CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA
N Arizona
Efficiency #329
2025-26: 10-22 · 4-15 conf
@
Cal Poly
Efficiency #240
2025-26: 14-19 · 10-11 conf
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
74.0
win 23%
Projected
82.7
win 77%
No line posted yet.
Model: CP −8.7 · total 156.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Cal Poly 72.8, N Arizona 66.0 → 70.5 possessions
+4.6
Cal Poly offense vs N Arizona defense
+4.3
N Arizona offense vs Cal Poly defense
−0.4
Projected total
156.8
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Cal Poly offense vs N Arizona defense
+4.3
N Arizona offense vs Cal Poly defense
+0.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Cal Poly by 8.7
8.7
N Arizona side ◂▸ Cal Poly side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 156.7 against a projected 156.8, and the margin steps add to +8.8 against +8.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Cal Poly.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Cal Poly is the faster team (76.1, #1 of 365) and N Arizona the slower (65.5, #317). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
156.8
model
Projected team totals
74.0 / 82.7
N Arizona / Cal Poly
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.0#342
N Arizona
72.8#1
Cal Poly
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
Cal Poly averages 76.1 possessions per 40, N Arizona 65.5. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageCal Poly
Where Cal Poly scores: shooting
Cal Poly shoots an effective 51.5% (#170); N Arizona allows 56.9% (#355). Expect about 54.3%, 3.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageN Arizona
Where N Arizona struggles: the offensive glass
N Arizona rebounds 23.3% of its own misses (#348); Cal Poly lets opponents grab 29.6% of their own misses (#141). Expect about 25.1%, 5.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.3 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversCal Poly
Cal Poly turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.4% is worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions against Cal Poly's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (N Arizona's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect N Arizona at about 38.1% of its shots from three, Cal Poly about 50.4%.
N Arizona has the ball
OffenseCal Poly allowsvs D1 avg
51.7% #161
53.8% #292
+2.2 pt/100
16.0% #141
16.2% #209
+1.0 pt/100
23.3% #348
29.6% #141
-3.3 pt/100
31.8% #260
34.1% #154
-0.3 pt/100
68.9% #304
—
-0.3 pt/100
N Arizona net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.7 pts/100
Cal Poly has the ball
OffenseN Arizona allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #170
56.9% #355
+4.3 pt/100
19.9% #346
16.6% #180
-2.0 pt/100
30.0% #202
33.4% #305
+0.7 pt/100
34.9% #182
32.7% #124
-0.2 pt/100
78.5% #12
—
+0.5 pt/100
Cal Poly net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersN Arizonaoffense vsCal Polydefense
Share of shots by zone
N Arizona shoots
38.6
7.1
19.1
35.2
Cal Poly allows
41.3
5.9
12.5
40.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.6%#284 | 61.5%#284 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.5%#31 | 35.5%#72 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#101 | 41.2%#282 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#79 | 34.7%#231 | 33.7% |
Cal Polyoffense vsN Arizonadefense
Share of shots by zone
Cal Poly shoots
38.2
3.5
4.4
53.9
N Arizona allows
42.8
5.2
11.7
40.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#209 | 62.3%#307 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.0%#148 | 37.2%#115 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.5%#357 | 41.1%#278 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#228 | 38.7%#362 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersN Arizona
−2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#300 of 365
Off reb %
23.3%
#348
Def reb %
66.6%
#305
Turnover %
16.0%
#141
Forced TO %
16.6%
#180
FT rate
31.8%
#260
FT allowed
32.7%
#124
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.3
Defensive rebounding−0.9
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn−0.8
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Cal Poly
−2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#270 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#202
Def reb %
70.4%
#141
Turnover %
19.9%
#346
Forced TO %
16.2%
#209
FT rate
34.9%
#182
FT allowed
34.1%
#154
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Cal Poly has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.0 (#270 of 365) to N Arizona’s −2.9 (#300).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
N Arizona2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted N Arizona's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ryan Abelman | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-30 | 32.3 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 49.5% | 36.1% | 4.8 | 89.4% | 20.3% | |
| 2 | Chris Komin | G | Fr | 6'3" | 31-17 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 53.1% | 35.7% | 2.3 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 3 | Traivar Jackson | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-20 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 57.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.8% | 19.6% | |
| 9 | Karl Poom | F | So | 6'8" | 32-2 | 19.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 30.5% | 1.8 | 54.4% | 30.3% | |
| 7 | Brennan Peterson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 32-16 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 56.5% | 41.1% | 2.8 | 71.4% | 15.7% | |
| 24 | Isaiah Shaw | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-22 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 56.9% | 46.4% | 2.4 | 81.1% | 25.1% | |
| 44 | Arne Osojnik | G | Jr | 6'6" | 29-14 | 16.1 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 48.3% | 32.4% | 2.3 | 77.3% | 26.8% | |
| 12 | Diego Campisano | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-9 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 52.1% | 37.9% | 3.7 | 76.9% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Kavon Bradford | G | So | 6'1" | 28-12 | 16.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 44.9% | 26.7% | 0.5 | 65.6% | 24.0% | |
| 5 | Zack Davidson | F | So | 6'9" | 14-13 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 62.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 46.3% | 33.1% | |
| 4 | Oakland Fort | G | Sr | 5'10" | 29-5 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 57.3% | 37.0% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 17.2% | |
| 82 | Erez Poran | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 32.1% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 15.0% | |
| 8 | Walker Timme | F | Jr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.7% | |
| 0 | JT Amundsen | G | Fr | 5'8" | 4-0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 22.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Cal Poly2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Cal Poly's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hamad Mousa | G | So | 6'8" | 32-30 | 31.4 | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 53.9% | 37.2% | 7.1 | 87.8% | 32.2% | |
| 9 | Peter Bandelj | G | So | 6'4" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 50.8% | 34.7% | 5.2 | 85.2% | 23.5% | |
| 14 | Cayden Ward | G | So | 6'5" | 33-31 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 53.5% | 31.0% | 5.2 | 75.3% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Guzman Vasilic | G | So | 6'4" | 30-17 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 54.2% | 37.1% | 5.0 | 77.8% | 17.4% | |
| 3 | Jake Davis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-18 | 21.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 41.8% | 26.0% | 3.3 | 72.5% | 18.1% | |
| 11 | Austin Goode | F | Fr | 6'7" | 32-16 | 16.3 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 30.9% | 2.5 | 73.7% | 18.1% | |
| 7 | Ali Assran | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-5 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 21.4% | 0.9 | 59.6% | 19.5% | |
| 13 | Troy Plumtree | F | Fr | 6'6" | 30-2 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 57.5% | 22.6% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 22.4% | |
| 4 | Kieran Elliott | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-10 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 54.8% | 35.0% | 1.1 | 82.6% | 14.5% | |
| 8 | Jackson Mosley | PG | Jr | 5'10" | 17-0 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 47.6% | 29.2% | 2.8 | 70.8% | 24.7% | |
| 21 | Luka Tarlac | G | Sr | 6'7" | 12-3 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 18.2% | 0.9 | 53.3% | 16.3% | |
| 15 | Aaron Price Jr. | PF | Sr | 6'8" | 21-1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 59.1% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.0% | |
| 1 | Jess Esso Essis | G | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 61.9% | 41.4% | 4.1 | 88.9% | 25.5% | |
| 0 | Jason Scott | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 0.9 | 62.5% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Eric Brown | F | Jr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.1% | |
| 2 | Braden Freeman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
N Arizona2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted N Arizona's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ryan Abelman | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-30 | 32.3 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 49.5% | 36.1% | 4.8 | 89.4% | 20.3% | |
| 2 | Chris Komin | G | Fr | 6'3" | 31-17 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 53.1% | 35.7% | 2.3 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 3 | Traivar Jackson | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-20 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 57.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.8% | 19.6% | |
| 9 | Karl Poom | F | So | 6'8" | 32-2 | 19.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 30.5% | 1.8 | 54.4% | 30.3% | |
| 7 | Brennan Peterson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 32-16 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 56.5% | 41.1% | 2.8 | 71.4% | 15.7% | |
| 24 | Isaiah Shaw | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-22 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 56.9% | 46.4% | 2.4 | 81.1% | 25.1% | |
| 44 | Arne Osojnik | G | Jr | 6'6" | 29-14 | 16.1 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 48.3% | 32.4% | 2.3 | 77.3% | 26.8% | |
| 12 | Diego Campisano | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-9 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 52.1% | 37.9% | 3.7 | 76.9% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Kavon Bradford | G | So | 6'1" | 28-12 | 16.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 44.9% | 26.7% | 0.5 | 65.6% | 24.0% | |
| 5 | Zack Davidson | F | So | 6'9" | 14-13 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 62.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 46.3% | 33.1% | |
| 4 | Oakland Fort | G | Sr | 5'10" | 29-5 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 57.3% | 37.0% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 17.2% | |
| 82 | Erez Poran | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 32.1% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 15.0% | |
| 8 | Walker Timme | F | Jr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.7% | |
| 0 | JT Amundsen | G | Fr | 5'8" | 4-0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 22.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26N Arizona
Against the spread
Season
14-15
Home
7-6
Road
6-8
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.5
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 2 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-18
Home
6-7
Road
4-10
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.9
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Idaho St | N | L 65–73 | +4.5 | L−3.5 | 142.5 | U138 | 98.2 | 110.3 | 66.2 |
| Mar 2 | Montana St | H | L 65–76 | +6.0 | L−5.0 | 143.5 | U141 | 106.6 | 124.6 | 61.0 |
| Feb 28 | E Washington | A | L 57–88 | +9.5 | L−21.5 | 147.0 | U145 | 89.7 | 138.6 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | Idaho | A | L 58–78 | +10.5 | L−9.5 | 146.0 | U136 | 95.6 | 128.6 | 60.7 |
| Feb 21 | N Colorado | A | L 77–78 | +12.5 | W+11.5 | 150.5 | O155 | 115.6 | 117.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Sacramento St | H | W 79–74 | −1.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U153 | 111.2 | 104.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 12 | Portland St | H | L 68–77 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 107.6 | 121.8 | 63.2 |
| Feb 7 | Weber St | A | L 53–72 | +7.0 | L−12.0 | 151.0 | U125 | 90.3 | 122.6 | 58.7 |
| Feb 5 | Idaho St | A | W 79–73 | +8.0 | W+14.0 | 141.5 | O152 | 133.1 | 123.0 | 59.4 |
| Jan 31 | Idaho | H | L 62–79 | +5.5 | L−11.5 | 147.0 | U141 | 94.8 | 120.8 | 65.4 |
Cal Poly
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
7-4-1
Road
9-8
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +5.5
Covered 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-13-1
Home
6-6
Road
11-5-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +0.3
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | UC San Diego | N | L 69–72 | +4.5 | W+1.5 | 163.0 | U141 | 94.2 | 98.3 | 73.2 |
| Mar 7 | Bakersfield | H | W 108–76 | −9.0 | W+23.0 | 173.0 | O184 | 131.0 | 92.2 | 82.5 |
| Mar 5 | UC Irvine | A | L 85–107 | +9.5 | L−12.5 | 160.5 | O192 | 108.1 | 136.1 | 78.6 |
| Feb 28 | UC San Diego | A | L 64–80 | +7.5 | L−8.5 | 164.0 | U144 | 91.2 | 114.0 | 70.2 |
| Feb 26 | Long Beach St | H | W 102–92 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 161.5 | O194 | 127.1 | 114.6 | 80.3 |
| Feb 19 | Hawai'i | A | W 86–75 | +11.0 | W+22.0 | 161.0 | P161 | 104.3 | 91.0 | 82.4 |
| Feb 14 | Santa Barbara | H | W 89–79 | +4.5 | W+14.5 | 159.0 | O168 | 133.5 | 118.5 | 66.7 |
| Feb 12 | UC Irvine | H | W 79–73 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 161.0 | U152 | 99.2 | 91.7 | 79.6 |
| Feb 7 | UC Davis | A | L 58–67 | +6.0 | L−3.0 | 169.0 | U125 | 83.6 | 96.6 | 69.4 |
| Feb 5 | CSU Northridge | H | L 96–97 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 178.5 | O193 | 120.5 | 121.7 | 79.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeN ArizonaCal Poly
Efficiency
105.0
108.0
115.1
111.4
66.0
72.8
—
—
Shooting
51.7%
51.5%
50.7%
53.7%
35.6%
33.0%
68.9%
78.5%
31.8%
34.9%
Ball control & glass
16.0%
19.9%
16.6%
16.2%
23.3%
30.0%
33.4%
29.6%
8.4%
9.5%
8.9%
11.4%
Style
36.7%
52.6%
44.1%
38.5%
10.0%
16.1%
51.0%
49.6%
35.9%
32.1%
Roster
2.54
2.06
6'4.6"
6'5.6"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputN Arizona
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted N Arizona's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Cal Poly
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Cal Poly's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 24 | 2025-26 | Cal Poly 87 – 93 N Arizona |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.