CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 145.6 against a projected 145.7, and the margin steps add to 0.0 against +0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help La Salle.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 68.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Penn is the faster team (68.7, #163 of 365) and La Salle the slower (66.4, #280). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#331 | 61.1%#271 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.2%#286 | 42.0%#231 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.7%#196 | 40.1%#246 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.3%#13 | 36.5%#324 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.4%#346 | 61.3%#278 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.9%#305 | 46.0%#320 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#242 | 38.0%#160 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.0%#342 | 32.2%#73 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPenn has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#63 of 365) to La Salle’s +1.4 (#122).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Walker | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-21 | 27.6 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 44.4% | 31.6% | 2.4 | 65.3% | 22.1% | |
| 99 | Rob Dockery | G | So | 6'6" | 32-24 | 27.3 | 12.5 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 51.7% | 25.0% | 1.8 | 77.2% | 29.9% | |
| 2 | Jaeden Marshall | G | Sr | 6'5" | 25-18 | 27.7 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 46.3% | 33.8% | 5.4 | 86.2% | 27.2% | |
| 10 | Jaden Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 19-19 | 29.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 32.1% | 21.7% | 1.2 | 65.0% | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Truth Harris | G | Sr | 6'2" | 23-13 | 23.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 40.7% | 27.5% | 4.7 | 90.3% | 20.4% | |
| 5 | Josiah Harris | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-20 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 45.5% | — | 0.0 | 70.1% | 30.3% | |
| 24 | Jerome Brewer Jr. | F | Jr | 6'9" | 19-15 | 26.7 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 53.2% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 75.7% | 25.1% | |
| 3 | Eric Acker | G | Jr | 6'2" | 26-10 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 47.8% | 36.4% | 2.1 | 69.0% | 23.0% | |
| 27 | Edwin Daniel | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-4 | 14.4 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.0% | |
| 0 | Justin Archer | F | Sr | 6'7" | 12-4 | 19.7 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.5% | — | 0.0 | 65.9% | 17.7% | |
| 12 | Damon Strand | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-3 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 40.2% | 27.7% | 2.1 | 90.9% | 19.6% | |
| 25 | Bowyn Beatty | F | Jr | 7'0" | 10-3 | 11.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 14.4% | |
| 7 | Noah Collier | F | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 13 | Max Lipacis | F | Jr | 6'7" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 6.1% | |
| 28 | Arlan Masharaliyev | G | Fr | 6'0" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 28.0% | |
| 11 | Josue Grullon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #3Illinois | N | L 70–105 | +25.5 | L−9.5 | 151.0 | O175 | 103.0 | 154.5 | 68.0 |
| Mar 15 | Yale | N | W 88–84 OT | +9.5 | W+13.5 | 144.0 | O172 | 121.7 | 116.1 | 72.3 |
| Mar 14 | Harvard | N | W 62–60 OT | +3.5 | W+5.5 | 139.0 | U122 | 88.7 | 85.9 | 69.9 |
| Mar 6 | Brown | A | W 82–61 | +1.0 | W+22.0 | 147.0 | U143 | 114.2 | 84.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Harvard | H | W 64–61 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 139.5 | U125 | 89.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Feb 27 | Dartmouth | H | W 80–71 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 115.6 | 102.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Yale | A | L 70–74 | +8.5 | W+4.5 | 149.5 | U144 | 105.1 | 111.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Cornell | H | W 82–76 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 170.0 | U158 | 107.6 | 99.7 | 76.2 |
| Feb 13 | Columbia | H | W 76–67 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 148.0 | U143 | 108.0 | 95.2 | 70.4 |
| Feb 7 | Princeton | H | W 61–60 | −3.5 | L−2.5 | 145.0 | U121 | 104.5 | 102.8 | 58.4 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | St Bonaventure | N | L 80–99 | +5.5 | L−13.5 | 145.5 | O179 | 112.3 | 138.9 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Saint Joseph's | A | L 76–88 | +10.5 | L−1.5 | 142.5 | O164 | 110.5 | 128.0 | 68.8 |
| Mar 4 | Fordham | H | W 87–84 | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 131.5 | O171 | 128.7 | 124.3 | 67.6 |
| Mar 1 | Davidson | A | L 64–71 | +11.0 | W+4.0 | 133.5 | O135 | 95.0 | 105.3 | 67.4 |
| Feb 24 | G Washington | H | L 77–104 | +7.5 | L−19.5 | 148.0 | O181 | 106.3 | 143.5 | 72.5 |
| Feb 21 | Rhode Island | H | W 59–46 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 137.0 | U105 | 95.8 | 74.7 | 61.6 |
| Feb 18 | Duquesne | A | L 61–62 | +11.0 | W+10.0 | 146.0 | U123 | 88.1 | 89.5 | 69.2 |
| Feb 11 | VCU | H | L 68–77 | +13.0 | W+4.0 | 147.0 | U145 | 103.0 | 116.7 | 66.0 |
| Feb 7 | #19Saint Louis | A | L 58–82 | +23.5 | L−0.5 | 154.0 | U140 | 82.0 | 115.9 | 70.8 |
| Feb 3 | Loyola Chicago | A | L 61–71 | +2.5 | L−7.5 | 139.0 | U132 | 89.8 | 104.5 | 68.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input- Ethan Roberts 23.4 mpg, 13.0 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
- Ryan Altman no D1 minutes last season
- Chris Ubochi no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
- Nas Hart 6.6 mpg, 1.4 ppg · transferred to Quinnipiac
- Josue Grullon no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 97% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29 | 2025-26 | La Salle 71 – 73 Penn |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.