CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCharles Koch Arena, Wichita, KS
New Mexico
Efficiency #42
2025-26: 26-11 · 14-8 conf
@
Wichita St
Efficiency #60
2025-26: 24-12 · 14-6 conf
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
73.4
win 43%
Projected
75.4
win 57%
No line posted yet.
Model: WICH −2.0 · total 148.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wichita St 67.9, New Mexico 70.0 → 69.5 possessions
+2.7
Wichita St offense vs New Mexico defense
−2.1
New Mexico offense vs Wichita St defense
−0.1
Projected total
148.7
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wichita St offense vs New Mexico defense
−2.1
New Mexico offense vs Wichita St defense
+0.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Wichita St by 2.0
2.0
New Mexico side ◂▸ Wichita St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wichita St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, New Mexico is the faster team (70.7, #67 of 365) and Wichita St the slower (67.8, #211). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.7
model
Projected team totals
73.4 / 75.4
New Mexico / Wichita St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.0#51
New Mexico
67.9#218
Wichita St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageWichita St
Where Wichita St struggles: shooting
Wichita St shoots an effective 49.4% (#274); New Mexico allows 49.5% (#84). Expect about 49.3%, 2.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashWichita St
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
Wichita St (#8 in offensive rebounding) against New Mexico (#57 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 34.4%. Historically Wichita St's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
AdvantageNew Mexico
Where New Mexico scores: ball control
New Mexico turns it over on 14.9% of possessions (#58); Wichita St forces turnovers on 15.7% of opponent possessions (#235). Expect about 15.0%, 1.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Wichita St's defense, New Mexico's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect New Mexico at about 38.1% of its shots from three, Wichita St about 40.6%.
ClashWichita St
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
Wichita St (#60 in turnover rate) against New Mexico (#51 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 17.1%. Historically New Mexico's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
ClashWichita St
Style clash: 3-point volume
Wichita St rarely shoots threes (33.8% of its shots); New Mexico lets opponents take 48.2% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.6% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
New Mexico has the ball
OffenseWichita St allowsvs D1 avg
53.5% #82
47.2% #24
-1.1 pt/100
14.9% #58
15.7% #235
+2.1 pt/100
30.6% #176
28.8% #93
-0.4 pt/100
35.8% #160
34.3% #158
-0.0 pt/100
72.9% #176
—
+0.0 pt/100
New Mexico net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.7 pts/100
Wichita St has the ball
OffenseNew Mexico allowsvs D1 avg
49.4% #274
49.5% #84
-2.8 pt/100
14.9% #60
19.0% #51
-0.4 pt/100
38.0% #8
27.7% #57
+2.4 pt/100
36.0% #149
33.3% #138
-0.1 pt/100
69.2% #291
—
-0.3 pt/100
Wichita St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNew Mexicooffense vsWichita Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
New Mexico shoots
42.6
5.3
10.7
41.4
Wichita St allows
35.7
9.5
20.8
34.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#225 | 53.9%#39 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.9%#125 | 35.5%#73 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.8%#84 | 39.8%#235 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#83 | 31.5%#44 | 33.7% |
Wichita Stoffense vsNew Mexicodefense
Share of shots by zone
Wichita St shoots
39.0
11.0
16.9
33.1
New Mexico allows
30.7
4.1
17.3
48.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#288 | 59.1%#196 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.9%#177 | 43.4%#258 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.4%#174 | 43.4%#333 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.5%#195 | 30.5%#20 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNew Mexico
+4.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#30 of 365
Off reb %
30.6%
#176
Def reb %
72.3%
#57
Turnover %
14.9%
#58
Forced TO %
19.0%
#51
FT rate
35.8%
#160
FT allowed
33.3%
#138
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.5
Wichita St
+4.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#34 of 365
Off reb %
38.0%
#8
Def reb %
71.2%
#93
Turnover %
14.9%
#60
Forced TO %
15.7%
#235
FT rate
36.0%
#149
FT allowed
34.3%
#158
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.5
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers−0.7
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.2
New Mexico has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.5 (#30 of 365) to Wichita St’s +4.1 (#34).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
New Mexico2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted New Mexico's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jake Hall | G | Fr | 6'4" | 37-37 | 31.0 | 16.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 61.7% | 43.8% | 7.2 | 80.0% | 25.2% | |
| 3 | Luke Haupt | G | Sr | 6'7" | 37-27 | 28.1 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 71.6% | 17.2% | |
| 4 | Uriah Tenette | G | Fr | 5'11" | 36-8 | 27.5 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 47.8% | 32.4% | 3.8 | 83.2% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | Tomislav Buljan | F | Fr | 6'9" | 35-35 | 26.0 | 13.1 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 55.3% | 30.8% | 0.7 | 60.7% | 29.0% | |
| 5 | Antonio Chol | F | Jr | 6'9" | 37-32 | 24.2 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 32.3% | 5.0 | 60.0% | 19.3% | |
| 1 | Deyton Albury | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-34 | 24.8 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 55.6% | 37.7% | 1.5 | 77.9% | 26.9% | |
| 2 | Tajavis Miller | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-0 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 50.6% | 34.3% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 20.0% | |
| 35 | JT Rock | C | So | 7'1" | 37-1 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 61.9% | 39.7% | 1.6 | 64.4% | 24.6% | |
| 8 | Chris Howell | G | Sr | 6'6" | 11-11 | 24.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 42.4% | 27.8% | 1.6 | 87.5% | 16.0% | |
| 31 | Milos Vicentic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 16-0 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.8% | 20.7% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 27.7% | |
| 0 | Kevin Patton Jr. | G | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 39.6% | 10.0% | 1.1 | 57.1% | 20.0% | |
| 29 | Timeo Pons | G | Fr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 45.0% | 30.4% | 1.8 | 87.5% | 29.5% | |
| 11 | Kallai Patton | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Sir Marius Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wichita St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenyon Giles | G | Sr | 5'10" | 36-36 | 36.3 | 19.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 51.2% | 37.8% | 9.2 | 83.1% | 31.5% | |
| 0 | Karon Boyd | F | Sr | 6'6" | 36-36 | 33.8 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 35.1% | 3.6 | 63.8% | 21.2% | |
| 9 | Michael Gray Jr. | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-36 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 43.0% | 31.1% | 4.6 | 85.9% | 21.8% | |
| 4 | TJ Williams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 35-16 | 22.0 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 46.8% | 8.3% | 0.3 | 68.3% | 26.4% | |
| 44 | Will Berg | C | Jr | 7'2" | 35-10 | 21.9 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 55.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 69.0% | 22.5% | |
| 3 | Dre Kindell | G | Jr | 5'11" | 36-0 | 17.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 49.4% | 34.3% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 21.8% | |
| 20 | Emmanuel Okorafor | F | Sr | 6'10" | 36-26 | 16.9 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 67.2% | 22.6% | |
| 8 | Dillon Battie | F | So | 6'8" | 31-20 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 56.9% | 18.8% | 0.5 | 61.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Brian Amuneke | G | So | 6'5" | 36-0 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 50.0% | 21.7% | |
| 2 | Jaret Valencia | F | Jr | 6'8" | 11-0 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 33.9% | 27.3% | 1.0 | 58.8% | 18.5% | |
| 22 | Noah Hill | F | Fr | 6'7" | 19-0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 19.9% | |
| 21 | Henry Thengvall | F | Jr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Joy Ighovodja | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Pierre Couisnard | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Tyrus Rathan-Mayes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
New Mexico2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted New Mexico's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jake Hall | G | Fr | 6'4" | 37-37 | 31.0 | 16.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 61.7% | 43.8% | 7.2 | 80.0% | 25.2% | |
| 3 | Luke Haupt | G | Sr | 6'7" | 37-27 | 28.1 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 71.6% | 17.2% | |
| 4 | Uriah Tenette | G | Fr | 5'11" | 36-8 | 27.5 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 47.8% | 32.4% | 3.8 | 83.2% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | Tomislav Buljan | F | Fr | 6'9" | 35-35 | 26.0 | 13.1 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 55.3% | 30.8% | 0.7 | 60.7% | 29.0% | |
| 5 | Antonio Chol | F | Jr | 6'9" | 37-32 | 24.2 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 32.3% | 5.0 | 60.0% | 19.3% | |
| 1 | Deyton Albury | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-34 | 24.8 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 55.6% | 37.7% | 1.5 | 77.9% | 26.9% | |
| 2 | Tajavis Miller | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-0 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 50.6% | 34.3% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 20.0% | |
| 35 | JT Rock | C | So | 7'1" | 37-1 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 61.9% | 39.7% | 1.6 | 64.4% | 24.6% | |
| 8 | Chris Howell | G | Sr | 6'6" | 11-11 | 24.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 42.4% | 27.8% | 1.6 | 87.5% | 16.0% | |
| 31 | Milos Vicentic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 16-0 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.8% | 20.7% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 27.7% | |
| 0 | Kevin Patton Jr. | G | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 39.6% | 10.0% | 1.1 | 57.1% | 20.0% | |
| 29 | Timeo Pons | G | Fr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 45.0% | 30.4% | 1.8 | 87.5% | 29.5% | |
| 11 | Kallai Patton | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Sir Marius Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26New Mexico
Against the spread
Season
21-14
Home
11-7
Road
7-5
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +1.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
22-12-1
Home
11-6-1
Road
8-4
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.1
Under 3 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2 | Tulsa | N | L 69–74 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 162.5 | U143 | 97.1 | 104.2 | 71.0 |
| Mar 24 | Saint Joseph's | H | W 84–69 | −10.5 | W+4.5 | 155.0 | U153 | 113.9 | 93.5 | 73.8 |
| Mar 22 | G Washington | H | W 86–61 | −7.0 | W+18.0 | 161.5 | U147 | 125.8 | 89.2 | 68.4 |
| Mar 18 | Sam Houston | H | W 107–83 | −11.5 | W+12.5 | 163.0 | O190 | 140.7 | 109.2 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | San Diego St | N | L 62–64 | +2.5 | W+0.5 | 150.5 | U126 | 93.7 | 96.8 | 66.1 |
| Mar 12 | San José St | N | W 93–77 | −15.5 | W+0.5 | 154.5 | O170 | 135.2 | 111.9 | 68.8 |
| Mar 7 | Utah State | A | L 90–94 | +7.5 | W+3.5 | 156.5 | O184 | 130.0 | 135.8 | 69.2 |
| Mar 4 | Colorado St | H | L 74–82 | −8.0 | L−16.0 | 151.0 | O156 | 101.9 | 112.9 | 72.6 |
| Feb 28 | San Diego St | H | W 81–76 | −1.5 | W+3.5 | 149.0 | O157 | 115.3 | 108.1 | 70.3 |
| Feb 24 | Nevada | A | L 60–67 | −1.0 | L−8.0 | 150.0 | U127 | 84.9 | 94.7 | 70.7 |
Wichita St
Against the spread
Season
23-12
Home
12-5
Road
9-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +5.0
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-19
Home
6-11
Road
9-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.2
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24 | Tulsa | A | L 79–83 | +4.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | O162 | 105.2 | 110.6 | 75.1 |
| Mar 22 | Oklahoma St | A | W 96–70 | +2.5 | W+28.5 | 163.0 | O166 | 130.5 | 95.1 | 73.6 |
| Mar 17 | Wyoming | H | W 74–70 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 99.0 | 93.7 | 74.7 |
| Mar 15 | South Florida | N | L 55–70 | +6.0 | L−9.0 | 150.5 | U125 | 80.6 | 102.6 | 68.2 |
| Mar 14 | Tulsa | N | W 81–68 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 152.0 | U149 | 124.9 | 104.9 | 64.8 |
| Mar 7 | FAU | H | W 88–70 | −8.0 | W+10.0 | 149.0 | O158 | 125.5 | 99.9 | 70.1 |
| Mar 1 | UTSA | A | W 84–67 | −15.5 | W+1.5 | 150.5 | O151 | 120.5 | 96.1 | 69.7 |
| Feb 26 | Memphis | A | W 88–82 | +1.0 | W+7.0 | 149.5 | O170 | 122.4 | 114.1 | 71.9 |
| Feb 21 | Temple | H | W 69–57 | −8.5 | W+3.5 | 143.5 | U126 | 112.4 | 92.8 | 61.4 |
| Feb 18 | East Carolina | A | W 92–89 2OT | −8.0 | L−5.0 | 149.5 | O181 | 104.4 | 101.0 | 88.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNew MexicoWichita St
Efficiency
113.5
111.1
102.9
103.4
70.0
67.9
—
—
Shooting
53.5%
49.4%
53.6%
49.0%
35.6%
33.5%
72.9%
69.2%
35.8%
36.0%
Ball control & glass
14.9%
14.9%
19.0%
15.7%
30.6%
38.0%
27.7%
28.8%
8.6%
8.7%
9.2%
8.3%
Style
41.9%
33.8%
42.8%
45.1%
15.4%
9.5%
52.8%
41.3%
31.5%
32.4%
Roster
2.48
3.21
6'5.5"
6'4.5"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNew Mexico
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted New Mexico's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Wichita St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.