CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBrooklyn Athletic Center, Brooklyn, NY
Fairfield
Efficiency #230
2025-26: 21-13 · 13-10 conf
@
Long Island
Efficiency #195
2025-26: 24-11 · 18-3 conf
Sun, Nov 22 · TBD
71.0
win 32%
Projected
76.3
win 68%
No line posted yet.
Model: LIU −5.3 · total 147.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Long Island 68.6, Fairfield 68.1 → 68.4 possessions
+0.2
Long Island offense vs Fairfield defense
+0.1
Fairfield offense vs Long Island defense
−1.2
Projected total
147.4
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Long Island offense vs Fairfield defense
+0.1
Fairfield offense vs Long Island defense
+1.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Long Island by 5.3
5.3
Fairfield side ◂▸ Long Island side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 147.3 against a projected 147.4, and the margin steps add to +5.2 against +5.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Long Island.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Long Island is the faster team (68.2, #190 of 365) and Fairfield the slower (67.1, #239). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.4
model
Projected team totals
71.0 / 76.3
Fairfield / Long Island
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#203
Fairfield
68.6#152
Long Island
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseLong Island
Long Island's shot-blocking
Long Island ranks #16 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.9% of Fairfield's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
ClashLong Island
Style match: 3-point volume
Long Island rarely shoots threes (29.3% of its shots); Fairfield runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.1% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageFairfield
Where Fairfield scores: the offensive glass
Fairfield rebounds 35.8% of its own misses (#29); Long Island lets opponents grab 33.0% of their own misses (#299). Expect about 35.4%, 5.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.0 points per 100 possessions.
ClashFairfield
Style match: 3-point volume
Fairfield rarely shoots threes (35.4% of its shots); Long Island runs teams off the line (32.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 32.0% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageLong Island
Where Long Island struggles: ball control
Long Island turns it over on 18.9% of possessions (#318); Fairfield forces turnovers on 16.8% of opponent possessions (#165). Expect about 18.0%, 1.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.5 points per 100 possessions.
ClashLong Island
Style match: paint scoring
Long Island scores 51.9% of its points in the paint; Fairfield gives up 47.4% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 46.6% — both habits push the same way.
Fairfield has the ball
OffenseLong Island allowsvs D1 avg
48.8% #294
50.0% #102
-2.9 pt/100
15.3% #92
18.8% #58
-0.6 pt/100
35.8% #29
33.0% #299
+3.0 pt/100
27.7% #346
34.7% #171
-0.5 pt/100
70.5% #255
—
-0.2 pt/100
Fairfield net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Long Island has the ball
OffenseFairfield allowsvs D1 avg
52.8% #112
51.0% #159
+1.0 pt/100
18.9% #318
16.8% #165
-1.5 pt/100
33.9% #70
29.1% #116
+1.1 pt/100
34.0% #207
30.4% #69
-0.4 pt/100
66.7% #346
—
-0.5 pt/100
Long Island net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFairfieldoffense vsLong Islanddefense
Share of shots by zone
Fairfield shoots
41.6
3.5
19.1
35.8
Long Island allows
43.8
6.1
16.9
33.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.7%#343 | 55.3%#70 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.7%#29 | 49.1%#350 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.6%#165 | 40.4%#256 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.2%#216 | 32.2%#72 | 33.7% |
Long Islandoffense vsFairfielddefense
Share of shots by zone
Long Island shoots
46.2
8.3
16.6
29.0
Fairfield allows
46.9
3.4
14.3
35.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#133 | 55.7%#78 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.8%#224 | 51.7%#358 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.7%#162 | 34.0%#49 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#67 | 34.3%#200 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFairfield
+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#71 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#29
Def reb %
70.9%
#116
Turnover %
15.3%
#92
Forced TO %
16.8%
#165
FT rate
27.7%
#346
FT allowed
30.4%
#69
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn−1.9
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Long Island
+0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#172 of 365
Off reb %
33.9%
#70
Def reb %
67.0%
#299
Turnover %
18.9%
#318
Forced TO %
18.8%
#58
FT rate
34.0%
#207
FT allowed
34.7%
#171
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security−1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Fairfield has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#71 of 365) to Long Island’s +0.2 (#172).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Fairfield2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Declan Wucherpfennig | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 55.7% | 31.7% | 1.9 | 65.7% | 22.1% | |
| 12 | Qadir Martinat Mercyhurst | F | Jr | 6'5" | 34-33 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 22.2% | 0.5 | 58.1% | 21.2% | |
| 8 | Tony Williams | G | So | 6'1" | 33-23 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 47.4% | 32.0% | 3.7 | 68.0% | 22.6% | |
| 1 | Eric Mejia | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-7 | 18.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 38.7% | 30.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 20.0% | |
| 4 | Halon Rawlins | G | So | 6'6" | 33-23 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 39.9% | 25.0% | 2.1 | 60.9% | 19.4% | |
| 15 | Isaac Munkadi | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-3 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.3% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 51.2% | 17.1% | |
| 88 | Marko Radunovicat Boston College | F | So | 6'6" | 18-0 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 30.8% | 23.1% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 25.6% | |
| 5 | Nasir Rodriguez | G | So | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 31.6% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 32.8% | |
| 24 | Joe Ganton | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 43.2% | |
| 9 | Tanner Ostop | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 33.9% | |
| 13 | Noah Best | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Peyton Smith | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Brayden Jones | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Cole Edelen | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Jaden Brown | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jah Hatchett | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Oesoemana Sacko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Qadir Martin (from Mercyhurst), Marko Radunovic (from Boston College)
Long Island2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Greg Gordon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 34.1 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 57.2% | 20.7% | 0.8 | 40.7% | 25.1% | |
| 33 | Jamal Fuller | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-33 | 33.6 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 59.6% | 43.0% | 3.8 | 77.1% | 26.4% | |
| 0 | Malachi Davis | G | Sr | 6'4" | 35-34 | 30.9 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 46.1% | 31.4% | 4.0 | 62.1% | 32.9% | |
| 1 | Jomo Goings | G | Jr | 6'5" | 35-34 | 30.8 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 46.5% | 36.3% | 2.9 | 84.2% | 21.9% | |
| 22 | Shadrak Lasu | F | So | 6'8" | 33-33 | 22.9 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 56.9% | 42.9% | 0.6 | 63.8% | 13.6% | |
| 6 | Mason Porter-Brown | F | Jr | 6'6" | 35-6 | 20.0 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 57.1% | 40.4% | 2.7 | 71.3% | 22.2% | |
| 3 | Faheim Meran | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-0 | 14.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 51.0% | 36.7% | 1.7 | 58.3% | 15.4% | |
| 15 | Caleb Johnson | F | Sr | 6'7" | 23-0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 52.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 13.9% | |
| 4 | Tre'shawn Sheppard | G | So | 6'6" | 26-0 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 54.5% | 33.3% | 0.2 | 53.8% | 14.0% | |
| 10 | A.J. Neal Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 52.2% | 50.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 17.2% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Miranda | F | Jr | 7'1" | 13-0 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 42.6% | 15.4% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 31.3% | |
| 5 | Max Ndlovu-Fraser | G | Fr | 6'5" | 7-0 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 35.7% | 33.3% | 0.4 | — | 11.7% | |
| 34 | Xinyi Li | F | Jr | 6'9" | 8-0 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 35.7% | 33.3% | 0.4 | — | 23.4% | |
| 14 | Eddie Munyak | G | So | 6'1" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.5 | — | 17.8% | |
| 24 | Gavin Pendergast | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Fairfield2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Declan Wucherpfennig | G | So | 6'7" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 55.7% | 31.7% | 1.9 | 65.7% | 22.1% | |
| 12 | Qadir Martinat Mercyhurst | F | Jr | 6'5" | 34-33 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 22.2% | 0.5 | 58.1% | 21.2% | |
| 8 | Tony Williams | G | So | 6'1" | 33-23 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 47.4% | 32.0% | 3.7 | 68.0% | 22.6% | |
| 1 | Eric Mejia | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-7 | 18.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 38.7% | 30.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 20.0% | |
| 4 | Halon Rawlins | G | So | 6'6" | 33-23 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 39.9% | 25.0% | 2.1 | 60.9% | 19.4% | |
| 15 | Isaac Munkadi | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-3 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 57.3% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 51.2% | 17.1% | |
| 88 | Marko Radunovicat Boston College | F | So | 6'6" | 18-0 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 30.8% | 23.1% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 25.6% | |
| 5 | Nasir Rodriguez | G | So | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 31.6% | 1.7 | 66.7% | 32.8% | |
| 24 | Joe Ganton | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 43.2% | |
| 9 | Tanner Ostop | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 33.9% | |
| 13 | Noah Best | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Peyton Smith | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Brayden Jones | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Cole Edelen | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Jaden Brown | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Jah Hatchett | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Oesoemana Sacko | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Qadir Martin (from Mercyhurst), Marko Radunovic (from Boston College)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Fairfield
Against the spread
Season
15-18
Home
5-10
Road
8-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
3-12
Road
10-5
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −4.4
Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Siena | N | L 61–76 | +1.5 | L−13.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 95.5 | 119.0 | 63.9 |
| Mar 6 | Saint Peter's | N | W 74–55 | +2.5 | W+21.5 | 137.5 | U129 | 114.7 | 85.3 | 64.5 |
| Mar 5 | Manhattan | N | W 71–60 | −4.5 | W+6.5 | 148.0 | U131 | 104.5 | 88.3 | 67.9 |
| Mar 1 | Mount St Marys | H | L 47–69 | −3.5 | L−25.5 | 146.5 | U116 | 70.3 | 103.2 | 66.8 |
| Feb 27 | Siena | H | W 72–58 | +1.0 | W+15.0 | 142.5 | U130 | 102.9 | 82.9 | 69.9 |
| Feb 22 | Quinnipiac | A | W 85–79 | +6.5 | W+12.5 | 150.5 | O164 | 124.3 | 115.5 | 68.4 |
| Feb 20 | Sacred Heart | H | W 78–68 | −5.0 | W+5.0 | 158.0 | U146 | 113.2 | 98.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 15 | Saint Peter's | A | L 74–83 | +4.0 | L−5.0 | 142.0 | O157 | 107.6 | 120.7 | 68.8 |
| Feb 7 | Marist | H | W 63–60 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 138.0 | U123 | 103.0 | 98.1 | 61.2 |
| Feb 5 | Sacred Heart | A | W 92–87 | −1.0 | W+4.0 | 155.0 | O179 | 129.1 | 122.1 | 71.2 |
Long Island
Against the spread
Season
18-17
Home
9-6
Road
9-10
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
15-20
Home
6-9
Road
8-11
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +5.3
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 9 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #1Arizona | N | L 58–92 | +30.5 | L−3.5 | 148.0 | O150 | 82.0 | 130.1 | 70.7 |
| Mar 10 | Mercyhurst | H | W 79–70 | −5.0 | W+4.0 | 134.0 | O149 | 119.3 | 105.7 | 66.2 |
| Mar 7 | Wagner | H | W 64–56 | −6.5 | W+1.5 | 139.0 | U120 | 100.1 | 87.6 | 63.9 |
| Mar 4 | Chicago St | H | W 79–75 | −11.0 | L−7.0 | 138.0 | O154 | 128.7 | 122.2 | 61.4 |
| Feb 28 | FDU | H | W 74–60 | −9.0 | W+5.0 | 137.5 | U134 | 117.6 | 95.3 | 62.9 |
| Feb 26 | Chicago St | H | W 73–56 | −11.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | U129 | 111.9 | 85.8 | 65.3 |
| Feb 21 | Mercyhurst | A | L 83–91 | −3.5 | L−11.5 | 141.0 | O174 | 119.0 | 130.5 | 69.7 |
| Feb 19 | Saint Francis Red Wolves | A | W 91–89 | −9.0 | L−7.0 | 148.0 | O180 | 118.2 | 115.6 | 77.0 |
| Feb 16 | Wagner | H | W 83–65 | −10.5 | W+7.5 | 137.0 | O148 | 130.1 | 101.9 | 63.8 |
| Feb 14 | New Haven | A | L 52–55 | −7.0 | L−10.0 | 129.5 | U107 | 84.1 | 88.9 | 61.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFairfieldLong Island
Efficiency
107.4
106.8
110.4
107.8
68.1
68.6
—
—
Shooting
48.8%
52.8%
48.2%
52.4%
33.2%
35.8%
70.5%
66.7%
27.7%
34.0%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
18.9%
16.8%
18.8%
35.8%
33.9%
29.1%
33.0%
8.7%
10.4%
10.5%
8.6%
Style
35.4%
29.3%
44.5%
51.9%
12.8%
19.4%
45.2%
50.2%
31.1%
24.1%
Roster
2.44
3.38
6'5.1"
6'5.5"
50.2%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFairfield
Returning minutes: 50.2%Returning production: 45.6%
Lost
- Braden Sparks 33.3 mpg, 17.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brandon Benjamin 29.5 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Deuce Turner 20.0 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ryan Zan 7.0 mpg, 0.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cam Estevez 6.8 mpg, 2.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Rogan 3.2 mpg, 0.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Qadir Martin from Mercyhurst · 31.4 mpg, 11.6 ppg last season
- Marko Radunovic from Boston College · 5.4 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Cole Edelen no D1 minutes last season
- Jaden Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Jah Hatchett no D1 minutes last season
- Noah Best no D1 minutes last season
Returns 50% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Long Island
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.