CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceThe Sobrato Center, San Francisco, CA
Bethune
Efficiency #260
2025-26: 17-15 · 14-5 conf
@
San Francisco
Efficiency #148
2025-26: 17-16 · 9-11 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
70.2
win 24%
Projected
78.5
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: SF −8.3 · total 148.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: San Francisco 67.4, Bethune 69.5 → 68.5 possessions
+0.4
San Francisco offense vs Bethune defense
+2.2
Bethune offense vs San Francisco defense
−2.2
Projected total
148.7
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
San Francisco offense vs Bethune defense
+2.2
Bethune offense vs San Francisco defense
+2.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
San Francisco by 8.3
8.3
Bethune side ◂▸ San Francisco side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 148.6 against a projected 148.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help San Francisco.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Bethune is the faster team (70.9, #57 of 365) and San Francisco the slower (66.7, #256). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.7
model
Projected team totals
70.2 / 78.5
Bethune / San Francisco
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.5#85
Bethune
67.4#261
San Francisco
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashBethune
Style match: 3-point volume
Bethune rarely shoots threes (29.7% of its shots); San Francisco runs teams off the line (35.8% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.3% — both habits push the same way.
ClashSan Francisco
Style clash: 3-point volume
San Francisco takes 46.1% of its shots from three; Bethune runs teams off the line (33.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashBethune
Strength vs strength: free-throw rate
Bethune (#48 in free-throw rate) against San Francisco (#51 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 34.6%. Historically San Francisco's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.50 vs 0.61).
ClashSan Francisco
Style clash: paint scoring
San Francisco gets only 36.9% of its points in the paint; Bethune gives up 46.7% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 42.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.25 vs 0.34).
Bethune has the ball
OffenseSan Francisco allowsvs D1 avg
51.0% #195
50.8% #143
-0.6 pt/100
19.2% #328
14.1% #330
+0.4 pt/100
30.1% #194
29.0% #105
-0.5 pt/100
40.9% #48
29.6% #51
-0.1 pt/100
69.7% #279
—
-0.2 pt/100
Bethune net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
San Francisco has the ball
OffenseBethune allowsvs D1 avg
51.2% #184
49.7% #88
-1.1 pt/100
15.8% #125
15.8% #229
+1.4 pt/100
31.3% #148
31.7% #242
+0.8 pt/100
40.1% #59
38.6% #276
+0.6 pt/100
70.9% #242
—
-0.1 pt/100
San Francisco net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersBethuneoffense vsSan Franciscodefense
Share of shots by zone
Bethune shoots
48.3
5.2
16.9
29.6
San Francisco allows
37.7
8.4
18.3
35.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.1%#94 | 59.3%#205 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.3%#337 | 45.5%#312 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.0%#353 | 35.0%#78 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#230 | 34.1%#187 | 33.7% |
San Franciscooffense vsBethunedefense
Share of shots by zone
San Francisco shoots
34.3
4.9
14.3
46.5
Bethune allows
47.2
5.5
14.5
32.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#229 | 54.6%#52 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.5%#132 | 35.9%#89 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.4%#278 | 39.8%#233 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.6%#140 | 32.9%#112 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersBethune
−2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#273 of 365
Off reb %
30.1%
#194
Def reb %
68.3%
#242
Turnover %
19.2%
#328
Forced TO %
15.8%
#229
FT rate
40.9%
#48
FT allowed
38.6%
#276
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−1.7
Forcing turnovers−0.6
Foul shots drawn+1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.9
San Francisco
+2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#78 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#148
Def reb %
71.0%
#105
Turnover %
15.8%
#125
Forced TO %
14.1%
#330
FT rate
40.1%
#59
FT allowed
29.6%
#51
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−1.8
Foul shots drawn+1.3
Foul shots allowed+1.5
San Francisco has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.5 (#78 of 365) to Bethune’s −2.0 (#273).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Bethune2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Bethune's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jakobi Heady | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-31 | 35.7 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 58.0% | 41.5% | 3.0 | 80.4% | 25.2% | |
| 1 | Arterio Morris | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-8 | 27.7 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 44.0% | 24.7% | 2.4 | 56.6% | 31.4% | |
| 5 | Quentin Heady | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-28 | 25.6 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 50.8% | 28.6% | 1.1 | 73.4% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rouzan | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 23.6 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 52.2% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Seneca Willoughby | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-25 | 25.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 44.1% | 34.3% | 2.4 | 73.2% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Ariel Bland | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 20.0 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 63.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.6% | 14.2% | |
| 25 | Tyler Andrews | G | Sr | 6'6" | 25-21 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 60.9% | 42.0% | 3.5 | 67.7% | 18.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Johnson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-7 | 16.0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 46.2% | 29.7% | 3.2 | 60.9% | 20.1% | |
| 2 | Rickey Mitchell Jr. | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-4 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 39.4% | 30.0% | 2.9 | 66.7% | 20.4% | |
| 13 | Doctor Bradley | G | Sr | 6'8" | 8-4 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 55.2% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 47.7% | 33.0% | |
| 33 | David Onanina | C | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Dailon Minor | G | Fr | 6'1" | 9-0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 30.6% | |
| 22 | William Gonzalez | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.8 | — | 17.4% | |
| 30 | Simeon Womack | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 45.7% | |
| 24 | Trayvon Barbary | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 15 | Reggie Ward Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
San Francisco2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Ryan Beasley | G | Jr | 5'11" | 31-31 | 33.2 | 13.6 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 48.4% | 32.7% | 4.8 | 82.7% | 25.3% | |
| 5 | Tyrone Riley IV | G | So | 6'6" | 31-31 | 31.8 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 54.2% | 36.8% | 3.7 | 70.7% | 22.1% | |
| 7 | Vukasin Masic | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-21 | 21.7 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 47.1% | 29.1% | 3.3 | 69.6% | 18.0% | |
| 13 | Legend Smiley | G | Fr | 6'5" | 33-14 | 21.3 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 59.8% | 42.0% | 4.0 | 87.5% | 20.2% | |
| 35 | Junjie Wang | F | Jr | 6'9" | 33-24 | 20.2 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 51.7% | 34.2% | 3.4 | 75.3% | 25.7% | |
| 1 | Mookie Cook | F | Jr | 6'6" | 25-5 | 20.8 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 52.4% | 39.7% | 2.3 | 71.4% | 24.4% | |
| 14 | Veniamin Abosi | G | So | 6'6" | 24-1 | 17.6 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 52.8% | 40.4% | 2.2 | 68.3% | 19.4% | |
| 10 | Saba Gigiberia | C | Sr | 7'2" | 26-0 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 44.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 34.8% | 28.8% | |
| 2 | Aidan Braccia | G | Jr | 6'1" | 15-0 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 23.5% | 13.3% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 14.0% | |
| 23 | Weilun Zhao | G | Fr | 6'0" | 14-0 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.9 | 72.7% | 25.0% | |
| 21 | Sean Blakely Drummond | G | Fr | 6'4" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 0.0% | 26.8% | |
| 12 | Isa Silva | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Ndewedo Newbury | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Bethune2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Bethune's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jakobi Heady | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-31 | 35.7 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 58.0% | 41.5% | 3.0 | 80.4% | 25.2% | |
| 1 | Arterio Morris | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-8 | 27.7 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 44.0% | 24.7% | 2.4 | 56.6% | 31.4% | |
| 5 | Quentin Heady | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-28 | 25.6 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 50.8% | 28.6% | 1.1 | 73.4% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rouzan | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 23.6 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 52.2% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Seneca Willoughby | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-25 | 25.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 44.1% | 34.3% | 2.4 | 73.2% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Ariel Bland | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 20.0 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 63.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.6% | 14.2% | |
| 25 | Tyler Andrews | G | Sr | 6'6" | 25-21 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 60.9% | 42.0% | 3.5 | 67.7% | 18.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Johnson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-7 | 16.0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 46.2% | 29.7% | 3.2 | 60.9% | 20.1% | |
| 2 | Rickey Mitchell Jr. | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-4 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 39.4% | 30.0% | 2.9 | 66.7% | 20.4% | |
| 13 | Doctor Bradley | G | Sr | 6'8" | 8-4 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 55.2% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 47.7% | 33.0% | |
| 33 | David Onanina | C | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Dailon Minor | G | Fr | 6'1" | 9-0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 30.6% | |
| 22 | William Gonzalez | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.8 | — | 17.4% | |
| 30 | Simeon Womack | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 45.7% | |
| 24 | Trayvon Barbary | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 15 | Reggie Ward Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Bethune
Against the spread
Season
15-15-1
Home
6-4
Road
9-8-1
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
5-5
Road
12-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +2.7
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Prairie View | N | L 67–71 | −5.5 | L−9.5 | 148.0 | U138 | 101.9 | 108.0 | 65.8 |
| Mar 5 | Florida A&M | A | L 77–81 | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 145.5 | O158 | 107.3 | 112.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Southern | A | W 82–79 | +2.0 | W+5.0 | 153.0 | O161 | 110.6 | 106.6 | 74.1 |
| Feb 26 | Grambling | A | W 76–71 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 144.0 | O147 | 99.8 | 93.3 | 76.1 |
| Feb 21 | Alabama A&M | H | W 85–76 | −7.0 | W+2.0 | 143.0 | O161 | 125.6 | 112.3 | 67.7 |
| Feb 19 | Alabama St | H | W 82–71 | −5.5 | W+5.5 | 148.0 | O153 | 114.8 | 99.4 | 71.4 |
| Feb 16 | Jackson St | A | L 86–91 | −5.0 | L−10.0 | 150.0 | O177 | 111.5 | 118.0 | 77.2 |
| Feb 14 | Alcorn St | A | L 55–57 | −8.0 | L−10.0 | 145.0 | U112 | 86.2 | 89.3 | 63.8 |
| Feb 9 | Texas Southern | H | W 79–69 OT | −8.5 | W+1.5 | 152.0 | U148 | 106.5 | 93.0 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Prairie View | H | W 82–76 | −10.5 | L−4.5 | 157.5 | O158 | 107.5 | 99.7 | 76.3 |
San Francisco
Against the spread
Season
14-18
Home
5-10
Road
6-5
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −5.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-14
Home
9-6
Road
5-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +6.7
Over 2 straightOver in 6 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Oregon St | N | L 77–78 | −3.5 | L−4.5 | 145.5 | O155 | 116.6 | 118.1 | 66.0 |
| Mar 7 | Portland | N | W 82–65 | −7.0 | W+10.0 | 144.5 | O147 | 122.3 | 97.0 | 67.0 |
| Feb 28 | Pacific | A | W 72–61 | +4.5 | W+15.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 111.7 | 94.6 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Santa Clara | H | L 73–94 | +6.5 | L−14.5 | 159.0 | O167 | 97.8 | 125.9 | 74.7 |
| Feb 18 | #11Gonzaga | H | L 59–80 | +15.5 | L−5.5 | 151.0 | U139 | 87.9 | 119.2 | 67.1 |
| Feb 15 | San Diego | A | W 92–79 | −5.0 | W+8.0 | 148.0 | O171 | 133.2 | 114.3 | 69.1 |
| Feb 12 | Oregon St | H | L 63–90 | −9.0 | L−36.0 | 141.0 | O153 | 103.8 | 148.3 | 60.7 |
| Feb 7 | Saint Mary's | A | L 54–79 | +11.5 | L−13.5 | 143.0 | U133 | 84.1 | 123.1 | 64.2 |
| Feb 4 | LMU | H | L 75–84 | −8.0 | L−17.0 | 146.0 | O159 | 108.8 | 121.8 | 69.0 |
| Jan 31 | Pacific | H | W 87–82 | −4.0 | W+1.0 | 138.0 | O169 | 128.4 | 121.1 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBethuneSan Francisco
Efficiency
104.6
110.5
109.7
109.2
69.5
67.4
—
—
Shooting
51.0%
51.2%
51.6%
50.7%
33.0%
34.6%
69.7%
70.9%
40.9%
40.1%
Ball control & glass
19.2%
15.8%
15.8%
14.1%
30.1%
31.3%
31.7%
29.0%
11.6%
9.2%
7.1%
8.7%
Style
29.7%
46.1%
49.1%
36.9%
19.9%
10.1%
50.4%
55.6%
32.9%
34.2%
Roster
3.59
2.61
6'5.5"
6'4.8"
—
81.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBethune
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Bethune's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
San Francisco
Returning minutes: 81.0%Returning production: 76.4%
Lost
- David Fuchs 21.1 mpg, 11.2 ppg · transferred to Clemson
- Guillermo Diaz Graham 17.2 mpg, 5.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Ndewedo Newbury no D1 minutes last season
- Isa Silva no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 81% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.