CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLionTree Arena, San Diego, CA
LMU
Efficiency #183
2025-26: 15-17 · 6-13 conf
@
UC San Diego
Efficiency #121
2025-26: 23-11 · 13-9 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · 10:00 PM ET
67.7
win 30%
Projected
73.8
win 70%
No line posted yet.
Model: UCSD −6.0 · total 141.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UC San Diego 68.2, LMU 68.2 → 68.1 possessions
−0.4
UC San Diego offense vs LMU defense
−2.1
LMU offense vs UC San Diego defense
−4.2
Projected total
141.5
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UC San Diego offense vs LMU defense
−2.1
LMU offense vs UC San Diego defense
+4.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
UC San Diego by 6.0
6.0
LMU side ◂▸ UC San Diego side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UC San Diego.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UC San Diego is the faster team (69.7, #102 of 365) and LMU the slower (68.1, #197). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
141.5
model
Projected team totals
67.7 / 73.8
LMU / UC San Diego
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.2#189
LMU
68.2#190
UC San Diego
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageLMU
Where LMU struggles: the offensive glass
LMU rebounds 26.7% of its own misses (#307); UC San Diego lets opponents grab 27.0% of their own misses (#38). Expect about 26.2%, 4.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.6 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (UC San Diego's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect LMU at about 43.1% of its shots from three, UC San Diego about 39.6%.
ClashUC San Diego
Strength vs strength: 2-point shooting
UC San Diego (#56 in 2-point shooting) against LMU (#31 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 51.2%. Historically UC San Diego's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.61 vs 0.55).
LMU has the ball
OffenseUC San Diego allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #152
48.4% #45
-1.6 pt/100
17.5% #238
16.8% #168
-0.5 pt/100
26.7% #307
27.0% #38
-2.6 pt/100
31.1% #280
29.3% #48
-0.7 pt/100
69.5% #280
—
-0.2 pt/100
LMU net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.6 pts/100
UC San Diego has the ball
OffenseLMU allowsvs D1 avg
52.6% #124
48.9% #60
-0.7 pt/100
16.5% #164
16.6% #181
+0.4 pt/100
26.1% #320
32.0% #258
-1.4 pt/100
31.2% #277
32.5% #114
-0.4 pt/100
69.3% #290
—
-0.3 pt/100
UC San Diego net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLMUoffense vsUC San Diegodefense
Share of shots by zone
LMU shoots
32.8
8.4
19.0
39.8
UC San Diego allows
36.3
5.4
14.2
44.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.2%#156 | 54.6%#53 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.0%#195 | 35.1%#59 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.6%#68 | 39.5%#218 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.8%#130 | 31.5%#45 | 33.7% |
UC San Diegooffense vsLMUdefense
Share of shots by zone
UC San Diego shoots
42.6
6.6
8.4
42.4
LMU allows
37.1
7.4
18.9
36.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.3%#112 | 53.3%#27 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.6%#110 | 35.8%#88 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#183 | 39.0%#200 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.8%#241 | 34.6%#225 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLMU
−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#287 of 365
Off reb %
26.7%
#307
Def reb %
68.0%
#258
Turnover %
17.5%
#238
Forced TO %
16.6%
#181
FT rate
31.1%
#280
FT allowed
32.5%
#114
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding−0.5
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+0.7
UC San Diego
+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#159 of 365
Off reb %
26.1%
#320
Def reb %
73.0%
#38
Turnover %
16.5%
#164
Forced TO %
16.8%
#168
FT rate
31.2%
#277
FT allowed
29.3%
#48
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.4
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+1.5
UC San Diego has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.6 (#159 of 365) to LMU’s −2.5 (#287).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
LMU2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted LMU's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rodney Brown Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 31-30 | 32.4 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 54.8% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 83.0% | 24.9% | |
| 5 | Myron Amey Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-17 | 30.5 | 14.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 52.7% | 35.3% | 7.3 | 77.1% | 28.0% | |
| 16 | Aaron McBride | F | Jr | 6'6" | 31-24 | 27.2 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 58.1% | 35.0% | 1.3 | 75.5% | 16.1% | |
| 1 | Jalen Shelley | F | So | 6'8" | 25-25 | 31.2 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 50.6% | 28.7% | 3.5 | 70.4% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Jan Vide | G | Jr | 6'6" | 27-27 | 28.8 | 12.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 47.0% | 32.3% | 1.1 | 75.3% | 29.0% | |
| 22 | Rick Issanza | C | Sr | 7'1" | 30-17 | 16.3 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 34.4% | 10.3% | |
| 4 | AJ Thomas | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-4 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 44.7% | 29.2% | 0.8 | 66.0% | 26.6% | |
| 35 | Rokas Jocius | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-15 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 59.1% | 43.8% | 0.5 | 52.2% | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Josh Dalton | F | Fr | 6'10" | 29-0 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 55.5% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 72.2% | 15.9% | |
| 0 | Nakyel Shelton | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 55.6% | 38.5% | 1.0 | 85.0% | 17.4% | |
| 24 | Jael Martin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 17-1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 61.4% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 62.5% | 12.0% | |
| 42 | George Tupy | F | Jr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.8% | |
| 41 | Kevin Carney | G | Sr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 0.0% | 32.3% | |
| 40 | Cooper Smith | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.0% | |
| 3 | Marley Zeller | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tanner Thomas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UC San Diego2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UC San Diego's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tom Beattie | G | Jr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 31.2 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 53.6% | 32.1% | 3.9 | 57.5% | 20.5% | |
| 8 | Leo Beath | F | Jr | 6'8" | 34-33 | 30.1 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 4.4 | 74.0% | 24.5% | |
| 10 | Alex Chaikin | G | So | 6'5" | 34-17 | 25.0 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 54.3% | 39.2% | 5.7 | 80.3% | 22.1% | |
| 7 | Bol Dengdit | F | Jr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 23.4 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 52.7% | 29.4% | 2.5 | 64.3% | 28.3% | |
| 0 | Hudson Mayes | G | Fr | 6'5" | 33-12 | 23.9 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 56.8% | 35.5% | 0.9 | 79.8% | 24.4% | |
| 20 | Aidan Burke | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-17 | 21.7 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 54.4% | 31.9% | 3.4 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 5 | Emanuel Prospere II | G | Sr | 6'5" | 28-22 | 22.1 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 51.4% | 20.6% | 1.2 | 60.9% | 24.7% | |
| 13 | Jaden Vance | F | Fr | 6'6" | 24-0 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 52.1% | 36.1% | 1.5 | 74.1% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Trap Johnson | G | Fr | 6'6" | 24-0 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 48.1% | 30.6% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 17.6% | |
| 33 | Dimitrije Vukicevic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 25-0 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 50.0% | 23.0% | |
| 4 | Cade Pendleton | F | Jr | 6'10" | 19-1 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 41.3% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 66.7% | 18.7% | |
| 1 | Ryder Elisaldez | G | So | 6'3" | 10-0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 10.1% | |
| 2 | Christopher Cox | G | Fr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | 0.0% | 31.0% | |
| 22 | Yaqub Mir | G | So | 6'2" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 59.8% | |
| 11 | Jasen Brooks | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Tyson Dunn | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
LMU2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted LMU's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rodney Brown Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 31-30 | 32.4 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 54.8% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 83.0% | 24.9% | |
| 5 | Myron Amey Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-17 | 30.5 | 14.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 52.7% | 35.3% | 7.3 | 77.1% | 28.0% | |
| 16 | Aaron McBride | F | Jr | 6'6" | 31-24 | 27.2 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 58.1% | 35.0% | 1.3 | 75.5% | 16.1% | |
| 1 | Jalen Shelley | F | So | 6'8" | 25-25 | 31.2 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 50.6% | 28.7% | 3.5 | 70.4% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Jan Vide | G | Jr | 6'6" | 27-27 | 28.8 | 12.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 47.0% | 32.3% | 1.1 | 75.3% | 29.0% | |
| 22 | Rick Issanza | C | Sr | 7'1" | 30-17 | 16.3 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 34.4% | 10.3% | |
| 4 | AJ Thomas | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-4 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 44.7% | 29.2% | 0.8 | 66.0% | 26.6% | |
| 35 | Rokas Jocius | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-15 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 59.1% | 43.8% | 0.5 | 52.2% | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Josh Dalton | F | Fr | 6'10" | 29-0 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 55.5% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 72.2% | 15.9% | |
| 0 | Nakyel Shelton | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-0 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 55.6% | 38.5% | 1.0 | 85.0% | 17.4% | |
| 24 | Jael Martin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 17-1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 61.4% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 62.5% | 12.0% | |
| 42 | George Tupy | F | Jr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.8% | |
| 41 | Kevin Carney | G | Sr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 0.0% | 32.3% | |
| 40 | Cooper Smith | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.0% | |
| 3 | Marley Zeller | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tanner Thomas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26LMU
Against the spread
Season
14-16-1
Home
8-9
Road
5-5-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −1.4
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
15-16
Home
9-8
Road
6-5
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.3
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | San Diego | N | L 62–66 | −5.5 | L−9.5 | 145.5 | U128 | 101.1 | 107.6 | 61.3 |
| Feb 28 | Seattle U | H | L 66–71 | −1.0 | L−6.0 | 136.0 | O137 | 104.8 | 112.8 | 63.0 |
| Feb 25 | Washington St | H | W 67–66 | −2.0 | L−1.0 | 148.0 | U133 | 98.6 | 97.1 | 68.0 |
| Feb 21 | San Diego | A | W 77–65 | −2.5 | W+9.5 | 149.5 | U142 | 124.0 | 104.7 | 62.1 |
| Feb 14 | Pepperdine | A | L 89–90 | −6.0 | L−7.0 | 148.5 | O179 | 125.0 | 126.4 | 71.2 |
| Feb 11 | Pacific | A | L 59–65 | +6.0 | P0.0 | 141.5 | U124 | 93.7 | 103.2 | 63.0 |
| Feb 7 | San Diego | H | W 83–63 | −6.0 | W+14.0 | 151.5 | U146 | 131.5 | 99.8 | 63.1 |
| Feb 4 | San Francisco | A | W 84–75 | +8.0 | W+17.0 | 146.0 | O159 | 121.8 | 108.8 | 69.0 |
| Jan 31 | Santa Clara | H | L 73–104 | +9.0 | L−22.0 | 154.5 | O177 | 94.1 | 134.1 | 77.5 |
| Jan 28 | Oregon St | H | L 69–72 | −6.0 | L−9.0 | 142.0 | U141 | 104.6 | 109.2 | 65.9 |
UC San Diego
Against the spread
Season
16-16
Home
5-8
Road
7-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-20
Home
5-8
Road
3-10
Last 10
1-9
avg vs total −11.8
Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | CSU Northridge | N | L 70–80 | −2.0 | L−12.0 | 153.5 | U150 | 96.4 | 110.2 | 72.6 |
| Mar 11 | Cal Poly | N | W 72–69 | −4.5 | L−1.5 | 163.0 | U141 | 98.3 | 94.2 | 73.2 |
| Mar 7 | Santa Barbara | A | W 64–63 | +2.0 | W+3.0 | 142.0 | U127 | 102.5 | 100.9 | 62.4 |
| Mar 5 | Fullerton | A | L 71–75 | −3.0 | L−7.0 | 157.0 | U146 | 101.6 | 107.4 | 69.8 |
| Feb 28 | Cal Poly | H | W 80–64 | −7.5 | W+8.5 | 164.0 | U144 | 114.0 | 91.2 | 70.2 |
| Feb 26 | Bakersfield | H | W 84–72 | −14.5 | L−2.5 | 149.0 | O156 | 117.6 | 100.8 | 71.4 |
| Feb 21 | UC Irvine | A | W 71–69 | +4.5 | W+6.5 | 143.5 | U140 | 112.2 | 109.0 | 63.3 |
| Feb 14 | UC Riverside | H | W 72–66 | −11.0 | L−5.0 | 147.5 | U138 | 101.3 | 92.9 | 71.0 |
| Feb 12 | UC Davis | H | W 68–51 | −6.0 | W+11.0 | 150.5 | U119 | 96.7 | 72.5 | 70.3 |
| Feb 7 | Hawai'i | A | L 67–72 | +6.5 | W+1.5 | 148.5 | U139 | 90.3 | 97.0 | 74.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLMUUC San Diego
Efficiency
106.0
107.3
106.6
104.8
68.2
68.2
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
52.6%
51.6%
55.0%
34.8%
32.8%
69.5%
69.3%
31.1%
31.2%
Ball control & glass
17.5%
16.5%
16.6%
16.8%
26.7%
26.1%
32.0%
27.0%
9.0%
8.7%
7.3%
10.2%
Style
40.4%
42.3%
43.4%
47.7%
14.5%
15.9%
49.3%
55.5%
32.4%
30.4%
Roster
2.92
2.51
6'6.4"
6'6.3"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLMU
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted LMU's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UC San Diego
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UC San Diego's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Dec 16 | 2025-26 | UC San Diego 67 – 57 LMU |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.