CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceUTSA Convocation Center, San Antonio, TX
Air Force
Efficiency #360
2025-26: 3-29 · 0-21 conf
@
UTSA
Efficiency #350
2025-26: 5-25 · 1-17 conf
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
69.4
win 31%
Projected
75.3
win 69%
No line posted yet.
Model: UTSA −5.9 · total 144.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UTSA 69.1, Air Force 67.6 → 68.4 possessions
+0.2
UTSA offense vs Air Force defense
−0.9
Air Force offense vs UTSA defense
−2.8
Projected total
144.7
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UTSA offense vs Air Force defense
−0.9
Air Force offense vs UTSA defense
+2.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
UTSA by 5.9
5.9
Air Force side ◂▸ UTSA side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +5.8 against +5.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UTSA.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UTSA is the faster team (69.6, #111 of 365) and Air Force the slower (67.4, #227). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.7
model
Projected team totals
69.4 / 75.3
Air Force / UTSA
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.6#242
Air Force
69.1#112
UTSA
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetWatch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (UTSA, Air Force, Air Force's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Air Force at about 43.8% of its shots from three, UTSA about 40.5%.
AdvantageAir Force
Where Air Force struggles: ball control
Air Force turns it over on 21.9% of possessions (#361); UTSA forces turnovers on 14.7% of opponent possessions (#311). Expect about 18.4%, 1.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.9 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageUTSA
Where UTSA struggles: shooting
UTSA shoots an effective 44.8% (#360); Air Force allows 56.4% (#350). Expect about 50.1%, 1.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions.
Air Force has the ball
OffenseUTSA allowsvs D1 avg
48.9% #292
53.3% #277
-0.5 pt/100
21.9% #361
14.7% #311
-1.9 pt/100
21.4% #360
38.7% #363
-1.4 pt/100
35.1% #174
33.3% #135
-0.1 pt/100
64.1% #364
—
-0.7 pt/100
Air Force net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.7 pts/100
UTSA has the ball
OffenseAir Force allowsvs D1 avg
44.8% #360
56.4% #350
-1.7 pt/100
17.5% #235
15.1% #281
+0.9 pt/100
30.2% #191
31.3% #215
+0.2 pt/100
29.5% #320
36.6% #227
-0.2 pt/100
69.8% #275
—
-0.2 pt/100
UTSA net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAir Forceoffense vsUTSAdefense
Share of shots by zone
Air Force shoots
38.6
7.1
12.7
41.6
UTSA allows
40.0
4.2
13.3
42.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#152 | 60.5%#249 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 29.5%#351 | 38.5%#145 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.9%#314 | 38.5%#184 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.6%#332 | 35.1%#251 | 33.7% |
UTSAoffense vsAir Forcedefense
Share of shots by zone
UTSA shoots
37.2
6.4
15.5
40.8
Air Force allows
38.1
6.5
16.8
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 50.6%#356 | 62.7%#319 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.0%#316 | 45.5%#309 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.2%#217 | 42.1%#309 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.2%#351 | 37.6%#352 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAir Force
−8.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#363 of 365
Off reb %
21.4%
#360
Def reb %
68.7%
#215
Turnover %
21.9%
#361
Forced TO %
15.1%
#281
FT rate
35.1%
#174
FT allowed
36.6%
#227
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.9
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−3.5
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed−0.3
UTSA
−5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#351 of 365
Off reb %
30.2%
#191
Def reb %
61.3%
#363
Turnover %
17.5%
#235
Forced TO %
14.7%
#311
FT rate
29.5%
#320
FT allowed
33.3%
#135
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−2.6
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−1.4
Foul shots drawn−1.4
Foul shots allowed+0.5
UTSA has more extra scoring chances per game: −5.4 (#351 of 365) to Air Force’s −8.0 (#363).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Air Force2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Air Force's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kam Sanders | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 29.9 | 12.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.3% | 36.0% | 3.6 | 73.0% | 28.8% | |
| 24 | Lucas Hobin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-25 | 29.0 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 47.5% | 31.8% | 6.9 | 83.3% | 24.8% | |
| 30 | Eli Robinson | F | So | 6'6" | 31-31 | 28.0 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 52.2% | 35.9% | 1.3 | 65.8% | 19.2% | |
| 21 | Ethan Greenberg | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 26.9 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 34.2% | 4.8 | 65.2% | 16.9% | |
| 51 | Wesley Celichowski | C | Jr | 7'0" | 32-29 | 20.7 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 43.5% | 16.4% | 1.9 | 53.3% | 18.2% | |
| 10 | Caleb Walker | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-6 | 21.6 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 66.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 46.4% | 28.6% | |
| 2 | A.J. Patterson | G | So | 6'3" | 29-0 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 42.7% | 14.3% | 0.2 | 60.7% | 16.9% | |
| 32 | Kolby Gilles | F | Jr | 6'5" | 32-5 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 47.0% | 13.6% | 0.7 | 57.1% | 22.5% | |
| 15 | Justin Hinds | G | Fr | 6'5" | 29-3 | 11.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 30.0% | 16.1% | 1.1 | 58.3% | 14.4% | |
| 5 | Riley Dering | F | Fr | 6'9" | 14-0 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 62.7% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 20.0% | |
| 35 | Kyle Marshall | G | So | 6'4" | 4-0 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 17.2% | |
| 11 | Brendan Martin | F | Fr | 6'6" | 12-0 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.4% | 26.7% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 21.4% | |
| 0 | Josh Gatete | F | Jr | 6'9" | 14-0 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 18.0% | |
| 33 | Sam Imade | F | Fr | 6'7" | 10-0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 17.7% | |
| 7 | Elliott Taite | G | So | 6'4" | 11-0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 69.2% | 57.1% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 42.2% | |
| 25 | Chris Catchings | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 24.2% | |
| 8 | Keaton Frisch | F | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UTSA2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UTSA's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jamir Simpson | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 34.6 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.8% | 30.1% | 5.9 | 75.0% | 29.7% | |
| 0 | Dorian Hayes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 26-23 | 30.2 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 46.7% | 33.3% | 6.3 | 70.7% | 19.4% | |
| 4 | Brent Moss | G | Jr | 6'6" | 29-15 | 26.8 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 44.8% | 32.7% | 5.3 | 74.4% | 23.8% | |
| 24 | Baboucarr Njie | F | So | 6'6" | 29-10 | 25.5 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 46.6% | 6.5% | 1.1 | 63.5% | 26.6% | |
| 2 | Austin Nunez | G | Sr | 6'2" | 22-21 | 28.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 35.2% | 25.3% | 4.0 | 88.5% | 27.5% | |
| 23 | Matheo Coffi | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-21 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 57.4% | 36.8% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 12.7% | |
| 1 | Kaidon Rayfield | F | Fr | 6'8" | 26-13 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 42.1% | 22.7% | 1.7 | 56.9% | 23.6% | |
| 12 | Daniel Akitoby | F | Sr | 6'9" | 24-8 | 13.9 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 59.8% | 40.0% | 0.4 | 64.5% | 21.7% | |
| 8 | LJ Brown | G | Sr | 6'2" | 17-2 | 12.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 42.2% | 27.8% | 2.1 | 75.0% | 15.0% | |
| 6 | Macaleab Rich | G | Jr | 6'7" | 11-2 | 15.1 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 57.1% | 18.2% | 1.0 | 70.8% | 30.1% | |
| 10 | Mo Njie | C | Sr | 6'11" | 20-6 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 59.5% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 44.4% | 14.3% | |
| 5 | Pierce Spencer | G | Sr | 6'3" | 4-0 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 21.0% | |
| 17 | Stanley Borden | C | Sr | 7'0" | 3-0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 10.5% | |
| 25 | Jackson Fazande | F | So | 6'3" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 13.1% | |
| 3 | Vasean Allette | PG | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Air Force2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Air Force's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kam Sanders | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 29.9 | 12.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.3% | 36.0% | 3.6 | 73.0% | 28.8% | |
| 24 | Lucas Hobin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-25 | 29.0 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 47.5% | 31.8% | 6.9 | 83.3% | 24.8% | |
| 30 | Eli Robinson | F | So | 6'6" | 31-31 | 28.0 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 52.2% | 35.9% | 1.3 | 65.8% | 19.2% | |
| 21 | Ethan Greenberg | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 26.9 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 49.2% | 34.2% | 4.8 | 65.2% | 16.9% | |
| 51 | Wesley Celichowski | C | Jr | 7'0" | 32-29 | 20.7 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 43.5% | 16.4% | 1.9 | 53.3% | 18.2% | |
| 10 | Caleb Walker | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-6 | 21.6 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 66.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 46.4% | 28.6% | |
| 2 | A.J. Patterson | G | So | 6'3" | 29-0 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 42.7% | 14.3% | 0.2 | 60.7% | 16.9% | |
| 32 | Kolby Gilles | F | Jr | 6'5" | 32-5 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 47.0% | 13.6% | 0.7 | 57.1% | 22.5% | |
| 15 | Justin Hinds | G | Fr | 6'5" | 29-3 | 11.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 30.0% | 16.1% | 1.1 | 58.3% | 14.4% | |
| 5 | Riley Dering | F | Fr | 6'9" | 14-0 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 62.7% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 20.0% | |
| 35 | Kyle Marshall | G | So | 6'4" | 4-0 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 17.2% | |
| 11 | Brendan Martin | F | Fr | 6'6" | 12-0 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.4% | 26.7% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 21.4% | |
| 0 | Josh Gatete | F | Jr | 6'9" | 14-0 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 18.0% | |
| 33 | Sam Imade | F | Fr | 6'7" | 10-0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 17.7% | |
| 7 | Elliott Taite | G | So | 6'4" | 11-0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 69.2% | 57.1% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 42.2% | |
| 25 | Chris Catchings | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 24.2% | |
| 8 | Keaton Frisch | F | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Air Force
Against the spread
Season
10-20-2
Home
4-12-2
Road
6-6
Last 10
2-7-1
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 10 as an underdog, 1 pushCovered 2 of 9 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
19-12-1
Home
13-5
Road
6-5-1
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.5
Under 2 straightOver in 7 of 10 as an underdogOver in 6 of 9 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Nevada | N | L 45–80 | +19.0 | L−16.0 | 141.0 | U125 | 63.2 | 112.3 | 71.2 |
| Mar 7 | Nevada | A | L 59–74 | +25.5 | W+10.5 | 145.0 | U133 | 91.1 | 114.2 | 64.8 |
| Mar 3 | Grand Canyon | H | L 60–86 | +19.0 | L−7.0 | 143.0 | O146 | 87.4 | 125.3 | 68.7 |
| Feb 28 | Wyoming | A | L 62–66 | +21.5 | W+17.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 95.0 | 101.1 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | San José St | H | L 80–86 | +6.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | O166 | 120.8 | 129.8 | 66.2 |
| Feb 21 | UNLV | H | L 66–91 | +16.5 | L−8.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 95.7 | 132.0 | 69.0 |
| Feb 17 | New Mexico | A | L 61–98 | +28.0 | L−9.0 | 148.5 | O159 | 86.3 | 138.6 | 70.7 |
| Feb 14 | Fresno St | A | L 63–93 | +15.0 | L−15.0 | 142.0 | O156 | 86.4 | 127.5 | 72.9 |
| Feb 10 | Colorado St | H | L 74–91 | +16.5 | L−0.5 | 137.5 | O165 | 113.4 | 139.4 | 65.3 |
| Feb 7 | San Diego St | H | L 54–88 | +21.5 | L−12.5 | 140.0 | O142 | 77.0 | 125.4 | 70.2 |
UTSA
Against the spread
Season
10-18
Home
5-7
Road
4-10
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.6
Covered the last gameCovered 6 of 10 as an underdogCovered 5 of 9 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-12
Home
5-7
Road
11-3
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +4.3
Over 4 straightOver in 8 of 10 as an underdogOver in 7 of 9 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Rice | A | L 71–80 | +12.0 | W+3.0 | 150.0 | O151 | 103.2 | 116.3 | 68.8 |
| Mar 1 | Wichita St | H | L 67–84 | +15.5 | L−1.5 | 150.5 | O151 | 96.1 | 120.5 | 69.7 |
| Feb 25 | East Carolina | H | L 81–82 | +4.5 | W+3.5 | 153.5 | O163 | 119.9 | 121.4 | 67.5 |
| Feb 22 | Tulsa | A | L 74–100 | +22.0 | L−4.0 | 159.5 | O174 | 103.4 | 139.8 | 71.5 |
| Feb 18 | FAU | H | L 52–60 | +11.5 | W+3.5 | 157.5 | U112 | 76.9 | 88.7 | 67.6 |
| Feb 15 | Charlotte | A | W 88–79 | +14.0 | W+23.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 133.7 | 120.0 | 65.8 |
| Feb 11 | East Carolina | A | L 72–88 | +10.5 | L−5.5 | 149.5 | O160 | 101.3 | 123.9 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | North Texas | H | L 58–81 | +10.0 | L−13.0 | 138.5 | O139 | 83.2 | 116.1 | 69.7 |
| Feb 4 | South Florida | A | L 88–109 | +24.0 | W+3.0 | 163.5 | O197 | 124.4 | 154.1 | 70.7 |
| Jan 28 | UAB | H | L 73–83 | +13.5 | W+3.5 | 156.5 | U156 | 103.3 | 117.5 | 70.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAir ForceUTSA
Efficiency
97.8
101.5
114.2
115.1
67.6
69.1
—
—
Shooting
48.9%
44.8%
51.1%
45.5%
30.6%
29.2%
64.1%
69.8%
35.1%
29.5%
Ball control & glass
21.9%
17.5%
15.1%
14.7%
21.4%
30.2%
31.3%
38.7%
11.8%
11.8%
11.9%
13.1%
Style
41.8%
41.3%
46.5%
42.6%
10.5%
15.6%
55.9%
42.8%
32.1%
31.5%
Roster
1.73
2.66
6'6.2"
6'5.8"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAir Force
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Air Force's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UTSA
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UTSA's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.