CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Delaware St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 63.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Delaware St is the faster team (66.1, #293 of 365) and Niagara the slower (63.1, #363). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.1%#320 | 63.0%#325 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.3%#339 | 35.4%#71 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#109 | 32.4%#19 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.7%#188 | 33.0%#123 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 50.7%#355 | 58.7%#176 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.0%#332 | 41.5%#225 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.5%#275 | 40.6%#260 | 38.0% |
| Three | 28.4%#361 | 35.3%#268 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDelaware St has more extra scoring chances per game: −3.1 (#306 of 365) to Niagara’s −5.9 (#356).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cole Farrellat Long Beach St | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 20.7 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 43.7% | 27.5% | 1.6 | 65.4% | 21.6% | |
| 2 | Trenton Walters | G | Sr | 5'9" | 25-7 | 22.4 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 40.8% | 35.4% | 3.2 | 81.2% | 25.2% | |
| 4 | Logan Woodsat Wright St | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-8 | 18.4 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 54.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 66.7% | 17.7% | |
| 8 | Bastien Rieberat Fresno St | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-7 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 48.4% | 34.8% | 1.4 | 74.5% | 17.0% | |
| 77 | Tae Blackshearat Youngstown St | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 14.6 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 32.8% | 4.0 | 76.2% | 29.7% | |
| 1 | Vukasin Todorovicat Green Bay | F | So | 6'8" | 20-0 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 42.5% | 14.3% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 24.5% | |
| 9 | Gael Dalmau | G | So | 6'6" | 8-0 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 41.2% | 26.7% | 1.9 | — | 23.8% | |
| 12 | Brian Angeletti | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Daniel Emokhare | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Fidel Rotta | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Jackson Redmond | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Noah Slingerland | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Ruey Ruey | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Samuele Miccoli | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ponce James | G | So | 5'11" | 27-27 | 32.8 | 13.6 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 44.4% | 32.8% | 4.5 | 84.7% | 29.4% | |
| 2 | Corey Perkins | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-20 | 27.3 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 43.4% | 32.5% | 1.4 | 67.6% | 21.8% | |
| 3 | Miles Webb | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-20 | 27.3 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 58.4% | 40.9% | 0.8 | 48.1% | 21.8% | |
| 42 | Bessanty Saragba | F | Sr | 6'9" | 25-17 | 22.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 45.2% | — | 0.0 | 56.0% | 11.1% | |
| 0 | Rahmir Moore | G | Sr | 6'3" | 26-22 | 21.2 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 43.8% | 31.3% | 2.6 | 75.8% | 21.4% | |
| 4 | Zion Bethea | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-14 | 15.3 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 26.8% | 2.8 | 66.7% | 27.9% | |
| 37 | Ademar Santos | F | Jr | 6'8" | 22-12 | 20.0 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 43.9% | 30.3% | 3.0 | 76.0% | 25.8% | |
| 8 | Jalen St Clair | G | Fr | 6'1" | 25-0 | 14.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 36.3% | 17.9% | 1.1 | 61.1% | 22.9% | |
| 10 | Cyril Obasogie | C | Jr | 6'11" | 24-11 | 14.8 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 43.5% | — | 0.0 | 43.8% | 15.4% | |
| 35 | Muazibini Adamu | C | Jr | 6'10" | 25-6 | 12.9 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 14.0% | |
| 22 | Dean Shepherd | G | Jr | 6'3" | 27-3 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 21.7% | 0.9 | 76.9% | 22.3% | |
| 13 | Kareem Watson | F | So | 6'8" | 19-2 | 11.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 39.8% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 70.0% | 30.5% | |
| 11 | Camian Shell | G | Sr | 5'10" | 7-1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 24.9% | |
| 5 | John Clemmons | G | So | 6'6" | 23-0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 30.2% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 77.8% | 31.6% | |
| — | Omar Stephen | F | Sr | — | 7-0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 66.7% | 32.5% | |
| — | Theodore Pendergrass III | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cole Farrellat Long Beach St | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 20.7 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 43.7% | 27.5% | 1.6 | 65.4% | 21.6% | |
| 2 | Trenton Walters | G | Sr | 5'9" | 25-7 | 22.4 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 40.8% | 35.4% | 3.2 | 81.2% | 25.2% | |
| 4 | Logan Woodsat Wright St | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-8 | 18.4 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 54.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 66.7% | 17.7% | |
| 8 | Bastien Rieberat Fresno St | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-7 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 48.4% | 34.8% | 1.4 | 74.5% | 17.0% | |
| 77 | Tae Blackshearat Youngstown St | G | Sr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 14.6 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 32.8% | 4.0 | 76.2% | 29.7% | |
| 1 | Vukasin Todorovicat Green Bay | F | So | 6'8" | 20-0 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 42.5% | 14.3% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 24.5% | |
| 9 | Gael Dalmau | G | So | 6'6" | 8-0 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 41.2% | 26.7% | 1.9 | — | 23.8% | |
| 12 | Brian Angeletti | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Daniel Emokhare | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Fidel Rotta | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Jackson Redmond | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Noah Slingerland | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Ruey Ruey | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Samuele Miccoli | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1 | Merrimack | H | L 66–73 | +7.5 | W+0.5 | 127.0 | O139 | 108.9 | 120.5 | 60.6 |
| Feb 27 | Quinnipiac | H | W 78–76 OT | +8.5 | W+10.5 | 136.0 | O154 | 113.8 | 110.9 | 68.6 |
| Feb 22 | Rider | A | L 62–67 | −2.0 | L−7.0 | 130.5 | U129 | 95.5 | 103.3 | 64.9 |
| Feb 20 | Mount St Marys | A | L 63–76 | +7.5 | L−5.5 | 131.0 | O139 | 90.1 | 108.6 | 69.9 |
| Feb 15 | Iona | H | W 70–68 | +4.5 | W+6.5 | 132.0 | O138 | 124.8 | 121.2 | 56.1 |
| Feb 13 | Manhattan | H | L 69–76 | +2.0 | L−5.0 | 135.0 | O145 | 108.9 | 119.9 | 63.4 |
| Feb 7 | Quinnipiac | A | L 55–56 | +13.5 | W+12.5 | 137.5 | U111 | 92.9 | 94.6 | 59.2 |
| Feb 3 | Canisius | H | W 65–56 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 127.0 | U121 | 113.0 | 97.3 | 57.5 |
| Feb 1 | Marist | H | L 46–58 | +9.5 | L−2.5 | 130.0 | U104 | 75.2 | 94.8 | 61.2 |
| Jan 30 | Siena | H | L 79–82 | +10.0 | W+7.0 | 128.0 | O161 | 125.3 | 130.1 | 63.0 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | NC Central | N | L 53–59 | +4.0 | L−2.0 | 131.0 | U112 | 93.9 | 104.5 | 56.4 |
| Mar 11 | Morgan St | N | W 75–70 OT | +3.0 | W+8.0 | 143.0 | O145 | 99.8 | 93.1 | 75.2 |
| Mar 5 | MD Eastern | A | W 57–56 | +5.5 | W+6.5 | 125.0 | U113 | 95.9 | 94.2 | 59.4 |
| Mar 2 | SC State | H | L 59–61 | −3.0 | L−5.0 | 134.5 | U120 | 96.6 | 99.9 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | NC Central | H | L 60–74 | +2.5 | L−11.5 | 135.5 | U134 | 97.5 | 120.3 | 61.5 |
| Feb 21 | Morgan St | A | L 68–82 | +5.5 | L−8.5 | 145.0 | O150 | 92.7 | 111.8 | 73.4 |
| Feb 16 | Howard | H | L 59–91 | +11.0 | L−21.0 | 130.5 | O150 | 82.1 | 126.6 | 71.9 |
| Feb 14 | Norfolk St | A | L 58–75 | +9.0 | L−8.0 | 134.0 | U133 | 92.1 | 119.1 | 63.0 |
| Feb 9 | NC Central | A | L 63–72 | +8.0 | L−1.0 | 134.5 | O135 | 107.5 | 122.9 | 58.6 |
| Feb 7 | Coppin St | A | L 47–65 | −1.0 | L−19.0 | 133.5 | U112 | 70.7 | 97.8 | 66.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input- Reggie Prudhomme 26.4 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Hawkins 26.2 mpg, 8.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Page 21.1 mpg, 8.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Vice Zanki 20.3 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josiah Sabino 19.6 mpg, 6.6 ppg · transferred to Manhattan
- Will Shortt 19.5 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cole Farrell from Long Beach St · 20.7 mpg, 6.4 ppg last season
- Logan Woods from Wright St · 18.4 mpg, 5.3 ppg last season
- Bastien Rieber from Fresno St · 16.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg last season
- Tae Blackshear from Youngstown St · 13.7 mpg, 6.3 ppg last season
- Vukasin Todorovic from Green Bay · 5.9 mpg, 1.7 ppg last season
- Brian Angeletti no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 10 | 2025-26 | Delaware St 57 – 68 Niagara |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.