 88.9% | 19.5% | |
| 15 | Ewan Steele | F | So | 6'9" | 15-0 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 44.4% | 40.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 14.0% | |
| 10 | Kristian Gonzalez | G | Jr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 93.8% | 75.0% | 4.0 | 100.0% | 35.7% | |
| 2 | Talon Jenkins | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Titus Yearout | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Tyler Linhardt | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Will Jenson | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Cal Poly2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Cal Poly's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hamad Mousa | G | So | 6'8" | 32-30 | 31.4 | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 53.9% | 37.2% | 7.1 | 87.8% | 32.2% | |
| 9 | Peter Bandelj | G | So | 6'4" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 50.8% | 34.7% | 5.2 | 85.2% | 23.5% | |
| 14 | Cayden Ward | G | So | 6'5" | 33-31 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 53.5% | 31.0% | 5.2 | 75.3% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Guzman Vasilic | G | So | 6'4" | 30-17 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 54.2% | 37.1% | 5.0 | 77.8% | 17.4% | |
| 3 | Jake Davis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-18 | 21.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 41.8% | 26.0% | 3.3 | 72.5% | 18.1% | |
| 11 | Austin Goode | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-16 | 16.3 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 30.9% | 2.5 | 73.7% | 18.1% | |
| 7 | Ali Assran | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-5 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 21.4% | 0.9 | 59.6% | 19.5% | |
| 13 | Troy Plumtree | F | Fr | 6'6" | 30-2 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 57.5% | 22.6% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 22.4% | |
| 4 | Kieran Elliott | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-10 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 54.8% | 35.0% | 1.1 | 82.6% | 14.5% | |
| 8 | Jackson Mosley | PG | Jr | 5'10" | 17-0 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 47.6% | 29.2% | 2.8 | 70.8% | 24.7% | |
| 21 | Luka Tarlac | G | Sr | 6'7" | 12-3 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 18.2% | 0.9 | 53.3% | 16.3% | |
| 15 | Aaron Price Jr. | PF | Sr | 6'8" | 21-1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 59.1% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.0% | |
| 1 | Jess Esso Essis | G | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 61.9% | 41.4% | 4.1 | 88.9% | 25.5% | |
| 0 | Jason Scott | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 0.9 | 62.5% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Eric Brown | F | Jr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.1% | |
| 2 | Braden Freeman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Cal Poly
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
7-4-1
Road
9-8
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +5.5
Covered 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-13-1
Home
6-6
Road
11-5-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +0.3
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | UC San Diego | N | L 69–72 | +4.5 | W+1.5 | 163.0 | U141 | 94.2 | 98.3 | 73.2 |
| Mar 7 | Bakersfield | H | W 108–76 | −9.0 | W+23.0 | 173.0 | O184 | 131.0 | 92.2 | 82.5 |
| Mar 5 | UC Irvine | A | L 85–107 | +9.5 | L−12.5 | 160.5 | O192 | 108.1 | 136.1 | 78.6 |
| Feb 28 | UC San Diego | A | L 64–80 | +7.5 | L−8.5 | 164.0 | U144 | 91.2 | 114.0 | 70.2 |
| Feb 26 | Long Beach St | H | W 102–92 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 161.5 | O194 | 127.1 | 114.6 | 80.3 |
| Feb 19 | Hawai'i | A | W 86–75 | +11.0 | W+22.0 | 161.0 | P161 | 104.3 | 91.0 | 82.4 |
| Feb 14 | Santa Barbara | H | W 89–79 | +4.5 | W+14.5 | 159.0 | O168 | 133.5 | 118.5 | 66.7 |
| Feb 12 | UC Irvine | H | W 79–73 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 161.0 | U152 | 99.2 | 91.7 | 79.6 |
| Feb 7 | UC Davis | A | L 58–67 | +6.0 | L−3.0 | 169.0 | U125 | 83.6 | 96.6 | 69.4 |
| Feb 5 | CSU Northridge | H | L 96–97 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 178.5 | O193 | 120.5 | 121.7 | 79.7 |
Idaho
Against the spread
Season
16-17
Home
4-6
Road
7-9
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.3
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
4-6
Road
6-10
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −5.9
Under 2 straightOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #2Houston | N | L 47–78 | +24.0 | L−7.0 | 137.5 | U125 | 71.6 | 118.8 | 65.7 |
| Mar 11 | Montana | N | W 77–66 | −3.5 | W+7.5 | 146.5 | U143 | 106.8 | 91.6 | 72.1 |
| Mar 10 | E Washington | N | W 81–68 | −2.5 | W+10.5 | 148.0 | O149 | 113.2 | 95.1 | 71.5 |
| Mar 8 | Montana St | N | W 78–74 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 143.0 | O152 | 115.7 | 109.8 | 67.4 |
| Mar 7 | Sacramento St | N | W 68–45 | −7.0 | W+16.0 | 158.5 | U113 | 98.2 | 65.0 | 69.3 |
| Mar 2 | E Washington | A | W 85–81 | +3.0 | W+7.0 | 150.5 | O166 | 127.0 | 121.0 | 66.9 |
| Feb 28 | N Colorado | H | L 67–76 | −2.0 | L−11.0 | 156.0 | U143 | 100.0 | 113.4 | 67.0 |
| Feb 26 | N Arizona | H | W 78–58 | −10.5 | W+9.5 | 146.0 | U136 | 128.6 | 95.6 | 60.7 |
| Feb 21 | Sacramento St | A | W 86–80 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 165.0 | O166 | 117.4 | 109.2 | 73.3 |
| Feb 19 | Portland St | A | L 67–77 | +3.5 | L−6.5 | 145.0 | U144 | 97.7 | 112.3 | 68.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCal PolyIdaho
Efficiency
108.0
108.3
111.4
107.3
72.8
68.4
—
—
Shooting
51.5%
51.4%
53.7%
51.6%
33.0%
34.1%
78.5%
72.6%
34.9%
34.6%
Ball control & glass
19.9%
15.0%
16.2%
15.1%
30.0%
28.4%
29.6%
24.2%
9.5%
9.0%
11.4%
9.0%
Style
52.6%
47.0%
38.5%
39.4%
16.1%
9.2%
49.6%
44.6%
32.1%
31.4%
Roster
2.06
2.88
6'5.6"
6'5.2"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCal Poly
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Cal Poly's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Idaho
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Idaho's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Dec 21 | 2025-26 | Idaho 83 – 80 Cal Poly |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.