CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBender Arena, Washington, DC
Towson
Efficiency #149
2025-26: 19-15 · 11-10 conf
@
American
Efficiency #234
2025-26: 16-16 · 9-10 conf
Sun, Nov 22 · 4:00 PM ET
68.5
win 47%
Projected
69.4
win 53%
No line posted yet.
Model: AMER −0.9 · total 137.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: American 67.9, Towson 65.7 → 65.3 possessions
−6.6
American offense vs Towson defense
−3.3
Towson offense vs American defense
−0.5
Projected total
137.9
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
American offense vs Towson defense
−3.3
Towson offense vs American defense
+0.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
American by 0.9
0.9
Towson side ◂▸ American side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 137.8 against a projected 137.9, and the margin steps add to +1.0 against +0.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help American.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, American is the faster team (66.7, #258 of 365) and Towson the slower (63.8, #358). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
137.9
model
Projected team totals
68.5 / 69.4
Towson / American
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.7#350
Towson
67.9#217
American
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
American averages 66.7 possessions per 40, Towson 63.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 64 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageTowson
Where Towson scores: the offensive glass
Towson rebounds 36.0% of its own misses (#24); American lets opponents grab 29.4% of their own misses (#127). Expect about 33.8%, 3.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAmerican
Where American scores: ball control
American turns it over on 15.6% of possessions (#114); Towson forces turnovers on 15.1% of opponent possessions (#274). Expect about 15.1%, 1.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Towson, Towson's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Towson at about 34.2% of its shots from three, American about 46.3%.
GlassAmerican
American gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.3% is worth roughly -1.9 points per 100 possessions against American's offense.
Towson has the ball
OffenseAmerican allowsvs D1 avg
46.5% #345
54.4% #313
-1.6 pt/100
15.9% #129
19.2% #40
-1.3 pt/100
36.0% #24
29.4% #127
+2.1 pt/100
30.4% #299
42.1% #324
+0.2 pt/100
68.9% #300
—
-0.3 pt/100
Towson net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.9 pts/100
American has the ball
OffenseTowson allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #169
48.5% #49
-1.8 pt/100
15.6% #114
15.1% #274
+2.1 pt/100
26.9% #299
29.1% #117
-1.9 pt/100
28.7% #335
29.3% #49
-0.8 pt/100
75.8% #57
—
+0.3 pt/100
American net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersTowsonoffense vsAmericandefense
Share of shots by zone
Towson shoots
34.7
6.1
24.2
35.0
American allows
40.6
6.8
15.4
37.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.9%#300 | 62.5%#311 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.4%#166 | 48.0%#339 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.7%#159 | 37.6%#145 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.4%#349 | 35.5%#283 | 33.7% |
Americanoffense vsTowsondefense
Share of shots by zone
American shoots
35.9
7.3
10.4
46.4
Towson allows
36.8
6.5
16.2
40.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.0%#161 | 56.4%#96 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.5%#92 | 42.1%#232 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.6%#127 | 37.6%#148 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#235 | 30.9%#33 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersTowson
+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#90 of 365
Off reb %
36.0%
#24
Def reb %
70.9%
#117
Turnover %
15.9%
#129
Forced TO %
15.1%
#274
FT rate
30.4%
#299
FT allowed
29.3%
#49
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+1.5
American
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#259 of 365
Off reb %
26.9%
#299
Def reb %
70.6%
#127
Turnover %
15.6%
#114
Forced TO %
19.2%
#40
FT rate
28.7%
#335
FT allowed
42.1%
#324
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−1.6
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Towson has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.2 (#90 of 365) to American’s −1.6 (#259).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Towson2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Towson's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dylan Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 35.9 | 14.6 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 47.3% | 34.0% | 7.3 | 74.5% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Tyler Tejada | G | Jr | 6'9" | 32-31 | 35.5 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 48.0% | 29.1% | 4.6 | 88.2% | 31.7% | |
| 21 | Jack Doumbia Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-6 | 23.9 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 44.7% | 12.2% | 1.3 | 65.4% | 33.7% | |
| 23 | Caleb Embeya | F | So | 6'9" | 34-16 | 20.7 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 59.1% | 12.7% | |
| 3 | Tyler Coleman | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-24 | 19.9 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 51.2% | 35.7% | 0.9 | 72.5% | 17.3% | |
| 24 | Jaquan Womack | G | Fr | 6'6" | 32-10 | 19.3 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 44.9% | 27.6% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 27.0% | |
| 41 | Mor Seck | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-17 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 54.5% | — | 0.0 | 43.3% | 16.4% | |
| 1 | Tyler Schmidt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 14.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 48.4% | 27.1% | 1.8 | 85.7% | 14.8% | |
| 13 | Chike Ndefo | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-9 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 46.7% | 12.5% | 0.3 | 46.9% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Ryan Conway | G | Sr | 6'1" | 23-9 | 10.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 54.3% | 36.4% | 2.9 | 71.4% | 20.6% | |
| 2 | Jaiden Cole | G | Jr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 39.1% | 2.9 | 80.0% | 27.9% | |
| 12 | Abdou Samb | F | Sr | 6'8" | 7-1 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 8.4% | |
| 22 | Ryan Skerry | G | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 10.7% | 12.5% | 0.8 | — | 26.8% | |
| 30 | Brandon Holmes | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jon Barton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
American2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted American's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-31 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 45.4% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 80.7% | 26.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 54.5% | 34.4% | 3.0 | 82.7% | 17.2% | |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 57.0% | 39.0% | 6.1 | 75.0% | 19.6% | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | So | 6'7" | 32-32 | 25.8 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 56.5% | 35.2% | 3.9 | 67.2% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | So | 6'4" | 32-18 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 52.0% | 35.5% | 3.4 | 70.4% | 22.1% | |
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 21.8 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.0% | 22.6% | 2.9 | 70.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-16 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 2.7 | 80.4% | 14.7% | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 44.8% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 79.3% | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 56.7% | 35.5% | 1.4 | 42.9% | 18.8% | |
| 16 | Luke Brown | F | Fr | 6'9" | 19-0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 14.3% | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 68.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 63.6% | 22.1% | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 30.4% | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.5% | |
| 10 | Adrian Samuels | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Gibraltar Coleman | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Shane O'Reilly | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Towson2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Towson's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dylan Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 35.9 | 14.6 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 47.3% | 34.0% | 7.3 | 74.5% | 28.8% | |
| 15 | Tyler Tejada | G | Jr | 6'9" | 32-31 | 35.5 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 48.0% | 29.1% | 4.6 | 88.2% | 31.7% | |
| 21 | Jack Doumbia Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-6 | 23.9 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 44.7% | 12.2% | 1.3 | 65.4% | 33.7% | |
| 23 | Caleb Embeya | F | So | 6'9" | 34-16 | 20.7 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 59.1% | 12.7% | |
| 3 | Tyler Coleman | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-24 | 19.9 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 51.2% | 35.7% | 0.9 | 72.5% | 17.3% | |
| 24 | Jaquan Womack | G | Fr | 6'6" | 32-10 | 19.3 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 44.9% | 27.6% | 2.7 | 64.8% | 27.0% | |
| 41 | Mor Seck | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-17 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 54.5% | — | 0.0 | 43.3% | 16.4% | |
| 1 | Tyler Schmidt | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 14.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 48.4% | 27.1% | 1.8 | 85.7% | 14.8% | |
| 13 | Chike Ndefo | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-9 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 46.7% | 12.5% | 0.3 | 46.9% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Ryan Conway | G | Sr | 6'1" | 23-9 | 10.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 54.3% | 36.4% | 2.9 | 71.4% | 20.6% | |
| 2 | Jaiden Cole | G | Jr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 54.4% | 39.1% | 2.9 | 80.0% | 27.9% | |
| 12 | Abdou Samb | F | Sr | 6'8" | 7-1 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 8.4% | |
| 22 | Ryan Skerry | G | Jr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 10.7% | 12.5% | 0.8 | — | 26.8% | |
| 30 | Brandon Holmes | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jon Barton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Towson
Against the spread
Season
14-17-1
Home
5-7
Road
4-8-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +1.2
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
12-20
Home
3-9
Road
5-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.7
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Hofstra | N | L 65–68 OT | +4.0 | W+1.0 | 131.5 | O133 | 106.8 | 111.7 | 60.9 |
| Mar 8 | Charleston | N | W 81–56 | +2.5 | W+27.5 | 139.0 | U137 | 134.0 | 92.7 | 60.4 |
| Mar 7 | Hampton | N | W 74–68 | −7.5 | L−1.5 | 132.0 | O142 | 108.9 | 100.1 | 67.9 |
| Mar 3 | Stony Brook | A | W 69–57 | −1.0 | W+11.0 | 135.5 | U126 | 112.7 | 93.1 | 61.2 |
| Feb 28 | Campbell | H | W 71–67 | −5.0 | L−1.0 | 141.5 | U138 | 120.0 | 113.2 | 59.2 |
| Feb 26 | Elon | H | W 58–56 | −5.5 | L−3.5 | 144.0 | U114 | 94.1 | 90.9 | 61.6 |
| Feb 22 | Drexel | A | L 62–68 | −2.5 | L−8.5 | 131.0 | U130 | 93.9 | 102.9 | 66.1 |
| Feb 15 | Monmouth | A | L 71–72 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 137.5 | O143 | 109.1 | 110.7 | 65.0 |
| Feb 12 | Stony Brook | H | W 69–57 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 135.0 | U126 | 108.8 | 89.9 | 63.4 |
| Feb 7 | Hofstra | A | L 49–71 | +4.0 | L−18.0 | 139.0 | U120 | 79.3 | 114.9 | 61.8 |
American
Against the spread
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-7
Road
8-6-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −2.1
Covered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
15-15
Home
7-8
Road
8-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Boston U | A | L 73–75 | +2.0 | P0.0 | 142.5 | O148 | 121.4 | 124.8 | 60.1 |
| Feb 28 | Boston U | H | L 65–68 | −3.5 | L−6.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 101.0 | 105.7 | 64.3 |
| Feb 25 | Lehigh | H | L 73–78 | −7.0 | L−12.0 | 140.0 | O151 | 110.0 | 117.5 | 66.4 |
| Feb 22 | Lafayette | A | W 75–61 | −3.5 | W+10.5 | 141.0 | U136 | 127.3 | 103.5 | 58.9 |
| Feb 18 | Bucknell | A | W 75–57 | −3.0 | W+15.0 | 140.5 | U132 | 115.9 | 88.1 | 64.7 |
| Feb 14 | Army | H | W 75–63 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 145.5 | U138 | 114.0 | 95.8 | 65.8 |
| Feb 11 | Lehigh | A | L 82–90 | −1.5 | L−9.5 | 140.0 | O172 | 110.6 | 121.4 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Navy | A | L 73–82 | +4.5 | L−4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 113.2 | 127.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 4 | Bucknell | H | L 59–60 | −8.0 | L−9.0 | 142.0 | U119 | 99.7 | 101.4 | 59.2 |
| Jan 31 | Lafayette | H | L 65–67 | −5.5 | L−7.5 | 143.0 | U132 | 102.2 | 105.4 | 63.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTowsonAmerican
Efficiency
106.1
106.9
104.9
110.1
65.7
67.9
—
—
Shooting
46.5%
51.5%
47.8%
53.3%
29.4%
33.0%
68.9%
75.8%
30.4%
28.7%
Ball control & glass
15.9%
15.6%
15.1%
19.2%
36.0%
26.9%
29.1%
29.4%
7.4%
8.9%
7.6%
10.0%
Style
34.9%
46.5%
43.4%
42.6%
13.0%
13.8%
38.9%
49.5%
35.0%
33.2%
Roster
2.98
2.23
6'6.2"
6'5.2"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTowson
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Towson's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
American
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted American's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.