Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves basketball final score
Thu, Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET · Davey L. Whitney Complex, Lorman, MS
Non-conferenceDavey L. Whitney Complex, Lorman, MS
Howard
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #164
@
Alcorn St
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #358
Final
9483
Final score
Projected 80.8 – 69.7
HOW win 83%ALCN win 17%
MarketClose
Spread
HOW −9.5
open HOW −7.0
Total
149.5
open 150.5
Our line
HOW −11.1
as of Thu, Nov 5 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Alcorn Strated 16.6 below average
−16.6
Howardrated 0.8 below average
+0.8
Home court
+4.7
Our line
HOW −11.1
◂ Howard sideAlcorn St side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Alcorn St. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Alcorn St is the faster team (75.6, #59 of 365) and Howard the slower (66.0, #251). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.3
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.5
Market close · open 150.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.7#194
Howard
72.3#79
Alcorn St
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
HOW −11.1
Four factors +20.9 · not in these stats −9.8
From the four factors
Alcorn St has the ball−13.4
Howard has the ball+7.6
Alcorn St has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 34.4% #288 · HOW forces 21.2% #80 · ~21 turnovers−9.9
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 46.2% #187 · HOW allows 41.4% #49−7.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 32.4% #118 · HOW allows 52.4% #283+4.9
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 34.6% #150 · HOW allows 34.4% #131 · FT 55.6% #250−1.1
Howard has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 42.0% #42 · ALCN allows 40.6% #239+5.3
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.7% #114 · ALCN forces 14.6% #214 · ~11 turnovers+2.9
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 23.5% #235 · ALCN allows 60.7% #267 · FT 43.8% #279−0.9
✓Shoots it welleFG% 40.4% #247 · ALCN allows 62.3% #252+0.3
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootHowardoffense vsAlcorn Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Howard shoots
55.0
3.3
5.0
36.7
Alcorn St allows
35.0
15.0
12.5
37.5
D-I average
38.2
7.6
13.0
41.1
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 39.4%#265 | 92.9%#282 | 58.7% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#208 | 33.3%#107 | 36.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#125 | 20.0%#71 | 35.6% |
| Three | 25.9%#209 | 33.3%#156 | 32.5% |
Alcorn Stoffense vsHowarddefense
Share of shots by zone
Alcorn St shoots
3.6
17.9
28.6
50.0
Howard allows
46.8
0.0
16.1
37.1
D-I average
38.2
7.6
13.0
41.1
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 100.0%#1 | 44.8%#51 | 58.7% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 20.0%#186 | — | 36.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#116 | 30.0%#122 | 35.6% |
| Three | 40.0%#61 | 30.4%#125 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineHoward
−3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#178 of 365
Off reb %
42.0%
#42
Def reb %
47.6%
#283
Turnover %
16.7%
#114
Forced TO %
21.2%
#80
FT rate
23.5%
#235
FT allowed
34.4%
#131
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.5
Defensive rebounding−7.0
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers+1.8
Foul shots drawn−3.5
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Alcorn St
−23.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#281 of 365
Off reb %
32.4%
#118
Def reb %
59.4%
#239
Turnover %
34.4%
#288
Forced TO %
14.6%
#214
FT rate
34.6%
#150
FT allowed
60.7%
#267
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−3.1
Ball security−11.3
Forcing turnovers−2.9
Foul shots drawn−0.6
Foul shots allowed−6.2
Howard has more extra scoring chances per game: −3.2 (#178 of 365) to Alcorn St’s −23.9 (#281).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Howard2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | Sr | 5'11" | 3-3 | 36.3 | 16.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 67.9% | 61.5% | 4.3 | 63.2% | 23.6% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 31.3 | 16.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 46.3% | 33.3% | 4.0 | 70.6% | 36.9% | |
| 13 | C | Jr | 6'10" | 3-3 | 25.3 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 52.2% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 37.5% | 22.0% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 5.7 | 50.0% | 22.0% | |
| 8 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 22.3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 40.4% | 23.1% | 4.3 | 66.7% | 23.8% | |
| 1 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 79.4% | 75.0% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 16.0% | |
| 6 | C | So | 6'10" | 3-3 | 21.0 | 4.3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 18.1% | |
| 10 | G | So | 6'3" | 3-0 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 15.8% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'0" | 3-0 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 43.8% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 66.7% | 35.9% | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.6% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 39.3% | |
| 7 | F | So | 6'9" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 34.4% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameHoward
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −3.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −19.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Yale | A | L 62–72 | +7.0 | L−3.0 | 153.0 | U134 | 93.9 | 109.0 | 66.0 |
| Mar 19 | #1Michigan | N | L 80–101 | +31.0 | W+10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 112.2 | 141.7 | 71.3 |
| Mar 17 | #16UMBC | N | W 86–83 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 142.5 | O169 | 123.5 | 119.2 | 69.6 |
| Mar 14 | NC Central | N | W 70–63 | −11.5 | L−4.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 112.4 | 101.2 | 62.3 |
| Mar 13 | SC State | N | W 78–61 | −15.5 | W+1.5 | 146.0 | U139 | 105.9 | 82.8 | 73.6 |
| Mar 5 | Norfolk St | A | W 84–76 | −6.5 | W+1.5 | 148.5 | O160 | 121.4 | 109.8 | 69.2 |
| Mar 2 | Coppin St | H | W 90–70 | −18.5 | W+1.5 | 140.0 | O160 | 127.2 | 98.9 | 70.8 |
| Feb 28 | Morgan St | A | W 84–59 | −9.5 | W+15.5 | 158.0 | U143 | 116.6 | 81.9 | 72.0 |
| Feb 21 | NC Central | H | W 100–67 | −12.5 | W+20.5 | 143.0 | O167 | 140.3 | 94.0 | 71.3 |
| Feb 16 | Delaware St | A | W 91–59 | −11.0 | W+21.0 | 130.5 | O150 | 126.6 | 82.1 | 71.9 |
Alcorn St
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −10.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-0
avg vs total +8.5
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Ole Miss | A | L 58–99 | +30.5 | L−10.5 | 148.5 | O157 | 76.8 | 131.0 | 75.6 |
| Mar 10 | Prairie View | N | L 56–65 | +6.0 | L−3.0 | 142.5 | U121 | 84.2 | 97.7 | 66.5 |
| Mar 9 | Alabama St | N | W 77–65 | +7.5 | W+19.5 | 142.0 | P142 | 109.4 | 92.4 | 70.4 |
| Mar 5 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | L 48–83 | +1.0 | L−34.0 | 144.0 | U131 | 64.5 | 111.6 | 74.4 |
| Mar 3 | Miss Valley St | H | W 67–64 | −9.5 | L−6.5 | 139.0 | U131 | 103.7 | 99.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | Prairie View | A | L 51–72 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 150.0 | U123 | 72.5 | 102.3 | 70.4 |
| Feb 26 | Texas Southern | A | L 87–92 OT | +6.5 | W+1.5 | 145.0 | O179 | 109.3 | 115.6 | 79.6 |
| Feb 21 | Jackson St | H | W 83–65 | −1.0 | W+17.0 | 149.0 | U148 | 115.8 | 90.7 | 71.7 |
| Feb 16 | Florida A&M | H | L 78–86 | +1.5 | L−6.5 | 137.0 | O164 | 109.0 | 120.1 | 71.6 |
| Feb 14 | Bethune | H | W 57–55 | +8.0 | W+10.0 | 145.0 | U112 | 89.3 | 86.2 | 63.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeHowardAlcorn St
Efficiency
103.3
95.1
102.7
113.4
70.7
72.3
8.7
9.0
Shooting
40.4%
46.2%
41.5%
33.3%
25.9%
40.0%
43.8%
55.6%
23.5%
34.6%
Ball control & glass
16.7%
34.4%
21.2%
14.6%
42.0%
32.4%
52.4%
40.6%
4.5%
18.5%
9.8%
18.5%
Style
39.7%
48.1%
51.6%
17.2%
17.7%
19.0%
41.7%
73.7%
29.1%
58.0%
Roster
3.17
2.42
6'5.5"
6'6.7"
50.5%
0.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputHoward
Returning minutes: 64.9%Returning production: 61.7%
Lost
- Bryce Harris 32.3 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Travelle Bryson 16.5 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to W Carolina
- Danas Kazakevicius 14.1 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ed Holland III 6.6 mpg, 1.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Stefan Isailovic 1.0 mpg, 0.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Josiah Lawson new to D1 · 27.0 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Gasper Kocevar from Fresno St · 10.9 mpg, 2.7 ppg last season
- James Brown from North Carolina · 1.5 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
- Drew Harris no D1 minutes last season
Returns 65% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5.
Alcorn St
Returning minutes: 0.0%Returning production: 0.0%
Lost
- Nick Woodard 28.7 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shane Lancaster 28.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to NC A&T
- Jameel Morris 27.7 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to Bethune
- Tycen McDaniels 27.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg · transferred to UT Arlington
- Davian Williams 26.4 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Prairie View
- Omari Hamilton 21.4 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Ma'Kye Taylor from UAlbany · 13.3 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- Christian Richardson from Omaha · 12.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg last season
- Trey Thomas from S Indiana · 3.0 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Jayan Walker from Indiana St · 2.4 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
- Braylhan Thomas from Winthrop · 1.5 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Jahseem Felton from Seton Hall · 1.3 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +8.5→+9.5-112 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | +340 | -440 |
| FanDuel | +6.5→+9.5-110 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | +365 | -480 |
| BetMGM | +9.5-110 | 149.5o-115 u-105 | +350 | -450 |
| BetRivers | +7.5→+9.5-118 | 150.5→149.5o-109 u-114 | +350 | -500 |
| Caesars | +7.5→+9.5-110 | 150.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | +335 | -440 |
| Fanatics | +6.5→+9.5-110 | 150.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | +360 | -475 |
| BetOnline | +6.5→+9.5-115 | 149→149.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Bovada | +8.5→+9.5-105 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | +345 | -470 |
| theScore Bet | +6.5→+9.5-105 | 150.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | +340 | -450 |
| Hard Rock | +7.5→+9.5-115 | 150.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | +350 | -475 |
| Kalshi | +8.5+104 | 149.5o-108 u+100 | +376 | -400 |
| Polymarket | +9.5-108 | 149.5o-104 u+100 | +376 | -400 |
| Novig | +8.5+104 | 147.5→149.5o-108 u+104 | +365 | -376 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 13 | 2025-26 | Alcorn St 64 – 72 Howard |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.