CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCapital One Arena, Washington, DC
Coppin St
Efficiency #364
2025-26: 7-24 · 5-9 conf
@
Georgetown
Efficiency #95
2025-26: 16-18 · 8-15 conf
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
63.1
win 5%
Projected
82.7
win 95%
No line posted yet.
Model: GTWN −19.6 · total 145.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Georgetown 67.6, Coppin St 69.1 → 68.3 possessions
0.0
Georgetown offense vs Coppin St defense
+6.6
Coppin St offense vs Georgetown defense
−9.0
Projected total
145.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Georgetown offense vs Coppin St defense
+6.6
Coppin St offense vs Georgetown defense
+9.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Georgetown by 19.6
19.6
Coppin St side ◂▸ Georgetown side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 145.8 against a projected 145.7, and the margin steps add to +19.5 against +19.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Georgetown.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Coppin St is the faster team (69.0, #144 of 365) and Georgetown the slower (67.0, #244). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
145.7
model
Projected team totals
63.1 / 82.7
Coppin St / Georgetown
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#119
Coppin St
67.6#247
Georgetown

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageCoppin St
Where Coppin St struggles: shooting
Coppin St shoots an effective 45.9% (#350); Georgetown allows 49.9% (#96). Expect about 47.5%, 3.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.4 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversCoppin St
Coppin St turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.6% is worth roughly -3.4 points per 100 possessions against Coppin St's offense.
ClashGeorgetown
Style match: ball movement
Georgetown assists on 57.8% of its made baskets; Coppin St allows assists on 62.5% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 62.4% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageGeorgetown
Where Georgetown scores: the offensive glass
Georgetown rebounds 32.5% of its own misses (#107); Coppin St lets opponents grab 34.8% of their own misses (#333). Expect about 34.0%, 3.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Coppin St, Coppin St's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Coppin St at about 37.2% of its shots from three, Georgetown about 38.4%.
ClashGeorgetown
Style clash: 3-point volume
Georgetown rarely shoots threes (35.2% of its shots); Coppin St lets opponents take 43.2% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 38.4% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Coppin St has the ball
OffenseGeorgetown allowsvs D1 avg
45.9% #350
49.9% #96
-5.4 pt/100
22.3% #363
16.2% #212
-3.4 pt/100
30.4% #183
31.5% #228
+0.3 pt/100
38.5% #90
33.9% #146
+0.1 pt/100
67.2% #342
—
-0.5 pt/100
Coppin St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -8.9 pts/100
Georgetown has the ball
OffenseCoppin St allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #257
55.4% #339
+1.7 pt/100
15.8% #119
17.5% #118
+0.1 pt/100
32.5% #107
34.8% #333
+2.2 pt/100
37.3% #121
42.9% #339
+0.7 pt/100
74.0% #133
—
+0.1 pt/100
Georgetown net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.8 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Coppin Stoffense vsGeorgetowndefense
Share of shots by zone
Coppin St shoots
Georgetown allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim53.4%#33656.6%#10558.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)28.1%#35733.3%#3139.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)29.7%#35641.9%#29438.0%
Three30.7%#32633.3%#13933.7%
Georgetownoffense vsCoppin Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgetown shoots
Coppin St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.9%#24360.1%#23158.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)39.7%#18246.5%#32739.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)40.9%#8035.5%#9138.0%
Three31.8%#28538.3%#36033.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Coppin St
−5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#353 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#183
Def reb %
65.2%
#333
Turnover %
22.3%
#363
Forced TO %
17.5%
#118
FT rate
38.5%
#90
FT allowed
42.9%
#339
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−3.8
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.0
Georgetown
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#113 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#107
Def reb %
68.5%
#228
Turnover %
15.8%
#119
Forced TO %
16.2%
#212
FT rate
37.3%
#121
FT allowed
33.9%
#146
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+0.3

Georgetown has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.7 (#113 of 365) to Coppin St’s −5.6 (#353).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Coppin St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Coppin St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
1Hassan PerkinsGSr6'0"31-1822.66.61.52.91.549.4%37.2%2.572.9%19.5%
7Khali HortonFJr6'8"31-2419.87.42.10.90.946.5%36.2%4.172.9%24.2%
4Hussain WilliamsGJr6'5"31-719.87.32.40.81.042.8%26.3%4.471.7%25.9%
11Torrin AndrewsGSr6'4"31-1219.15.31.51.61.849.6%31.7%2.678.0%20.4%
14Jamari PiercyGJr6'5"31-1118.36.82.30.81.547.9%17.4%1.547.4%27.0%
6Demariontay HallFSr6'7"22-2122.010.65.40.52.152.4%0.0%0.155.0%31.2%
33Tyler KoenigFJr6'9"28-2116.95.33.80.41.049.1%0.0%0.073.6%20.1%
24Taj ThweattFSr6'7"23-317.86.04.30.41.347.4%38.3%2.080.6%22.7%
0Baasil SaundersGJr6'4"26-1615.53.21.90.71.041.8%18.8%0.663.2%17.0%
21Nelson LamizanaFFr6'9"17-519.26.63.00.91.947.7%26.1%1.487.5%23.9%
10Camaren SparrowGJr6'4"16-319.25.73.81.51.842.0%35.7%0.965.1%23.5%
23Daveyon LydnerGFr6'4"23-312.72.30.91.60.724.6%17.6%0.768.8%18.2%
2Favour AireCSr6'11"21-19.12.82.00.41.051.0%41.7%0.683.3%22.6%
12Chris MorganFSr6'9"13-1013.54.53.00.61.038.5%0.0%0.240.0%28.9%
3Josiah BrownGSo6'5"11-06.51.80.90.30.263.6%0.0%0.1100.0%12.0%
22Elijah TaylorFJr6'9"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
15Macahi NelsonGSr6'5"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Coppin StGeorgetown
Efficiency
97.4
110.7
115.9
106.3
69.1
67.6
—
—
Shooting
45.9%
49.6%
45.8%
50.7%
30.7%
31.8%
67.2%
74.0%
38.5%
37.3%
Ball control & glass
22.3%
15.8%
17.5%
16.2%
30.4%
32.5%
34.8%
31.5%
13.0%
9.2%
12.0%
9.1%
Style
35.2%
35.2%
43.2%
44.1%
13.9%
16.0%
51.5%
57.8%
49.2%
33.5%
Roster
3.20
2.74
6'5.6"
6'6.3"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Coppin St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Coppin St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Georgetown
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Mon, Dec 222025-26Coppin St 67 – 97 Georgetown

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.