CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Le Moyne
Efficiency #270
2025-26: 15-17 · 10-9 conf
@
Missouri
Efficiency #67
2025-26: 20-13 · 10-9 conf
Fri, Nov 20 · TBD
68.9
win 13%
Projected
81.8
win 87%
No line posted yet.
Model: MIZ −12.9 · total 150.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Missouri 67.7, Le Moyne 69.6 → 69.0 possessions
+1.5
Missouri offense vs Le Moyne defense
+5.0
Le Moyne offense vs Missouri defense
−3.9
Projected total
150.8
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Missouri offense vs Le Moyne defense
+5.0
Le Moyne offense vs Missouri defense
+3.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Missouri by 12.9
12.9
Le Moyne side ◂▸ Missouri side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Missouri.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Le Moyne is the faster team (69.2, #133 of 365) and Missouri the slower (68.3, #182). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.8
model
Projected team totals
68.9 / 81.8
Le Moyne / Missouri
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.6#76
Le Moyne
67.7#235
Missouri
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetWatch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Missouri's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Le Moyne at about 42.8% of its shots from three, Missouri about 37.2%.
AdvantageLe Moyne
Where Le Moyne struggles: the offensive glass
Le Moyne rebounds 25.2% of its own misses (#337); Missouri lets opponents grab 31.7% of their own misses (#238). Expect about 27.4%, 3.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.8 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageMissouri
Where Missouri scores: shooting
Missouri shoots an effective 55.0% (#36); Le Moyne allows 49.3% (#75). Expect about 52.4%, 1.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.
GlassMissouri
Missouri owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 32.9% is worth roughly +1.5 points per 100 possessions for Missouri's offense.
ClashMissouri
Strength vs strength: 2-point shooting
Missouri (#38 in 2-point shooting) against Le Moyne (#13 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 51.5%. Historically Missouri's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.61 vs 0.55).
Le Moyne has the ball
OffenseMissouri allowsvs D1 avg
52.7% #118
51.5% #183
+1.3 pt/100
19.1% #327
16.5% #186
-1.4 pt/100
25.2% #337
31.7% #238
-1.8 pt/100
39.5% #68
35.5% #193
+0.3 pt/100
71.8% #214
—
-0.1 pt/100
Le Moyne net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.7 pts/100
Missouri has the ball
OffenseLe Moyne allowsvs D1 avg
55.0% #36
49.3% #75
+1.6 pt/100
17.8% #261
15.0% #289
+0.7 pt/100
34.9% #48
29.1% #107
+1.5 pt/100
42.1% #28
32.7% #121
+0.3 pt/100
69.1% #298
—
-0.3 pt/100
Missouri net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLe Moyneoffense vsMissouridefense
Share of shots by zone
Le Moyne shoots
42.6
4.8
12.5
40.1
Missouri allows
32.8
7.0
17.0
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.4%#149 | 55.4%#72 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.0%#269 | 39.5%#172 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.8%#194 | 36.2%#116 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.3%#152 | 36.8%#341 | 33.7% |
Missourioffense vsLe Moynedefense
Share of shots by zone
Missouri shoots
43.9
7.6
12.5
35.9
Le Moyne allows
36.2
7.4
16.5
39.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.0%#21 | 56.5%#100 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.8%#247 | 37.7%#131 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#301 | 27.3%#1 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#112 | 36.0%#303 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLe Moyne
−2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#276 of 365
Off reb %
25.2%
#337
Def reb %
70.9%
#107
Turnover %
19.1%
#327
Forced TO %
15.0%
#289
FT rate
39.5%
#68
FT allowed
32.7%
#121
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Missouri
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#97 of 365
Off reb %
34.9%
#48
Def reb %
68.3%
#238
Turnover %
17.8%
#261
Forced TO %
16.5%
#186
FT rate
42.1%
#28
FT allowed
35.5%
#193
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Missouri has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#97 of 365) to Le Moyne’s −2.2 (#276).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Le Moyne2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trent Mosquera | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-30 | 31.8 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 51.1% | 35.2% | 6.8 | 73.6% | 26.4% | |
| 13 | Deng Garang | G | So | 6'6" | 32-32 | 30.1 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 53.2% | 33.9% | 4.0 | 71.4% | 21.4% | |
| 2 | Jakai Sanders | G | So | 6'3" | 29-21 | 29.9 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 46.0% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.5% | 24.0% | |
| 4 | Shilo Jackson | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-26 | 30.8 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 63.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 72.7% | 27.0% | |
| 1 | Tennessee Rainwater | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-7 | 24.5 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 63.9% | 50.0% | 1.3 | 67.2% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Jakob Blakley | G | So | 6'0" | 32-28 | 16.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 2.7 | 87.5% | 16.5% | |
| 12 | Samuel Hincapie | G | Jr | 6'5" | 30-0 | 15.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48.9% | 26.9% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 20.6% | |
| 3 | Eli Greenberg | G | Fr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 42.0% | 28.9% | 1.5 | 78.3% | 15.7% | |
| 32 | Isaac Nyakundi | F | So | 6'9" | 24-6 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 51.1% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 54.5% | 14.9% | |
| 5 | Trevor Roe | F | So | 6'9" | 17-0 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.3% | 32.3% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 23.0% | |
| 11 | Josiah Lee | G | Fr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 14.5% | |
| 0 | Ametri Moss | G | Sr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 18.5% | |
| 33 | Sam Donnelly | G | Sr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 22.6% | |
| 22 | Kaelin Thomas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 27.7% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Missouri2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jordan Crawfordat South Dakota | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 51.7% | 36.8% | 6.5 | 74.5% | 26.1% | |
| 0 | Cord Stansberryat W Carolina | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-29 | 30.0 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 43.6% | 29.6% | 6.3 | 80.3% | 30.2% | |
| 4 | Kennard Davis Jr.at BYU | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 29.5 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 50.6% | 32.1% | 5.2 | 75.0% | 16.8% | |
| 15 | Bryson Tillerat Kansas | F | So | 6'11" | 35-31 | 25.9 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 48.0% | 26.9% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 21.3% | |
| 1 | Jamier Jonesat Providence | G | So | 6'6" | 31-19 | 25.7 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 59.5% | 38.7% | 1.0 | 66.4% | 24.7% | |
| 23 | Jaylen Careyat Tennessee | F | Sr | 6'8" | 37-8 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 48.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 49.1% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Trent Pierce | G | Sr | 6'10" | 20-12 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 59.7% | 38.4% | 5.0 | 75.0% | 19.3% | |
| 45 | Luke Northweather | F | Sr | 6'11" | 20-2 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 61.1% | 41.9% | 1.6 | 57.1% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Trent Burns | C | Jr | 7'5" | 21-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 45.6% | 7.7% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 6 | Annor Boateng | G | Jr | 6'6" | 15-4 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 24 | Nicholas Randall | F | So | 6'9" | 22-0 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 27.8% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 15.5% | |
| 2 | Aaron Rowe | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Aidan Chronister | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jason Crowe Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Toni Bryant | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jaylen Carey (from Tennessee), Jordan Crawford (from South Dakota), Kennard Davis Jr. (from BYU), Jamier Jones (from Providence), Cord Stansberry (from W Carolina), Bryson Tiller (from Kansas)
Le Moyne2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trent Mosquera | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-30 | 31.8 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 51.1% | 35.2% | 6.8 | 73.6% | 26.4% | |
| 13 | Deng Garang | G | So | 6'6" | 32-32 | 30.1 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 53.2% | 33.9% | 4.0 | 71.4% | 21.4% | |
| 2 | Jakai Sanders | G | So | 6'3" | 29-21 | 29.9 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 46.0% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.5% | 24.0% | |
| 4 | Shilo Jackson | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-26 | 30.8 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 63.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 72.7% | 27.0% | |
| 1 | Tennessee Rainwater | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-7 | 24.5 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 63.9% | 50.0% | 1.3 | 67.2% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Jakob Blakley | G | So | 6'0" | 32-28 | 16.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 2.7 | 87.5% | 16.5% | |
| 12 | Samuel Hincapie | G | Jr | 6'5" | 30-0 | 15.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48.9% | 26.9% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 20.6% | |
| 3 | Eli Greenberg | G | Fr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 42.0% | 28.9% | 1.5 | 78.3% | 15.7% | |
| 32 | Isaac Nyakundi | F | So | 6'9" | 24-6 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 51.1% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 54.5% | 14.9% | |
| 5 | Trevor Roe | F | So | 6'9" | 17-0 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.3% | 32.3% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 23.0% | |
| 11 | Josiah Lee | G | Fr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 14.5% | |
| 0 | Ametri Moss | G | Sr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 18.5% | |
| 33 | Sam Donnelly | G | Sr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 22.6% | |
| 22 | Kaelin Thomas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 27.7% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Le Moyne
Against the spread
Season
16-14-1
Home
5-7
Road
10-6-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −3.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
5-7
Road
6-11
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.1
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Stonehill | H | L 71–81 | −4.5 | L−14.5 | 140.0 | O152 | 100.6 | 114.8 | 70.5 |
| Feb 28 | New Haven | A | L 59–66 | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 136.0 | U125 | 86.5 | 96.8 | 68.2 |
| Feb 26 | FDU | H | W 76–59 | −4.5 | W+12.5 | 139.5 | U135 | 118.7 | 92.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 21 | Stonehill | A | L 68–77 | −2.0 | L−11.0 | 137.0 | O145 | 96.6 | 109.4 | 70.4 |
| Feb 19 | C Connecticut | A | L 77–78 | +3.5 | W+2.5 | 146.5 | O155 | 108.8 | 110.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 14 | Chicago St | H | W 81–63 | −7.0 | W+11.0 | 146.0 | U144 | 117.6 | 91.5 | 68.9 |
| Feb 12 | Mercyhurst | H | W 58–57 | −2.5 | L−1.5 | 138.5 | U115 | 84.2 | 82.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 7 | Saint Francis Red Wolves | H | W 86–84 | −8.5 | L−6.5 | 154.0 | O170 | 112.0 | 109.4 | 76.8 |
| Feb 5 | Wagner | A | L 78–79 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 140.0 | O157 | 113.9 | 115.3 | 68.5 |
| Jan 31 | Stonehill | H | L 54–65 | −4.5 | L−15.5 | 140.5 | U119 | 75.7 | 91.1 | 71.4 |
Missouri
Against the spread
Season
14-19
Home
8-10
Road
6-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.2
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-15-1
Home
11-7
Road
4-6-1
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.7
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #7Miami | N | L 66–80 | +1.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | O146 | 98.3 | 119.1 | 67.2 |
| Mar 12 | Kentucky | N | L 72–78 | +3.5 | L−2.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 104.5 | 113.2 | 68.9 |
| Mar 7 | #20Arkansas | H | L 84–88 OT | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 109.9 | 115.1 | 76.4 |
| Mar 3 | Oklahoma | A | L 64–80 | +1.0 | L−15.0 | 154.0 | U144 | 100.7 | 125.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | Mississippi St | A | W 88–64 | −1.0 | W+23.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 127.9 | 93.0 | 68.8 |
| Feb 24 | #22Tennessee | H | W 73–69 | +4.0 | W+8.0 | 144.0 | U142 | 111.4 | 105.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | #20Arkansas | A | L 86–94 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 159.5 | O180 | 125.7 | 137.4 | 68.4 |
| Feb 18 | #19Vanderbilt | H | W 81–80 | +3.0 | W+4.0 | 155.0 | O161 | 115.9 | 114.5 | 69.9 |
| Feb 14 | Texas | H | L 68–85 | −2.0 | L−19.0 | 150.5 | O153 | 105.4 | 131.8 | 64.5 |
| Feb 11 | Texas A&M | A | W 86–85 | +6.5 | W+7.5 | 160.0 | O171 | 131.0 | 129.5 | 65.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLe MoyneMissouri
Efficiency
104.7
114.0
110.2
106.5
69.6
67.7
—
—
Shooting
52.7%
55.0%
53.5%
56.4%
34.3%
35.0%
71.8%
69.1%
39.5%
42.1%
Ball control & glass
19.1%
17.8%
15.0%
16.5%
25.2%
34.9%
29.1%
31.7%
11.1%
9.6%
9.5%
9.7%
Style
40.8%
36.4%
42.6%
48.3%
14.2%
14.1%
56.5%
51.2%
31.9%
32.1%
Roster
2.56
3.39
6'5.2"
6'6.9"
—
19.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLe Moyne
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Le Moyne's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Missouri
Returning minutes: 19.4%Returning production: 13.8%
Lost
- Mark Mitchell Jr. 33.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anthony Robinson II 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Florida St
- Jayden Stone 23.6 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- T.O. Barrett 22.8 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jacob Crews 20.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shawn Phillips Jr. 19.3 mpg, 7.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jordan Crawford from South Dakota · 31.2 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Cord Stansberry from W Carolina · 29.1 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
- Kennard Davis Jr. from BYU · 27.0 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Bryson Tiller from Kansas · 25.9 mpg, 7.9 ppg last season
- Jamier Jones from Providence · 24.2 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Jaylen Carey from Tennessee · 18.4 mpg, 7.4 ppg last season
Returns 19% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.