CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferencePrudential Center, Newark, NJ
Siena
Efficiency #134
2025-26: 23-12 · 16-7 conf
@
Seton Hall
Efficiency #56
2025-26: 21-12 · 11-11 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
63.1
win 25%
Projected
71.0
win 75%
No line posted yet.
Model: HALL −8.0 · total 134.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Seton Hall 66.9, Siena 66.4 → 65.0 possessions
−7.2
Seton Hall offense vs Siena defense
−1.3
Siena offense vs Seton Hall defense
−5.6
Projected total
134.1
Axis starts at 120 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Seton Hall offense vs Siena defense
−1.3
Siena offense vs Seton Hall defense
+5.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
Seton Hall by 8.0
8.0
Siena side ◂▸ Seton Hall side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Seton Hall.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Seton Hall is the faster team (66.5, #273 of 365) and Siena the slower (64.2, #350). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
134.1
model
Projected team totals
63.1 / 71.0
Siena / Seton Hall
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.4#322
Siena
66.9#298
Seton Hall
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseSeton Hall
Seton Hall's shot-blocking
Seton Hall ranks #1 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 15.8% of Siena's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageSeton Hall
Where Seton Hall struggles: shooting
Seton Hall shoots an effective 47.6% (#321); Siena allows 48.5% (#48). Expect about 47.7%, 3.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.0 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
Seton Hall averages 66.5 possessions per 40, Siena 64.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 64 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageSiena
Where Siena struggles: shooting
Siena shoots an effective 50.4% (#222); Seton Hall allows 47.3% (#25). Expect about 48.7%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseSeton Hall
Seton Hall's ball-hawking
Seton Hall ranks #4 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.6% of Siena's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
TurnoversSiena
Siena turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.2% is worth roughly -3.0 points per 100 possessions against Siena's offense.
Siena has the ball
OffenseSeton Hall allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #222
47.3% #25
-3.7 pt/100
15.8% #126
21.5% #5
-3.0 pt/100
31.8% #133
31.9% #251
+1.0 pt/100
33.4% #226
42.1% #325
+0.4 pt/100
77.1% #32
—
+0.4 pt/100
Siena net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.8 pts/100
Seton Hall has the ball
OffenseSiena allowsvs D1 avg
47.6% #321
48.5% #48
-5.0 pt/100
16.7% #175
17.0% #152
-0.1 pt/100
35.6% #33
29.5% #133
+2.0 pt/100
35.3% #168
27.5% #27
-0.5 pt/100
72.3% #199
—
-0.0 pt/100
Seton Hall net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSienaoffense vsSeton Halldefense
Share of shots by zone
Siena shoots
40.8
5.5
22.2
31.6
Seton Hall allows
39.7
3.7
14.7
41.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#206 | 52.7%#22 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.5%#46 | 29.3%#13 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.1%#23 | 32.6%#22 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.6%#330 | 32.4%#87 | 33.7% |
Seton Halloffense vsSienadefense
Share of shots by zone
Seton Hall shoots
46.7
5.3
21.8
26.2
Siena allows
36.8
4.8
19.2
39.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.5%#314 | 53.4%#29 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.7%#311 | 44.7%#287 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.9%#146 | 39.7%#232 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.5%#334 | 32.3%#82 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSiena
+3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#50 of 365
Off reb %
31.8%
#133
Def reb %
70.5%
#133
Turnover %
15.8%
#126
Forced TO %
17.0%
#152
FT rate
33.4%
#226
FT allowed
27.5%
#27
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Seton Hall
+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#56 of 365
Off reb %
35.6%
#33
Def reb %
68.1%
#251
Turnover %
16.7%
#175
Forced TO %
21.5%
#5
FT rate
35.3%
#168
FT allowed
42.1%
#325
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security+0.1
Forcing turnovers+3.3
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Siena has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.2 (#50 of 365) to Seton Hall’s +2.9 (#56).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
Seton Hall2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Adam Clark | G | Jr | 5'10" | 33-33 | 30.7 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 45.0% | 22.0% | 1.2 | 74.6% | 30.0% | |
| 14 | AJ Staton-McCray | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 27.5 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 47.7% | 33.3% | 4.9 | 87.5% | 27.9% | |
| 23 | Mike Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-31 | 20.9 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 44.8% | 33.7% | 3.0 | 75.9% | 23.8% | |
| 22 | Elijah Fisher | G | Sr | 6'6" | 33-33 | 20.7 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 23.7% | 1.2 | 69.6% | 20.6% | |
| 6 | Stephon Payne | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 20.2 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 52.4% | — | 0.0 | 51.8% | 18.7% | |
| 25 | Najai Hines | F | Fr | 6'10" | 31-0 | 17.9 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 60.2% | — | 0.0 | 69.0% | 20.1% | |
| 13 | Trey Parker | G | So | 6'0" | 32-0 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 39.2% | 20.5% | 1.4 | 80.0% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Josh Rivera | F | Sr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.2 | 53.6% | 18.5% | |
| 1 | Jacob Dar | G | Sr | 6'7" | 30-0 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 51.3% | 19.0% | 0.7 | 76.9% | 19.1% | |
| 54 | Godswill Erheriene | C | So | 6'9" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 66.7% | 15.0% | |
| 15 | Jahseem Felton | G | So | 6'5" | 3-0 | 14.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 16.2% | |
| 35 | Assane Mbaye | C | So | 7'2" | 4-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.2% | |
| 41 | David Gabriel | G | Sr | 6'1" | 3-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 41.4% | |
| 9 | Patrick Suemnick | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Siena
Against the spread
Season
20-14-1
Home
7-6
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.2
Covered 5 straightCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-23-1
Home
4-9
Road
7-9
Last 10
1-8-1
avg vs total −3.4
Over in 0 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #1Duke | N | L 65–71 | +27.5 | W+21.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 105.0 | 114.7 | 61.9 |
| Mar 10 | Merrimack | N | W 64–54 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 128.5 | U118 | 100.7 | 84.9 | 63.6 |
| Mar 8 | Fairfield | N | W 76–61 | −1.5 | W+13.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 119.0 | 95.5 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Mount St Marys | N | W 63–58 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 135.0 | U121 | 104.4 | 96.1 | 60.3 |
| Mar 1 | Rider | H | W 76–61 | −14.5 | W+0.5 | 137.5 | U137 | 114.2 | 91.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 27 | Fairfield | A | L 58–72 | −1.0 | L−15.0 | 142.5 | U130 | 82.9 | 102.9 | 69.9 |
| Feb 22 | Saint Peter's | H | W 72–63 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 136.0 | U135 | 117.3 | 102.6 | 61.4 |
| Feb 20 | Merrimack | A | L 72–79 OT | +2.5 | L−4.5 | 133.0 | O151 | 113.6 | 124.7 | 63.4 |
| Feb 15 | Marist | A | W 67–63 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 134.0 | U130 | 102.7 | 96.5 | 65.3 |
| Feb 13 | Quinnipiac | H | L 62–74 | −4.0 | L−16.0 | 144.0 | U136 | 92.8 | 110.8 | 66.8 |
Seton Hall
Against the spread
Season
19-14
Home
6-11
Road
9-3
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-20-1
Home
5-11-1
Road
5-7
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total −3.0
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | #13St John's | A | L 68–78 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 136.5 | O146 | 102.3 | 117.3 | 66.5 |
| Mar 12 | Creighton | N | W 72–61 | −3.0 | W+8.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 104.4 | 88.5 | 68.9 |
| Mar 6 | #18St John's | H | L 65–72 | +5.0 | L−2.0 | 137.0 | P137 | 101.3 | 112.3 | 64.1 |
| Mar 3 | Xavier | A | W 77–68 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 144.5 | O145 | 121.4 | 107.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 28 | #6UConn | A | L 67–71 | +13.0 | W+9.0 | 130.0 | O138 | 106.3 | 112.7 | 63.0 |
| Feb 21 | Georgetown | H | W 51–47 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 136.0 | U98 | 80.8 | 74.4 | 63.1 |
| Feb 18 | DePaul | H | L 57–69 | −7.0 | L−19.0 | 129.0 | U126 | 88.0 | 106.6 | 64.7 |
| Feb 15 | Butler | A | W 63–56 | −4.0 | W+3.0 | 138.5 | U119 | 94.1 | 83.6 | 67.0 |
| Feb 11 | Providence | H | W 87–80 | −5.0 | W+2.0 | 150.5 | O167 | 127.1 | 116.8 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | Creighton | A | L 68–69 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 138.5 | U137 | 102.0 | 103.5 | 66.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSienaSeton Hall
Efficiency
108.6
108.3
106.7
99.8
66.4
66.9
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
47.6%
52.5%
48.3%
30.6%
30.5%
77.1%
72.3%
33.4%
35.3%
Ball control & glass
15.8%
16.7%
17.0%
21.5%
31.8%
35.6%
29.5%
31.9%
10.2%
9.4%
9.5%
8.7%
Style
32.2%
26.8%
47.7%
49.1%
7.1%
13.1%
53.2%
51.6%
22.3%
39.5%
Roster
3.65
3.21
6'5.6"
6'4.2"
21.6%
87.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSiena
Returning minutes: 21.6%Returning production: 12.4%
Lost
- Gavin Doty 36.7 mpg, 18.0 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Justice Shoats 35.6 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Francis Folefac 28.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Antonio Chandler 18.3 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Jones 17.0 mpg, 4.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Riley Mulvey 13.4 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tan Yildizoglu from VMI · 30.2 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
- Paul Lambert no D1 minutes last season
- Angelos Bratakos no D1 minutes last season
- Mana Martin no D1 minutes last season
- Yannis Steger no D1 minutes last season
- Tim Ibukunoluwa no D1 minutes last season
Returns 22% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Seton Hall
Returning minutes: 87.4%Returning production: 88.5%
Lost
- Tajuan Simpkins 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Patrick Suemnick no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.