CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteAcrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CAAcrisure Series
CA Baptist
Efficiency #102
2025-26: 25-9 · 15-5 conf
vs
Portland
Efficiency #259
2025-26: 15-19 · 8-13 conf
Sun, Nov 22 · 7:00 PM ET
74.1
win 70%
Projected
68.2
win 30%
No line posted yet.
Model: CBU −5.9 · total 142.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Portland 69.1, CA Baptist 67.4 → 68.2 possessions
−0.3
Portland offense vs CA Baptist defense
−5.8
CA Baptist offense vs Portland defense
+0.1
Projected total
142.2
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Portland offense vs CA Baptist defense
−5.8
CA Baptist offense vs Portland defense
−0.1
CA Baptist by 5.9
5.9
CA Baptist side ◂▸ Portland side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Portland.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Portland is the faster team (69.7, #105 of 365) and CA Baptist the slower (67.5, #223). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
142.2
model
Projected team totals
74.1 / 68.2
CA Baptist / Portland
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.4#256
CA Baptist
69.1#114
Portland
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePortland
Where Portland struggles: shooting
Portland shoots an effective 51.2% (#188); CA Baptist allows 46.3% (#16). Expect about 48.7%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageCA Baptist
Where CA Baptist scores: the offensive glass
CA Baptist rebounds 37.5% of its own misses (#13); Portland lets opponents grab 32.5% of their own misses (#281). Expect about 36.4%, 6.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashPortland
Style match: 3-point volume
Portland rarely shoots threes (35.4% of its shots); CA Baptist runs teams off the line (31.6% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.2% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversPortland
Portland turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.6% is worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions against Portland's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Portland, CA Baptist's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect CA Baptist at about 37.4% of its shots from three, Portland about 31.2%.
GlassPortland
Portland gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.2% is worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions against Portland's offense.
CA Baptist has the ball
OffensePortland allowsvs D1 avg
48.3% #308
52.7% #255
-1.4 pt/100
17.9% #267
17.0% #151
-1.0 pt/100
37.5% #13
32.5% #281
+3.6 pt/100
35.9% #154
32.6% #118
-0.1 pt/100
71.3% #230
—
-0.1 pt/100
CA Baptist net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.0 pts/100
Portland has the ball
OffenseCA Baptist allowsvs D1 avg
51.2% #188
46.3% #16
-3.7 pt/100
19.7% #342
17.0% #154
-2.2 pt/100
28.1% #266
27.2% #41
-2.0 pt/100
34.4% #197
36.6% #229
+0.1 pt/100
74.0% #131
—
+0.1 pt/100
Portland net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCA Baptistoffense vsPortlanddefense
Share of shots by zone
CA Baptist shoots
46.7
6.7
14.5
32.1
Portland allows
35.3
5.5
13.9
45.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 51.0%#354 | 59.2%#200 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.5%#336 | 29.5%#14 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 43.1%#36 | 37.2%#136 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#200 | 36.1%#308 | 33.7% |
Portlandoffense vsCA Baptistdefense
Share of shots by zone
Portland shoots
41.7
8.2
15.3
34.8
CA Baptist allows
42.2
8.8
18.7
30.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.9%#53 | 51.3%#9 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.3%#74 | 39.7%#186 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#208 | 38.4%#174 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.9%#344 | 29.5%#5 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCA Baptist
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#69 of 365
Off reb %
37.5%
#13
Def reb %
72.8%
#41
Turnover %
17.9%
#267
Forced TO %
17.0%
#154
FT rate
35.9%
#154
FT allowed
36.6%
#229
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Portland
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#290 of 365
Off reb %
28.1%
#266
Def reb %
67.5%
#281
Turnover %
19.7%
#342
Forced TO %
17.0%
#151
FT rate
34.4%
#197
FT allowed
32.6%
#118
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−2.0
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.7
CA Baptist has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#69 of 365) to Portland’s −2.6 (#290).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
CA Baptist2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Martel Williams | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 44.6% | 32.7% | 3.3 | 77.6% | 26.4% | |
| 3 | Jayden Jackson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 43.2% | 34.6% | 5.6 | 75.0% | 22.7% | |
| 8 | Jonathan Griman | F | Jr | 6'11" | 31-19 | 23.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 57.9% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 52.0% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Muller | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-9 | 20.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 41.8% | 35.2% | 2.7 | 75.6% | 17.7% | |
| 42 | Bradey Henige | F | So | 7'0" | 33-15 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53.5% | — | 0.0 | 55.8% | 16.2% | |
| 25 | Thomas Ndong | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-19 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 62.0% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Devon Malcolm | F | Sr | 6'5" | 33-15 | 13.6 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 30.3% | 1.0 | 61.8% | 28.5% | |
| 5 | Miles Daniels | G | Sr | 6'2" | 21-0 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 35.0% | 1.0 | 46.7% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Rene D'Amelio | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-0 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 52.4% | 16.7% | |
| 10 | Monty Bowser | G | Sr | 6'6" | 13-1 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.4% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 35 | Nate Garcia | C | Fr | 7'0" | 15-0 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 84.0% | 20.5% | |
| 2 | Jalen Dollar | G | So | 5'10" | 7-0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Chase Mayo Harmon | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Mouhamadou Dioum | F | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | OJ Blankson | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Portland2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Portland's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Joel Foxwell | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 35.7 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 46.8% | 31.9% | 6.4 | 80.7% | 29.3% | |
| 10 | Garrett Nuckolls | G | Jr | 6'6" | 34-19 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 41.5% | 17.8% | 2.1 | 82.6% | 20.9% | |
| 14 | James O'Donnell | F | So | 6'10" | 34-23 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 65.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 60.5% | 24.2% | |
| 35 | Cameron Williams | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-28 | 23.9 | 10.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 52.6% | 26.8% | 1.3 | 79.8% | 24.7% | |
| 44 | Mikah Ballew | G | So | 6'5" | 31-15 | 23.6 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 45.8% | 33.6% | 4.8 | 81.3% | 23.0% | |
| 5 | Dante Censori-Hercules | G | Fr | 6'7" | 33-12 | 20.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 53.2% | 14.3% | 0.4 | 58.5% | 10.0% | |
| 1 | Jermaine Ballisager Webb | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-17 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 57.4% | 35.5% | 1.8 | 71.0% | 24.7% | |
| 7 | Matus Hronsky | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-21 | 18.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 30.8% | 2.9 | 90.5% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Timo George | F | Fr | 6'8" | 15-1 | 19.9 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 70.5% | 18.2% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 28.3% | |
| 21 | NaVaughn Long | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 62.5% | 55.6% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Kelson Gebbers | G | So | 6'7" | 15-0 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 13.1% | |
| 2 | Sam Noland | G | Sr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 83.3% | 7.7% | |
| 11 | Riley Parker | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 13.4% | |
| 8 | Preston Lee | G | Fr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 87.5% | 100.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Carlin Briggs | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Marchelo Moreira | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
CA Baptist2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Martel Williams | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 44.6% | 32.7% | 3.3 | 77.6% | 26.4% | |
| 3 | Jayden Jackson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 43.2% | 34.6% | 5.6 | 75.0% | 22.7% | |
| 8 | Jonathan Griman | F | Jr | 6'11" | 31-19 | 23.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 57.9% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 52.0% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Muller | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-9 | 20.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 41.8% | 35.2% | 2.7 | 75.6% | 17.7% | |
| 42 | Bradey Henige | F | So | 7'0" | 33-15 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53.5% | — | 0.0 | 55.8% | 16.2% | |
| 25 | Thomas Ndong | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-19 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 62.0% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Devon Malcolm | F | Sr | 6'5" | 33-15 | 13.6 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 30.3% | 1.0 | 61.8% | 28.5% | |
| 5 | Miles Daniels | G | Sr | 6'2" | 21-0 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 35.0% | 1.0 | 46.7% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Rene D'Amelio | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-0 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 52.4% | 16.7% | |
| 10 | Monty Bowser | G | Sr | 6'6" | 13-1 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.4% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 35 | Nate Garcia | C | Fr | 7'0" | 15-0 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 84.0% | 20.5% | |
| 2 | Jalen Dollar | G | So | 5'10" | 7-0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Chase Mayo Harmon | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Mouhamadou Dioum | F | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | OJ Blankson | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26CA Baptist
Against the spread
Season
20-13-1
Home
7-8
Road
9-5-1
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 straightCovered 6 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-22
Home
4-11
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −4.7
Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #4Kansas | N | L 60–68 | +14.0 | W+6.0 | 142.0 | U128 | 86.5 | 98.1 | 69.3 |
| Mar 14 | Utah Valley | N | W 63–61 | +2.5 | W+4.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 95.0 | 92.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 13 | Utah Tech | N | W 86–72 | −8.0 | W+6.0 | 143.5 | O158 | 122.2 | 102.3 | 70.4 |
| Mar 7 | Southern Utah | A | W 82–75 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 149.0 | O157 | 117.2 | 107.2 | 69.9 |
| Mar 5 | Abilene Chrstn | H | W 87–48 | −10.0 | W+29.0 | 137.0 | U135 | 120.1 | 66.2 | 72.5 |
| Feb 28 | Tarleton St | H | W 82–67 | −7.5 | W+7.5 | 139.0 | O149 | 122.7 | 100.2 | 66.8 |
| Feb 26 | UT Arlington | H | W 68–56 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 134.5 | U124 | 108.1 | 89.0 | 62.9 |
| Feb 19 | Utah Valley | A | L 46–65 | +8.5 | L−10.5 | 143.0 | U111 | 70.3 | 99.3 | 65.4 |
| Feb 14 | Utah Tech | A | L 65–70 | −3.5 | L−8.5 | 143.5 | U135 | 101.1 | 108.9 | 64.3 |
| Feb 12 | Southern Utah | A | W 83–66 | −5.5 | W+11.5 | 147.0 | O149 | 122.7 | 97.6 | 67.7 |
Portland
Against the spread
Season
15-17
Home
11-5
Road
2-11
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-18
Home
10-6
Road
3-10
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.8
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | San Francisco | N | L 65–82 | +7.0 | L−10.0 | 144.5 | O147 | 97.0 | 122.3 | 67.0 |
| Mar 6 | Washington St | N | W 74–68 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 150.0 | U142 | 106.3 | 97.7 | 69.6 |
| Mar 5 | Pepperdine | N | W 77–68 | −3.5 | W+5.5 | 154.0 | U145 | 111.2 | 98.2 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | San Diego | H | W 87–74 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 148.5 | O161 | 125.8 | 107.0 | 69.2 |
| Feb 25 | #9Gonzaga | A | L 48–89 | +27.0 | L−14.0 | 150.0 | U137 | 71.2 | 131.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Seattle U | A | L 59–71 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | U130 | 86.0 | 103.5 | 68.6 |
| Feb 18 | Pepperdine | H | L 87–95 | −7.0 | L−15.0 | 151.0 | O182 | 124.8 | 136.2 | 69.7 |
| Feb 11 | San Diego | A | L 58–71 | +2.5 | L−10.5 | 151.5 | U129 | 91.0 | 111.4 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | Seattle U | H | W 54–53 | +3.5 | W+4.5 | 143.0 | U107 | 86.5 | 84.9 | 62.5 |
| Feb 4 | #6Gonzaga | H | W 87–80 | +22.0 | W+29.0 | 152.5 | O167 | 117.7 | 108.2 | 73.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCA BaptistPortland
Efficiency
107.2
104.9
103.5
109.9
67.4
69.1
—
—
Shooting
48.3%
51.2%
47.4%
54.7%
33.4%
29.9%
71.3%
74.0%
35.9%
34.4%
Ball control & glass
17.9%
19.7%
17.0%
17.0%
37.5%
28.1%
27.2%
32.5%
9.9%
10.7%
9.6%
6.4%
Style
32.0%
35.4%
48.4%
49.2%
10.9%
10.6%
39.9%
61.6%
30.7%
31.8%
Roster
3.00
2.28
6'6"
6'6.7"
82.6%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCA Baptist
Returning minutes: 82.6%Returning production: 74.2%
Lost
- Dominique Daniels Jr. 35.2 mpg, 22.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- OJ Blankson no D1 minutes last season
- Chase Mayo Harmon no D1 minutes last season
- Mouhamadou Dioum no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Portland
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Portland's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.