CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferencePrudential Center, Newark, NJ

Long Island

Efficiency #195

2025-26: 24-11 · 18-3 conf

Seton Hall

Efficiency #56

2025-26: 21-12 · 11-11 conf

Thu, Nov 5 · TBD

63.9

win 19%

Projected

74.2

win 81%

No line posted yet.

Model: HALL −10.3 · total 138.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Seton Hall 66.9, Long Island 68.6 → 67.2 possessions

−2.5

Seton Hall offense vs Long Island defense

−0.6

Long Island offense vs Seton Hall defense

−7.0

Projected total

138.2

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Seton Hall offense vs Long Island defense

−0.6

Long Island offense vs Seton Hall defense

+7.0

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.9

Seton Hall by 10.3

10.3

Long Island side ◂▸ Seton Hall side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 138.1 against a projected 138.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Seton Hall.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Long Island is the faster team (68.2, #190 of 365) and Seton Hall the slower (66.5, #273). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

67.2

per team, 40 min

Projected total

138.2

model

Projected team totals

63.9 / 74.2

Long Island / Seton Hall

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.6#152

Long Island

66.9#298

Seton Hall

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

DefenseSeton Hall

Seton Hall's shot-blocking

Seton Hall ranks #1 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 15.4% of Long Island's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

AdvantageLong Island

Where Long Island struggles: ball control

Long Island turns it over on 18.9% of possessions (#318); Seton Hall forces turnovers on 21.5% of opponent possessions (#5). Expect about 21.0%, 4.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.2 points per 100 possessions.

ClashSeton Hall

Style match: 3-point volume

Seton Hall rarely shoots threes (26.8% of its shots); Long Island runs teams off the line (32.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 25.1% — both habits push the same way.

AdvantageSeton Hall

Where Seton Hall struggles: shooting

Seton Hall shoots an effective 47.6% (#321); Long Island allows 50.0% (#102). Expect about 48.5%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.9 points per 100 possessions.

DefenseSeton Hall

Seton Hall's ball-hawking

Seton Hall ranks #4 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.7% of Long Island's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.

GlassSeton Hall

Seton Hall owns the glass

Projected offensive rebound rate of 35.3% is worth roughly +3.0 points per 100 possessions for Seton Hall's offense.

Long Island has the ball

OffenseSeton Hall allowsvs D1 avg

52.8% #112

47.3% #25

-1.7 pt/100

18.9% #318

21.5% #5

-5.2 pt/100

33.9% #70

31.9% #251

+1.9 pt/100

34.0% #207

42.1% #325

+0.5 pt/100

66.7% #346

—

-0.5 pt/100

Long Island net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.0 pts/100

Seton Hall has the ball

OffenseLong Island allowsvs D1 avg

47.6% #321

50.0% #102

-3.9 pt/100

16.7% #175

18.8% #58

-1.5 pt/100

35.6% #33

33.0% #299

+3.0 pt/100

35.3% #168

34.7% #171

-0.0 pt/100

72.3% #199

—

-0.0 pt/100

Seton Hall net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.4 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Long Islandoffense vsSeton Halldefense

Share of shots by zone

Long Island shoots

46.2

8.3

16.6

29.0

Seton Hall allows

39.7

3.7

14.7

41.9

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	59.7%#133	52.7%#22	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	37.8%#224	29.3%#13	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.7%#162	32.6%#22	38.0%
Three	35.8%#67	32.4%#87	33.7%

Seton Halloffense vsLong Islanddefense

Share of shots by zone

Seton Hall shoots

46.7

5.3

21.8

26.2

Long Island allows

43.8

6.1

16.9

33.1

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	54.5%#314	55.3%#70	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	33.7%#311	49.1%#350	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.9%#146	40.4%#256	38.0%
Three	30.5%#334	32.2%#72	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Long Island

+0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#172 of 365

Off reb %

33.9%

#70

Def reb %

67.0%

#299

Turnover %

18.9%

#318

Forced TO %

18.8%

#58

FT rate

34.0%

#207

FT allowed

34.7%

#171

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.1

Defensive rebounding−0.8

Ball security−1.5

Forcing turnovers+1.4

Foul shots drawn−0.2

Foul shots allowed+0.1

Seton Hall

+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#56 of 365

Off reb %

35.6%

#33

Def reb %

68.1%

#251

Turnover %

16.7%

#175

Forced TO %

21.5%

FT rate

35.3%

#168

FT allowed

42.1%

#325

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.7

Defensive rebounding−0.4

Ball security+0.1

Forcing turnovers+3.3

Foul shots drawn+0.1

Foul shots allowed−1.8

Seton Hall has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.9 (#56 of 365) to Long Island’s +0.2 (#172).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Long Island2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Greg Gordon	G	Sr	6'5"	35-35	34.1	14.0	5.5	2.9	1.9	57.2%	20.7%	0.8	40.7%	25.1%
33	Jamal Fuller	G	Sr	6'5"	34-33	33.6	16.2	5.5	2.6	2.1	59.6%	43.0%	3.8	77.1%	26.4%
0	Malachi Davis	G	Sr	6'4"	35-34	30.9	14.0	3.5	3.4	2.8	46.1%	31.4%	4.0	62.1%	32.9%
1	Jomo Goings	G	Jr	6'5"	35-34	30.8	9.8	4.5	2.2	2.2	46.5%	36.3%	2.9	84.2%	21.9%
22	Shadrak Lasu	F	So	6'8"	33-33	22.9	5.2	5.4	0.4	0.8	56.9%	42.9%	0.6	63.8%	13.6%
6	Mason Porter-Brown	F	Jr	6'6"	35-6	20.0	7.8	3.2	0.6	1.0	57.1%	40.4%	2.7	71.3%	22.2%
3	Faheim Meran	G	Jr	6'6"	18-0	14.6	3.1	1.1	1.1	0.9	51.0%	36.7%	1.7	58.3%	15.4%
15	Caleb Johnson	F	Sr	6'7"	23-0	11.0	2.5	2.1	0.5	0.3	52.3%	0.0%	0.5	75.0%	13.9%
4	Tre'shawn Sheppard	G	So	6'6"	26-0	9.7	2.1	2.7	0.3	0.4	54.5%	33.3%	0.2	53.8%	14.0%
10	A.J. Neal Jr.	G	Sr	6'2"	15-0	7.7	1.9	0.4	0.7	0.6	52.2%	50.0%	0.5	66.7%	17.2%
7	Isaiah Miranda	F	Jr	7'1"	13-0	8.1	3.7	1.5	0.2	0.6	42.6%	15.4%	1.0	66.7%	31.3%
5	Max Ndlovu-Fraser	G	Fr	6'5"	7-0	7.9	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.6	35.7%	33.3%	0.4	—	11.7%
34	Xinyi Li	F	Jr	6'9"	8-0	3.6	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.5	35.7%	33.3%	0.4	—	23.4%
14	Eddie Munyak	G	So	6'1"	2-0	1.5	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	150.0%	100.0%	0.5	—	17.8%
24	Gavin Pendergast	G	So	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Seton Hall2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Adam Clark	G	Jr	5'10"	33-33	30.7	12.7	3.0	4.9	2.6	45.0%	22.0%	1.2	74.6%	30.0%
14	AJ Staton-McCray	G	Sr	6'4"	33-33	27.5	11.8	3.2	1.4	1.3	47.7%	33.3%	4.9	87.5%	27.9%
23	Mike Williams	G	Jr	6'3"	33-31	20.9	7.0	2.6	1.5	1.0	44.8%	33.7%	3.0	75.9%	23.8%
22	Elijah Fisher	G	Sr	6'6"	33-33	20.7	6.6	2.9	0.8	0.8	48.0%	23.7%	1.2	69.6%	20.6%
6	Stephon Payne	F	Sr	6'9"	33-33	20.2	5.9	6.5	0.6	0.7	52.4%	—	0.0	51.8%	18.7%
25	Najai Hines	F	Fr	6'10"	31-0	17.9	6.5	5.5	0.6	0.8	60.2%	—	0.0	69.0%	20.1%
13	Trey Parker	G	So	6'0"	32-0	15.5	4.3	2.8	1.5	1.1	39.2%	20.5%	1.4	80.0%	22.7%
7	Josh Rivera	F	Sr	6'6"	30-0	11.7	3.3	2.0	0.5	0.4	50.0%	33.3%	0.2	53.6%	18.5%
1	Jacob Dar	G	Sr	6'7"	30-0	10.4	3.3	2.0	0.3	0.3	51.3%	19.0%	0.7	76.9%	19.1%
54	Godswill Erheriene	C	So	6'9"	10-0	4.5	0.8	0.7	0.0	0.5	60.0%	—	0.0	66.7%	15.0%
15	Jahseem Felton	G	So	6'5"	3-0	14.0	1.7	1.3	0.3	0.3	12.5%	0.0%	1.3	75.0%	16.2%
35	Assane Mbaye	C	So	7'2"	4-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	—	15.2%
41	David Gabriel	G	Sr	6'1"	3-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	41.4%
9	Patrick Suemnick	F	Sr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Long Island2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Greg Gordon	G	Sr	6'5"	35-35	34.1	14.0	5.5	2.9	1.9	57.2%	20.7%	0.8	40.7%	25.1%
33	Jamal Fuller	G	Sr	6'5"	34-33	33.6	16.2	5.5	2.6	2.1	59.6%	43.0%	3.8	77.1%	26.4%
0	Malachi Davis	G	Sr	6'4"	35-34	30.9	14.0	3.5	3.4	2.8	46.1%	31.4%	4.0	62.1%	32.9%
1	Jomo Goings	G	Jr	6'5"	35-34	30.8	9.8	4.5	2.2	2.2	46.5%	36.3%	2.9	84.2%	21.9%
22	Shadrak Lasu	F	So	6'8"	33-33	22.9	5.2	5.4	0.4	0.8	56.9%	42.9%	0.6	63.8%	13.6%
6	Mason Porter-Brown	F	Jr	6'6"	35-6	20.0	7.8	3.2	0.6	1.0	57.1%	40.4%	2.7	71.3%	22.2%
3	Faheim Meran	G	Jr	6'6"	18-0	14.6	3.1	1.1	1.1	0.9	51.0%	36.7%	1.7	58.3%	15.4%
15	Caleb Johnson	F	Sr	6'7"	23-0	11.0	2.5	2.1	0.5	0.3	52.3%	0.0%	0.5	75.0%	13.9%
4	Tre'shawn Sheppard	G	So	6'6"	26-0	9.7	2.1	2.7	0.3	0.4	54.5%	33.3%	0.2	53.8%	14.0%
10	A.J. Neal Jr.	G	Sr	6'2"	15-0	7.7	1.9	0.4	0.7	0.6	52.2%	50.0%	0.5	66.7%	17.2%
7	Isaiah Miranda	F	Jr	7'1"	13-0	8.1	3.7	1.5	0.2	0.6	42.6%	15.4%	1.0	66.7%	31.3%
5	Max Ndlovu-Fraser	G	Fr	6'5"	7-0	7.9	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.6	35.7%	33.3%	0.4	—	11.7%
34	Xinyi Li	F	Jr	6'9"	8-0	3.6	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.5	35.7%	33.3%	0.4	—	23.4%
14	Eddie Munyak	G	So	6'1"	2-0	1.5	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	150.0%	100.0%	0.5	—	17.8%
24	Gavin Pendergast	G	So	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Long Island

Against the spread

Season

18-17

Home

9-6

Road

9-10

Last 10

5-5

avg cover −1.6

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+

Over / under

Season

15-20

Home

6-9

Road

8-11

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +5.3

Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 9 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 with a line of 10+

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 20	#1ArizonaAdjEM #3	N	L 58–92	+30.5	L−3.5	148.0	O150	82.0	130.1	70.7
Mar 10	MercyhurstAdjEM #261	H	W 79–70	−5.0	W+4.0	134.0	O149	119.3	105.7	66.2
Mar 7	WagnerAdjEM #285	H	W 64–56	−6.5	W+1.5	139.0	U120	100.1	87.6	63.9
Mar 4	Chicago StAdjEM #342	H	W 79–75	−11.0	L−7.0	138.0	O154	128.7	122.2	61.4
Feb 28	FDUAdjEM #332	H	W 74–60	−9.0	W+5.0	137.5	U134	117.6	95.3	62.9
Feb 26	Chicago StAdjEM #342	H	W 73–56	−11.5	W+5.5	140.0	U129	111.9	85.8	65.3
Feb 21	MercyhurstAdjEM #261	A	L 83–91	−3.5	L−11.5	141.0	O174	119.0	130.5	69.7
Feb 19	Saint Francis Red Wolves	A	W 91–89	−9.0	L−7.0	148.0	O180	118.2	115.6	77.0
Feb 16	WagnerAdjEM #285	H	W 83–65	−10.5	W+7.5	137.0	O148	130.1	101.9	63.8
Feb 14	New HavenAdjEM #326	A	L 52–55	−7.0	L−10.0	129.5	U107	84.1	88.9	61.8

Seton Hall

Against the spread

Season

19-14

Home

6-11

Road

9-3

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +0.6

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

12-20-1

Home

5-11-1

Road

5-7

Last 10

4-5-1

avg vs total −3.0

Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 13	#13St John'sAdjEM #16	A	L 68–78	+8.0	L−2.0	136.5	O146	102.3	117.3	66.5
Mar 12	CreightonAdjEM #92	N	W 72–61	−3.0	W+8.0	135.5	U133	104.4	88.5	68.9
Mar 6	#18St John'sAdjEM #16	H	L 65–72	+5.0	L−2.0	137.0	P137	101.3	112.3	64.1
Mar 3	XavierAdjEM #129	A	W 77–68	−2.0	W+7.0	144.5	O145	121.4	107.2	63.4
Feb 28	#6UConnAdjEM #10	A	L 67–71	+13.0	W+9.0	130.0	O138	106.3	112.7	63.0
Feb 21	GeorgetownAdjEM #95	H	W 51–47	−5.5	L−1.5	136.0	U98	80.8	74.4	63.1
Feb 18	DePaulAdjEM #113	H	L 57–69	−7.0	L−19.0	129.0	U126	88.0	106.6	64.7
Feb 15	ButlerAdjEM #87	A	W 63–56	−4.0	W+3.0	138.5	U119	94.1	83.6	67.0
Feb 11	ProvidenceAdjEM #81	H	W 87–80	−5.0	W+2.0	150.5	O167	127.1	116.8	68.5
Feb 7	CreightonAdjEM #92	A	L 68–69	+2.5	W+1.5	138.5	U137	102.0	103.5	66.7

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Long IslandSeton Hall

Efficiency

106.8

108.3

107.8

99.8

68.6

66.9

—

Shooting

52.8%

47.6%

52.4%

48.3%

35.8%

30.5%

66.7%

72.3%

34.0%

35.3%

Ball control & glass

18.9%

16.7%

18.8%

21.5%

33.9%

35.6%

33.0%

31.9%

10.4%

9.4%

8.6%

8.7%

Style

29.3%

26.8%

51.9%

49.1%

19.4%

13.1%

50.2%

51.6%

24.1%

39.5%

Roster

3.38

3.21

6'5.5"

6'4.2"

—

87.4%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Long Island

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Seton Hall

Returning minutes: 87.4%Returning production: 88.5%

Lost

Tajuan Simpkins 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St

Added

Patrick Suemnick no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.