CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferencePauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA

Delaware

Efficiency #302

2025-26: 10-21 · 6-14 conf

UCLA

Efficiency #37

2025-26: 24-12 · 15-8 conf

Sun, Nov 22 · TBD

62.8

win 9%

Projected

78.5

win 91%

No line posted yet.

Model: UCLA −15.7 · total 141.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: UCLA 66.6, Delaware 65.5 → 63.9 possessions

−9.7

UCLA offense vs Delaware defense

+7.4

Delaware offense vs UCLA defense

−4.6

Projected total

141.3

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

UCLA offense vs Delaware defense

+7.4

Delaware offense vs UCLA defense

+4.6

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.7

UCLA by 15.7

15.7

Delaware side ◂▸ UCLA side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UCLA.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 63.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UCLA is the faster team (65.8, #303 of 365) and Delaware the slower (63.9, #356). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

63.9

per team, 40 min

Projected total

141.3

model

Projected team totals

62.8 / 78.5

Delaware / UCLA

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

65.5#356

Delaware

66.6#313

UCLA

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

Pace

Half-court grind

UCLA averages 65.8 possessions per 40, Delaware 63.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 63 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

AdvantageUCLA

Where UCLA scores: ball control

UCLA turns it over on 13.4% of possessions (#14); Delaware forces turnovers on 14.0% of opponent possessions (#334). Expect about 13.1%, 3.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.5 points per 100 possessions.

AdvantageDelaware

Where Delaware struggles: the offensive glass

Delaware rebounds 20.8% of its own misses (#362); UCLA lets opponents grab 33.3% of their own misses (#304). Expect about 25.1%, 5.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.2 points per 100 possessions.

ClashUCLA

Style match: ball movement

UCLA assists on 59.2% of its made baskets; Delaware allows assists on 60.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 62.2% — both habits push the same way.

ClashDelaware

Style match: 3-point volume

Delaware takes 46.2% of its shots from three; UCLA lets opponents take 44.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 48.3% — both habits push the same way.

TurnoversDelaware

Delaware turns it over

Projected turnover rate of 18.7% is worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions against Delaware's offense.

Delaware has the ball

OffenseUCLA allowsvs D1 avg

53.3% #89

50.4% #120

+1.0 pt/100

18.2% #285

18.5% #76

-2.4 pt/100

20.8% #362

33.3% #304

-3.2 pt/100

30.6% #291

34.4% #163

-0.3 pt/100

78.6% #10

—

+0.5 pt/100

Delaware net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.3 pts/100

UCLA has the ball

OffenseDelaware allowsvs D1 avg

53.4% #85

51.5% #185

+1.9 pt/100

13.4% #14

14.0% #334

+4.5 pt/100

31.0% #162

31.1% #206

+0.5 pt/100

33.1% #237

30.2% #62

-0.5 pt/100

76.3% #46

—

+0.3 pt/100

UCLA net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.7 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Delawareoffense vsUCLAdefense

Share of shots by zone

Delaware shoots

33.1

6.3

14.6

46.0

UCLA allows

32.0

5.0

17.7

45.2

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	58.4%#179	61.6%#289	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	39.6%#185	39.6%#179	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	39.0%#144	39.6%#223	38.0%
Three	36.8%#31	32.0%#64	33.7%

UCLAoffense vsDelawaredefense

Share of shots by zone

UCLA shoots

31.4

5.8

27.4

35.5

Delaware allows

33.6

5.7

17.4

43.3

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	62.3%#67	59.3%#206	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	42.2%#116	38.0%#136	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	42.0%#59	36.1%#112	38.0%
Three	37.9%#19	35.1%#255	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Delaware

−5.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#355 of 365

Off reb %

20.8%

#362

Def reb %

68.9%

#206

Turnover %

18.2%

#285

Forced TO %

14.0%

#334

FT rate

30.6%

#291

FT allowed

30.2%

#62

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−3.1

Defensive rebounding−0.1

Ball security−1.0

Forcing turnovers−1.8

Foul shots drawn−1.1

Foul shots allowed+1.3

UCLA

+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#75 of 365

Off reb %

31.0%

#162

Def reb %

66.7%

#304

Turnover %

13.4%

#14

Forced TO %

18.5%

#76

FT rate

33.1%

#237

FT allowed

34.4%

#163

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.2

Defensive rebounding−0.9

Ball security+2.3

Forcing turnovers+1.2

Foul shots drawn−0.5

Foul shots allowed+0.2

UCLA has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#75 of 365) to Delaware’s −5.9 (#355).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Delaware2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Delaware's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
00	Christian Bliss	G	Jr	6'4"	31-31	39.8	16.7	5.2	5.9	3.1	51.5%	39.2%	5.5	84.8%	27.4%
5	Macon Emory	F	So	6'8"	31-31	37.1	11.3	6.6	1.2	1.7	49.8%	28.5%	4.9	75.4%	21.0%
4	Justyn Fernandez	G	Sr	6'5"	28-28	37.4	16.6	4.6	2.1	3.0	52.9%	40.3%	5.7	87.8%	29.6%
20	Alex Kazanecki	G	Fr	6'6"	31-13	28.7	5.1	2.1	0.6	0.6	57.5%	37.1%	3.1	72.2%	10.9%
44	Tyler Houser	F	Sr	6'9"	26-26	33.3	14.2	5.4	1.7	1.3	57.4%	38.3%	4.1	81.7%	24.6%
11	Jayden Taylor	F	Fr	6'8"	31-10	15.3	3.1	2.4	0.2	0.5	61.7%	33.3%	0.4	61.8%	12.4%
15	Houston Emory	F	Sr	6'9"	24-5	11.1	1.7	1.6	0.3	0.6	72.7%	100.0%	0.1	50.0%	10.3%
1	Mason Ellison	G	Fr	6'4"	7-1	21.3	4.7	1.3	0.9	1.3	40.6%	16.7%	1.7	58.3%	18.1%
55	Jameel Brown	G	Sr	6'4"	4-4	23.5	9.8	2.8	0.8	1.8	46.9%	42.1%	4.8	75.0%	27.8%
35	Bouna Kebe	F	Sr	6'9"	14-5	5.7	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.1	42.5%	12.5%	0.6	0.0%	17.4%
21	Nnanna Njoku	F	Sr	6'9"	2-0	14.0	2.0	1.5	0.0	1.0	14.3%	0.0%	0.5	50.0%	25.0%
3	Cavan Reilly	G	Sr	6'4"	1-1	23.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	2.0	12.5%	0.0%	5.0	50.0%	26.2%
10	Brandon Baffone	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	2.8	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	100.0%	8.4%
12	Alex McFadden	G	So	6'1"	4-0	2.3	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	50.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	27.4%
14	Lance Piper	G	So	6'6"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

UCLA2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Donovan Dent	G	Sr	6'2"	35-34	34.4	13.3	2.9	7.6	1.8	43.0%	25.4%	2.0	65.6%	28.4%
0	Trent Perry	G	So	6'4"	35-24	29.9	12.6	3.0	2.8	1.3	51.5%	39.2%	3.4	85.8%	24.5%
3	Eric Dailey Jr.	G	Jr	6'8"	35-35	27.6	11.6	5.8	1.3	1.3	53.4%	31.6%	2.8	69.9%	25.9%
55	Skyy Clark	G	Sr	6'3"	26-23	28.6	11.5	2.3	2.0	1.0	58.6%	42.7%	4.8	82.1%	22.1%
1	Xavier Booker	F	Jr	6'11"	36-27	20.2	7.3	3.5	0.8	0.6	62.4%	43.3%	1.9	67.5%	19.5%
4	Jamar Brown	G	Sr	6'5"	36-2	15.6	3.8	2.7	0.5	0.3	54.0%	33.8%	2.1	100.0%	14.0%
5	Brandon Williams	G	So	6'7"	34-4	12.2	2.6	1.9	0.3	0.2	45.5%	24.0%	0.7	64.5%	14.5%
24	Steven Jamerson II	F	Sr	6'10"	33-1	10.2	2.0	2.1	0.5	0.6	75.0%	—	0.0	63.0%	12.0%
8	Eric Freeny	G	Fr	6'4"	28-0	11.0	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.3	46.4%	37.0%	1.0	50.0%	13.7%
23	Anthony Peoples Jr.	F	Sr	6'9"	5-0	2.2	0.4	1.0	0.0	0.0	50.0%	—	0.0	—	10.9%
30	Jack Seidler	G	Jr	6'4"	6-0	1.5	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.2	16.7%	0.0%	0.2	0.0%	48.9%
7	Christian Horry	G	Fr	6'2"	4-0	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	16.4%
21	Evan Manjikian	F	Jr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
10	Markell Alston	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Delaware2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Delaware's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
00	Christian Bliss	G	Jr	6'4"	31-31	39.8	16.7	5.2	5.9	3.1	51.5%	39.2%	5.5	84.8%	27.4%
5	Macon Emory	F	So	6'8"	31-31	37.1	11.3	6.6	1.2	1.7	49.8%	28.5%	4.9	75.4%	21.0%
4	Justyn Fernandez	G	Sr	6'5"	28-28	37.4	16.6	4.6	2.1	3.0	52.9%	40.3%	5.7	87.8%	29.6%
20	Alex Kazanecki	G	Fr	6'6"	31-13	28.7	5.1	2.1	0.6	0.6	57.5%	37.1%	3.1	72.2%	10.9%
44	Tyler Houser	F	Sr	6'9"	26-26	33.3	14.2	5.4	1.7	1.3	57.4%	38.3%	4.1	81.7%	24.6%
11	Jayden Taylor	F	Fr	6'8"	31-10	15.3	3.1	2.4	0.2	0.5	61.7%	33.3%	0.4	61.8%	12.4%
15	Houston Emory	F	Sr	6'9"	24-5	11.1	1.7	1.6	0.3	0.6	72.7%	100.0%	0.1	50.0%	10.3%
1	Mason Ellison	G	Fr	6'4"	7-1	21.3	4.7	1.3	0.9	1.3	40.6%	16.7%	1.7	58.3%	18.1%
55	Jameel Brown	G	Sr	6'4"	4-4	23.5	9.8	2.8	0.8	1.8	46.9%	42.1%	4.8	75.0%	27.8%
35	Bouna Kebe	F	Sr	6'9"	14-5	5.7	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.1	42.5%	12.5%	0.6	0.0%	17.4%
21	Nnanna Njoku	F	Sr	6'9"	2-0	14.0	2.0	1.5	0.0	1.0	14.3%	0.0%	0.5	50.0%	25.0%
3	Cavan Reilly	G	Sr	6'4"	1-1	23.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	2.0	12.5%	0.0%	5.0	50.0%	26.2%
10	Brandon Baffone	G	Jr	6'1"	5-0	2.8	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	100.0%	8.4%
12	Alex McFadden	G	So	6'1"	4-0	2.3	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	50.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	27.4%
14	Lance Piper	G	So	6'6"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Delaware

Against the spread

Season

14-15-1

Home

6-7-1

Road

7-7

Last 10

7-3

avg cover +0.9

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 7 of 10 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

16-14

Home

10-4

Road

6-8

Last 10

8-2

avg vs total +13.9

Under in the last gameOver in 8 of 10 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 7	Louisiana TechAdjEM #211	H	L 38–81	+2.0	L−41.0	132.5	U119	60.3	128.5	63.0
Mar 5	Sam HoustonAdjEM #101	H	W 83–80	+7.5	W+10.5	148.0	O163	116.7	112.4	71.2
Feb 28	Kennesaw StAdjEM #154	A	L 82–90	+12.0	W+4.0	143.0	O172	117.9	129.4	69.5
Feb 26	Jax StateAdjEM #215	A	L 70–80 OT	+7.5	L−2.5	134.0	O150	104.8	119.8	66.8
Feb 21	MTSUAdjEM #167	A	L 66–78	+10.0	L−2.0	137.5	O144	106.5	125.8	62.0
Feb 18	Western KYAdjEM #159	H	L 87–88 OT	+4.0	W+3.0	139.5	O175	125.3	126.7	69.4
Feb 14	Missouri StAdjEM #212	A	W 76–67	+8.5	W+17.5	135.0	O143	121.0	106.7	62.8
Feb 12	FIUAdjEM #200	A	W 68–66	+8.5	W+10.5	146.5	U134	101.9	98.9	66.8
Feb 7	MTSUAdjEM #167	H	W 89–88 OT	+4.5	W+5.5	133.5	O177	129.9	128.5	68.5
Feb 4	LibertyAdjEM #103	H	L 69–75	+10.0	W+4.0	132.0	O144	110.6	120.2	62.4

UCLA

Against the spread

Season

15-19-2

Home

10-8

Road

3-7

Last 10

6-3-1

avg cover +4.8

Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog, 1 push

Over / under

Season

17-19

Home

9-9

Road

5-5

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total +3.6

Under 3 straightOver in 2 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 22	#2UConnAdjEM #10	N	L 57–73	+5.5	L−10.5	136.0	U130	90.5	115.9	63.0
Mar 20	#10UCFAdjEM #70	N	W 75–71	−6.0	L−2.0	152.0	U146	106.3	100.6	70.6
Mar 14	#18PurdueAdjEM #9	N	L 66–73	+7.0	P0.0	145.0	U139	110.7	122.4	59.6
Mar 13	#8Michigan StAdjEM #11	N	W 88–84	+5.0	W+9.0	141.5	O172	131.9	125.9	66.7
Mar 12	RutgersAdjEM #192	N	W 72–59	−10.5	W+2.5	142.5	U131	104.6	85.7	68.8
Mar 7	USCAdjEM #97	A	W 89–68	−5.0	W+16.0	151.0	O157	142.2	108.7	62.6
Mar 3	#9NebraskaAdjEM #17	H	W 72–52	+1.0	W+21.0	144.5	U124	118.7	85.7	60.6
Feb 28	MinnesotaAdjEM #94	A	L 73–78	−1.5	L−6.5	135.5	O151	131.4	140.4	55.6
Feb 24	USCAdjEM #97	H	W 81–62	−7.0	W+12.0	150.5	U143	123.4	94.5	65.6
Feb 21	#10IllinoisAdjEM #4	H	W 95–94 OT	+6.0	W+7.0	147.0	O189	130.4	129.0	72.9

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

DelawareUCLA

Efficiency

105.2

115.9

112.6

104.5

65.5

66.6

—

Shooting

53.3%

53.4%

51.7%

51.4%

36.8%

37.9%

78.6%

76.3%

30.6%

33.1%

Ball control & glass

18.2%

13.4%

14.0%

18.5%

20.8%

31.0%

31.1%

33.3%

11.4%

7.3%

10.4%

8.1%

Style

46.2%

35.5%

36.8%

38.2%

6.9%

11.7%

52.3%

59.2%

15.7%

27.0%

Roster

2.72

3.12

6'6.4"

6'5.5"

—

87.1%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Delaware

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Delaware's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

UCLA

Returning minutes: 87.1%Returning production: 82.4%

Lost

Tyler Bilodeau 26.0 mpg, 15.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Markell Alston no D1 minutes last season
Evan Manjikian no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.