CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteOcean Center, Daytona Beach, FLSunshine Slam
Wyoming
Efficiency #98
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-12 conf
vs
Duquesne
Efficiency #131
2025-26: 18-15 · 10-10 conf
Sun, Nov 22 · 2:00 PM ET
76.0
win 55%
Projected
74.7
win 45%
No line posted yet.
Model: WYO −1.4 · total 150.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Duquesne 69.3, Wyoming 67.7 → 68.6 possessions
+0.7
Duquesne offense vs Wyoming defense
+0.2
Wyoming offense vs Duquesne defense
+1.6
Projected total
150.7
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Duquesne offense vs Wyoming defense
+0.2
Wyoming offense vs Duquesne defense
−1.6
Wyoming by 1.4
1.4
Wyoming side ◂▸ Duquesne side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Duquesne.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Duquesne is the faster team (69.3, #127 of 365) and Wyoming the slower (67.6, #221). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.7
model
Projected team totals
76.0 / 74.7
Wyoming / Duquesne
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.7#237
Wyoming
69.3#101
Duquesne

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
ClashDuquesne
Style clash: 3-point volume
Duquesne takes 44.4% of its shots from three; Wyoming runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 41.1% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Wyoming has the ball
OffenseDuquesne allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #154
52.5% #241
+1.3 pt/100
16.3% #155
18.3% #84
-0.9 pt/100
34.1% #66
29.6% #142
+1.3 pt/100
35.4% #166
39.9% #300
+0.4 pt/100
74.3% #115
—
+0.2 pt/100
Wyoming net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.3 pts/100
Duquesne has the ball
OffenseWyoming allowsvs D1 avg
52.3% #131
52.0% #211
+1.4 pt/100
17.6% #245
16.8% #171
-0.6 pt/100
30.4% #184
28.0% #66
-0.7 pt/100
38.3% #94
47.9% #360
+1.2 pt/100
71.5% #220
—
-0.1 pt/100
Duquesne net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Wyomingoffense vsDuquesnedefense
Share of shots by zone
Wyoming shoots
Duquesne allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.9%#24256.2%#9058.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)44.4%#7245.7%#31939.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)40.3%#10239.4%#21638.0%
Three33.0%#23436.2%#31433.7%
Duquesneoffense vsWyomingdefense
Share of shots by zone
Duquesne shoots
Wyoming allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim59.1%#15861.7%#29258.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)36.5%#25844.2%#27339.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)38.7%#16136.1%#11138.0%
Three33.1%#22332.8%#10833.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Wyoming
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#66
Def reb %
72.0%
#66
Turnover %
16.3%
#155
Forced TO %
16.8%
#171
FT rate
35.4%
#166
FT allowed
47.9%
#360
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−3.3
Duquesne
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#161 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#184
Def reb %
70.4%
#142
Turnover %
17.6%
#245
Forced TO %
18.3%
#84
FT rate
38.3%
#94
FT allowed
39.9%
#300
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−1.2

Duquesne has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.5 (#161 of 365) to Wyoming’s −0.7 (#213).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Wyoming2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
5Leland WalkerGSr6'1"33-3228.713.53.03.82.345.4%28.6%3.682.7%31.7%
3Khaden BennettGJr6'4"33-3228.310.24.92.81.350.0%35.7%3.880.2%22.0%
2Nasir MeyerGFr6'7"31-2327.612.94.92.41.854.7%35.2%4.675.5%27.7%
1Damarion DennisGSo6'1"32-1923.911.23.21.30.658.7%34.0%3.186.1%23.7%
13Adam HarakowGJr6'7"33-718.96.12.80.70.657.1%38.1%2.568.0%18.1%
0Uriyah RojasGJr6'3"33-216.66.21.91.70.647.3%31.3%2.976.3%23.9%
11Gavin GoresFFr6'10"28-818.07.33.40.41.062.3%22.2%0.668.8%21.9%
8Kiani SaxonFSr6'8"33-1614.92.02.80.40.651.8%37.5%0.532.1%10.9%
10Abou MagassaFSo6'7"29-1110.33.13.00.20.557.6%—0.051.2%18.2%
35Simm-Marten SaadiFFr6'9"32-38.63.21.10.30.546.6%30.8%2.4100.0%26.2%
7Matija BelicFSr6'7"13-1217.05.54.50.81.950.0%21.1%1.555.6%23.4%
9Jared HarrisGSo6'2"12-09.74.02.40.30.343.2%30.0%1.780.0%23.7%
14Garrett SpielmanGFr6'7"8-02.01.00.50.10.166.7%66.7%0.4—24.8%
32Talan TaylorGFr6'4"3-02.31.00.70.30.075.0%50.0%0.7—15.7%
45Neil SummersFFr6'9"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
WyomingDuquesne
Efficiency
111.8
109.6
107.6
107.5
67.7
69.3
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
52.3%
53.6%
54.5%
33.0%
33.1%
74.3%
71.5%
35.4%
38.3%
Ball control & glass
16.3%
17.6%
16.8%
18.3%
34.1%
30.4%
28.0%
29.6%
8.3%
9.8%
10.9%
12.5%
Style
43.0%
44.4%
43.0%
42.9%
9.6%
15.7%
53.8%
55.9%
37.3%
31.8%
Roster
2.57
3.43
6'5"
6'5.8"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Wyoming
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Duquesne
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Duquesne's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.