Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors basketball final score

Mon, Nov 9 · 11:59 PM ET · Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI

Rainbow ClassicNon-conferenceMW+Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI

Portland

2-1 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #247

Hawai'i

3-0 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #118

Final

7366

Final score

Projected 74.4 – 83.1

PORT win 23%HAW win 77%

MarketClose

Spread

HAW −8.0

open HAW −6.5

Total

158.0

open 157.5

Our line

HAW −8.7

as of Mon, Nov 9 · 11:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line

Spread

Even game

0.0

Hawai'irated 2.7 above average

+2.7

Portlandrated 1.9 below average

+1.9

Home court

+4.0

Our line

HAW −8.7

◂ Portland sideHawai'i side ▸

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Hawai'i. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 76.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Portland is the faster team (80.3, #17 of 365) and Hawai'i the slower (73.4, #98). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

76.1

per team, 40 min

Market total

158.0

Market close · open 157.5

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

74.1#30

Portland

72.6#69

Hawai'i

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

Our line

HAW −8.7

Four factors 8.5Not in these stats 0.2

From the four factors

Hawai'i has the ball+2.8

Portland has the ball−5.7

Hawai'i has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 47.9% #227 · PORT allows 58.9% #309+3.1

✗Few second chancesOR% 28.2% #241 · PORT allows 26.5% #101−2.2

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.7% #173 · PORT forces 16.2% #235 · ~13 turnovers+1.4

✓Gets to the lineFTR 37.6% #167 · PORT allows 40.3% #216 · FT 75.0% #95+0.5

Portland has the ball

✗Coughs it upTO% 26.1% #343 · HAW forces 25.2% #28 · ~21 turnovers−8.5

✓Shoots it welleFG% 62.7% #19 · HAW allows 50.0% #164+7.5

✗Few second chancesOR% 22.2% #317 · HAW allows 26.9% #108−4.1

✗Few trips to the lineFTR 49.1% #66 · HAW allows 28.7% #90 · FT 59.3% #314−0.7

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

Portlandoffense vsHawai'idefense

Share of shots by zone

Portland shoots

32.7

3.6

21.8

41.8

Hawai'i allows

46.4

9.1

7.3

37.3

D-I average

38.1

8.0

12.3

41.5

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.6%#216	56.9%#155	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	50.0%#76	10.0%#34	38.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	58.3%#34	37.5%#199	34.4%
Three	47.8%#8	34.1%#215	32.5%

Hawai'ioffense vsPortlanddefense

Share of shots by zone

Hawai'i shoots

42.2

13.8

6.9

37.1

Portland allows

38.7

12.9

8.1

40.3

D-I average

38.1

8.0

12.3

41.5

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	49.0%#281	62.5%#227	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	62.5%#45	50.0%#238	38.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	50.0%#46	20.0%#63	34.4%
Three	27.9%#247	44.0%#325	32.5%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

Portland

−6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#265 of 365

Off reb %

22.2%

#317

Def reb %

73.5%

#101

Turnover %

26.1%

#343

Forced TO %

16.2%

#235

FT rate

49.1%

#66

FT allowed

40.3%

#216

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−3.1

Defensive rebounding+1.7

Ball security−5.7

Forcing turnovers−1.3

Foul shots drawn+3.0

Foul shots allowed−0.6

Hawai'i

+8.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#70 of 365

Off reb %

28.2%

#241

Def reb %

73.1%

#108

Turnover %

17.7%

#173

Forced TO %

25.2%

#28

FT rate

37.6%

#167

FT allowed

28.7%

#90

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.1

Defensive rebounding+1.6

Ball security+0.3

Forcing turnovers+5.1

Foul shots drawn0.0

Foul shots allowed+2.4

Hawai'i has more extra scoring chances per game: +8.3 (#70 of 365) to Portland’s −6.0 (#265).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

Portland2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
12	G	Sr	6'7"	4-4	28.5	10.8	3.8	1.5	1.3	66.7%	46.2%	6.5	77.8%	15.6%
14	F	Jr	6'10"	4-4	27.0	19.3	11.3	1.5	2.0	76.3%	—	0.0	76.0%	26.7%
10	G	Jr	6'5"	4-4	22.8	10.0	3.8	3.3	1.5	48.4%	25.0%	2.0	71.4%	23.6%
11	G	Sr	6'2"	4-4	21.8	11.8	3.0	3.5	3.3	69.6%	52.4%	5.3	100.0%	25.6%
3	F	So	6'8"	4-1	18.0	11.3	5.3	1.3	1.0	72.0%	—	0.0	64.3%	24.4%
1	G	Jr	6'2"	4-0	17.8	13.5	3.3	2.8	2.0	65.2%	35.7%	3.5	64.7%	32.4%
5	G	So	6'7"	4-3	17.5	3.8	3.3	0.3	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	0.3	87.5%	10.7%
6	G	Sr	6'4"	4-0	15.5	4.3	2.5	3.8	2.0	44.4%	25.0%	2.0	81.8%	16.8%
2	F	So	6'10"	3-0	12.3	6.3	4.7	0.3	1.0	65.4%	33.3%	1.0	100.0%	20.1%
9	G	Fr	6'7"	2-0	12.5	8.5	3.0	1.5	0.5	66.7%	0.0%	0.5	100.0%	23.2%
32	F	Fr	6'10"	2-0	10.5	13.5	3.0	0.5	0.0	90.9%	—	0.0	63.6%	32.6%
15	G	Fr	6'3"	2-0	9.5	2.5	1.5	3.0	0.5	50.0%	33.3%	1.5	0.0%	15.8%
23	G	Fr	6'3"	2-0	8.0	6.0	2.0	1.0	1.5	112.5%	100.0%	0.5	60.0%	25.1%
13	G	So	6'3"	2-0	2.5	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.5	75.0%	100.0%	0.5	—	26.6%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game

Portland

Against the spread

Season

0-1

Home

0-0

Road

0-0

Last 10

0-1

avg cover −6.0

Missed the spread in the last game

Over / under

Season

1-0

Home

0-0

Road

0-0

Last 10

1-0

avg vs total +24.0

Over in the last game

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 8	Bethesda Flames	N	W 130–56	—	—	—	—	145.9	62.9	89.1
Nov 6	UT ArlingtonAdjEM #164	N	L 85–89	−2.0	L−6.0	150.0	O174	105.8	110.8	80.3
Nov 2	Willamette Bearcats	H	W 133–89	—	—	—	—	137.2	89.8	96.9
Mar 7	San FranciscoAdjEM #127	N	L 65–82	+7.0	L−10.0	144.5	O147	97.0	122.3	67.0
Mar 6	Washington StAdjEM #207	N	W 74–68	+5.5	W+11.5	150.0	U142	106.3	97.7	69.6
Mar 5	PepperdineAdjEM #268	N	W 77–68	−3.5	W+5.5	154.0	U145	111.2	98.2	69.3
Feb 28	San DiegoAdjEM #246	H	W 87–74	−3.5	W+9.5	148.5	O161	125.8	107.0	69.2
Feb 25	#9GonzagaAdjEM #4	A	L 48–89	+27.0	L−14.0	150.0	U137	71.2	131.9	67.5
Feb 21	Seattle UAdjEM #110	A	L 59–71	+6.5	L−5.5	140.0	U130	86.0	103.5	68.6
Feb 18	PepperdineAdjEM #268	H	L 87–95	−7.0	L−15.0	151.0	O182	124.8	136.2	69.7

Hawai'i

Against the spread

Season

1-1

Home

1-1

Road

0-0

Last 10

1-1

avg cover +0.2

Covered the last game

Over / under

Season

1-1

Home

1-1

Road

0-0

Last 10

1-1

avg vs total −4.2

Under in the last game

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 8	UT ArlingtonAdjEM #164	H	W 71–62	−8.0	W+1.0	146.0	U133	97.2	84.9	73.0
Nov 6	Bethesda Flames	H	W 116–44	—	—	—	—	150.0	56.9	77.3
Nov 2	Seattle UAdjEM #110	H	W 74–73	−1.5	L−0.5	142.5	O147	100.3	99.0	73.8
Mar 19	#4ArkansasAdjEM #33	N	L 78–97	+15.0	L−4.0	158.0	O175	101.8	126.5	76.7
Mar 14	UC IrvineAdjEM #122	N	W 71–64	+1.5	W+8.5	142.0	U135	100.6	90.7	70.6
Mar 13	FullertonAdjEM #199	N	W 78–63	−5.0	W+10.0	157.5	U141	106.1	85.7	73.5
Mar 7	Long Beach StAdjEM #251	H	L 75–84	−14.0	L−23.0	150.0	O159	97.9	109.6	76.6
Mar 5	UC RiversideAdjEM #263	H	W 93–74	−12.5	W+6.5	149.0	O167	129.5	103.1	71.8
Feb 28	FullertonAdjEM #199	A	W 87–85	−3.5	L−1.5	157.0	O172	121.0	118.2	71.9
Feb 26	UC DavisAdjEM #220	A	W 77–73	−2.0	W+2.0	147.0	O150	112.0	106.2	68.8

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

PortlandHawai'i

Efficiency

103.6

104.2

108.6

100.0

74.1

72.6

-0.1

2.7

Shooting

62.7%

47.9%

56.3%

51.4%

47.8%

27.9%

59.3%

75.0%

49.1%

37.6%

Ball control & glass

26.1%

17.7%

16.2%

25.2%

22.2%

28.2%

26.5%

26.9%

11.2%

9.5%

3.1%

5.4%

Style

41.8%

36.8%

25.9%

48.3%

11.8%

15.2%

44.8%

44.0%

47.0%

36.0%

Roster

2.80

2.90

6'6"

6'6.7"

25.7%

0.0%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Portland

Returning minutes: 25.7%Returning production: 30.0%

Lost

Joel Foxwell 35.7 mpg, 15.6 ppg · transferred to Arizona St
Garrett Nuckolls 25.9 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Cameron Williams 21.8 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Kent State
Mikah Ballew 21.5 mpg, 8.0 ppg · transferred to CSU Northridge
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 19.8 mpg, 8.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Matus Hronsky 16.7 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Jaxon Olvera from Louisiana · 29.2 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
Kaia Isaac from Tarleton St · 25.3 mpg, 5.6 ppg last season
Hunter Adam from Davidson · 15.2 mpg, 5.5 ppg last season
Vito Perkovic from East Carolina · 4.1 mpg, 1.4 ppg last season
Omer Sukur no D1 minutes last season
Marchelo Moreira no D1 minutes last season

Returns 26% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Hawai'i

Returning minutes: 9.7%Returning production: 7.1%

Lost

Hunter Erickson 31.4 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Dre Bullock 28.4 mpg, 13.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Harry Rouhliadeff 24.0 mpg, 10.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Gytis Nemeiksa 23.8 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Isaac Finlinson 22.7 mpg, 9.2 ppg · transferred to W Michigan
Isaac Johnson 21.2 mpg, 14.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Chance Trujillo from Utah Tech · 31.9 mpg, 11.9 ppg last season
Bol Dengdit from UC San Diego · 23.4 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
Houran Dan from Seattle U · 15.0 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
Zack Davidson from N Arizona · 10.3 mpg, 6.1 ppg last season
Manie Joses from Davidson · 8.6 mpg, 1.7 ppg last season
Marcus Adams Jr. from Arizona St · 5.0 mpg, 1.5 ppg last season

Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

Book	Spread (home) open → now	Total open → now	ML home	ML away
DraftKings	-6.5→-7.5-112	157.5o-110 u-110	-310	+250
FanDuel	-7.5-106	158.5→157.5o-110 u-110	-315	+250
BetMGM	-6.5→-7.5-110	157.5o-110 u-110	-300	+240
BetRivers	-6.5→-9.5-106	157.5o-114 u-109	-420	+310
Caesars	-6.5→-7.5-110	157.5o-110 u-110	-305	+240
Fanatics	-6.5→-7.5-115	156.5→158o-110 u-110	-320	+250
BetOnline	-6.5→-8-103	156→157o-120 u+100	-310	+252
Bovada	-6.5→-7.5-115	157.5→158o-115 u-105	-290	+240
theScore Bet	-6.5→-7.5-110	157.5o-110 u-110	-300	+250
Hard Rock	-6.5→-9.5-105	157.5o-110 u-110	-425	+300
Kalshi	-6.5-133	159.5o+108 u-113	-285	+270
Polymarket	-6.5→-7.5-108	158.5o+100 u-104	-285	+270
Novig	-6.5→—	157.5→—	-285	+277

open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Mon, Nov 9

Marshall at Ohio State · 6:00 PM ET
Syracuse vs Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
Howard at Penn · 6:30 PM ET
FGCU at Georgia · 7:00 PM ET
Radford at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
Grambling at Texas · 7:00 PM ET
Cleveland St at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota at Cincinnati · 7:00 PM ET
North Dakota at Clemson · 7:00 PM ET
Norfolk St at William & Mary · 7:00 PM ET
SC State at Chicago St · 7:00 PM ET
Long Island at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
Stonehill at Columbia · 7:00 PM ET
Wagner at UConn · 7:00 PM ET
Kansas City at Jacksonville · 7:00 PM ET
North Florida at Miami · 7:00 PM ET
SC Upstate at Coastal · 7:00 PM ET
E Illinois at Notre Dame · 7:00 PM ET
UNC Greensboro at UIC · 7:00 PM ET
Oakland at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
Jackson St at Mississippi St · 7:30 PM ET
Florida A&M at UAB · 7:30 PM ET
North Alabama at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
UL Monroe at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
Boston U at Northwestern · 8:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
SIUE at Missouri · 8:00 PM ET
Illinois St at Purdue · 8:30 PM ET
Alabama A&M at DePaul · 9:00 PM ET
App State at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
Seton Hall vs Charlotte · 9:00 PM ET
E Washington at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
Rice at Stanford · 10:00 PM ET
Miss Valley St at Washington · 10:00 PM ET

← Sun, Nov 8 · Tue, Nov 10 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.

Line	Our line	Close
Spread	HAW −8.7	HAW −8.0open HAW −6.5
Total	—	158.0open 157.5