CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
Green Bay
Efficiency #222
2025-26: 18-15 · 13-9 conf
@
Florida St
Efficiency #74
2025-26: 18-15 · 11-9 conf
Fri, Nov 20 · TBD
71.5
win 19%
Projected
81.5
win 81%
No line posted yet.
Model: FSU −10.0 · total 153.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Florida St 70.5, Green Bay 65.4 → 67.6 possessions
−1.5
Florida St offense vs Green Bay defense
+6.2
Green Bay offense vs Florida St defense
0.0
Projected total
153.0
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Florida St offense vs Green Bay defense
+6.2
Green Bay offense vs Florida St defense
0.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Florida St by 10.0
10.0
Green Bay side ◂▸ Florida St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 152.9 against a projected 153.0, and the margin steps add to +10.1 against +10.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Florida St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Florida St is the faster team (71.8, #27 of 365) and Green Bay the slower (64.7, #336). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.0
model
Projected team totals
71.5 / 81.5
Green Bay / Florida St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.4#360
Green Bay
70.5#26
Florida St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageFlorida St
Where Florida St scores: ball control
Florida St turns it over on 15.2% of possessions (#83); Green Bay forces turnovers on 13.2% of opponent possessions (#351). Expect about 13.6%, 3.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.9 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageGreen Bay
Where Green Bay scores: shooting
Green Bay shoots an effective 54.9% (#41); Florida St allows 52.2% (#226). Expect about 53.9%, 2.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.7 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
Florida St averages 71.8 possessions per 40, Green Bay 64.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 68 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashFlorida St
Style match: 3-point volume
Florida St takes 50.6% of its shots from three; Green Bay lets opponents take 43.3% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 50.8% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Green Bay, Green Bay's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Green Bay at about 41.2% of its shots from three, Florida St about 50.8%.
Green Bay has the ball
OffenseFlorida St allowsvs D1 avg
54.9% #41
52.2% #226
+3.7 pt/100
16.0% #138
19.0% #52
-1.2 pt/100
25.1% #339
34.1% #319
-1.2 pt/100
41.6% #36
32.7% #122
+0.2 pt/100
77.5% #24
—
+0.4 pt/100
Green Bay net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.0 pts/100
Florida St has the ball
OffenseGreen Bay allowsvs D1 avg
52.3% #132
53.6% #287
+2.5 pt/100
15.2% #83
13.2% #351
+3.9 pt/100
30.8% #170
29.6% #140
-0.1 pt/100
34.7% #191
37.4% #249
+0.2 pt/100
71.3% #231
—
-0.1 pt/100
Florida St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersGreen Bayoffense vsFlorida Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Green Bay shoots
46.6
5.2
10.9
37.2
Florida St allows
32.9
5.7
15.5
45.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.6%#136 | 60.2%#236 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.1%#22 | 38.8%#154 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.0%#220 | 38.8%#194 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.4%#42 | 34.6%#228 | 33.7% |
Florida Stoffense vsGreen Baydefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida St shoots
35.5
6.0
8.4
50.1
Green Bay allows
36.5
7.5
12.9
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.5%#109 | 61.3%#279 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.1%#20 | 38.7%#151 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#241 | 37.6%#146 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.1%#226 | 36.3%#316 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersGreen Bay
−2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#274 of 365
Off reb %
25.1%
#339
Def reb %
70.4%
#140
Turnover %
16.0%
#138
Forced TO %
13.2%
#351
FT rate
41.6%
#36
FT allowed
37.4%
#249
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−2.4
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed−0.6
Florida St
+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#89 of 365
Off reb %
30.8%
#170
Def reb %
65.9%
#319
Turnover %
15.2%
#83
Forced TO %
19.0%
#52
FT rate
34.7%
#191
FT allowed
32.7%
#122
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding−1.1
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−0.1
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Florida St has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.2 (#89 of 365) to Green Bay’s −2.1 (#274).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Green Bay2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Green Bay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Ruedinger | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-33 | 35.3 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 54.7% | 41.1% | 4.9 | 90.8% | 19.6% | |
| 10 | C.J. O'Hara | G | So | 6'4" | 33-33 | 32.6 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 79.4% | 23.6% | |
| 13 | Marcus Hall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 30-30 | 34.6 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 58.6% | 40.6% | 5.2 | 76.4% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Justin Allen | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-22 | 26.4 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 51.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 23 | Caden Wilkins | F | So | 6'6" | 33-22 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 56.5% | 40.3% | 3.6 | 68.3% | 18.9% | |
| 22 | LeBron Thomas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-6 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 48.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 68.4% | 23.0% | |
| 0 | Ramel Bethea | F | So | 6'9" | 30-4 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 74.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.7% | 14.4% | |
| 4 | Mac Wrecke | G | So | 6'5" | 23-5 | 11.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.7% | 36.0% | 1.1 | 69.6% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Maruan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 21-9 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 59.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 3 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | Fr | 6'3" | 18-0 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 34.6% | 1.4 | — | 15.1% | |
| 15 | Rob Stroud | F | Sr | 6'5" | 12-1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.9% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 40.1% | |
| 1 | Josh Hines | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 63.3% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 0.0% | 16.3% | |
| 12 | Dontrell Hewlett | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 28.9% | 14.3% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 33.5% | |
| 21 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 6.8% | |
| 11 | Trey Schachter | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Florida St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kam Taylorat UNC Asheville | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-30 | 34.7 | 18.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 49.6% | 28.1% | 4.3 | 70.1% | 34.2% | |
| 2 | Anthony Robinson IIat Missouri | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-19 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 48.3% | 31.4% | 3.2 | 67.0% | 21.9% | |
| 22 | Sebastian Rancikat Colorado | F | Jr | 6'11" | 29-26 | 28.0 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 48.0% | 33.1% | 4.1 | 86.0% | 25.8% | |
| 31 | Cooper Schwiegerat Wake Forest | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-11 | 20.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 34.3% | 1.0 | 73.7% | 14.8% | |
| 19 | AJ Swinton | F | Jr | 6'6" | 26-1 | 15.8 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 53.6% | 32.8% | 2.2 | 56.5% | 16.6% | |
| 1 | Shon Abaevat Cincinnati | F | So | 6'8" | 24-12 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 41.9% | 25.7% | 4.2 | 64.9% | 30.6% | |
| 15 | Jalen Crawford | G | Jr | 6'0" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.0 | — | 53.4% | |
| 7 | Jasen Lopez | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 00 | Amare Robinson | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Brandon Bass Jr. | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Collin Paul | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Elise Assui | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | JD Jones | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Marcis Ponder | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Martay Barnes | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Shon Abaev (from Cincinnati), Sebastian Rancik (from Colorado), Anthony Robinson II (from Missouri), Cooper Schwieger (from Wake Forest), Kam Taylor (from UNC Asheville)
Green Bay2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Green Bay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Ruedinger | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-33 | 35.3 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 54.7% | 41.1% | 4.9 | 90.8% | 19.6% | |
| 10 | C.J. O'Hara | G | So | 6'4" | 33-33 | 32.6 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 79.4% | 23.6% | |
| 13 | Marcus Hall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 30-30 | 34.6 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 58.6% | 40.6% | 5.2 | 76.4% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Justin Allen | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-22 | 26.4 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 51.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 23 | Caden Wilkins | F | So | 6'6" | 33-22 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 56.5% | 40.3% | 3.6 | 68.3% | 18.9% | |
| 22 | LeBron Thomas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-6 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 48.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 68.4% | 23.0% | |
| 0 | Ramel Bethea | F | So | 6'9" | 30-4 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 74.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.7% | 14.4% | |
| 4 | Mac Wrecke | G | So | 6'5" | 23-5 | 11.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.7% | 36.0% | 1.1 | 69.6% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Maruan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 21-9 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 59.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 3 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | Fr | 6'3" | 18-0 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 34.6% | 1.4 | — | 15.1% | |
| 15 | Rob Stroud | F | Sr | 6'5" | 12-1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.9% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 40.1% | |
| 1 | Josh Hines | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 63.3% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 0.0% | 16.3% | |
| 12 | Dontrell Hewlett | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 28.9% | 14.3% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 33.5% | |
| 21 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 6.8% | |
| 11 | Trey Schachter | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Green Bay
Against the spread
Season
19-12
Home
8-4
Road
8-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +4.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-15
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.7
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | N Kentucky | N | L 76–96 | +4.0 | L−16.0 | 147.5 | O172 | 115.2 | 145.5 | 66.0 |
| Mar 3 | Purdue FW | H | W 64–56 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 145.0 | U120 | 110.6 | 96.7 | 57.9 |
| Feb 28 | Youngstown St | H | W 85–63 | −1.5 | W+20.5 | 142.0 | O148 | 130.0 | 96.4 | 65.4 |
| Feb 22 | Detroit Mercy | A | L 70–74 | +1.0 | L−3.0 | 147.5 | U144 | 101.4 | 107.2 | 69.0 |
| Feb 20 | Oakland | A | W 73–68 | +6.5 | W+11.5 | 153.5 | U141 | 115.7 | 107.8 | 63.1 |
| Feb 15 | Milwaukee | A | L 72–75 | +2.5 | L−0.5 | 145.5 | O147 | 117.0 | 121.8 | 61.6 |
| Feb 12 | Purdue FW | H | W 76–59 | −1.5 | W+15.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 129.0 | 100.1 | 58.9 |
| Feb 7 | Detroit Mercy | H | W 76–63 | −4.0 | W+9.0 | 148.0 | U139 | 114.3 | 94.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 4 | N Kentucky | A | W 87–84 OT | +8.0 | W+11.0 | 150.5 | O171 | 115.3 | 111.3 | 75.5 |
| Feb 1 | Wright St | H | L 75–83 | +4.0 | L−4.0 | 144.0 | O158 | 118.4 | 131.1 | 63.3 |
Florida St
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
9-7-1
Road
7-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +6.7
Covered 3 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-16
Home
8-9
Road
5-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +1.0
Over 4 straightOver in 4 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #1Duke | N | L 79–80 | +17.0 | W+16.0 | 150.5 | O159 | 117.5 | 119.0 | 67.2 |
| Mar 11 | California | N | W 95–89 | −3.0 | W+3.0 | 155.0 | O184 | 136.3 | 127.7 | 69.7 |
| Mar 7 | SMU | H | W 91–78 | −1.0 | W+12.0 | 158.5 | O169 | 123.4 | 105.8 | 73.7 |
| Mar 4 | Pitt | A | W 75–74 | −1.5 | L−0.5 | 145.0 | O149 | 114.3 | 112.8 | 65.6 |
| Feb 28 | Georgia Tech | A | W 80–71 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 159.5 | U151 | 123.7 | 109.8 | 64.7 |
| Feb 24 | Miami | H | L 73–83 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 153.5 | O156 | 103.1 | 117.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 21 | Clemson | A | W 70–65 | +8.5 | W+13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 116.9 | 108.6 | 59.9 |
| Feb 17 | Boston College | H | W 80–72 | −12.0 | L−4.0 | 148.0 | O152 | 119.6 | 107.6 | 66.9 |
| Feb 14 | Virginia Tech | A | W 92–69 | +4.0 | W+27.0 | 156.5 | O161 | 142.4 | 106.8 | 64.6 |
| Feb 10 | #15Virginia | H | L 58–61 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 154.0 | U119 | 85.1 | 89.5 | 68.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeGreen BayFlorida St
Efficiency
110.7
113.0
113.0
106.4
65.4
70.5
—
—
Shooting
54.9%
52.3%
55.0%
55.1%
36.4%
33.1%
77.5%
71.3%
41.6%
34.7%
Ball control & glass
16.0%
15.2%
13.2%
19.0%
25.1%
30.8%
29.6%
34.1%
9.4%
9.4%
9.3%
12.8%
Style
37.3%
50.6%
44.9%
39.3%
10.7%
12.4%
54.5%
52.5%
27.2%
34.4%
Roster
2.82
3.28
6'4.7"
6'7.4"
—
6.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputGreen Bay
Returning minutes: 97.1%Returning production: 98.1%
ESPN hasn't posted Green Bay's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 97% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Florida St
Returning minutes: 6.3%Returning production: 4.9%
Lost
- Lajae Jones 29.5 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Robert McCray V 28.9 mpg, 16.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chauncey Wiggins 27.1 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Martin Somerville 26.0 mpg, 8.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kobe MaGee 19.8 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Thomas Bassong 19.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Kam Taylor from UNC Asheville · 34.7 mpg, 18.9 ppg last season
- Anthony Robinson II from Missouri · 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Sebastian Rancik from Colorado · 24.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Cooper Schwieger from Wake Forest · 19.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg last season
- Shon Abaev from Cincinnati · 11.6 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
- Elise Assui no D1 minutes last season
Returns 6% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.