CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceDavid S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex, Hempstead, NYThe Island Invitational
Merrimack
Efficiency #158
2025-26: 23-11 · 19-4 conf
@
Hofstra
Efficiency #69
2025-26: 24-11 · 15-6 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
64.7
win 25%
Projected
72.4
win 75%
No line posted yet.
Model: HOF −7.7 · total 137.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Hofstra 66.5, Merrimack 65.8 → 64.0 possessions
−9.3
Hofstra offense vs Merrimack defense
+1.1
Merrimack offense vs Hofstra defense
−2.9
Projected total
137.1
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Hofstra offense vs Merrimack defense
+1.1
Merrimack offense vs Hofstra defense
+2.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
Hofstra by 7.7
7.7
Merrimack side ◂▸ Hofstra side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Hofstra.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 64.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Hofstra is the faster team (65.4, #319 of 365) and Merrimack the slower (63.7, #359). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
64.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
137.1
model
Projected team totals
64.7 / 72.4
Merrimack / Hofstra
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.8#347
Merrimack
66.5#318
Hofstra
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Hofstra averages 65.4 possessions per 40, Merrimack 63.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 63 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMerrimack
Where Merrimack struggles: shooting
Merrimack shoots an effective 49.1% (#288); Hofstra allows 46.3% (#14). Expect about 47.5%, 3.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageHofstra
Where Hofstra scores: the offensive glass
Hofstra rebounds 34.7% of its own misses (#54); Merrimack lets opponents grab 39.9% of their own misses (#365). Expect about 38.0%, 7.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseMerrimack
Merrimack's shot-blocking
Merrimack ranks #15 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.0% of Hofstra's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
TurnoversMerrimack
Merrimack protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 14.5% is worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions for Merrimack's offense.
TurnoversHofstra
Hofstra turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.7% is worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions against Hofstra's offense.
Merrimack has the ball
OffenseHofstra allowsvs D1 avg
49.1% #288
46.3% #14
-5.4 pt/100
14.8% #56
14.9% #292
+2.8 pt/100
24.8% #343
31.0% #201
-2.2 pt/100
38.2% #99
35.1% #182
+0.2 pt/100
78.8% #8
—
+0.6 pt/100
Merrimack net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.1 pts/100
Hofstra has the ball
OffenseMerrimack allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #178
46.7% #17
-3.3 pt/100
16.1% #149
20.4% #16
-2.4 pt/100
34.7% #54
39.9% #365
+4.7 pt/100
31.6% #264
37.1% #239
-0.1 pt/100
75.8% #56
—
+0.3 pt/100
Hofstra net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMerrimackoffense vsHofstradefense
Share of shots by zone
Merrimack shoots
41.7
2.3
9.4
46.6
Hofstra allows
33.3
5.8
20.4
40.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#332 | 51.9%#15 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.5%#208 | 22.3%#1 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.5%#321 | 39.7%#229 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#243 | 32.3%#78 | 33.7% |
Hofstraoffense vsMerrimackdefense
Share of shots by zone
Hofstra shoots
31.3
6.5
19.6
42.6
Merrimack allows
41.9
4.9
20.8
32.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#267 | 51.4%#11 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.5%#186 | 42.9%#247 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.9%#226 | 38.7%#188 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.1%#25 | 30.3%#12 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMerrimack
−0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#206 of 365
Off reb %
24.8%
#343
Def reb %
60.1%
#365
Turnover %
14.8%
#56
Forced TO %
20.4%
#16
FT rate
38.2%
#99
FT allowed
37.1%
#239
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.8
Defensive rebounding−3.0
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers+2.5
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Hofstra
−0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#191 of 365
Off reb %
34.7%
#54
Def reb %
69.0%
#201
Turnover %
16.1%
#149
Forced TO %
14.9%
#292
FT rate
31.6%
#264
FT allowed
35.1%
#182
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed0.0
Hofstra has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.3 (#191 of 365) to Merrimack’s −0.6 (#206).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Merrimack2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tye Dorset | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 36.3 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 49.3% | 32.2% | 5.4 | 77.3% | 21.0% | |
| 20 | Todd Brogna | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-34 | 29.2 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 51.6% | 35.1% | 3.9 | 70.8% | 15.5% | |
| 2 | Denver Anglinat Iona | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-29 | 28.1 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 44.0% | 29.8% | 6.1 | 79.5% | 23.0% | |
| 5 | Elijah Wilbornat James Madison | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-0 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 63.0% | — | 0.0 | 25.0% | 19.2% | |
| 0 | Dylan Veillette | F | So | 6'7" | 33-0 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 47.1% | 9.1% | 0.3 | 68.2% | 16.4% | |
| 7 | Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbanoat Fresno St | G | So | 6'4" | 13-2 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 41.4% | 27.3% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 16.3% | |
| 33 | AJ Lesburt Jr.at Brown | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | David Munro | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Jacob Moore | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Quinn Kwasniak | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Amare Guerra | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Ayden Johnson | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jeremiah Anderson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | JP Skoric | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Rocco Westfield | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Denver Anglin (from Iona), AJ Lesburt Jr. (from Brown), Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano (from Fresno St), Elijah Wilborn (from James Madison)
Hofstra2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Hofstra's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruz Davis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 37.9 | 20.1 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 51.6% | 40.0% | 5.9 | 83.0% | 32.7% | |
| 1 | Preston Edmead | G | Fr | 6'1" | 35-35 | 33.9 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 51.7% | 38.7% | 7.1 | 83.3% | 29.2% | |
| 25 | German Plotnikov | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 32.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.9% | 38.1% | 4.7 | 85.1% | 16.7% | |
| 4 | Joshua DeCady | F | So | 6'8" | 33-23 | 24.1 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 46.2% | 28.1% | 1.7 | 57.7% | 18.2% | |
| 33 | Silas Sunday | F | Sr | 7'0" | 35-18 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 65.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 64.9% | 15.8% | |
| 0 | Biggie Patterson | G | Sr | 6'7" | 31-14 | 20.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 47.6% | 31.5% | 3.6 | 74.6% | 29.4% | |
| 6 | Victory Onuetu | F | Jr | 6'10" | 35-17 | 17.9 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56.6% | — | 0.0 | 49.0% | 17.6% | |
| 15 | Joshua Aaron Reaves | G | Sr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 83.3% | 14.2% | |
| 7 | Jaeden Roberts | G | Fr | 6'3" | 23-0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 56.3% | 41.2% | 2.2 | 50.0% | 28.5% | |
| 2 | A.J. Wills | G | Jr | 6'0" | 17-0 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 1.6 | 80.0% | 22.0% | |
| 17 | Alex Tsynkevich | C | Sr | 6'10" | 16-0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 13.1% | |
| 11 | Amir Williams | G | So | 6'4" | 3-0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 17.4% | |
| 55 | Brandon Morgan | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Carlos Lopez | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Trey Boyd III | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Merrimack2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tye Dorset | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-34 | 36.3 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 49.3% | 32.2% | 5.4 | 77.3% | 21.0% | |
| 20 | Todd Brogna | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-34 | 29.2 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 51.6% | 35.1% | 3.9 | 70.8% | 15.5% | |
| 2 | Denver Anglinat Iona | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-29 | 28.1 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 44.0% | 29.8% | 6.1 | 79.5% | 23.0% | |
| 5 | Elijah Wilbornat James Madison | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-0 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 63.0% | — | 0.0 | 25.0% | 19.2% | |
| 0 | Dylan Veillette | F | So | 6'7" | 33-0 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 47.1% | 9.1% | 0.3 | 68.2% | 16.4% | |
| 7 | Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbanoat Fresno St | G | So | 6'4" | 13-2 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 41.4% | 27.3% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 16.3% | |
| 33 | AJ Lesburt Jr.at Brown | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | David Munro | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Jacob Moore | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Quinn Kwasniak | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Amare Guerra | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Ayden Johnson | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jeremiah Anderson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | JP Skoric | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Rocco Westfield | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Denver Anglin (from Iona), AJ Lesburt Jr. (from Brown), Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano (from Fresno St), Elijah Wilborn (from James Madison)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Merrimack
Against the spread
Season
20-14
Home
9-2
Road
9-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +3.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
11-22-1
Home
5-6
Road
6-11
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.0
Under 3 straightOver in 4 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Siena | N | L 54–64 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 128.5 | U118 | 84.9 | 100.7 | 63.6 |
| Mar 8 | Marist | N | W 58–57 | −3.0 | L−2.0 | 128.5 | U115 | 90.7 | 89.2 | 63.9 |
| Mar 6 | Sacred Heart | N | W 70–48 | −7.0 | W+15.0 | 143.0 | U118 | 114.6 | 78.6 | 61.1 |
| Mar 1 | Niagara | A | W 73–66 | −7.5 | L−0.5 | 127.0 | O139 | 120.5 | 108.9 | 60.6 |
| Feb 27 | Canisius | A | L 62–67 | −9.0 | L−14.0 | 130.0 | U129 | 102.1 | 110.3 | 60.7 |
| Feb 22 | Iona | H | W 88–86 2OT | −6.5 | L−4.5 | 137.0 | O174 | 119.0 | 116.3 | 73.9 |
| Feb 20 | Siena | H | W 79–72 OT | −2.5 | W+4.5 | 133.0 | O151 | 124.7 | 113.6 | 63.4 |
| Feb 15 | Quinnipiac | A | W 56–49 | +3.5 | W+10.5 | 142.0 | U105 | 85.8 | 75.1 | 65.3 |
| Feb 12 | Marist | H | W 81–56 | −2.5 | W+22.5 | 129.5 | O137 | 122.2 | 84.5 | 66.3 |
| Feb 7 | Rider | A | W 73–47 | −8.5 | W+17.5 | 137.5 | U120 | 127.1 | 81.8 | 57.5 |
Hofstra
Against the spread
Season
21-12
Home
6-4
Road
11-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +5.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-15-2
Home
2-8
Road
11-6
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total −4.9
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #4Alabama | N | L 70–90 | +11.5 | L−8.5 | 159.0 | O160 | 100.4 | 129.1 | 69.7 |
| Mar 10 | Monmouth | N | W 75–69 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 135.0 | O144 | 113.0 | 103.9 | 66.4 |
| Mar 9 | Towson | N | W 68–65 OT | −4.0 | L−1.0 | 131.5 | O133 | 111.7 | 106.8 | 60.9 |
| Mar 8 | William & Mary | N | W 92–61 | −2.5 | W+28.5 | 153.0 | P153 | 140.0 | 92.8 | 65.7 |
| Mar 3 | Drexel | H | W 62–51 | −8.5 | W+2.5 | 133.0 | U113 | 109.3 | 89.9 | 56.7 |
| Feb 28 | Stony Brook | H | W 67–58 | −11.5 | L−2.5 | 139.5 | U125 | 96.8 | 83.8 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Northeastern | A | W 82–68 | −7.5 | W+6.5 | 145.0 | O150 | 128.0 | 106.1 | 64.1 |
| Feb 19 | Hampton | H | W 79–43 | −11.0 | W+25.0 | 133.5 | U122 | 129.5 | 70.5 | 61.0 |
| Feb 14 | UNC Wilmington | A | L 66–70 | +2.5 | L−1.5 | 137.5 | U136 | 108.2 | 114.7 | 61.0 |
| Feb 12 | Charleston | A | W 66–62 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 146.0 | U128 | 94.0 | 88.3 | 70.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMerrimackHofstra
Efficiency
107.2
112.4
106.3
105.3
65.8
66.5
—
—
Shooting
49.1%
51.4%
49.1%
48.1%
32.7%
37.1%
78.8%
75.8%
38.2%
31.6%
Ball control & glass
14.8%
16.1%
20.4%
14.9%
24.8%
34.7%
39.9%
31.0%
7.2%
7.7%
13.0%
10.7%
Style
46.1%
42.8%
38.0%
35.9%
13.5%
9.0%
56.0%
48.3%
17.6%
25.2%
Roster
3.46
2.88
6'4.3"
6'5.4"
36.3%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMerrimack
Returning minutes: 36.3%Returning production: 32.9%
Lost
- Ernest Shelton 36.9 mpg, 15.9 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Kevair Kennedy 36.8 mpg, 18.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Andrés Marrero 27.4 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- KC Ugwuakazi 17.8 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaylen Stinson 3.8 mpg, 0.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aliou Cisse 2.7 mpg, 0.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Denver Anglin from Iona · 27.2 mpg, 9.0 ppg last season
- Elijah Wilborn from James Madison · 8.0 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano from Fresno St · 3.9 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Rocco Westfield no D1 minutes last season
- JP Skoric no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Moore no D1 minutes last season
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Hofstra
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Hofstra's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29 | 2025-26 | Merrimack 58 – 78 Hofstra(N) |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.