CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteElridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin IslandsU.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam
East Carolina
Efficiency #272
2025-26: 11-20 · 6-12 conf
vs
Utah Valley
Efficiency #75
2025-26: 25-9 · 15-5 conf
Fri, Nov 20 · 9:00 PM ET
69.9
win 23%
Projected
78.5
win 77%
No line posted yet.
Model: UVU −8.6 · total 148.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Utah Valley 69.1, East Carolina 69.1 → 69.9 possessions
+3.4
Utah Valley offense vs East Carolina defense
+2.7
East Carolina offense vs Utah Valley defense
−5.9
Projected total
148.5
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Utah Valley offense vs East Carolina defense
+2.7
East Carolina offense vs Utah Valley defense
+5.9
Utah Valley by 8.6
8.6
East Carolina side ◂▸ Utah Valley side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 148.4 against a projected 148.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Utah Valley.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Utah Valley is the faster team (69.4, #122 of 365) and East Carolina the slower (69.2, #135). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.5
model
Projected team totals
69.9 / 78.5
East Carolina / Utah Valley
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#110
East Carolina
69.1#116
Utah Valley
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageEast Carolina
Where East Carolina struggles: shooting
East Carolina shoots an effective 46.4% (#346); Utah Valley allows 49.4% (#78). Expect about 47.5%, 3.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.4 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversEast Carolina
East Carolina turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.8% is worth roughly -3.8 points per 100 possessions against East Carolina's offense.
AdvantageUtah Valley
Where Utah Valley scores: shooting
Utah Valley shoots an effective 54.9% (#38); East Carolina allows 52.3% (#229). Expect about 53.9%, 2.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashEast Carolina
Style match: 3-point volume
East Carolina rarely shoots threes (31.1% of its shots); Utah Valley runs teams off the line (33.3% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 28.8% — both habits push the same way.
DefenseUtah Valley
Utah Valley's ball-hawking
Utah Valley ranks #6 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.1% of East Carolina's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
GlassUtah Valley
Utah Valley owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.5% is worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions for Utah Valley's offense.
East Carolina has the ball
OffenseUtah Valley allowsvs D1 avg
46.4% #346
49.4% #78
-5.4 pt/100
17.1% #212
21.3% #7
-3.8 pt/100
33.4% #79
31.4% #221
+1.6 pt/100
39.2% #75
39.2% #291
+0.6 pt/100
70.0% #274
—
-0.2 pt/100
East Carolina net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.3 pts/100
Utah Valley has the ball
OffenseEast Carolina allowsvs D1 avg
54.9% #38
52.3% #229
+3.8 pt/100
20.1% #350
16.2% #206
-1.9 pt/100
34.8% #51
32.5% #282
+2.5 pt/100
38.2% #98
32.2% #110
-0.0 pt/100
68.6% #308
—
-0.3 pt/100
Utah Valley net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersEast Carolinaoffense vsUtah Valleydefense
Share of shots by zone
East Carolina shoots
39.5
5.2
24.9
30.4
Utah Valley allows
42.9
7.3
16.6
33.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.3%#318 | 52.1%#16 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.8%#198 | 39.5%#171 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#184 | 38.8%#197 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.3%#350 | 35.2%#260 | 33.7% |
Utah Valleyoffense vsEast Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
Utah Valley shoots
47.2
8.8
11.3
32.6
East Carolina allows
37.5
4.9
18.6
39.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.7%#43 | 58.9%#185 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.2%#217 | 44.4%#279 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.6%#247 | 39.9%#238 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.0%#170 | 34.9%#245 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersEast Carolina
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#114 of 365
Off reb %
33.4%
#79
Def reb %
67.5%
#282
Turnover %
17.1%
#212
Forced TO %
16.2%
#206
FT rate
39.2%
#75
FT allowed
32.2%
#110
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−0.2
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.8
Utah Valley
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#107 of 365
Off reb %
34.8%
#51
Def reb %
68.6%
#221
Turnover %
20.1%
#350
Forced TO %
21.3%
#7
FT rate
38.2%
#98
FT allowed
39.2%
#291
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−2.3
Forcing turnovers+3.2
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed−1.0
Utah Valley has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.9 (#107 of 365) to East Carolina’s +1.7 (#114).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
East Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Corey Caulker | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-26 | 30.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 41.1% | 32.5% | 4.1 | 77.5% | 19.9% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Mbeng | G | So | 6'1" | 31-7 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 3.2 | 65.4% | 17.2% | |
| 15 | Demitri Gardner | G | Sr | 6'4" | 18-14 | 27.9 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 42.6% | 3.4 | 86.5% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Reid Cason | F | So | 6'10" | 31-12 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 56.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 67.5% | 15.5% | |
| 4 | Tybo Bailey | G | So | 6'2" | 20-15 | 23.4 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 39.1% | 27.8% | 4.0 | 72.4% | 21.9% | |
| 33 | Eli DeLaurier | F | So | 6'10" | 23-10 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 44.2% | 13.3% | 1.3 | 90.5% | 22.1% | |
| 43 | Luke Davis | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-7 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 78.9% | 14.6% | |
| 10 | Paddy D'Arcy | G | Fr | 6'6" | 21-0 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.7% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Vito Perkovic | F | Fr | 6'10" | 19-1 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 38.8% | 26.1% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 0 | Jayshayne Woodard | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-2 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 55.6% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Ladontae Felton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 18.4% | |
| 3 | Daithi Quinn | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Grant Smith | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jake Baker | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Trevion LaBeaux | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Utah Valley2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trevan Leonhardt | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 34.5 | 11.9 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 57.7% | 36.8% | 3.4 | 75.6% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Jackson Holcombe | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 30.1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 53.8% | 16.2% | 1.1 | 68.2% | 31.0% | |
| 9 | Braden Housley | G | So | 6'4" | 28-19 | 26.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 47.4% | 29.4% | 1.8 | 57.8% | 15.5% | |
| 1 | Isaac Davis | F | So | 6'8" | 34-34 | 19.1 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 63.8% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 67.0% | 30.8% | |
| 7 | Noah Taitz | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-15 | 19.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 47.7% | 34.5% | 2.9 | 71.4% | 16.8% | |
| 8 | Hayden Welling | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-1 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.3% | 2.0 | 68.5% | 30.3% | |
| 4 | Sherman Weatherspoon IV | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-5 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 38.0% | 3.1 | 72.7% | 18.2% | |
| 23 | Isaac Hawkins | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-0 | 14.0 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 27.3% | 0.3 | 76.1% | 24.2% | |
| 11 | Tyler Weaver | F | Fr | 6'7" | 20-0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 49.0% | 34.5% | 1.4 | 75.0% | 23.9% | |
| 12 | Tyler Medaris | F | Fr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.1% | 18.2% | |
| 99 | Joul Karram | C | So | 6'11" | 9-0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 61.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | AJ Riggs | G | So | 6'3" | 11-0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 57.7% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 21.8% | |
| 24 | AJ Dixon | G | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jaxson Roberts | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
East Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Corey Caulker | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-26 | 30.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 41.1% | 32.5% | 4.1 | 77.5% | 19.9% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Mbeng | G | So | 6'1" | 31-7 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 3.2 | 65.4% | 17.2% | |
| 15 | Demitri Gardner | G | Sr | 6'4" | 18-14 | 27.9 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 42.6% | 3.4 | 86.5% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Reid Cason | F | So | 6'10" | 31-12 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 56.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 67.5% | 15.5% | |
| 4 | Tybo Bailey | G | So | 6'2" | 20-15 | 23.4 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 39.1% | 27.8% | 4.0 | 72.4% | 21.9% | |
| 33 | Eli DeLaurier | F | So | 6'10" | 23-10 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 44.2% | 13.3% | 1.3 | 90.5% | 22.1% | |
| 43 | Luke Davis | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-7 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 78.9% | 14.6% | |
| 10 | Paddy D'Arcy | G | Fr | 6'6" | 21-0 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.7% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Vito Perkovic | F | Fr | 6'10" | 19-1 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 38.8% | 26.1% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 0 | Jayshayne Woodard | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-2 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 55.6% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Ladontae Felton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 18.4% | |
| 3 | Daithi Quinn | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Grant Smith | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jake Baker | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Trevion LaBeaux | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26East Carolina
Against the spread
Season
13-17
Home
6-10
Road
6-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
10-6
Road
5-7
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +8.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | UAB | A | L 83–90 | +10.0 | W+3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 108.9 | 118.1 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Tulsa | H | L 66–93 | +8.5 | L−18.5 | 156.0 | O159 | 99.0 | 139.5 | 66.7 |
| Mar 1 | Memphis | H | W 84–68 | +4.0 | W+20.0 | 153.5 | U152 | 114.3 | 92.5 | 73.5 |
| Feb 25 | UTSA | A | W 82–81 | −4.5 | L−3.5 | 153.5 | O163 | 121.4 | 119.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Charlotte | A | L 56–68 | +4.5 | L−7.5 | 146.0 | U124 | 85.8 | 104.2 | 65.3 |
| Feb 18 | Wichita St | H | L 89–92 2OT | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 149.5 | O181 | 101.0 | 104.4 | 88.1 |
| Feb 14 | Rice | A | W 85–75 | +4.5 | W+14.5 | 145.5 | O160 | 127.9 | 112.8 | 66.5 |
| Feb 11 | UTSA | H | W 88–72 | −10.5 | W+5.5 | 149.5 | O160 | 123.9 | 101.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | Temple | H | L 73–81 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 139.5 | O154 | 114.7 | 127.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 1 | FAU | A | W 76–75 | +10.5 | W+11.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 113.3 | 111.8 | 67.1 |
Utah Valley
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
6-7
Road
4-9
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread 7 straightCovered 2 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 0 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
9-4
Road
8-5
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +4.2
Over in the last gameOver in 6 of 10 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | G Washington | H | L 78–79 | −1.5 | L−2.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 113.1 | 114.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 14 | CA Baptist | N | L 61–63 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 92.0 | 95.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 13 | UT Arlington | N | W 67–65 | −8.0 | L−6.0 | 136.0 | U132 | 107.4 | 104.2 | 62.4 |
| Mar 7 | Utah Tech | A | W 104–101 2OT | −9.0 | L−6.0 | 148.0 | O205 | 122.1 | 118.6 | 85.2 |
| Mar 5 | Southern Utah | A | W 92–88 | −10.0 | L−6.0 | 150.0 | O180 | 129.1 | 123.5 | 71.3 |
| Feb 28 | Abilene Chrstn | H | W 74–67 | −15.0 | L−8.0 | 140.5 | O141 | 106.7 | 96.6 | 69.3 |
| Feb 26 | Tarleton St | H | W 79–72 | −17.0 | L−10.0 | 141.5 | O151 | 113.8 | 103.7 | 69.4 |
| Feb 21 | UT Arlington | A | W 66–54 | −5.5 | W+6.5 | 137.5 | U120 | 99.0 | 81.0 | 66.6 |
| Feb 19 | CA Baptist | H | W 65–46 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 143.0 | U111 | 99.3 | 70.3 | 65.4 |
| Feb 12 | Utah Tech | A | L 77–81 | −10.0 | L−14.0 | 149.0 | O158 | 113.9 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeEast CarolinaUtah Valley
Efficiency
104.1
110.9
110.0
104.5
69.1
69.1
—
—
Shooting
46.4%
54.9%
47.5%
56.9%
29.3%
34.0%
70.0%
68.6%
39.2%
38.2%
Ball control & glass
17.1%
20.1%
16.2%
21.3%
33.4%
34.8%
32.5%
31.4%
9.8%
12.1%
8.1%
8.1%
Style
31.1%
32.9%
43.4%
53.2%
12.0%
15.2%
47.3%
62.1%
27.1%
31.0%
Roster
2.58
2.70
6'4.1"
6'6"
65.8%
87.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputEast Carolina
Returning minutes: 65.8%Returning production: 50.3%
Lost
- Jordan Riley 36.6 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Giovanni Emejuru 32.7 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Daithi Quinn no D1 minutes last season
- Jake Baker no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Smith no D1 minutes last season
- Trevion LaBeaux no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 66% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Utah Valley
Returning minutes: 87.9%Returning production: 88.1%
Lost
- Tyler Hendricks 24.5 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma
Added
- AJ Dixon no D1 minutes last season
- Jaxson Roberts no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.