CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteColonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs, WVGreenbrier Tip-Off
G Washington
Efficiency #68
2025-26: 19-16 · 9-11 conf
vs
UAB
Efficiency #111
2025-26: 20-12 · 11-8 conf
Fri, Nov 20 · 2:00 PM ET
79.2
win 61%
Projected
76.1
win 39%
No line posted yet.
Model: GW −3.1 · total 155.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UAB 69.6, G Washington 69.5 → 70.8 possessions
+5.4
UAB offense vs G Washington defense
−0.7
G Washington offense vs UAB defense
+2.4
Projected total
155.3
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UAB offense vs G Washington defense
−0.7
G Washington offense vs UAB defense
−2.4
G Washington by 3.1
3.1
G Washington side ◂▸ UAB side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UAB.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UAB is the faster team (70.4, #78 of 365) and G Washington the slower (69.9, #97). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
155.3
model
Projected team totals
79.2 / 76.1
G Washington / UAB
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.5#83
G Washington
69.6#77
UAB
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
UAB averages 70.4 possessions per 40, G Washington 69.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageUAB
Where UAB scores: ball control
UAB turns it over on 12.5% of possessions (#2); G Washington forces turnovers on 17.7% of opponent possessions (#114). Expect about 14.9%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (UAB) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect G Washington at about 45.3% of its shots from three, UAB about 34.6%.
AdvantageG Washington
Where G Washington scores: shooting
G Washington shoots an effective 54.4% (#55); UAB allows 50.0% (#98). Expect about 52.5%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashG Washington
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
G Washington (#26 in offensive rebounding) against UAB (#53 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 32.9%. Historically G Washington's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
ClashUAB
Style clash: 3-point volume
UAB rarely shoots threes (30.5% of its shots); G Washington lets opponents take 43.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 34.6% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
G Washington has the ball
OffenseUAB allowsvs D1 avg
54.4% #55
50.0% #98
+1.7 pt/100
18.2% #282
16.1% #215
-0.5 pt/100
35.8% #26
27.7% #53
+1.5 pt/100
34.9% #184
28.7% #38
-0.5 pt/100
72.3% #194
—
-0.0 pt/100
G Washington net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.2 pts/100
UAB has the ball
OffenseG Washington allowsvs D1 avg
48.4% #305
52.4% #234
-1.6 pt/100
12.5% #2
17.7% #114
+2.2 pt/100
32.5% #104
28.7% #91
+0.4 pt/100
36.4% #141
34.9% #178
+0.1 pt/100
70.6% #251
—
-0.2 pt/100
UAB net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersG Washingtonoffense vsUABdefense
Share of shots by zone
G Washington shoots
43.1
3.7
6.2
47.0
UAB allows
37.4
7.5
16.3
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.6%#138 | 58.6%#171 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#161 | 37.9%#133 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.6%#319 | 35.5%#92 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.1%#106 | 32.6%#95 | 33.7% |
UABoffense vsG Washingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
UAB shoots
45.0
7.3
17.6
30.1
G Washington allows
37.6
5.4
13.8
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#101 | 62.2%#303 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.3%#347 | 36.1%#92 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.2%#282 | 34.3%#55 | 38.0% |
| Three | 27.8%#364 | 33.9%#175 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersG Washington
+2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#93 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#26
Def reb %
71.3%
#91
Turnover %
18.2%
#282
Forced TO %
17.7%
#114
FT rate
34.9%
#184
FT allowed
34.9%
#178
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.1
UAB
+6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#11 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#104
Def reb %
72.3%
#53
Turnover %
12.5%
#2
Forced TO %
16.1%
#215
FT rate
36.4%
#141
FT allowed
28.7%
#38
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+2.9
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+1.7
UAB has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.2 (#11 of 365) to G Washington’s +2.1 (#93).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
G Washington2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Trey Autry | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 28.7 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.6% | 38.5% | 6.4 | 81.0% | 19.6% | |
| 2 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 53.0% | 36.4% | 3.5 | 65.6% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jean Aranguren | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-22 | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 55.0% | 36.5% | 2.1 | 70.2% | 21.6% | |
| 24 | Tyrone Marshall Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-13 | 23.5 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 56.7% | 36.2% | 1.8 | 65.4% | 22.0% | |
| 3 | Tre Dinkins | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-1 | 21.1 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 54.2% | 38.2% | 5.8 | 80.0% | 23.9% | |
| 9 | Garrett Johnson | F | Jr | 6'8" | 29-11 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 50.4% | 33.1% | 5.5 | 83.8% | 29.0% | |
| 11 | Bubu Benjamin | G | Jr | 6'7" | 30-18 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 26.6% | 3.1 | 70.3% | 17.5% | |
| 32 | Amir Arrington | G | Jr | 6'0" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 1.3 | — | 25.4% | |
| 21 | Mohamed Binzagr | G | Sr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 33.9% | |
| 10 | Jalen Rougier-Roane | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Trey Moss | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Vincent Chaudhri | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAB2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chance Westry | G | So | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 51.7% | 24.1% | 2.7 | 70.8% | 29.1% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rivera | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-31 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 58.1% | 23.2% | |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-29 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 68.6% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Jacob Meyer | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-25 | 28.5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 3.6 | 80.3% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-4 | 22.6 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 75.9% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-12 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 41.0% | 29.5% | 1.9 | 84.4% | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Ahmad Robinson | G | Sr | 5'10" | 26-18 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 45.1% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 71.2% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | So | 6'2" | 30-11 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 24.1% | 4.4 | 52.9% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Quaran McPherson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 30.0% | 1.5 | 77.5% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Ari Gooch | G | So | 6'2" | 17-0 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 15.4% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Lance Carr | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.2% | |
| 3 | Joao Das Chagas | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Joey Kahn | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Jorden Pittman | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Justin Holloway | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
G Washington2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Trey Autry | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 28.7 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.6% | 38.5% | 6.4 | 81.0% | 19.6% | |
| 2 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 53.0% | 36.4% | 3.5 | 65.6% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jean Aranguren | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-22 | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 55.0% | 36.5% | 2.1 | 70.2% | 21.6% | |
| 24 | Tyrone Marshall Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-13 | 23.5 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 56.7% | 36.2% | 1.8 | 65.4% | 22.0% | |
| 3 | Tre Dinkins | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-1 | 21.1 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 54.2% | 38.2% | 5.8 | 80.0% | 23.9% | |
| 9 | Garrett Johnson | F | Jr | 6'8" | 29-11 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 50.4% | 33.1% | 5.5 | 83.8% | 29.0% | |
| 11 | Bubu Benjamin | G | Jr | 6'7" | 30-18 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 26.6% | 3.1 | 70.3% | 17.5% | |
| 32 | Amir Arrington | G | Jr | 6'0" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 1.3 | — | 25.4% | |
| 21 | Mohamed Binzagr | G | Sr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 33.9% | |
| 10 | Jalen Rougier-Roane | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Trey Moss | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Vincent Chaudhri | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26G Washington
Against the spread
Season
15-17-2
Home
8-5-2
Road
4-8
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-18
Home
6-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.6
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | New Mexico | A | L 61–86 | +7.0 | L−18.0 | 161.5 | U147 | 89.2 | 125.8 | 68.4 |
| Mar 18 | Utah Valley | A | W 79–78 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 114.5 | 113.1 | 69.0 |
| Mar 13 | Saint Louis | N | L 81–88 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 162.5 | O169 | 108.8 | 118.2 | 74.4 |
| Mar 12 | Fordham | N | W 66–62 | −6.0 | L−2.0 | 141.0 | U128 | 103.5 | 97.2 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Loyola Chicago | A | L 62–68 | −9.5 | L−15.5 | 148.0 | U130 | 97.4 | 106.8 | 63.7 |
| Mar 4 | St Bonaventure | H | W 91–82 OT | −7.5 | W+1.5 | 157.0 | O173 | 115.1 | 103.7 | 79.1 |
| Feb 27 | Dayton | H | L 66–68 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 152.0 | U134 | 98.7 | 101.7 | 66.9 |
| Feb 24 | La Salle | A | W 104–77 | −7.5 | W+19.5 | 148.0 | O181 | 143.5 | 106.3 | 72.5 |
| Feb 17 | VCU | A | L 75–89 | +6.0 | L−8.0 | 161.5 | O164 | 109.7 | 130.2 | 68.3 |
| Feb 13 | George Mason | H | W 72–53 | −3.5 | W+15.5 | 150.0 | U125 | 122.6 | 90.2 | 58.8 |
UAB
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
5-11
Road
8-4
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
7-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.2
Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Charlotte | N | L 78–83 | −5.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 117.2 | 124.7 | 66.6 |
| Mar 8 | East Carolina | H | W 90–83 | −10.0 | L−3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 118.1 | 108.9 | 76.2 |
| Mar 4 | Charlotte | A | W 80–74 | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 125.4 | 116.0 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | North Texas | H | L 58–62 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 141.5 | U120 | 90.4 | 96.7 | 64.1 |
| Feb 22 | Memphis | A | W 78–67 | +6.0 | W+17.0 | 152.0 | U145 | 108.7 | 93.4 | 71.8 |
| Feb 18 | Temple | A | W 76–71 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 115.1 | 107.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Tulane | H | L 54–55 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U109 | 86.1 | 87.7 | 62.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tulsa | A | W 68–63 | +10.5 | W+15.5 | 161.0 | U131 | 101.9 | 94.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 8 | Rice | H | W 71–65 | −9.5 | L−3.5 | 154.5 | U136 | 107.0 | 97.9 | 66.4 |
| Feb 5 | Memphis | H | L 80–90 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 156.0 | O170 | 100.3 | 112.8 | 79.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeG WashingtonUAB
Efficiency
114.2
109.0
107.0
106.2
69.5
69.6
—
—
Shooting
54.4%
48.4%
55.9%
51.3%
35.1%
27.8%
72.3%
70.6%
34.9%
36.4%
Ball control & glass
18.2%
12.5%
17.7%
16.1%
35.8%
32.5%
28.7%
27.7%
11.4%
8.1%
10.3%
9.7%
Style
47.0%
30.5%
42.2%
50.7%
11.7%
19.6%
55.4%
50.3%
33.7%
29.9%
Roster
3.11
2.89
6'4.9"
6'4.7"
78.6%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputG Washington
Returning minutes: 78.6%Returning production: 71.0%
Lost
- Rafael Castro 22.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Luke Hunger 18.1 mpg, 7.9 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Ty Bevins 2.2 mpg, 0.5 ppg · transferred to Rider
Added
- Jalen Rougier-Roane no D1 minutes last season
- Vincent Chaudhri no D1 minutes last season
- Trey Moss no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
UAB
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.