CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferencePaul Porter Arena, Boiling Springs, NC
NC Central
Efficiency #346
2025-26: 14-18 · 10-7 conf
@
Gardner-Webb
Efficiency #363
2025-26: 4-29 · 2-16 conf
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
74.9
win 50%
Projected
75.1
win 50%
No line posted yet.
Model: GWEB −0.1 · total 150.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Gardner-Webb 69.8, NC Central 67.3 → 68.8 possessions
+1.0
Gardner-Webb offense vs NC Central defense
−1.5
NC Central offense vs Gardner-Webb defense
+2.3
Projected total
150.0
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Gardner-Webb offense vs NC Central defense
−1.5
NC Central offense vs Gardner-Webb defense
−2.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Gardner-Webb by 0.1
0.1
NC Central side ◂▸ Gardner-Webb side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +0.2 against +0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Gardner-Webb.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Gardner-Webb is the faster team (70.8, #62 of 365) and NC Central the slower (66.6, #261). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.0
model
Projected team totals
74.9 / 75.1
NC Central / Gardner-Webb
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.3#266
NC Central
69.8#64
Gardner-Webb
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageGardner-Webb
Where Gardner-Webb struggles: ball control
Gardner-Webb turns it over on 19.8% of possessions (#344); NC Central forces turnovers on 19.9% of opponent possessions (#26). Expect about 20.5%, 3.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.6 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseNC Central
NC Central's ball-hawking
NC Central ranks #35 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.7% of Gardner-Webb's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Gardner-Webb, NC Central's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect NC Central at about 36.0% of its shots from three, Gardner-Webb about 40.5%.
AdvantageNC Central
Where NC Central scores: the offensive glass
NC Central rebounds 30.0% of its own misses (#201); Gardner-Webb lets opponents grab 36.6% of their own misses (#355). Expect about 33.1%, 2.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashGardner-Webb
Style clash: ball movement
Gardner-Webb creates off the dribble (assists on 41.0% of its baskets); NC Central allows assists on 58.2% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 48.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
NC Central has the ball
OffenseGardner-Webb allowsvs D1 avg
47.5% #328
56.9% #356
+1.0 pt/100
18.1% #278
15.3% #264
+0.2 pt/100
30.0% #201
36.6% #355
+1.6 pt/100
39.3% #72
35.2% #185
+0.3 pt/100
73.8% #139
—
+0.1 pt/100
NC Central net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.2 pts/100
Gardner-Webb has the ball
OffenseNC Central allowsvs D1 avg
47.8% #317
54.5% #317
-0.5 pt/100
19.8% #344
19.9% #26
-4.6 pt/100
23.2% #350
39.4% #364
-0.4 pt/100
30.3% #302
36.9% #233
-0.1 pt/100
68.5% #313
—
-0.3 pt/100
Gardner-Webb net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNC Centraloffense vsGardner-Webbdefense
Share of shots by zone
NC Central shoots
44.2
3.4
18.2
34.3
Gardner-Webb allows
41.8
5.5
11.5
41.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.3%#316 | 65.9%#357 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.8%#225 | 44.7%#287 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.5%#325 | 37.3%#139 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.6%#247 | 36.0%#300 | 33.7% |
Gardner-Webboffense vsNC Centraldefense
Share of shots by zone
Gardner-Webb shoots
42.6
5.3
13.4
38.7
NC Central allows
40.6
3.0
16.6
39.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.3%#315 | 59.8%#216 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 27.4%#361 | 38.1%#139 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.1%#311 | 38.4%#171 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.0%#320 | 36.4%#321 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNC Central
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#233 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#201
Def reb %
60.6%
#364
Turnover %
18.1%
#278
Forced TO %
19.9%
#26
FT rate
39.3%
#72
FT allowed
36.9%
#233
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−2.8
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers+2.2
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Gardner-Webb
−8.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#364 of 365
Off reb %
23.2%
#350
Def reb %
63.4%
#355
Turnover %
19.8%
#344
Forced TO %
15.3%
#264
FT rate
30.3%
#302
FT allowed
35.2%
#185
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.3
Defensive rebounding−1.9
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed0.0
NC Central has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.0 (#233 of 365) to Gardner-Webb’s −8.5 (#364).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
NC Central2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted NC Central's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gage Lattimore | G | So | 6'2" | 31-31 | 36.8 | 16.6 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 49.6% | 39.2% | 6.7 | 86.7% | 26.7% | |
| 2 | Dionte Johnson | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 48.2% | 32.9% | 2.7 | 76.8% | 20.3% | |
| 21 | Kelechi Okworogwo | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-13 | 25.6 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.0% | 20.0% | 0.6 | 69.1% | 18.7% | |
| 5 | Tekao Carpenter | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-22 | 25.9 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 46.9% | 31.6% | 3.8 | 75.5% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | Kyric Davis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-17 | 22.5 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 50.8% | 11.8% | 0.5 | 72.5% | 23.9% | |
| 8 | Jae Slack | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-10 | 23.9 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 48.9% | 35.7% | 2.7 | 75.0% | 25.8% | |
| 7 | Khouri Carvey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 22-21 | 26.2 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 58.1% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 55.3% | 30.0% | |
| 10 | Ryan Archey | G | So | 6'0" | 25-0 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 42.5% | 28.6% | 0.8 | 61.9% | 32.3% | |
| 22 | Ramondo Battle II | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-5 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 32.8% | 18.2% | 1.7 | 52.9% | 23.4% | |
| 13 | Jonathan Dunn | F | Jr | 6'7" | 11-9 | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 55.0% | 18.1% | |
| 12 | Justin Edwards | G | Sr | 5'9" | 18-0 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 28.1% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 3 | Khalil Arnold | G | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 47.2% | 38.5% | 1.3 | — | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Gbenga Olubi | F | Sr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 13.2% | |
| 4 | Camren Daniels | G | Fr | 6'5" | 9-0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Caleb Ellison | G | So | 6'0" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 7.5% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Gardner-Webb2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Gardner-Webb's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Colin Hawkins | G | So | 6'3" | 31-31 | 27.2 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 46.0% | 23.8% | 1.4 | 59.0% | 22.0% | |
| 5 | Jacob Hogarth | F | So | 6'9" | 33-30 | 25.0 | 10.7 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 53.8% | 40.0% | 0.5 | 70.6% | 26.3% | |
| 25 | Ace Talbert | G | Jr | 6'0" | 32-29 | 25.3 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 44.3% | 26.1% | 4.4 | 61.7% | 18.6% | |
| 6 | Jacob Hudson | G | So | 6'2" | 29-17 | 27.1 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 48.8% | 25.0% | 1.8 | 65.1% | 24.7% | |
| 1 | Spence Sims | G | Fr | 6'1" | 32-15 | 24.5 | 9.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 59.6% | 43.0% | 5.2 | 75.8% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Curtis Williams III | G | Jr | 6'7" | 26-22 | 21.3 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 43.7% | 27.4% | 2.8 | 70.2% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Jamias Ferere | G | Fr | 6'6" | 32-8 | 17.0 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 44.0% | 23.7% | 1.2 | 77.0% | 25.6% | |
| 4 | DJ Jefferson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 16.7 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 35.1% | 3.5 | 62.9% | 29.0% | |
| 11 | NaVuan Peterson | F | Sr | 6'6" | 27-4 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 43.5% | 26.7% | 2.2 | 84.6% | 16.2% | |
| 7 | Riek Riek | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-0 | 10.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 | 66.7% | 12.0% | |
| 35 | Bo Barber | G | Sr | 5'10" | 17-0 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 90.9% | 13.1% | |
| 3 | Julius Clark | G | Jr | 6'7" | 8-4 | 17.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 52.7% | 23.1% | 1.6 | 73.1% | 21.9% | |
| 21 | Ahmadou Ndiaye | G | Jr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 30.0% | 50.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 16.2% | |
| 12 | Cameron Gales | G | So | 6'0" | 10-0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 0.4 | — | 26.1% | |
| 9 | Paul Lindberg | G | Jr | 6'4" | 8-1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 35.7% | 50.0% | 0.3 | — | 26.2% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Hicks | G | Jr | 6'0" | 5-1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | — | 34.3% | |
| 8 | Ashton King | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
NC Central2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted NC Central's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gage Lattimore | G | So | 6'2" | 31-31 | 36.8 | 16.6 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 49.6% | 39.2% | 6.7 | 86.7% | 26.7% | |
| 2 | Dionte Johnson | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 48.2% | 32.9% | 2.7 | 76.8% | 20.3% | |
| 21 | Kelechi Okworogwo | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-13 | 25.6 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 54.0% | 20.0% | 0.6 | 69.1% | 18.7% | |
| 5 | Tekao Carpenter | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-22 | 25.9 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 46.9% | 31.6% | 3.8 | 75.5% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | Kyric Davis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-17 | 22.5 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 50.8% | 11.8% | 0.5 | 72.5% | 23.9% | |
| 8 | Jae Slack | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-10 | 23.9 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 48.9% | 35.7% | 2.7 | 75.0% | 25.8% | |
| 7 | Khouri Carvey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 22-21 | 26.2 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 58.1% | 25.0% | 0.5 | 55.3% | 30.0% | |
| 10 | Ryan Archey | G | So | 6'0" | 25-0 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 42.5% | 28.6% | 0.8 | 61.9% | 32.3% | |
| 22 | Ramondo Battle II | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-5 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 32.8% | 18.2% | 1.7 | 52.9% | 23.4% | |
| 13 | Jonathan Dunn | F | Jr | 6'7" | 11-9 | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 55.0% | 18.1% | |
| 12 | Justin Edwards | G | Sr | 5'9" | 18-0 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 28.1% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 3 | Khalil Arnold | G | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 47.2% | 38.5% | 1.3 | — | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Gbenga Olubi | F | Sr | 6'7" | 15-0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 13.2% | |
| 4 | Camren Daniels | G | Fr | 6'5" | 9-0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 31.8% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Caleb Ellison | G | So | 6'0" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 7.5% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26NC Central
Against the spread
Season
15-13
Home
3-6
Road
9-7
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −4.2
Covered 3 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-14-1
Home
4-5
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.5
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Howard | N | L 63–70 | +11.5 | W+4.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 101.2 | 112.4 | 62.3 |
| Mar 13 | Delaware St | N | W 59–53 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 131.0 | U112 | 104.5 | 93.9 | 56.4 |
| Mar 12 | MD Eastern | N | W 83–76 OT | +1.0 | W+8.0 | 132.0 | O159 | 119.6 | 109.5 | 69.4 |
| Mar 5 | SC State | H | L 64–80 | −7.5 | L−23.5 | 141.5 | O144 | 91.7 | 114.6 | 69.8 |
| Mar 2 | MD Eastern | A | W 77–73 | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 133.5 | O150 | 112.8 | 106.9 | 68.3 |
| Feb 28 | Delaware St | A | W 74–60 | −2.5 | W+11.5 | 135.5 | U134 | 120.3 | 97.5 | 61.5 |
| Feb 21 | Howard | A | L 67–100 | +12.5 | L−20.5 | 143.0 | O167 | 94.0 | 140.3 | 71.3 |
| Feb 18 | SC State | A | L 72–85 | −3.0 | L−16.0 | 137.5 | O157 | 107.9 | 127.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 16 | Morgan St | H | W 80–76 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 148.0 | O156 | 109.7 | 104.3 | 72.9 |
| Feb 14 | Coppin St | H | L 56–58 | −11.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | U114 | 89.6 | 92.8 | 62.5 |
Gardner-Webb
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
7-3
Road
6-9-1
Last 10
9-1
avg cover +5.0
Covered 9 straightCovered 9 of 10 as an underdogCovered 9 of 10 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-2
Road
7-8-1
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −1.5
Under 3 straightOver in 4 of 10 as an underdogOver in 4 of 10 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | High Point | N | L 59–81 | +27.5 | W+5.5 | 156.5 | U140 | 84.0 | 115.3 | 70.3 |
| Mar 4 | SC Upstate | N | W 65–64 | +11.0 | W+12.0 | 144.0 | U129 | 100.7 | 99.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | SC Upstate | A | L 61–71 | +13.5 | W+3.5 | 146.5 | U132 | 86.8 | 101.0 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | UNC Asheville | H | L 71–77 | +12.5 | W+6.5 | 145.5 | O148 | 114.6 | 124.2 | 62.0 |
| Feb 19 | Radford | A | L 70–82 | +19.0 | W+7.0 | 162.5 | U152 | 101.4 | 118.8 | 69.0 |
| Feb 17 | Charleston So | A | L 66–75 | +17.5 | W+8.5 | 160.5 | U141 | 88.8 | 100.9 | 74.4 |
| Feb 14 | High Point | H | L 87–112 | +25.5 | W+0.5 | 162.0 | O199 | 111.4 | 143.5 | 78.1 |
| Feb 12 | Winthrop | H | L 85–103 | +20.5 | W+2.5 | 155.0 | O188 | 110.9 | 134.4 | 76.7 |
| Feb 7 | Presbyterian | A | L 62–68 | +17.5 | W+11.5 | 145.5 | U130 | 97.9 | 107.4 | 63.3 |
| Feb 4 | Longwood | H | L 66–86 | +12.5 | L−7.5 | 148.0 | O152 | 93.0 | 121.1 | 71.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNC CentralGardner-Webb
Efficiency
103.2
99.1
115.7
117.1
67.3
69.8
—
—
Shooting
47.5%
47.8%
46.7%
48.6%
32.6%
31.0%
73.8%
68.5%
39.3%
30.3%
Ball control & glass
18.1%
19.8%
19.9%
15.3%
30.0%
23.2%
39.4%
36.6%
9.4%
11.7%
12.4%
10.4%
Style
33.9%
39.8%
41.7%
46.5%
17.3%
14.3%
52.7%
41.0%
26.5%
36.5%
Roster
3.53
2.34
6'3.9"
6'4.1"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNC Central
Returning minutes: 99.6%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted NC Central's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Gardner-Webb
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Gardner-Webb's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.