CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceDaskalakis Athletic Center, Philadelphia, PA

Saint Joseph's

Efficiency #118

2025-26: 24-12 · 14-6 conf

Drexel

Efficiency #214

2025-26: 17-16 · 11-9 conf

Fri, Nov 20 · TBD

68.1

win 47%

Projected

69.0

win 53%

No line posted yet.

Model: DREX −0.9 · total 137.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Drexel 66.3, Saint Joseph's 68.8 → 66.7 possessions

−3.5

Drexel offense vs Saint Joseph's defense

−5.3

Saint Joseph's offense vs Drexel defense

−2.3

Projected total

137.1

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Drexel offense vs Saint Joseph's defense

−5.3

Saint Joseph's offense vs Drexel defense

+2.3

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.8

Drexel by 0.9

0.9

Saint Joseph's side ◂▸ Drexel side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +0.8 against +0.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Drexel.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 66.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Saint Joseph's is the faster team (68.2, #192 of 365) and Drexel the slower (65.2, #326). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

66.7

per team, 40 min

Projected total

137.1

model

Projected team totals

68.1 / 69.0

Saint Joseph's / Drexel

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.8#137

Saint Joseph's

66.3#331

Drexel

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageSaint Joseph's

Where Saint Joseph's struggles: shooting

Saint Joseph's shoots an effective 49.2% (#284); Drexel allows 47.1% (#22). Expect about 47.9%, 3.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.8 points per 100 possessions.

AdvantageDrexel

Where Drexel struggles: shooting

Drexel shoots an effective 50.7% (#204); Saint Joseph's allows 47.7% (#34). Expect about 49.1%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.2 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Half-court grind

Drexel averages 65.2 possessions per 40, Saint Joseph's 68.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 66 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

Watch for noise

3-point caution

A notable season 3-point number here (Saint Joseph's, Drexel's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Saint Joseph's at about 40.5% of its shots from three, Drexel about 40.4%.

ClashSaint Joseph's

Style clash: ball movement

Saint Joseph's assists on 59.6% of its made baskets; Drexel breaks up passing offenses (assists on 47.3% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 53.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).

ClashSaint Joseph's

Style clash: 3-point volume

Saint Joseph's takes 45.1% of its shots from three; Drexel runs teams off the line (34.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).

Saint Joseph's has the ball

OffenseDrexel allowsvs D1 avg

49.2% #284

47.1% #22

-4.8 pt/100

16.8% #182

16.4% #195

+0.3 pt/100

31.4% #147

31.0% #202

+0.6 pt/100

29.7% #318

35.4% #192

-0.3 pt/100

73.8% #138

—

+0.1 pt/100

Saint Joseph's net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.1 pts/100

Drexel has the ball

OffenseSaint Joseph's allowsvs D1 avg

50.7% #204

47.7% #34

-3.2 pt/100

19.0% #321

15.0% #286

-0.2 pt/100

31.2% #156

30.6% #185

+0.4 pt/100

31.6% #265

26.9% #20

-0.8 pt/100

66.5% #348

—

-0.5 pt/100

Drexel net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.3 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Saint Joseph'soffense vsDrexeldefense

Share of shots by zone

Saint Joseph's shoots

40.1

4.5

11.0

44.5

Drexel allows

37.9

8.2

19.7

34.2

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	58.2%#189	53.4%#28	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	35.7%#273	37.2%#119	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	34.0%#312	39.2%#210	38.0%
Three	30.8%#325	30.3%#15	33.7%

Drexeloffense vsSaint Joseph'sdefense

Share of shots by zone

Drexel shoots

36.2

7.8

15.9

40.2

Saint Joseph's allows

33.5

7.3

19.5

39.7

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	56.1%#268	52.6%#21	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	39.7%#181	41.5%#226	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	33.9%#315	38.3%#168	38.0%
Three	35.5%#90	31.7%#51	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Saint Joseph's

0.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#181 of 365

Off reb %

31.4%

#147

Def reb %

69.4%

#185

Turnover %

16.8%

#182

Forced TO %

15.0%

#286

FT rate

29.7%

#318

FT allowed

26.9%

#20

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.3

Defensive rebounding0.0

Ball security0.0

Forcing turnovers−1.1

Foul shots drawn−1.4

Foul shots allowed+2.1

Drexel

−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#286 of 365

Off reb %

31.2%

#156

Def reb %

69.0%

#202

Turnover %

19.0%

#321

Forced TO %

16.4%

#195

FT rate

31.6%

#265

FT allowed

35.4%

#192

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.3

Defensive rebounding−0.1

Ball security−1.5

Forcing turnovers−0.2

Foul shots drawn−0.9

Foul shots allowed0.0

Saint Joseph's has more extra scoring chances per game: 0.0 (#181 of 365) to Drexel’s −2.5 (#286).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Saint Joseph's2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Derek Simpson	G	Sr	6'3"	36-36	33.9	13.8	5.3	5.2	2.1	49.1%	31.5%	5.0	91.7%	25.5%
11	Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	So	6'6"	34-34	31.4	15.7	4.8	1.0	1.4	52.2%	34.6%	7.6	72.8%	29.4%
7	Dasear Haskins	G	So	6'8"	36-36	27.7	11.1	6.4	1.4	1.2	53.8%	29.9%	3.5	67.6%	23.6%
13	Austin Williford	G	Fr	6'4"	36-19	26.2	7.8	4.7	1.4	1.2	47.5%	33.6%	4.0	69.8%	20.4%
22	Justice Ajogbor	C	Sr	6'10"	36-33	26.0	6.5	4.9	1.3	0.8	66.4%	—	0.0	60.0%	13.0%
5	Anthony Finkley	F	Jr	6'7"	35-13	19.0	5.4	3.3	1.6	1.3	38.2%	28.8%	3.2	80.8%	22.2%
3	Khaafiq Myers	G	Fr	5'10"	34-0	15.8	5.1	2.9	2.3	1.1	42.8%	25.0%	1.8	60.6%	25.4%
23	Mekai Johnson	G	So	6'5"	17-0	4.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.1	52.9%	18.2%	0.6	100.0%	15.8%
21	Al Amadou	F	So	6'9"	11-0	6.3	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.5	54.5%	0.0%	0.2	42.9%	15.9%
15	Steven Solano	C	So	7'0"	8-0	4.1	1.9	1.3	0.1	0.5	77.8%	—	0.0	50.0%	23.8%
24	Will Lange	G	Jr	6'4"	5-0	3.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.2	33.3%	0.0%	0.2	100.0%	15.6%
20	Billy Rayer	G	So	5'11"	6-0	2.0	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	50.0%	33.3%	0.5	—	18.4%
6	Owen Verna	G	Fr	6'3"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Drexel2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	Shane Blakeney	G	Jr	6'5"	33-33	33.7	14.2	5.1	2.5	2.2	49.5%	35.9%	5.6	67.1%	28.9%
1	Victor Panov	F	Sr	6'7"	31-25	28.7	9.9	4.9	1.6	1.3	55.1%	37.3%	4.8	69.0%	21.2%
7	Eli Beard	G	Sr	5'11"	33-30	26.5	9.0	2.2	2.1	1.3	55.8%	41.3%	4.7	81.5%	20.7%
5	Josh Reed	G	So	6'2"	33-1	18.9	7.9	3.2	1.2	1.1	44.4%	25.0%	1.0	59.0%	30.7%
13	Garfield Turner	F	Sr	6'8"	30-4	19.6	7.1	5.1	1.1	1.0	62.3%	—	0.0	56.5%	21.3%
22	Villiam Garcia Adsten	G	Jr	6'8"	32-10	17.6	3.5	3.8	1.3	1.3	38.8%	29.8%	1.5	54.8%	19.4%
11	Martin de LaPorterie	F	Jr	7'1"	33-29	13.0	3.0	3.1	0.3	0.9	51.2%	33.3%	0.5	70.0%	17.5%
23	Dillon Tingler	G	So	6'7"	29-0	9.9	3.6	1.9	0.4	0.7	52.0%	37.8%	1.3	92.9%	22.5%
33	Ralph Akuta	F	So	7'1"	29-0	4.9	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.4	58.8%	—	0.0	33.3%	22.3%
25	Max Davis	G	Sr	6'4"	4-0	3.0	2.5	0.5	0.5	0.3	100.0%	66.7%	0.8	—	26.8%
24	Ignacio Campoy Galvez	F	Fr	6'7"	1-0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%
6	Clem Edomwonyin	F	So	6'9"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
2	Moses Hipps	G	Fr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Saint Joseph's2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Derek Simpson	G	Sr	6'3"	36-36	33.9	13.8	5.3	5.2	2.1	49.1%	31.5%	5.0	91.7%	25.5%
11	Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	So	6'6"	34-34	31.4	15.7	4.8	1.0	1.4	52.2%	34.6%	7.6	72.8%	29.4%
7	Dasear Haskins	G	So	6'8"	36-36	27.7	11.1	6.4	1.4	1.2	53.8%	29.9%	3.5	67.6%	23.6%
13	Austin Williford	G	Fr	6'4"	36-19	26.2	7.8	4.7	1.4	1.2	47.5%	33.6%	4.0	69.8%	20.4%
22	Justice Ajogbor	C	Sr	6'10"	36-33	26.0	6.5	4.9	1.3	0.8	66.4%	—	0.0	60.0%	13.0%
5	Anthony Finkley	F	Jr	6'7"	35-13	19.0	5.4	3.3	1.6	1.3	38.2%	28.8%	3.2	80.8%	22.2%
3	Khaafiq Myers	G	Fr	5'10"	34-0	15.8	5.1	2.9	2.3	1.1	42.8%	25.0%	1.8	60.6%	25.4%
23	Mekai Johnson	G	So	6'5"	17-0	4.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.1	52.9%	18.2%	0.6	100.0%	15.8%
21	Al Amadou	F	So	6'9"	11-0	6.3	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.5	54.5%	0.0%	0.2	42.9%	15.9%
15	Steven Solano	C	So	7'0"	8-0	4.1	1.9	1.3	0.1	0.5	77.8%	—	0.0	50.0%	23.8%
24	Will Lange	G	Jr	6'4"	5-0	3.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.2	33.3%	0.0%	0.2	100.0%	15.6%
20	Billy Rayer	G	So	5'11"	6-0	2.0	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	50.0%	33.3%	0.5	—	18.4%
6	Owen Verna	G	Fr	6'3"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Saint Joseph's

Against the spread

Season

20-14

Home

8-6

Road

10-6

Last 10

8-2

avg cover +5.5

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

10-23-1

Home

7-7

Road

3-12-1

Last 10

2-7-1

avg vs total −2.6

Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 24	New MexicoAdjEM #42	A	L 69–84	+10.5	L−4.5	155.0	U153	93.5	113.9	73.8
Mar 22	CaliforniaAdjEM #79	A	W 76–75	+5.5	W+6.5	151.5	U151	111.9	110.4	67.9
Mar 18	Colorado StAdjEM #88	A	W 69–64	+6.0	W+11.0	145.5	U133	103.0	95.5	67.0
Mar 14	VCUAdjEM #39	N	L 64–77	+6.5	L−6.5	146.0	U141	98.4	118.4	65.0
Mar 13	DavidsonAdjEM #112	N	W 70–58	−2.0	W+10.0	132.5	U128	114.6	95.0	61.1
Mar 7	La SalleAdjEM #256	H	W 88–76	−10.5	W+1.5	142.5	O164	128.0	110.5	68.8
Mar 4	DavidsonAdjEM #112	A	W 70–67	+2.5	W+5.5	137.0	P137	106.7	102.1	65.6
Feb 28	Rhode IslandAdjEM #137	A	W 61–55	+2.0	W+8.0	141.0	U116	86.8	78.3	70.3
Feb 25	George MasonAdjEM #83	H	W 81–63	+1.0	W+19.0	136.5	O144	125.7	97.7	64.5
Feb 21	Loyola ChicagoAdjEM #309	H	W 75–61	−9.5	W+4.5	142.0	U136	113.9	92.6	65.9

Drexel

Against the spread

Season

16-13-3

Home

10-4-1

Road

5-7-2

Last 10

5-4-1

avg cover −1.0

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push

Over / under

Season

13-18-1

Home

6-8-1

Road

6-8

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total +1.1

Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 8	MonmouthAdjEM #173	N	L 57–65	+4.0	L−4.0	137.5	U122	88.2	100.6	64.6
Mar 7	NortheasternAdjEM #274	N	W 84–77	−5.0	W+2.0	140.5	O161	122.2	112.0	68.8
Mar 3	HofstraAdjEM #69	A	L 51–62	+8.5	L−2.5	133.0	U113	89.9	109.3	56.7
Feb 26	CampbellAdjEM #208	H	W 65–60	−1.0	W+4.0	141.5	U125	102.0	94.2	63.7
Feb 22	TowsonAdjEM #149	H	W 68–62	+2.5	W+8.5	131.0	U130	102.9	93.9	66.1
Feb 19	NortheasternAdjEM #274	A	W 70–61	+1.0	W+10.0	145.0	U131	104.4	91.0	67.0
Feb 16	Stony BrookAdjEM #232	A	L 69–72	+3.0	P0.0	136.5	O141	105.5	110.1	65.4
Feb 12	MonmouthAdjEM #173	H	L 73–93	−1.0	L−21.0	134.0	O166	101.8	129.7	71.7
Feb 7	ElonAdjEM #228	A	W 82–77	+5.0	W+10.0	138.0	O159	121.3	113.9	67.6
Feb 5	CampbellAdjEM #208	A	L 60–81	+4.0	L−17.0	141.5	U141	86.9	117.3	69.0

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Saint Joseph'sDrexel

Efficiency

107.1

104.5

106.3

68.8

66.3

—

Shooting

49.2%

50.7%

51.7%

49.0%

30.8%

35.5%

73.8%

66.5%

29.7%

31.6%

Ball control & glass

16.8%

19.0%

15.0%

16.4%

31.4%

31.2%

30.6%

31.0%

9.7%

11.1%

10.8%

9.3%

Style

45.1%

40.0%

44.1%

42.7%

15.5%

11.0%

59.6%

53.6%

26.1%

33.8%

Roster

2.54

3.24

6'5.5"

6'5.6"

90.9%

83.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Saint Joseph's

Returning minutes: 90.9%Returning production: 91.4%

Lost

Jaden Smith 9.1 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Deuce Jones 7.5 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Kevin Kearney 1.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg · transferred to Manhattan

Added

Owen Verna no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 91% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Drexel

Returning minutes: 83.7%Returning production: 85.1%

Lost

Kevon Vanderhorst 29.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg · transferred to Iona
Horace Simmons Jr. 2.7 mpg, 0.7 ppg · transferred to Rider

Added

Moses Hipps no D1 minutes last season
Clem Edomwonyin no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 84% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Sat, Nov 8	2025-26	Drexel 65 – 76 Saint Joseph's

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.