CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeville Arena, Auburn, AL
Arizona
Efficiency #3
2025-26: 36-3 · 19-2 conf
@
Auburn
Efficiency #41
2025-26: 22-16 · 8-12 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · TBD
81.0
win 65%
Projected
76.4
win 35%
No line posted yet.
Model: ARIZ −4.6 · total 157.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Auburn 68.3, Arizona 70.1 → 70.1 possessions
+3.9
Auburn offense vs Arizona defense
−1.7
Arizona offense vs Auburn defense
+7.0
Projected total
157.4
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Auburn offense vs Arizona defense
−1.7
Arizona offense vs Auburn defense
−7.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Arizona by 4.6
4.6
Arizona side ◂▸ Auburn side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to −4.7 against −4.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Auburn.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Arizona is the faster team (71.4, #38 of 365) and Auburn the slower (69.0, #146). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
157.4
model
Projected team totals
81.0 / 76.4
Arizona / Auburn
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.1#41
Arizona
68.3#179
Auburn
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageArizona
Where Arizona scores: shooting
Arizona shoots an effective 54.7% (#45); Auburn allows 53.7% (#291). Expect about 54.5%, 3.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.6 points per 100 possessions.
GlassArizona
Arizona owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 36.2% is worth roughly +3.5 points per 100 possessions for Arizona's offense.
AdvantageAuburn
Where Auburn struggles: shooting
Auburn shoots an effective 53.0% (#104); Arizona allows 45.3% (#4). Expect about 49.2%, 2.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.9 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Auburn averages 69.0 possessions per 40, Arizona 71.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Arizona, Auburn's defense, Arizona's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Arizona at about 29.4% of its shots from three, Auburn about 38.8%.
TurnoversAuburn
Auburn protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.2% is worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions for Auburn's offense.
Arizona has the ball
OffenseAuburn allowsvs D1 avg
54.7% #45
53.7% #291
+4.6 pt/100
15.1% #72
16.3% #199
+1.6 pt/100
38.4% #5
30.9% #196
+3.5 pt/100
43.9% #11
34.3% #161
+0.5 pt/100
73.4% #156
—
+0.1 pt/100
Arizona net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +10.2 pts/100
Auburn has the ball
OffenseArizona allowsvs D1 avg
53.0% #104
45.3% #4
-2.9 pt/100
14.6% #45
16.3% #200
+1.9 pt/100
37.0% #15
26.9% #34
+1.8 pt/100
43.2% #19
27.1% #25
-0.1 pt/100
74.4% #108
—
+0.2 pt/100
Auburn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersArizonaoffense vsAuburndefense
Share of shots by zone
Arizona shoots
40.7
12.4
21.2
25.7
Auburn allows
37.6
5.3
16.9
40.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.0%#71 | 59.6%#213 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.0%#50 | 38.7%#152 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.9%#61 | 38.5%#181 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.6%#37 | 36.7%#336 | 33.7% |
Auburnoffense vsArizonadefense
Share of shots by zone
Auburn shoots
41.1
4.4
14.2
40.2
Arizona allows
27.4
11.5
23.6
37.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#142 | 53.1%#25 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.7%#43 | 34.9%#55 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.1%#142 | 35.9%#104 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#147 | 31.4%#42 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersArizona
+9.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#3 of 365
Off reb %
38.4%
#5
Def reb %
73.1%
#34
Turnover %
15.1%
#72
Forced TO %
16.3%
#200
FT rate
43.9%
#11
FT allowed
27.1%
#25
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.6
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+2.3
Foul shots allowed+2.1
Auburn
+5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#15 of 365
Off reb %
37.0%
#15
Def reb %
69.1%
#196
Turnover %
14.6%
#45
Forced TO %
16.3%
#199
FT rate
43.2%
#19
FT allowed
34.3%
#161
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Arizona has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.0 (#3 of 365) to Auburn’s +5.6 (#15).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Arizona2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ivan Kharchenkov | F | Fr | 6'7" | 39-39 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 54.6% | 31.7% | 2.7 | 72.3% | 20.9% | |
| 13 | Motiejus Krivas | C | Jr | 7'2" | 39-39 | 25.2 | 10.4 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 57.7% | 30.8% | 0.3 | 78.0% | 21.4% | |
| 2 | Dwayne Aristode | F | Fr | 6'8" | 35-0 | 13.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 64.6% | 46.2% | 1.9 | 50.0% | 14.3% | |
| 15 | Sidi Gueye | F | Fr | 6'11" | 25-0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 72.2% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 17.3% | |
| 21 | Evan Nelson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 25-0 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.8% | 40.0% | 0.4 | — | 13.6% | |
| 22 | Addison Arnold | G | So | 6'3" | 20-0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 20.1% | |
| 42 | Sven Djopmo | G | So | 6'2" | 19-0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 15.8% | |
| 11 | Jackson Cook | G | So | 6'3" | 10-0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 13.2% | |
| 7 | Jackson Francois | G | Sr | 6'5" | 10-0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.1% | |
| 6 | Bryce James | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Mabil Mawut | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Auburn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thomas Dowdat Troy | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-33 | 36.1 | 14.4 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 52.6% | 33.3% | 5.7 | 80.0% | 23.3% | |
| 24 | Adam Olsenat South Alabama | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 36.0 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 52.9% | 39.5% | 8.3 | 84.3% | 26.3% | |
| 0 | Tahaad Pettiford | G | Jr | 6'1" | 38-36 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 46.6% | 29.0% | 6.6 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 1 | Kevin Overton | G | Sr | 6'5" | 38-36 | 31.7 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 41.3% | 6.1 | 86.0% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kolby Kingat Utah State | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-0 | 19.3 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 60.8% | 39.3% | 3.3 | 74.7% | 20.4% | |
| 12 | Bukky Oboyeat Santa Clara | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-34 | 17.8 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 69.1% | 24.2% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 20.9% | |
| 8 | Owen Freemanat Creighton | F | Sr | 6'10" | 26-9 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 60.2% | — | 0.0 | 64.3% | 23.5% | |
| 21 | Blake Muschalek | G | Sr | 6'3" | 26-0 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 60.0% | 11.6% | |
| 10 | Simon Walker | G | So | 6'5" | 13-0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 78.6% | 52.9% | 1.3 | — | 20.9% | |
| 7 | Drake Cardwell | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 13 | Bradley Pearson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | George Kimble IIIat Vanderbilt | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jeremiah Bowman | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Joah Shay | G | Jr | 5'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 17 | Mantas Rubstavicius | G | — | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Narcisse Ngoy | C | — | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Thomas Dowd (from Troy), Owen Freeman (from Creighton), George Kimble III (from Vanderbilt), Kolby King (from Utah State), Bukky Oboye (from Santa Clara), Adam Olsen (from South Alabama)
Arizona2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ivan Kharchenkov | F | Fr | 6'7" | 39-39 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 54.6% | 31.7% | 2.7 | 72.3% | 20.9% | |
| 13 | Motiejus Krivas | C | Jr | 7'2" | 39-39 | 25.2 | 10.4 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 57.7% | 30.8% | 0.3 | 78.0% | 21.4% | |
| 2 | Dwayne Aristode | F | Fr | 6'8" | 35-0 | 13.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 64.6% | 46.2% | 1.9 | 50.0% | 14.3% | |
| 15 | Sidi Gueye | F | Fr | 6'11" | 25-0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 72.2% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 17.3% | |
| 21 | Evan Nelson | G | Sr | 6'2" | 25-0 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.8% | 40.0% | 0.4 | — | 13.6% | |
| 22 | Addison Arnold | G | So | 6'3" | 20-0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 20.1% | |
| 42 | Sven Djopmo | G | So | 6'2" | 19-0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 15.8% | |
| 11 | Jackson Cook | G | So | 6'3" | 10-0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 13.2% | |
| 7 | Jackson Francois | G | Sr | 6'5" | 10-0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.1% | |
| 6 | Bryce James | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Mabil Mawut | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Arizona
Against the spread
Season
23-14-2
Home
9-8
Road
4-4-2
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.2
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 7 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
20-19
Home
8-9
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.7
Over in the last gameOver in 6 of 10 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4 | #1Michigan | N | L 73–91 | −1.0 | L−19.0 | 157.5 | O164 | 93.6 | 116.6 | 78.0 |
| Mar 28 | #2Purdue | N | W 79–64 | −5.0 | W+10.0 | 152.5 | U143 | 121.0 | 98.0 | 65.3 |
| Mar 26 | #4Arkansas | N | W 109–88 | −8.0 | W+13.0 | 165.5 | O197 | 136.4 | 110.1 | 79.9 |
| Mar 22 | #9Utah State | N | W 78–66 | −11.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | U144 | 121.2 | 102.5 | 64.4 |
| Mar 20 | #16Long Island | N | W 92–58 | −30.5 | W+3.5 | 148.0 | O150 | 130.1 | 82.0 | 70.7 |
| Mar 14 | #5Houston | N | W 79–74 | −1.5 | W+3.5 | 138.5 | O153 | 120.2 | 112.6 | 65.7 |
| Mar 13 | #7Iowa State | N | W 82–80 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 144.5 | O162 | 123.9 | 120.8 | 66.2 |
| Mar 12 | UCF | N | W 81–59 | −15.5 | W+6.5 | 158.5 | U140 | 118.4 | 86.2 | 68.4 |
| Mar 7 | Colorado | A | W 89–79 | −13.5 | L−3.5 | 156.0 | O168 | 122.5 | 108.7 | 72.7 |
| Mar 2 | #6Iowa State | H | W 73–57 | −7.0 | W+9.0 | 149.0 | U130 | 109.3 | 85.4 | 66.8 |
Auburn
Against the spread
Season
16-22
Home
7-11
Road
3-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.6
Covered 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
23-15
Home
11-7
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | Tulsa | N | W 92–86 OT | −5.5 | W+0.5 | 159.5 | O178 | 112.5 | 105.2 | 81.8 |
| Apr 2 | Illinois St | N | W 88–66 | −8.0 | W+14.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 136.9 | 102.7 | 64.3 |
| Mar 25 | Nevada | H | W 75–69 | −8.0 | L−2.0 | 153.0 | U144 | 116.5 | 107.2 | 64.4 |
| Mar 22 | Seattle U | H | W 91–85 | −14.0 | L−8.0 | 146.0 | O176 | 125.2 | 116.9 | 72.7 |
| Mar 17 | South Alabama | H | W 78–67 | −18.0 | L−7.0 | 153.0 | U145 | 121.6 | 104.4 | 64.2 |
| Mar 12 | #25Tennessee | N | L 62–72 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 145.0 | U134 | 97.1 | 112.8 | 63.9 |
| Mar 11 | Mississippi St | N | W 79–61 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 159.0 | U140 | 110.8 | 85.6 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | #16Alabama | A | L 84–96 | +6.0 | L−6.0 | 175.0 | O180 | 118.0 | 134.9 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | LSU | H | W 88–74 | −10.5 | W+3.5 | 155.5 | O162 | 130.6 | 109.8 | 67.4 |
| Feb 28 | Ole Miss | H | L 79–85 | −11.0 | L−17.0 | 152.5 | O164 | 118.0 | 127.0 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeArizonaAuburn
Efficiency
119.5
118.2
96.3
107.4
70.1
68.3
—
—
Shooting
54.7%
53.0%
54.6%
53.9%
36.6%
34.4%
73.4%
74.4%
43.9%
43.2%
Ball control & glass
15.1%
14.6%
16.3%
16.3%
38.4%
37.0%
26.9%
30.9%
8.6%
9.2%
8.5%
12.4%
Style
26.3%
40.2%
49.0%
41.5%
16.9%
14.3%
54.0%
47.6%
29.4%
26.0%
Roster
1.83
3.79
6'9.4"
6'5.8"
36.3%
34.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputArizona
Returning minutes: 36.3%Returning production: 33.7%
Lost
- Jaden Bradley 30.7 mpg, 13.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brayden Burries 29.7 mpg, 16.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Koa Peat 25.7 mpg, 13.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anthony Dell'Orso 20.9 mpg, 8.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tobe Awaka 20.7 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Mabil Mawut no D1 minutes last season
- Bryce James no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Auburn
Returning minutes: 34.5%Returning production: 31.9%
Lost
- Keyshawn Hall 31.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sebastian Williams-Adams 27.4 mpg, 7.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elyjah Freeman 26.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- KeShawn Murphy 19.5 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Filip Jovic 17.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kaden Magwood 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Thomas Dowd from Troy · 36.1 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Adam Olsen from South Alabama · 33.8 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Kolby King from Utah State · 19.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Bukky Oboye from Santa Clara · 17.3 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Owen Freeman from Creighton · 9.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
- Narcisse Ngoy no D1 minutes last season
Returns 35% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 2025-26 | Auburn 68 – 97 Arizona |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.