CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHill Field House, Baltimore, MD
Manhattan
Efficiency #328
2025-26: 12-20 · 8-13 conf
@
Morgan St
Efficiency #349
2025-26: 14-16 · 10-5 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET
77.7
win 45%
Projected
79.3
win 55%
No line posted yet.
Model: MORG −1.5 · total 157.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Morgan St 70.3, Manhattan 68.7 → 70.7 possessions
+5.2
Morgan St offense vs Manhattan defense
+0.6
Manhattan offense vs Morgan St defense
+3.1
Projected total
157.0
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Morgan St offense vs Manhattan defense
+0.6
Manhattan offense vs Morgan St defense
−3.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Morgan St by 1.5
1.5
Manhattan side ◂▸ Morgan St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 157.1 against a projected 157.0, and the margin steps add to +1.6 against +1.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Morgan St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Morgan St is the faster team (70.7, #64 of 365) and Manhattan the slower (68.1, #195). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
157.0
model
Projected team totals
77.7 / 79.3
Manhattan / Morgan St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#143
Manhattan
70.3#31
Morgan St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMorgan St
Where Morgan St struggles: shooting
Morgan St shoots an effective 45.8% (#351); Manhattan allows 53.9% (#297). Expect about 49.5%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.6 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageManhattan
Where Manhattan struggles: shooting
Manhattan shoots an effective 47.9% (#315); Morgan St allows 51.7% (#194). Expect about 49.5%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.5 points per 100 possessions.
GlassMorgan St
Morgan St owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.8% is worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions for Morgan St's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Morgan St's defense, Manhattan's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Manhattan at about 32.7% of its shots from three, Morgan St about 35.1%.
ClashMorgan St
Strength vs strength: free-throw rate
Morgan St (#22 in free-throw rate) against Manhattan (#11 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 33.1%. Historically Manhattan's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.50 vs 0.61).
ClashMorgan St
Style clash: paint scoring
Morgan St gets only 37.2% of its points in the paint; Manhattan gives up 46.6% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 42.7% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.25 vs 0.34).
Manhattan has the ball
OffenseMorgan St allowsvs D1 avg
47.9% #315
51.7% #194
-2.5 pt/100
15.6% #111
16.5% #184
+1.0 pt/100
28.6% #247
35.2% #341
+0.6 pt/100
34.0% #208
50.9% #363
+1.1 pt/100
79.6% #3
—
+0.6 pt/100
Manhattan net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.9 pts/100
Morgan St has the ball
OffenseManhattan allowsvs D1 avg
45.8% #351
53.9% #297
-2.6 pt/100
17.8% #260
16.7% #175
-0.6 pt/100
30.7% #172
37.0% #358
+2.1 pt/100
42.7% #22
25.7% #11
-0.2 pt/100
74.3% #113
—
+0.2 pt/100
Morgan St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersManhattanoffense vsMorgan Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Manhattan shoots
38.9
6.2
17.8
37.1
Morgan St allows
48.0
4.8
15.6
31.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 50.2%#360 | 58.6%#168 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.8%#85 | 26.9%#5 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#38 | 44.9%#349 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.0%#280 | 31.5%#43 | 33.7% |
Morgan Stoffense vsManhattandefense
Share of shots by zone
Morgan St shoots
38.9
2.0
23.1
35.9
Manhattan allows
40.7
5.9
15.2
38.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.0%#340 | 58.5%#166 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.1%#326 | 42.5%#237 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.1%#289 | 42.7%#326 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#295 | 36.6%#332 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersManhattan
+0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#168 of 365
Off reb %
28.6%
#247
Def reb %
63.0%
#358
Turnover %
15.6%
#111
Forced TO %
16.7%
#175
FT rate
34.0%
#208
FT allowed
25.7%
#11
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding−2.0
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Morgan St
−4.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#335 of 365
Off reb %
30.7%
#172
Def reb %
64.8%
#341
Turnover %
17.8%
#260
Forced TO %
16.5%
#184
FT rate
42.7%
#22
FT allowed
50.9%
#363
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding−1.5
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+2.0
Foul shots allowed−4.0
Manhattan has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.3 (#168 of 365) to Morgan St’s −4.3 (#335).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Manhattan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ben Tweedyat Colgate | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 55.9% | 38.5% | 3.3 | 70.3% | 19.0% | |
| 12 | Josiah Sabinoat Niagara | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-10 | 21.0 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 49.3% | 24.5% | 1.8 | 90.9% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Quron Elliott | G | So | 6'2" | 29-0 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 47.3% | 31.8% | 0.8 | 70.8% | 20.0% | |
| 16 | Ognjen Stankovicat Akron | F | So | 6'8" | 18-0 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 58.8% | 22.1% | |
| 23 | Jackson Delaney | G | Sr | 6'5" | 18-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 42.9% | 36.4% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 11.9% | |
| 1 | Kevin Kearneyat Saint Joseph's | F | So | 6'7" | 14-0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Asier Miguel | G | So | 6'4" | 9-0 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 59.4% | 30.0% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 87 | Liam McChesneyat Creighton | F | Sr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 42.1% | |
| 20 | Jaeden Robley | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Jameson Borodawka | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Nick Lukmann | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Anthony Pacciarelli | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | DaSean Lewis | G | Jr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Dusan Eric | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Isaac Johnson | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Jahzar Greene | G | Fr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Novak Manojlovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Kevin Kearney (from Saint Joseph's), Liam McChesney (from Creighton), Josiah Sabino (from Niagara), Ognjen Stankovic (from Akron), Ben Tweedy (from Colgate)
Morgan St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Morgan St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rob Lawson | G | Sr | 5'11" | 30-22 | 32.8 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 41.8% | 29.3% | 4.4 | 81.7% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | Elijah Davis | G | Sr | 6'1" | 26-26 | 34.9 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 45.9% | 21.7% | 0.9 | 72.5% | 25.5% | |
| 0 | Christian Meeks | G | Jr | 6'6" | 30-27 | 28.6 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 56.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 62.0% | 11.9% | |
| 1 | Alfred Worrell Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-26 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.3% | 7.4 | 88.5% | 34.0% | |
| 55 | Eugene Alvin | F | Jr | 6'7" | 29-14 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 53.7% | 38.4% | 2.5 | 60.3% | 21.5% | |
| 52 | Walter Peggs Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-6 | 19.3 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.7% | 36.7% | 4.6 | 81.6% | 25.3% | |
| 21 | Christian Oliver | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-9 | 14.3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 57.3% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 67.9% | 16.6% | |
| 7 | Marland Harris | F | Sr | 6'9" | 20-6 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 54.7% | — | 0.0 | 69.0% | 17.3% | |
| 4 | David Bumpass | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.6% | 16.7% | 1.1 | 59.4% | 24.4% | |
| 22 | Manok Lual | F | Jr | 6'9" | 20-4 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 47.4% | 16.6% | |
| 42 | Dallas James | C | Sr | 7'1" | 21-9 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 72.7% | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Matar Wade | F | So | 6'8" | 13-0 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 11.3% | |
| 10 | Breon Barnett | G | Fr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 15.9% | |
| 13 | Trent Edwards | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-1 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 17.0% | |
| 32 | Jayden Socka | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 20.5% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Manhattan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ben Tweedyat Colgate | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 55.9% | 38.5% | 3.3 | 70.3% | 19.0% | |
| 12 | Josiah Sabinoat Niagara | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-10 | 21.0 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 49.3% | 24.5% | 1.8 | 90.9% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Quron Elliott | G | So | 6'2" | 29-0 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 47.3% | 31.8% | 0.8 | 70.8% | 20.0% | |
| 16 | Ognjen Stankovicat Akron | F | So | 6'8" | 18-0 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 58.8% | 22.1% | |
| 23 | Jackson Delaney | G | Sr | 6'5" | 18-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 42.9% | 36.4% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 11.9% | |
| 1 | Kevin Kearneyat Saint Joseph's | F | So | 6'7" | 14-0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Asier Miguel | G | So | 6'4" | 9-0 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 59.4% | 30.0% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 87 | Liam McChesneyat Creighton | F | Sr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 42.1% | |
| 20 | Jaeden Robley | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Jameson Borodawka | G | Fr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Nick Lukmann | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Anthony Pacciarelli | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | DaSean Lewis | G | Jr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Dusan Eric | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Isaac Johnson | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Jahzar Greene | G | Fr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Novak Manojlovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Kevin Kearney (from Saint Joseph's), Liam McChesney (from Creighton), Josiah Sabino (from Niagara), Ognjen Stankovic (from Akron), Ben Tweedy (from Colgate)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Manhattan
Against the spread
Season
11-20
Home
6-7
Road
4-11
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −0.1
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 1 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
6-7
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.1
Under 3 straightOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Fairfield | N | L 60–71 | +4.5 | L−6.5 | 148.0 | U131 | 88.3 | 104.5 | 67.9 |
| Mar 1 | Iona | H | L 65–69 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 151.5 | U134 | 86.7 | 92.0 | 75.0 |
| Feb 27 | Saint Peter's | A | L 65–75 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 145.0 | U140 | 103.6 | 119.5 | 62.8 |
| Feb 20 | Marist | H | L 70–84 | +5.0 | L−9.0 | 142.0 | O154 | 109.3 | 131.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 15 | Canisius | A | W 69–65 | −1.5 | W+2.5 | 141.0 | U134 | 106.5 | 100.4 | 64.8 |
| Feb 13 | Niagara | A | W 76–69 | −2.0 | W+5.0 | 135.0 | O145 | 119.9 | 108.9 | 63.4 |
| Feb 7 | Sacred Heart | H | W 80–68 | +1.5 | W+13.5 | 161.0 | U148 | 112.6 | 95.7 | 71.1 |
| Feb 5 | Saint Peter's | H | L 75–80 | +4.5 | L−0.5 | 145.5 | O155 | 120.1 | 128.1 | 62.5 |
| Feb 1 | Mount St Marys | A | L 65–72 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 146.5 | U137 | 99.4 | 110.1 | 65.4 |
| Jan 30 | Rider | H | W 95–90 | −6.0 | L−1.0 | 146.0 | O185 | 141.1 | 133.6 | 67.3 |
Morgan St
Against the spread
Season
15-12
Home
8-4
Road
7-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.4
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-11
Home
6-6
Road
9-5
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +4.7
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Delaware St | N | L 70–75 OT | −3.0 | L−8.0 | 143.0 | O145 | 93.1 | 99.8 | 75.2 |
| Mar 5 | Coppin St | H | W 70–66 | −6.5 | L−2.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 101.7 | 95.9 | 68.8 |
| Mar 2 | Norfolk St | H | W 90–84 | +3.5 | W+9.5 | 157.0 | O174 | 119.4 | 111.4 | 75.4 |
| Feb 28 | Howard | H | L 59–84 | +9.5 | L−15.5 | 158.0 | U143 | 81.9 | 116.6 | 72.0 |
| Feb 25 | SC State | A | W 90–83 | −1.5 | W+5.5 | 154.5 | O173 | 123.4 | 113.8 | 73.0 |
| Feb 21 | Delaware St | H | W 82–68 | −5.5 | W+8.5 | 145.0 | O150 | 111.8 | 92.7 | 73.4 |
| Feb 16 | NC Central | A | L 76–80 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | O156 | 104.3 | 109.7 | 72.9 |
| Feb 7 | MD Eastern | H | W 79–71 | +1.5 | W+9.5 | 141.0 | O150 | 118.0 | 106.1 | 66.9 |
| Jan 31 | Coppin St | A | W 89–80 | −2.5 | W+6.5 | 155.5 | O169 | 117.4 | 105.5 | 75.8 |
| Jan 26 | Norfolk St | A | W 79–78 | +8.0 | W+9.0 | 153.5 | O157 | 103.8 | 102.5 | 76.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeManhattanMorgan St
Efficiency
105.7
102.0
115.7
115.6
68.7
70.3
—
—
Shooting
47.9%
45.8%
47.8%
44.9%
32.0%
31.7%
79.6%
74.3%
34.0%
42.7%
Ball control & glass
15.6%
17.8%
16.7%
16.5%
28.6%
30.7%
37.0%
35.2%
8.2%
9.4%
10.7%
10.4%
Style
37.1%
35.2%
41.4%
37.2%
11.1%
18.3%
49.6%
52.2%
28.1%
32.6%
Roster
3.05
3.58
6'4"
6'4.3"
7.4%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputManhattan
Returning minutes: 7.4%Returning production: 5.3%
Lost
- Jaden Winston 35.3 mpg, 15.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Devin Dinkins 33.6 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Fraser Roxburgh 30.6 mpg, 11.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Terrance Jones 28.2 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anthony Isaac 23.8 mpg, 9.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Marko Ljubicic 20.0 mpg, 5.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Ben Tweedy from Colgate · 29.4 mpg, 9.4 ppg last season
- Josiah Sabino from Niagara · 19.6 mpg, 6.6 ppg last season
- Ognjen Stankovic from Akron · 3.4 mpg, 1.2 ppg last season
- Kevin Kearney from Saint Joseph's · 1.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
- Liam McChesney from Creighton · 0.2 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Jameson Borodawka no D1 minutes last season
Returns 7% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Morgan St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Morgan St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.