Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers basketball final score
Thu, Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET · Halton Arena, Charlotte, NC
Non-conferenceESPN+Halton Arena, Charlotte, NC
Georgia St
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #294
@
Charlotte
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #152
Final
6777
Final score
Projected 69.2 – 80.3
GAST win 17%CLT win 83%
MarketClose
Spread
CLT −11.5
open CLT −11.5
Total
143.5
open 149.5
Our line
CLT −11.1
as of Thu, Nov 5 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Charlotterated 2.6 above average
+2.6
Georgia Strated 3.8 below average
+3.8
Home court
+4.7
Our line
CLT −11.1
◂ Georgia St sideCharlotte side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Charlotte. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Georgia St is the faster team (71.0, #152 of 365) and Charlotte the slower (65.4, #261). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.5
per team, 40 min
Market total
143.5
Market close · open 149.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.9#176
Georgia St
67.2#359
Charlotte
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
CLT −11.1
Four factors +12.1 · not in these stats −1.0
From the four factors
Charlotte has the ball+10.4
Georgia St has the ball−1.7
Charlotte has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 61.5% #41 · GAST allows 56.4% #213+9.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 41.4% #43 · GAST allows 34.4% #195+3.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 24.5% #248 · GAST forces 18.3% #144 · ~15 turnovers−3.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 36.5% #135 · GAST allows 47.3% #225 · FT 73.7% #90+0.8
Georgia St has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.1% #63 · CLT forces 10.7% #275 · ~7 turnovers+6.0
✗Few second chancesOR% 18.9% #270 · CLT allows 22.2% #42−5.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 18.8% #264 · CLT allows 19.7% #28 · FT 50.0% #267−2.7
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.3% #122 · CLT allows 49.2% #130+0.4
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootGeorgia Stoffense vsCharlottedefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgia St shoots
26.6
7.8
10.9
54.7
Charlotte allows
42.6
16.4
8.2
32.8
D-I average
38.2
7.6
13.0
41.1
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 35.3%#278 | 57.7%#137 | 58.7% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#103 | 40.0%#158 | 36.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#90 | 40.0%#167 | 35.6% |
| Three | 42.9%#44 | 30.0%#118 | 32.5% |
Charlotteoffense vsGeorgia Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Charlotte shoots
34.6
3.8
13.5
48.1
Georgia St allows
45.5
9.1
7.3
38.2
D-I average
38.2
7.6
13.0
41.1
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.6%#164 | 68.0%#214 | 58.7% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#59 | 40.0%#158 | 36.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#90 | 0.0%#1 | 35.6% |
| Three | 48.0%#20 | 38.1%#210 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineGeorgia St
−9.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#231 of 365
Off reb %
18.9%
#270
Def reb %
65.6%
#195
Turnover %
14.1%
#63
Forced TO %
18.3%
#144
FT rate
18.8%
#264
FT allowed
47.3%
#225
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−4.3
Defensive rebounding−1.0
Ball security+3.2
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−4.8
Foul shots allowed−2.7
Charlotte
+0.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#134 of 365
Off reb %
41.4%
#43
Def reb %
77.8%
#42
Turnover %
24.5%
#248
Forced TO %
10.7%
#275
FT rate
36.5%
#135
FT allowed
19.7%
#28
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.2
Defensive rebounding+3.1
Ball security−4.2
Forcing turnovers−5.7
Foul shots drawn−0.1
Foul shots allowed+4.5
Charlotte has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.8 (#134 of 365) to Georgia St’s −9.8 (#231).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Georgia St2026-27 numbers through Sat, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 56.7% | 37.5% | 13.3 | — | 25.3% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-3 | 35.0 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 46.2% | 33.3% | 4.0 | 62.5% | 29.1% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-3 | 34.7 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 19.0% | 7.0 | 76.9% | 23.7% | |
| 10 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 29.7 | 14.3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 70.0% | 75.0% | 2.7 | 25.0% | 22.6% | |
| 0 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-2 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 80.6% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 58.8% | 22.4% | |
| 50 | C | Sr | 6'10" | 3-1 | 15.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 13.3% | |
| 15 | F | So | 6'7" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 44.4% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 19.1% | |
| 11 | F | Sr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.5% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 3.0 | — | 30.3% | |
| 32 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 1-0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 20.8% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameGeorgia St
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −6.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −13.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Bowling Green | H | L 73–76 | −3.5 | L−6.5 | 162.0 | U149 | 102.8 | 107.0 | 71.0 |
| Mar 3 | Louisiana | N | L 75–84 | −1.0 | L−10.0 | 134.0 | O159 | 108.3 | 121.3 | 69.3 |
| Feb 27 | Old Dominion | H | L 73–81 | +1.0 | L−7.0 | 149.5 | O154 | 99.1 | 109.9 | 73.7 |
| Feb 24 | Coastal | H | L 71–76 | +1.0 | L−4.0 | 141.0 | O147 | 105.9 | 113.3 | 67.1 |
| Feb 21 | James Madison | H | L 65–80 | +2.5 | L−12.5 | 142.5 | O145 | 97.0 | 119.4 | 67.0 |
| Feb 19 | GA Southern | H | W 66–64 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 155.0 | U130 | 96.2 | 93.3 | 68.6 |
| Feb 14 | Old Dominion | A | L 55–78 | +4.0 | L−19.0 | 147.0 | U133 | 85.2 | 120.8 | 64.6 |
| Feb 12 | James Madison | A | L 79–81 OT | +6.0 | W+4.0 | 144.0 | O160 | 106.8 | 109.5 | 74.0 |
| Feb 7 | N Illinois | H | L 74–75 | −4.5 | L−5.5 | 142.0 | O149 | 103.4 | 104.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 4 | Troy | H | L 63–74 | +5.5 | L−5.5 | 145.5 | U137 | 98.6 | 115.9 | 63.9 |
Charlotte
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −4.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Indiana St | A | W 78–70 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 152.5 | U148 | 119.3 | 107.1 | 65.4 |
| Mar 14 | South Florida | N | L 64–86 | +15.5 | L−6.5 | 153.5 | U150 | 93.1 | 125.1 | 68.7 |
| Mar 13 | UAB | N | W 83–78 | +5.5 | W+10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 124.7 | 117.2 | 66.6 |
| Mar 12 | Tulane | N | W 74–60 | −1.0 | W+13.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 121.3 | 98.3 | 61.0 |
| Mar 8 | South Florida | A | L 60–83 | +17.5 | L−5.5 | 155.5 | U143 | 91.0 | 125.9 | 65.9 |
| Mar 4 | UAB | H | L 74–80 | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 116.0 | 125.4 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | FAU | A | L 76–77 OT | +7.0 | W+6.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 104.9 | 106.2 | 72.5 |
| Feb 25 | North Texas | H | W 80–79 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 133.5 | O159 | 126.4 | 124.8 | 63.3 |
| Feb 21 | East Carolina | H | W 68–56 | −4.5 | W+7.5 | 146.0 | U124 | 104.2 | 85.8 | 65.3 |
| Feb 18 | Tulsa | A | L 74–79 | +13.0 | W+8.0 | 152.0 | O153 | 112.7 | 120.3 | 65.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeGeorgia StCharlotte
Efficiency
99.7
109.8
107.5
108.7
70.9
67.2
2.6
-4.0
Shooting
52.3%
61.5%
37.9%
51.9%
42.9%
48.0%
50.0%
73.7%
18.8%
36.5%
Ball control & glass
14.1%
24.5%
18.3%
10.7%
18.9%
41.4%
34.4%
22.2%
5.6%
13.8%
3.4%
14.8%
Style
54.7%
48.1%
24.7%
33.3%
11.0%
5.1%
57.7%
38.5%
17.5%
47.2%
Roster
3.38
2.36
6'3.9"
6'6.4"
2.4%
9.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputGeorgia St
Returning minutes: 2.4%Returning production: 2.1%
Lost
- Malachi Brown 31.0 mpg, 12.3 ppg · transferred to W Carolina
- Micah Tucker 30.6 mpg, 13.1 ppg · transferred to Grand Canyon
- Jelani Hamilton 26.3 mpg, 15.0 ppg · transferred to FAU
- Anthony Enoh 20.8 mpg, 4.7 ppg · transferred to Kennesaw St
- Joah Chappelle 20.7 mpg, 6.3 ppg · transferred to Tulane
- Ayouba Berthe 16.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jaden Jackson from S Dakota St · 32.1 mpg, 12.3 ppg last season
- Eric Parnell from FDU · 25.7 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Jacob Meyer from UAB · 24.9 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Terrance Dixon Jr. from Southern · 20.5 mpg, 9.0 ppg last season
- Jacolb Fredson-Cole from McNeese · 18.7 mpg, 5.5 ppg last season
- Zion Wilburn from Samford · 16.0 mpg, 4.3 ppg last season
Returns 2% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (5 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Charlotte
Returning minutes: 9.0%Returning production: 7.2%
Lost
- Ben Bradford 28.2 mpg, 13.5 ppg · transferred to Charleston
- Dezayne Mingo 26.9 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anton Bonke 25.6 mpg, 10.6 ppg · transferred to Michigan St
- Damoni Harrison 18.3 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Spencer Elliott 17.2 mpg, 4.1 ppg · transferred to UNC Wilmington
- Major Freeman 14.1 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Dorian Finister from Louisiana · 30.5 mpg, 14.0 ppg last season
- Dylan Grant from Rutgers · 24.1 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Jayden Fort from Georgetown · 13.6 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- Keyshuan Tillery from Cincinnati · 11.6 mpg, 3.5 ppg last season
- Tyler McKinley from Cincinnati · 9.2 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Peyton Marshall from Georgia Tech · 6.2 mpg, 1.9 ppg last season
Returns 9% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -11.5-112 | 152.5→143.5o-118 u-102 | -750 | +525 |
| FanDuel | -11.5-115 | 149.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | -800 | +540 |
| BetMGM | -11.5-110 | 151.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | -800 | +550 |
| BetRivers | -11.5-121 | 152.5→143.5o-114 u-109 | -835 | +525 |
| Caesars | -11.5-110 | 152→143.5o-110 u-110 | -800 | +550 |
| Fanatics | -12→-11.5-105 | 149.5→143.5o-115 u-105 | -750 | +525 |
| BetOnline | -11.5-110 | 149→143.5o-115 u-105 | -760 | +538 |
| Bovada | -11.5-105 | 150.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | -800 | +525 |
| theScore Bet | -11.5-110 | 148.5→143.5o-115 u-105 | -750 | +475 |
| Hard Rock | -11.5-120 | 152.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | -850 | +525 |
| Kalshi | -11.5-104 | 143.5o-108 u+104 | -669 | +614 |
| Polymarket | -11.5-104 | 144.5o+104 u-113 | -669 | +614 |
| Novig | -11.5-104 | 152.5→143.5o-108 u+104 | -641 | +614 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Thu, Nov 5
- McNeese at North Texas · 5:00 PM ET
- Wake Forest at Vanderbilt · 6:00 PM ET
- Bellarmine at Indiana · 6:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Penn State · 6:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Seton Hall · 6:30 PM ET
- Buffalo at Pitt · 7:00 PM ET
- C Connecticut at Syracuse · 7:00 PM ET
- Binghamton at Saint Peter's · 7:00 PM ET
- Chicago St at Incarnate Word · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercyhurst at Notre Dame · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Vermont at Fairfield · 7:00 PM ET
- NJIT at Iona · 7:00 PM ET
- UMBC at Marist · 7:00 PM ET
- Delaware St at Navy · 7:00 PM ET
- UAlbany at Manhattan · 7:00 PM ET
- UMass Lowell at Merrimack · 7:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Quinnipiac · 7:00 PM ET
- New Hampshire at Rider · 7:00 PM ET
- Maine at Sacred Heart · 7:00 PM ET
- Green Bay at Cincinnati · 7:00 PM ET
- Cornell at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Hofstra at Princeton · 7:00 PM ET
- Howard at Alcorn St · 7:00 PM ET
- N'Western St at Mississippi St · 7:30 PM ET
- Stonehill at Fordham · 7:30 PM ET
- Jackson St at Tulane · 7:30 PM ET
- Jacksonville at Florida · 8:00 PM ET
- Gardner-Webb at Texas · 8:00 PM ET
- Le Moyne at Creighton · 8:00 PM ET
- Coastal at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- West Georgia at Loyola Chicago · 8:00 PM ET
- VMI at SMU · 8:00 PM ET
- N Illinois at Tulsa · 8:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Rice · 8:00 PM ET
- Toledo at Michigan St · 8:00 PM ET
- Jax State at South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- South Florida at DePaul · 8:30 PM ET
- Penn at Illinois · 8:30 PM ET
- Bethune at Texas Tech · 9:00 PM ET
- Towson at Utah · 9:00 PM ET
- Cal Poly at Arizona · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.