Presbyterian Blue Hose vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles basketball preview & prediction

Sat, Nov 21 · 7:30 PM ET · Hooper Eblen Center, Cookeville, TN

Non-conferenceESPN+Hooper Eblen Center, Cookeville, TN

Presbyterian

0-2 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #259

Tennessee Tech

2-1 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #265

Sat, Nov 21 · 7:30 PM ET

Our projected score shows once the market opens.

No line posted yet.

Our play

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 71.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Tennessee Tech is the faster team (81.2, #12 of 365) and Presbyterian the slower (67.3, #280). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

71.9

per team, 40 min

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

67.5#341

Presbyterian

74.9#13

Tennessee Tech

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

From the four factors

Tennessee Tech has the ball+15.2

Presbyterian has the ball+10.0

Tennessee Tech has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 58.1% #50 · PRES allows 60.2% #326+9.8

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.9% #177 · PRES forces 10.4% #344 · ~9 turnovers+4.6

✓Gets to the lineFTR 47.6% #67 · PRES allows 41.5% #227 · FT 69.5% #188+0.6

✓Wins second chancesOR% 28.6% #233 · PRES allows 36.5% #271+0.2

Presbyterian has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.8% #141 · TNTC allows 59.1% #313+6.1

✓Gets to the lineFTR 52.8% #41 · TNTC allows 63.6% #347 · FT 71.9% #146+2.2

✓Wins second chancesOR% 32.8% #153 · TNTC allows 35.8% #265+1.3

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.1% #153 · TNTC forces 18.5% #152 · ~13 turnovers+0.4

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

Presbyterianoffense vsTennessee Techdefense

Share of shots by zone

Presbyterian shoots

42.0

5.0

11.0

42.0

Tennessee Tech allows

54.7

7.5

30.2

D-I average

37.8

8.0

12.4

41.8

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	71.4%#38	53.4%#118	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	80.0%#12	25.0%#76	38.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	9.1%#322	62.5%#335	34.7%
Three	27.3%#253	44.1%#334	32.5%

Tennessee Techoffense vsPresbyteriandefense

Share of shots by zone

Tennessee Tech shoots

29.1

8.2

6.4

56.4

Presbyterian allows

37.1

10.5

6.7

45.7

D-I average

37.8

8.0

12.4

41.8

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	56.3%#205	71.8%#323	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	22.2%#266	45.5%#231	38.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	28.6%#224	28.6%#116	34.7%
Three	41.2%#50	44.0%#332	32.5%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

Presbyterian

−2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#219 of 365

Off reb %

32.8%

#153

Def reb %

63.5%

#271

Turnover %

17.1%

#153

Forced TO %

10.4%

#344

FT rate

52.8%

#41

FT allowed

41.5%

#227

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.4

Defensive rebounding−1.6

Ball security+0.8

Forcing turnovers−5.4

Foul shots drawn+4.0

Foul shots allowed−0.9

Tennessee Tech

−5.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#262 of 365

Off reb %

28.6%

#233

Def reb %

64.2%

#265

Turnover %

17.9%

#177

Forced TO %

18.5%

#152

FT rate

47.6%

#67

FT allowed

63.6%

#347

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.0

Defensive rebounding−1.4

Ball security+0.3

Forcing turnovers+0.3

Foul shots drawn+2.7

Foul shots allowed−6.7

Presbyterian has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.7 (#219 of 365) to Tennessee Tech’s −5.9 (#262).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

Presbyterian2026-27 numbers · last game: Georgia, Nov 6

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	Min/40, last 8	Last 3 vs before	Status	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
7	G	Jr	6'7"	2-2	35.0	32	—	Started last	18.5	6.0	5.5	4.0	50.0%	25.0%	4.0	81.0%	31.8%
42	F	Sr	6'8"	2-2	32.5	32	—	Started last	17.0	5.5	1.0	3.0	65.0%	0.0%	0.5	66.7%	28.6%
12	G	Sr	6'3"	2-2	31.0	33	—	Started last	9.5	2.5	0.0	2.0	36.1%	27.3%	5.5	75.0%	24.5%
0	G	Jr	6'3"	2-0	23.0	24	—	Bench	11.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	69.2%	66.7%	3.0	100.0%	21.5%
5	G	Jr	6'6"	2-0	21.0	17	—	Bench	5.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	44.4%	40.0%	2.5	100.0%	13.8%
11	G	Jr	6'1"	2-2	19.0	17	—	Started last	3.5	0.5	2.0	0.5	26.9%	9.1%	5.5	—	21.5%
6	F	Jr	6'8"	2-2	18.0	16	—	Started last	5.0	3.5	0.0	1.0	80.0%	—	0.0	33.3%	16.1%
2	G	Sr	6'6"	2-0	14.0	13	—	Bench	4.0	3.5	0.5	0.0	57.1%	0.0%	1.0	—	14.7%
23	F	Fr	6'10"	1-0	15.0	16	—	Bench	8.0	6.0	0.0	0.0	100.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	19.7%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games

Presbyterian

Against the spread

Season

1-1

Home

0-1

Road

1-0

Last 10

1-1

avg cover +2.2

Covered the last game

Over / under

Season

2-0

Home

1-0

Road

1-0

Last 10

2-0

avg vs total +16.0

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 10	NC StateAdjEM #43	A	L 60–94	+18.5	L−15.5	151.5	O154	85.5	133.9	70.2
Nov 6	GeorgiaAdjEM #61	A	L 77–91	+24.0	W+10.0	158.0	O168	118.0	139.5	65.3
Nov 2	St ThomasAdjEM #135	H	L 78–87	+3.5	L−5.5	143.0	O165	112.4	125.3	69.4
Mar 7	WinthropAdjEM #182	N	L 71–73	+6.5	W+4.5	145.0	U144	103.4	106.4	68.6
Mar 6	RadfordAdjEM #251	N	W 91–85 OT	+2.0	W+8.0	146.5	O176	114.0	106.4	79.8
Feb 28	WinthropAdjEM #182	A	L 70–74	+9.0	W+5.0	150.5	U144	99.6	105.3	70.3
Feb 26	High PointAdjEM #60	H	L 73–79	+11.5	W+5.5	151.5	O152	106.8	115.6	68.3
Feb 21	SC UpstateAdjEM #310	A	L 74–76	−1.0	L−3.0	141.5	O150	114.9	118.0	64.4
Feb 19	LongwoodAdjEM #240	H	W 72–65	−2.5	W+4.5	140.0	U137	108.3	97.8	66.5
Feb 14	UNC AshevilleAdjEM #261	A	W 58–57	+4.5	W+5.5	136.5	U115	92.1	90.5	63.0

Tennessee Tech

Against the spread

Season

1-0-1

Home

1-0

Road

0-0-1

Last 10

1-0-1

avg cover +3.0

Covered the last game

Over / under

Season

2-0

Home

1-0

Road

1-0

Last 10

2-0

avg vs total +31.2

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 8	Western KYAdjEM #131	H	W 97–94	+3.0	W+6.0	164.0	O191	114.9	111.3	84.5
Nov 4	Blue Mountain Christian Toppers	H	W 117–70	—	—	—	—	133.4	79.8	87.7
Nov 2	Mississippi StAdjEM #58	A	L 88–106	+18.0	P0.0	158.5	O194	113.0	136.2	77.8
Feb 28	SE MissouriAdjEM #180	A	L 73–89	+7.5	L−8.5	142.0	O162	107.3	130.8	68.1
Feb 26	UT MartinAdjEM #177	A	L 49–64	+7.0	L−8.0	133.5	U113	74.2	97.0	66.0
Feb 21	LindenwoodAdjEM #280	H	W 72–57	+2.0	W+17.0	152.0	U129	108.8	86.1	66.2
Feb 19	SIUEAdjEM #262	H	W 62–52	+2.0	W+12.0	135.0	U114	92.0	77.1	67.4
Feb 14	S IndianaAdjEM #304	A	W 82–74	+1.0	W+9.0	139.5	O156	127.3	114.9	64.4
Feb 12	Morehead StAdjEM #336	A	L 66–73	+4.0	L−3.0	144.0	U139	105.9	117.1	62.3
Feb 7	E IllinoisAdjEM #348	H	L 54–60	−4.5	L−10.5	140.5	U114	83.7	93.0	64.5

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

PresbyterianTennessee Tech

Efficiency

105.8

105.9

111.9

112.1

67.5

74.9

6.3

6.5

Shooting

52.8%

58.1%

60.9%

53.6%

27.3%

41.2%

71.9%

69.5%

52.8%

47.6%

Ball control & glass

17.1%

17.9%

10.4%

18.5%

32.8%

28.6%

36.5%

35.8%

9.7%

6.2%

7.8%

19.6%

Style

40.7%

54.8%

45.2%

32.4%

16.1%

16.2%

43.1%

58.6%

32.6%

41.8%

Roster

3.31

3.19

6'5.5"

6'4.2"

65.3%

17.2%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Presbyterian

Returning minutes: 70.5%Returning production: 72.0%

Lost

Jonah Pierce 32.6 mpg, 16.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Josh Pickett 27.0 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to Long Island

Added

Langston Hackworth no D1 minutes last season
Augustine Ayelyine no D1 minutes last season
Nehemiah Young no D1 minutes last season
EJ Smith no D1 minutes last season
Wade Marsh no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 71% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Tennessee Tech

Returning minutes: 17.2%Returning production: 16.7%

Lost

Mekhi Cameron 26.7 mpg, 11.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Brandon Muntu 24.8 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
JaJuan Nicholls 17.9 mpg, 11.2 ppg · transferred to Southern Utah
Dani Pounds 16.5 mpg, 9.9 ppg · transferred to Louisiana
Ja'Quavian Florence 16.0 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Grant Slatten 13.3 mpg, 2.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Trent Mosquera from Le Moyne · 31.8 mpg, 13.5 ppg last season
Davante Hackett from Stonehill · 27.7 mpg, 13.6 ppg last season
Cbo Newton from Abilene Chrstn · 23.5 mpg, 9.2 ppg last season
Caleb Hollenbeck from Marshall · 17.3 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
Dane Christensen from UT Rio Grande · 11.0 mpg, 3.0 ppg last season
Caleb Sanders from South Florida · 2.4 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season

Returns 17% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Sat, Nov 21

SC Upstate at UNC Greensboro · 11:00 AM ET
Siena at Bucknell · 11:00 AM ET
Gardner-Webb at VMI · 12:00 PM ET
Columbia at Boston U · 12:00 PM ET
Detroit Mercy at Michigan St · 12:00 PM ET
Denver at E Michigan · 1:00 PM ET
Kent State at Cleveland St · 1:00 PM ET
Mercyhurst vs W Illinois · 1:30 PM ET
Lafayette at Syracuse · 2:00 PM ET
N Illinois at Bowling Green · 2:00 PM ET
Fordham vs Portland · 2:00 PM ET
New Mexico at Wichita St · 2:00 PM ET
Navy at Rider · 2:00 PM ET
Little Rock at North Florida · 2:00 PM ET
Cornell at Morgan St · 2:00 PM ET
Stony Brook at Saint Peter's · 2:00 PM ET
UT Rio Grande at Austin Peay · 3:00 PM ET
St Thomas at Milwaukee · 3:00 PM ET
Drake at Missouri St · 3:00 PM ET
Army at Binghamton · 3:30 PM ET
C Arkansas at Jacksonville · 4:00 PM ET
South Florida at George Mason · 4:00 PM ET
Penn at La Salle · 4:00 PM ET
Longwood at ETSU · 4:00 PM ET
UAlbany at Canisius · 4:00 PM ET
UC Irvine vs San Diego · 4:30 PM ET
Air Force at UTSA · 5:00 PM ET
Northeastern at Stonehill · 5:00 PM ET
Southern Miss vs Nicholls · 5:00 PM ET
Winthrop at Wofford · 5:00 PM ET
Coppin St at Georgetown · 6:00 PM ET
Maine at UMass · 6:00 PM ET
UNC Wilmington at Norfolk St · 6:00 PM ET
W Carolina at Wake Forest · 7:00 PM ET
Brown at Vermont · 7:00 PM ET
Charleston So at Mercer · 7:00 PM ET
CA Baptist vs LMU · 7:00 PM ET
N Arizona at Cal Poly · 7:00 PM ET
Morehead St at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
Radford at Chattanooga · 7:00 PM ET
Michigan at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
Texas A&M-CC at Oral Roberts · 8:00 PM ET
Troy vs Valparaiso · 8:00 PM ET
LSU N Orleans at Texas Southern · 8:30 PM ET
Washington St vs Duke · 11:00 PM ET
Bradley at Pacific · TBD
Queens at LSU · TBD
New Hampshire at New Haven · TBD

← Fri, Nov 20 · Sun, Nov 22 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

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