CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteColonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs, WVGreenbrier Tip-Off
Xavier
Efficiency #129
2025-26: 15-18 · 7-15 conf
vs
Mississippi St
Efficiency #144
2025-26: 13-19 · 5-14 conf
Fri, Nov 13 · TBD
79.6
win 52%
Projected
79.1
win 48%
No line posted yet.
Model: XAV −0.5 · total 158.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Mississippi St 69.8, Xavier 70.3 → 71.7 possessions
+7.4
Mississippi St offense vs Xavier defense
+1.3
Xavier offense vs Mississippi St defense
+1.8
Projected total
158.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Mississippi St offense vs Xavier defense
+1.3
Xavier offense vs Mississippi St defense
−1.8
Xavier by 0.5
0.5
Xavier side ◂▸ Mississippi St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Mississippi St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Mississippi St is the faster team (71.5, #32 of 365) and Xavier the slower (71.2, #44). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
158.7
model
Projected team totals
79.6 / 79.1
Xavier / Mississippi St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.3#33
Xavier
69.8#66
Mississippi St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageXavier
Where Xavier scores: ball control
Xavier turns it over on 13.9% of possessions (#21); Mississippi St forces turnovers on 12.8% of opponent possessions (#358). Expect about 12.6%, 4.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +5.1 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Mississippi St averages 71.5 possessions per 40, Xavier 71.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 73 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMississippi St
Where Mississippi St scores: shooting
Mississippi St shoots an effective 51.5% (#172); Xavier allows 54.1% (#302). Expect about 52.9%, 1.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Xavier) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Xavier at about 40.4% of its shots from three, Mississippi St about 38.3%.
GlassXavier
Xavier gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.8% is worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions against Xavier's offense.
ClashMississippi St
Style clash: ball movement
Mississippi St creates off the dribble (assists on 45.1% of its baskets); Xavier allows assists on 63.3% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 54.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Xavier has the ball
OffenseMississippi St allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #155
50.9% #154
+0.2 pt/100
13.9% #21
12.8% #358
+5.1 pt/100
26.5% #311
30.7% #190
-1.6 pt/100
28.1% #341
32.3% #112
-0.6 pt/100
72.9% #174
—
+0.0 pt/100
Xavier net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.1 pts/100
Mississippi St has the ball
OffenseXavier allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #172
54.1% #302
+2.3 pt/100
16.1% #146
15.5% #248
+1.5 pt/100
29.8% #210
29.5% #136
-0.5 pt/100
30.7% #288
32.6% #119
-0.4 pt/100
66.0% #353
—
-0.6 pt/100
Mississippi St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersXavieroffense vsMississippi Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Xavier shoots
31.9
6.8
21.1
40.2
Mississippi St allows
32.7
5.5
22.0
39.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#190 | 59.3%#207 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.2%#61 | 49.0%#348 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.6%#199 | 37.0%#131 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#39 | 33.9%#179 | 33.7% |
Mississippi Stoffense vsXavierdefense
Share of shots by zone
Mississippi St shoots
32.8
7.7
20.2
39.3
Xavier allows
42.1
5.3
15.6
37.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.2%#49 | 62.0%#301 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.3%#48 | 36.5%#100 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#182 | 40.6%#261 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#262 | 34.8%#237 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersXavier
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#223 of 365
Off reb %
26.5%
#311
Def reb %
70.5%
#136
Turnover %
13.9%
#21
Forced TO %
15.5%
#248
FT rate
28.1%
#341
FT allowed
32.6%
#119
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+1.9
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.8
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Mississippi St
−2.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#294 of 365
Off reb %
29.8%
#210
Def reb %
69.3%
#190
Turnover %
16.1%
#146
Forced TO %
12.8%
#358
FT rate
30.7%
#288
FT allowed
32.3%
#112
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−2.7
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.8
Xavier has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.9 (#223 of 365) to Mississippi St’s −2.8 (#294).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Xavier2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Messina-Moore | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 31.8% | 4.8 | 80.0% | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Filip Borovicanin | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 31.2 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 49.3% | 34.9% | 3.2 | 87.3% | 21.7% | |
| 24 | Jovan Milicevic | F | So | 6'10" | 33-31 | 26.1 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 42.9% | 4.7 | 72.8% | 26.0% | |
| 0 | Roddie Anderson III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-5 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 45.7% | 31.4% | 3.7 | 72.2% | 29.3% | |
| 3 | All Wright | G | So | 6'3" | 33-28 | 22.2 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 56.5% | 42.2% | 2.7 | 84.1% | 17.4% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Walker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-1 | 17.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 57.6% | 41.1% | 1.8 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 22 | Pape N'Diaye | F | So | 7'0" | 29-0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 56.4% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.7% | |
| 21 | Anthony Robinson | F | So | 6'10" | 26-3 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 54.3% | — | 0.0 | 43.4% | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Mier Panoam | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 18.8% | |
| 31 | Ian Sabourin | F | Sr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 23.5% | |
| 20 | Henry Thole | F | So | 6'7" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 17.8% | |
| 25 | Michael Wolf | G | Sr | 6'1" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.9% | |
| 2 | Gabriel Pozzato | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Kason Westphal | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Luke Naser | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Mississippi St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Josh Hubbard | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 33.4 | 22.1 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 50.6% | 34.7% | 8.6 | 75.0% | 37.8% | |
| 11 | RJ Johnsonat Kennesaw St | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-22 | 28.1 | 14.5 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 52.7% | 42.3% | 3.8 | 63.4% | 29.9% | |
| 2 | Tajuan Simpkinsat Seton Hall | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-2 | 25.1 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 47.9% | 37.0% | 3.0 | 77.5% | 24.0% | |
| 22 | ND Okaforat Washington St | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 23.2 | 11.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 58.3% | — | 0.0 | 64.4% | 28.3% | |
| 13 | Kendyl Sandersat Utah | F | So | 6'8" | 32-0 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 40.3% | 2.4 | 38.7% | 15.9% | |
| 21 | Thomas Bassongat Florida St | F | So | 6'8" | 33-17 | 19.3 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 53.0% | 26.0% | 1.5 | 54.4% | 18.9% | |
| 24 | Ashton Mageeat Southern | G | So | 6'7" | 31-1 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 45.2% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 64.3% | 16.8% | |
| 1 | King Grace | G | So | 6'5" | 24-0 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.6% | 31.9% | 2.0 | 82.1% | 22.7% | |
| 8 | Cameren Paul | G | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Gai Chol | C | Sr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Tee Bartlett | C | So | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Jalyn Collingwood | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Trevor Reed | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Tristan Reed | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 99 | Willie Burnett III | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Thomas Bassong (from Florida St), RJ Johnson (from Kennesaw St), Ashton Magee (from Southern), ND Okafor (from Washington St), Kendyl Sanders (from Utah), Tajuan Simpkins (from Seton Hall)
Xavier2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Messina-Moore | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 31.8% | 4.8 | 80.0% | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Filip Borovicanin | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 31.2 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 49.3% | 34.9% | 3.2 | 87.3% | 21.7% | |
| 24 | Jovan Milicevic | F | So | 6'10" | 33-31 | 26.1 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 42.9% | 4.7 | 72.8% | 26.0% | |
| 0 | Roddie Anderson III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-5 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 45.7% | 31.4% | 3.7 | 72.2% | 29.3% | |
| 3 | All Wright | G | So | 6'3" | 33-28 | 22.2 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 56.5% | 42.2% | 2.7 | 84.1% | 17.4% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Walker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-1 | 17.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 57.6% | 41.1% | 1.8 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 22 | Pape N'Diaye | F | So | 7'0" | 29-0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 56.4% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.7% | |
| 21 | Anthony Robinson | F | So | 6'10" | 26-3 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 54.3% | — | 0.0 | 43.4% | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Mier Panoam | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 18.8% | |
| 31 | Ian Sabourin | F | Sr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 23.5% | |
| 20 | Henry Thole | F | So | 6'7" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 17.8% | |
| 25 | Michael Wolf | G | Sr | 6'1" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.9% | |
| 2 | Gabriel Pozzato | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Kason Westphal | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Luke Naser | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Xavier
Against the spread
Season
18-15
Home
10-8
Road
5-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
25-7-1
Home
14-4
Road
8-2-1
Last 10
9-1
avg vs total +13.2
Over 6 straightOver in 7 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #6UConn | N | L 68–93 | +16.5 | L−8.5 | 151.0 | O161 | 105.5 | 144.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 11 | Marquette | N | W 89–87 | +4.0 | W+6.0 | 157.0 | O176 | 116.3 | 113.7 | 76.6 |
| Mar 7 | Villanova | A | L 78–91 | +13.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | O169 | 109.9 | 128.2 | 71.0 |
| Mar 3 | Seton Hall | H | L 68–77 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 144.5 | O145 | 107.2 | 121.4 | 63.4 |
| Feb 28 | Georgetown | H | W 91–84 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 154.0 | O175 | 127.4 | 117.6 | 71.4 |
| Feb 25 | Providence | A | L 84–94 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 170.0 | O178 | 120.9 | 135.3 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | Butler | A | L 75–80 | +4.5 | L−0.5 | 159.5 | U155 | 110.4 | 117.7 | 67.9 |
| Feb 17 | Villanova | H | L 89–92 OT | +4.0 | W+1.0 | 153.5 | O181 | 112.9 | 116.7 | 78.8 |
| Feb 14 | Marquette | H | W 96–88 | −2.0 | W+6.0 | 157.5 | O184 | 133.1 | 122.1 | 72.1 |
| Feb 9 | #17St John's | A | L 82–87 OT | +16.5 | W+11.5 | 159.5 | O169 | 99.1 | 105.1 | 82.8 |
Mississippi St
Against the spread
Season
10-22
Home
4-12
Road
5-5
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −5.7
Missed the spread 6 straightCovered 2 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16
Home
5-11
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +9.3
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Auburn | N | L 61–79 | +7.5 | L−10.5 | 159.0 | U140 | 85.6 | 110.8 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Georgia | H | L 96–102 | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 164.5 | O198 | 121.1 | 128.7 | 79.3 |
| Mar 3 | #5Florida | A | L 74–108 | +21.0 | L−13.0 | 160.5 | O182 | 98.6 | 143.9 | 75.1 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri | H | L 64–88 | +1.0 | L−23.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 93.0 | 127.9 | 68.8 |
| Feb 25 | #17Alabama | A | L 75–100 | +12.5 | L−12.5 | 175.5 | U175 | 98.8 | 131.7 | 75.9 |
| Feb 21 | South Carolina | A | L 89–97 | −1.0 | L−9.0 | 152.0 | O186 | 122.7 | 133.7 | 72.5 |
| Feb 18 | Auburn | H | W 91–85 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 155.0 | O176 | 135.0 | 126.1 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | Ole Miss | A | W 90–78 | +4.0 | W+16.0 | 145.0 | O168 | 127.3 | 110.3 | 70.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tennessee | H | L 64–73 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 147.0 | U137 | 91.6 | 104.5 | 69.9 |
| Feb 7 | #21Arkansas | H | L 68–88 | +6.0 | L−14.0 | 164.0 | U156 | 96.9 | 125.4 | 70.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeXavierMississippi St
Efficiency
111.7
109.4
109.4
107.8
70.3
69.8
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
51.5%
49.8%
53.4%
36.5%
32.4%
72.9%
66.0%
28.1%
30.7%
Ball control & glass
13.9%
16.1%
15.5%
12.8%
26.5%
29.8%
29.5%
30.7%
8.2%
9.5%
10.2%
11.0%
Style
40.6%
40.1%
38.8%
44.5%
17.2%
14.1%
62.2%
45.1%
27.4%
37.3%
Roster
3.23
3.30
6'6.5"
6'5.2"
84.8%
21.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputXavier
Returning minutes: 84.8%Returning production: 79.8%
Lost
- Tre Carroll 30.7 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Gabriel Pozzato no D1 minutes last season
- Kason Westphal no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Naser no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Mississippi St
Returning minutes: 21.0%Returning production: 26.2%
Lost
- Jayden Epps 25.5 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shawn Jones Jr. 25.2 mpg, 5.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ja'Borri McGhee 22.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jamarion Davis-Fleming 20.3 mpg, 3.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Quincy Ballard 20.2 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Achor Achor 17.7 mpg, 6.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- RJ Johnson from Kennesaw St · 27.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg last season
- Tajuan Simpkins from Seton Hall · 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- ND Okafor from Washington St · 23.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Kendyl Sanders from Utah · 20.1 mpg, 5.2 ppg last season
- Thomas Bassong from Florida St · 19.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
- Ashton Magee from Southern · 10.3 mpg, 2.7 ppg last season
Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.