CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceSojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA
Siena
Efficiency #134
2025-26: 23-12 · 16-7 conf
@
Bucknell
Efficiency #334
2025-26: 10-23 · 7-13 conf
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
72.2
win 65%
Projected
67.7
win 35%
No line posted yet.
Model: SIE −4.5 · total 139.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Bucknell 68.1, Siena 66.4 → 66.2 possessions
−4.5
Bucknell offense vs Siena defense
−6.1
Siena offense vs Bucknell defense
+2.3
Projected total
139.9
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Bucknell offense vs Siena defense
−6.1
Siena offense vs Bucknell defense
−2.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Siena by 4.5
4.5
Siena side ◂▸ Bucknell side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to −4.6 against −4.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Bucknell.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Bucknell is the faster team (66.9, #247 of 365) and Siena the slower (64.2, #350). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
139.9
model
Projected team totals
72.2 / 67.7
Siena / Bucknell
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.4#322
Siena
68.1#202
Bucknell
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageBucknell
Where Bucknell struggles: shooting
Bucknell shoots an effective 48.5% (#304); Siena allows 48.5% (#48). Expect about 48.2%, 3.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.3 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
Bucknell averages 66.9 possessions per 40, Siena 64.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 64 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Bucknell, Siena, Bucknell's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Siena at about 37.6% of its shots from three, Bucknell about 42.1%.
AdvantageSiena
Where Siena scores: shooting
Siena shoots an effective 50.4% (#222); Bucknell allows 54.7% (#323). Expect about 52.5%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
GlassBucknell
Bucknell gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.6% is worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions against Bucknell's offense.
TurnoversBucknell
Bucknell turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.2% is worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions against Bucknell's offense.
Siena has the ball
OffenseBucknell allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #222
54.7% #323
+1.8 pt/100
15.8% #126
17.9% #99
-0.2 pt/100
31.8% #133
31.3% #216
+0.9 pt/100
33.4% #226
35.3% #186
-0.1 pt/100
77.1% #32
—
+0.4 pt/100
Siena net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Bucknell has the ball
OffenseSiena allowsvs D1 avg
48.5% #304
48.5% #48
-4.3 pt/100
19.0% #320
17.0% #152
-1.7 pt/100
27.0% #295
29.5% #133
-1.7 pt/100
29.8% #314
27.5% #27
-0.9 pt/100
76.8% #35
—
+0.4 pt/100
Bucknell net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -8.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSienaoffense vsBucknelldefense
Share of shots by zone
Siena shoots
40.8
5.5
22.2
31.6
Bucknell allows
33.5
6.5
13.6
46.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#206 | 60.3%#245 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.5%#46 | 45.5%#309 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.1%#23 | 40.7%#268 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.6%#330 | 37.0%#344 | 33.7% |
Bucknelloffense vsSienadefense
Share of shots by zone
Bucknell shoots
39.5
6.2
12.0
42.2
Siena allows
36.8
4.8
19.2
39.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.8%#201 | 53.4%#29 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.2%#265 | 44.7%#287 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.5%#336 | 39.7%#232 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.6%#328 | 32.3%#82 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSiena
+3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#50 of 365
Off reb %
31.8%
#133
Def reb %
70.5%
#133
Turnover %
15.8%
#126
Forced TO %
17.0%
#152
FT rate
33.4%
#226
FT allowed
27.5%
#27
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Bucknell
−3.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#310 of 365
Off reb %
27.0%
#295
Def reb %
68.7%
#216
Turnover %
19.0%
#320
Forced TO %
17.9%
#99
FT rate
29.8%
#314
FT allowed
35.3%
#186
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−1.5
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed0.0
Siena has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.2 (#50 of 365) to Bucknell’s −3.4 (#310).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
Bucknell2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Achile Spadone | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 34.8 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.3% | 29.7% | 4.4 | 79.2% | 23.9% | |
| 2 | Jayden Williams | G | So | 5'10" | 33-33 | 32.6 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 39.4% | 31.0% | 3.5 | 82.8% | 18.7% | |
| 22 | Amon Dorries | C | Fr | 6'11" | 33-32 | 32.5 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 57.8% | 33.3% | 2.5 | 78.8% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Aleksander Pachucki | G | So | 6'5" | 33-10 | 20.7 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 53.9% | 35.9% | 3.5 | 69.6% | 17.5% | |
| 21 | Pat Curtin | G | Fr | 6'3" | 27-19 | 25.1 | 12.8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 47.8% | 26.9% | 4.4 | 80.2% | 33.4% | |
| 4 | Ruot Bijiek | F | Sr | 6'9" | 12-11 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 44.2% | 28.4% | 6.2 | 85.4% | 29.2% | |
| 1 | Jacob Meachem | G | Fr | 5'8" | 30-0 | 10.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 27.4% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 77.3% | 17.5% | |
| 23 | Grgur Brcic | C | Jr | 6'10" | 18-8 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 56.9% | — | 0.0 | 46.2% | 16.2% | |
| 10 | Brandon McCreesh | G | Jr | 6'4" | 8-8 | 27.6 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 52.9% | 37.5% | 4.0 | 62.5% | 16.2% | |
| 0 | Patrick O'Brien | F | Jr | 6'8" | 21-3 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 39.7% | 16.7% | 0.9 | 70.4% | 15.1% | |
| 5 | Josh Fulton | G | Sr | 6'6" | 8-0 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 75.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 85.7% | 12.7% | |
| 7 | Matt Lange | G | So | 6'2" | 8-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 11.0% | |
| 32 | Kellen Welch | F | So | 6'7" | 10-0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Brady Muller | F | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Siena
Against the spread
Season
20-14-1
Home
7-6
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.2
Covered 5 straightCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-23-1
Home
4-9
Road
7-9
Last 10
1-8-1
avg vs total −3.4
Over in 0 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #1Duke | N | L 65–71 | +27.5 | W+21.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 105.0 | 114.7 | 61.9 |
| Mar 10 | Merrimack | N | W 64–54 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 128.5 | U118 | 100.7 | 84.9 | 63.6 |
| Mar 8 | Fairfield | N | W 76–61 | −1.5 | W+13.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 119.0 | 95.5 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Mount St Marys | N | W 63–58 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 135.0 | U121 | 104.4 | 96.1 | 60.3 |
| Mar 1 | Rider | H | W 76–61 | −14.5 | W+0.5 | 137.5 | U137 | 114.2 | 91.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 27 | Fairfield | A | L 58–72 | −1.0 | L−15.0 | 142.5 | U130 | 82.9 | 102.9 | 69.9 |
| Feb 22 | Saint Peter's | H | W 72–63 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 136.0 | U135 | 117.3 | 102.6 | 61.4 |
| Feb 20 | Merrimack | A | L 72–79 OT | +2.5 | L−4.5 | 133.0 | O151 | 113.6 | 124.7 | 63.4 |
| Feb 15 | Marist | A | W 67–63 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 134.0 | U130 | 102.7 | 96.5 | 65.3 |
| Feb 13 | Quinnipiac | H | L 62–74 | −4.0 | L−16.0 | 144.0 | U136 | 92.8 | 110.8 | 66.8 |
Bucknell
Against the spread
Season
14-19
Home
5-9
Road
7-10
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −3.1
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-20-1
Home
5-8-1
Road
7-10
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total −0.8
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Navy | A | L 69–74 | +14.5 | W+9.5 | 132.5 | O143 | 110.1 | 118.1 | 62.7 |
| Mar 3 | Army | H | W 65–55 | −2.0 | W+8.0 | 144.0 | U120 | 97.2 | 82.2 | 66.9 |
| Feb 28 | Lehigh | A | L 79–89 | +4.5 | L−5.5 | 139.5 | O168 | 116.3 | 131.1 | 67.9 |
| Feb 25 | Army | A | W 75–73 | +3.5 | W+5.5 | 142.5 | O148 | 103.6 | 100.8 | 72.4 |
| Feb 22 | Holy Cross | H | L 63–72 | −2.5 | L−11.5 | 141.5 | U135 | 95.7 | 109.4 | 65.8 |
| Feb 18 | American | H | L 57–75 | +3.0 | L−15.0 | 140.5 | U132 | 88.1 | 115.9 | 64.7 |
| Feb 14 | Boston U | A | L 69–82 | +5.5 | L−7.5 | 137.0 | O151 | 105.6 | 125.5 | 65.3 |
| Feb 9 | Navy | H | L 60–76 | +6.5 | L−9.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 86.7 | 109.9 | 69.2 |
| Feb 7 | Colgate | H | L 59–78 | +5.0 | L−14.0 | 141.5 | U137 | 80.4 | 106.3 | 73.4 |
| Feb 4 | American | A | W 60–59 | +8.0 | W+9.0 | 142.0 | U119 | 101.4 | 99.7 | 59.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSienaBucknell
Efficiency
108.6
101.2
106.7
111.7
66.4
68.1
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
48.5%
52.5%
50.4%
30.6%
30.6%
77.1%
76.8%
33.4%
29.8%
Ball control & glass
15.8%
19.0%
17.0%
17.9%
31.8%
27.0%
29.5%
31.3%
10.2%
11.1%
9.5%
11.5%
Style
32.2%
42.7%
47.7%
43.4%
7.1%
9.9%
53.2%
54.0%
22.3%
24.0%
Roster
3.65
2.30
6'5.6"
6'4.5"
21.6%
92.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSiena
Returning minutes: 21.6%Returning production: 12.4%
Lost
- Gavin Doty 36.7 mpg, 18.0 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Justice Shoats 35.6 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Francis Folefac 28.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Antonio Chandler 18.3 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Jones 17.0 mpg, 4.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Riley Mulvey 13.4 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tan Yildizoglu from VMI · 30.2 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
- Paul Lambert no D1 minutes last season
- Angelos Bratakos no D1 minutes last season
- Mana Martin no D1 minutes last season
- Yannis Steger no D1 minutes last season
- Tim Ibukunoluwa no D1 minutes last season
Returns 22% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Bucknell
Returning minutes: 92.5%Returning production: 96.3%
Lost
- Quin Berger 15.1 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to Miami
Added
- Brady Muller no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 93% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.