CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCam Henderson Center, Huntington, WV
East Texas A&M
Efficiency #311
2025-26: 11-21 · 6-16 conf
@
Marshall
Efficiency #175
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
71.9
win 20%
Projected
81.6
win 80%
No line posted yet.
Model: MRSH −9.7 · total 153.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Marshall 69.7, East Texas A&M 69.0 → 70.4 possessions
+4.5
Marshall offense vs East Texas A&M defense
+3.3
East Texas A&M offense vs Marshall defense
−2.4
Projected total
153.6
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Marshall offense vs East Texas A&M defense
+3.3
East Texas A&M offense vs Marshall defense
+2.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Marshall by 9.7
9.7
East Texas A&M side ◂▸ Marshall side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Marshall.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Marshall is the faster team (70.7, #66 of 365) and East Texas A&M the slower (68.5, #171). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.6
model
Projected team totals
71.9 / 81.6
East Texas A&M / Marshall
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.0#123
East Texas A&M
69.7#71
Marshall
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMarshall
Where Marshall scores: shooting
Marshall shoots an effective 54.8% (#42); East Texas A&M allows 52.9% (#261). Expect about 54.2%, 2.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.1 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseMarshall
Marshall's shot-blocking
Marshall ranks #23 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.4% of East Texas A&M's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageEast Texas A&M
Where East Texas A&M struggles: shooting
East Texas A&M shoots an effective 49.2% (#282); Marshall allows 50.3% (#118). Expect about 49.6%, 1.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Marshall, East Texas A&M's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect East Texas A&M at about 45.0% of its shots from three, Marshall about 42.4%.
ClashEast Texas A&M
Style clash: ball movement
East Texas A&M assists on 62.4% of its made baskets; Marshall breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.0% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 54.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
East Texas A&M has the ball
OffenseMarshall allowsvs D1 avg
49.2% #282
50.3% #118
-2.4 pt/100
19.2% #330
16.3% #201
-1.3 pt/100
25.7% #328
33.8% #316
-1.0 pt/100
32.0% #257
41.1% #313
+0.3 pt/100
67.9% #328
—
-0.4 pt/100
East Texas A&M net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.8 pts/100
Marshall has the ball
OffenseEast Texas A&M allowsvs D1 avg
54.8% #42
52.9% #261
+4.1 pt/100
16.6% #171
17.0% #153
-0.0 pt/100
31.9% #127
32.8% #288
+1.3 pt/100
29.2% #328
34.5% #165
-0.4 pt/100
73.0% #168
—
+0.1 pt/100
Marshall net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersEast Texas A&Moffense vsMarshalldefense
Share of shots by zone
East Texas A&M shoots
36.0
6.1
12.5
45.4
Marshall allows
36.7
5.4
18.8
39.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.9%#200 | 60.2%#241 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.3%#190 | 35.8%#87 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.8%#332 | 34.0%#50 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.3%#313 | 33.6%#162 | 33.7% |
Marshalloffense vsEast Texas A&Mdefense
Share of shots by zone
Marshall shoots
31.0
3.9
21.0
44.1
East Texas A&M allows
43.6
6.1
12.6
37.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.8%#8 | 55.1%#62 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.8%#248 | 40.4%#197 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.9%#229 | 35.4%#85 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.8%#34 | 37.3%#347 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersEast Texas A&M
−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#332 of 365
Off reb %
25.7%
#328
Def reb %
67.2%
#288
Turnover %
19.2%
#330
Forced TO %
17.0%
#153
FT rate
32.0%
#257
FT allowed
34.5%
#165
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.5
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security−1.7
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.8
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Marshall
−3.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#322 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#127
Def reb %
66.2%
#316
Turnover %
16.6%
#171
Forced TO %
16.3%
#201
FT rate
29.2%
#328
FT allowed
41.1%
#313
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−1.0
Ball security+0.1
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed−1.5
Marshall has more extra scoring chances per game: −3.7 (#322 of 365) to East Texas A&M’s −4.2 (#332).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
East Texas A&M2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Gianni Hunt | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 30.9 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 46.5% | 31.3% | 4.0 | 76.4% | 23.9% | |
| 0 | Ronnie Harrison | F | Jr | 6'8" | 30-28 | 29.5 | 14.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 52.3% | 29.6% | 3.6 | 65.5% | 31.1% | |
| 13 | Noah Pagotto | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-22 | 26.1 | 10.4 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 1.6 | 76.8% | 21.0% | |
| 8 | Damian Garcia | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-24 | 26.0 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 49.8% | 33.3% | 5.0 | 57.1% | 26.7% | |
| 10 | Josh Taylor | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-12 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 53.4% | 31.0% | 0.9 | 55.3% | 19.5% | |
| 5 | Tay Mosher | F | Sr | 6'7" | 27-12 | 16.6 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 50.4% | 31.9% | 3.5 | 60.0% | 18.1% | |
| 2 | Evan Phelps | G | Jr | 6'0" | 30-8 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 29.0% | 20.5% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 13.9% | |
| 6 | London Fields | G | Jr | 6'5" | 24-10 | 15.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 43.3% | 25.4% | 2.5 | 70.6% | 16.0% | |
| 7 | Michael Folarin | F | Sr | 6'10" | 20-4 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 52.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 63.5% | 23.2% | |
| 30 | Alex McCray | G | Jr | 6'1" | 20-2 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 41.2% | 22.2% | 0.9 | 81.8% | 15.3% | |
| 20 | Parker Whisenhunt | G | So | 6'3" | 4-0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.9% | |
| 3 | Mykol Sanchez-Vega | G | Sr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | — | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Chris Adlam | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Kamren Robinson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Kollin Tolbert | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Marshall2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Jalen Speer | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 15.7 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 48.7% | 36.4% | 7.8 | 83.0% | 30.4% | |
| 5 | Noah Otshudi | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-31 | 31.5 | 14.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 48.9% | 30.0% | 2.3 | 84.5% | 29.0% | |
| 3 | Wilson Dubinsky | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-0 | 18.8 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 49.6% | 37.1% | 3.3 | 77.4% | 15.6% | |
| 15 | Caleb Hollenbeck | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-27 | 17.3 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 58.3% | 39.7% | 4.3 | 41.7% | 17.5% | |
| 6 | Landen Joseph | G | Fr | 6'2" | 31-6 | 17.8 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 59.2% | 41.3% | 3.0 | 70.8% | 24.5% | |
| 13 | Matt Van Komen | C | Sr | 7'4" | 22-20 | 20.9 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 73.7% | — | 0.0 | 76.2% | 18.7% | |
| 11 | Erich Harding | F | So | 6'10" | 32-12 | 14.3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 62.8% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 47.2% | 15.5% | |
| 9 | Shamarrie Hugie | G | Jr | 6'6" | 26-1 | 12.3 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 56.8% | 41.4% | 1.1 | 64.7% | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Drew Fuquay | F | Jr | 6'8" | 28-0 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 41.7% | 0.4 | 72.7% | 17.5% | |
| 8 | Bryce Slay | G | Fr | 6'6" | 24-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 41.3% | 35.7% | 1.2 | 81.3% | 16.5% | |
| 0 | Kai Spears | G | Jr | 6'3" | 15-0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 88.9% | 16.0% | |
| 14 | Grant Moore | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | — | 35.8% | |
| 1 | Kaiden White | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Will Moore | G | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
East Texas A&M2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Gianni Hunt | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 30.9 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 46.5% | 31.3% | 4.0 | 76.4% | 23.9% | |
| 0 | Ronnie Harrison | F | Jr | 6'8" | 30-28 | 29.5 | 14.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 52.3% | 29.6% | 3.6 | 65.5% | 31.1% | |
| 13 | Noah Pagotto | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-22 | 26.1 | 10.4 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 1.6 | 76.8% | 21.0% | |
| 8 | Damian Garcia | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-24 | 26.0 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 49.8% | 33.3% | 5.0 | 57.1% | 26.7% | |
| 10 | Josh Taylor | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-12 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 53.4% | 31.0% | 0.9 | 55.3% | 19.5% | |
| 5 | Tay Mosher | F | Sr | 6'7" | 27-12 | 16.6 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 50.4% | 31.9% | 3.5 | 60.0% | 18.1% | |
| 2 | Evan Phelps | G | Jr | 6'0" | 30-8 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 29.0% | 20.5% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 13.9% | |
| 6 | London Fields | G | Jr | 6'5" | 24-10 | 15.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 43.3% | 25.4% | 2.5 | 70.6% | 16.0% | |
| 7 | Michael Folarin | F | Sr | 6'10" | 20-4 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 52.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 63.5% | 23.2% | |
| 30 | Alex McCray | G | Jr | 6'1" | 20-2 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 41.2% | 22.2% | 0.9 | 81.8% | 15.3% | |
| 20 | Parker Whisenhunt | G | So | 6'3" | 4-0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.9% | |
| 3 | Mykol Sanchez-Vega | G | Sr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | — | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Chris Adlam | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Kamren Robinson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Kollin Tolbert | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26East Texas A&M
Against the spread
Season
13-15
Home
4-8
Road
8-7
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-15-1
Home
4-8
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −2.6
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2 | Texas A&M-CC | A | L 71–84 | +8.0 | L−5.0 | 137.5 | O155 | 105.6 | 124.9 | 67.2 |
| Feb 28 | UT Rio Grande | A | L 55–63 | +10.0 | W+2.0 | 147.5 | U118 | 95.5 | 109.4 | 57.6 |
| Feb 23 | Hou Christian | H | L 68–69 | −2.0 | L−3.0 | 139.5 | U137 | 106.1 | 107.6 | 64.1 |
| Feb 21 | Incarnate Word | H | L 73–82 | −4.0 | L−13.0 | 146.5 | O155 | 127.6 | 143.4 | 57.2 |
| Feb 16 | SE Louisiana | H | W 70–53 | −1.5 | W+15.5 | 136.5 | U123 | 103.3 | 78.2 | 67.7 |
| Feb 14 | McNeese | H | L 54–97 | +13.5 | L−29.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 79.3 | 142.4 | 68.1 |
| Feb 9 | SF Austin | A | L 70–74 | +15.0 | W+11.0 | 144.5 | U144 | 104.7 | 110.7 | 66.8 |
| Feb 7 | N'Western St | H | W 52–48 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 141.5 | U100 | 78.1 | 72.1 | 66.5 |
| Feb 4 | N'Western St | A | W 74–68 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 143.0 | U142 | 117.1 | 107.6 | 63.2 |
| Feb 2 | LSU N Orleans | H | L 85–94 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 151.0 | O179 | 108.5 | 120.0 | 78.3 |
Marshall
Against the spread
Season
10-20-1
Home
4-11-1
Road
6-8
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −7.3
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
19-12
Home
12-4
Road
7-7
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +12.6
Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | GA Southern | N | L 78–82 | −3.5 | L−7.5 | 166.5 | U160 | 107.7 | 113.3 | 72.4 |
| Feb 27 | GA Southern | H | L 82–99 | −7.5 | L−24.5 | 168.5 | O181 | 114.4 | 138.1 | 71.7 |
| Feb 24 | Old Dominion | H | W 97–88 | −8.5 | W+0.5 | 160.5 | O185 | 134.5 | 122.0 | 72.1 |
| Feb 21 | Coastal | A | L 75–79 | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 153.5 | O154 | 99.5 | 104.8 | 75.3 |
| Feb 19 | App State | A | W 94–93 | +3.5 | W+4.5 | 143.5 | O187 | 141.4 | 139.9 | 66.5 |
| Feb 16 | South Alabama | H | W 84–80 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 151.0 | O164 | 129.8 | 123.6 | 64.7 |
| Feb 14 | GA Southern | A | L 87–101 | −2.5 | L−16.5 | 162.5 | O188 | 112.2 | 130.3 | 77.5 |
| Feb 11 | Old Dominion | A | W 81–79 | −3.0 | L−1.0 | 156.0 | O160 | 114.7 | 111.9 | 70.6 |
| Feb 7 | #23Miami OH | H | L 74–90 | +2.0 | L−14.0 | 164.5 | U164 | 104.9 | 127.6 | 70.5 |
| Feb 4 | Southern Miss | H | W 81–77 | −10.5 | L−6.5 | 148.5 | O158 | 122.1 | 116.1 | 66.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeEast Texas A&MMarshall
Efficiency
102.4
111.3
110.3
111.2
69.0
69.7
—
—
Shooting
49.2%
54.8%
51.2%
54.6%
31.3%
36.8%
67.9%
73.0%
32.0%
29.2%
Ball control & glass
19.2%
16.6%
17.0%
16.3%
25.7%
31.9%
32.8%
33.8%
10.7%
10.1%
10.7%
8.1%
Style
46.2%
44.3%
41.9%
37.7%
13.4%
15.3%
62.4%
56.5%
32.7%
32.6%
Roster
3.53
3.30
6'5.8"
6'4.6"
91.3%
85.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputEast Texas A&M
Returning minutes: 91.3%Returning production: 91.8%
Lost
- Vinny Sigona 17.5 mpg, 7.1 ppg · transferred to Canisius
Added
- Kollin Tolbert no D1 minutes last season
- Kamren Robinson no D1 minutes last season
- Chris Adlam no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 91% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Marshall
Returning minutes: 85.4%Returning production: 80.3%
Lost
- Wyatt Fricks 29.1 mpg, 15.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Kaiden White no D1 minutes last season
- Will Moore no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.