CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceGill Coliseum, Corvallis, OR

E Washington

Efficiency #189

2025-26: 14-19 · 12-8 conf

Oregon St

Efficiency #219

2025-26: 17-16 · 10-10 conf

Mon, Nov 9 · TBD

73.4

win 40%

Projected

76.4

win 60%

No line posted yet.

Model: ORST −3.0 · total 149.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Oregon St 66.9, E Washington 68.6 → 67.2 possessions

−2.5

Oregon St offense vs E Washington defense

+1.6

E Washington offense vs Oregon St defense

+2.5

Projected total

149.8

Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Oregon St offense vs E Washington defense

+1.6

E Washington offense vs Oregon St defense

−2.5

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.9

Oregon St by 3.0

3.0

E Washington side ◂▸ Oregon St side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Oregon St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, E Washington is the faster team (68.9, #154 of 365) and Oregon St the slower (66.2, #284). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

67.2

per team, 40 min

Projected total

149.8

model

Projected team totals

73.4 / 76.4

E Washington / Oregon St

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.6#158

E Washington

66.9#295

Oregon St

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageOregon St

Where Oregon St scores: shooting

Oregon St shoots an effective 50.5% (#216); E Washington allows 54.9% (#326). Expect about 52.7%, 1.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.0 points per 100 possessions.

E Washington has the ball

OffenseOregon St allowsvs D1 avg

53.7% #75

50.3% #119

+1.3 pt/100

17.7% #251

15.3% #262

+0.5 pt/100

31.3% #153

32.1% #265

+0.9 pt/100

36.1% #148

35.1% #180

+0.1 pt/100

74.3% #118

—

+0.2 pt/100

E Washington net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.9 pts/100

Oregon St has the ball

OffenseE Washington allowsvs D1 avg

50.5% #216

54.9% #326

+2.0 pt/100

17.7% #253

16.2% #211

-0.2 pt/100

26.8% #303

30.8% #194

-1.4 pt/100

43.1% #20

37.3% #246

+0.7 pt/100

77.2% #30

—

+0.4 pt/100

Oregon St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.4 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

E Washingtonoffense vsOregon Stdefense

Share of shots by zone

E Washington shoots

41.4

6.3

18.8

33.5

Oregon St allows

38.6

5.9

13.6

41.8

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	59.7%#132	56.0%#85	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	42.9%#105	42.5%#237	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	44.4%#21	41.0%#275	38.0%
Three	35.9%#62	32.9%#116	33.7%

Oregon Stoffense vsE Washingtondefense

Share of shots by zone

Oregon St shoots

34.3

5.1

16.6

43.9

E Washington allows

41.1

5.9

13.4

39.5

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	56.6%#253	60.5%#252	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	36.1%#267	44.9%#294	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	37.0%#220	46.8%#358	38.0%
Three	35.0%#115	35.2%#261	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

E Washington

−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#231 of 365

Off reb %

31.3%

#153

Def reb %

69.2%

#194

Turnover %

17.7%

#251

Forced TO %

16.2%

#211

FT rate

36.1%

#148

FT allowed

37.3%

#246

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.3

Defensive rebounding−0.1

Ball security−0.6

Forcing turnovers−0.3

Foul shots drawn+0.3

Foul shots allowed−0.5

Oregon St

−1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#239 of 365

Off reb %

26.8%

#303

Def reb %

67.9%

#265

Turnover %

17.7%

#253

Forced TO %

15.3%

#262

FT rate

43.1%

#20

FT allowed

35.1%

#180

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.2

Defensive rebounding−0.5

Ball security−0.6

Forcing turnovers−0.9

Foul shots drawn+2.1

Foul shots allowed0.0

E Washington has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.0 (#231 of 365) to Oregon St’s −1.1 (#239).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

E Washington2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Isaiah Moses	G	Sr	6'0"	33-33	33.4	17.8	3.0	4.2	2.9	53.1%	41.3%	4.8	93.4%	30.8%
4	Alton Hamilton IV	F	Jr	6'8"	33-23	28.1	13.5	5.7	2.2	2.1	60.1%	36.4%	1.3	75.9%	25.8%
15	Kiree Huie	F	Sr	6'9"	33-32	25.3	12.8	5.2	0.8	2.0	54.8%	0.0%	0.0	58.0%	30.6%
12	Straton Rogers	G	Sr	6'5"	33-14	22.0	5.8	4.6	1.1	0.5	61.4%	28.6%	0.2	65.1%	13.4%
22	Jojo Anderson	G	Sr	6'1"	33-8	21.7	7.4	1.8	2.2	1.2	51.7%	36.8%	2.1	67.9%	21.0%
21	Johnny Radford	G	Sr	6'1"	33-11	18.8	6.5	2.0	0.9	0.7	49.2%	37.7%	3.9	82.6%	20.9%
1	Tyler Powell	G	Sr	6'5"	33-17	16.5	4.8	2.0	0.6	0.6	55.8%	36.8%	2.6	72.7%	16.9%
33	Emmett Marquardt	F	So	6'9"	30-11	15.9	5.5	2.8	0.8	0.9	54.5%	35.8%	2.7	86.4%	20.5%
5	Elijah Thomas	G	Sr	6'6"	30-4	10.9	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.3	38.9%	19.0%	1.4	75.0%	12.8%
11	Cole Scherer	G	Fr	6'2"	29-12	7.8	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.3	41.9%	24.3%	1.3	71.4%	20.7%
35	Shaumba Ngoyi	F	So	6'9"	20-0	4.3	0.6	0.9	0.1	0.3	50.0%	—	0.0	0.0%	12.9%
10	Maddox Monson	G	Sr	6'2"	11-0	3.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.2	42.3%	30.0%	0.9	—	19.6%
0	Angelo Winkel	F	Sr	6'8"	4-0	5.0	1.8	0.5	0.3	0.8	66.7%	—	0.0	75.0%	22.2%
55	Alan Gballou	F	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
9	Andrew Cook	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Oregon St2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Josiah Lake II	G	Jr	6'2"	33-33	34.2	13.1	4.1	4.2	2.3	52.9%	38.1%	2.9	82.4%	23.2%
13	Isaiah Sy	F	Jr	6'7"	33-29	28.0	10.0	4.6	1.7	1.3	45.8%	35.4%	5.5	87.1%	23.6%
0	Dez White	G	Jr	6'2"	30-28	29.6	9.7	2.7	2.1	1.3	50.6%	37.9%	5.8	79.1%	21.4%
24	Johan Munch	F	So	6'11"	31-23	21.1	7.9	5.1	1.0	1.5	53.0%	12.5%	0.3	63.5%	24.5%
37	Olavi Suutela	F	Fr	6'10"	33-18	17.5	5.5	2.7	0.8	1.0	62.5%	36.7%	0.9	65.5%	18.3%
7	Keziah Ekissi	G	Fr	6'3"	27-1	17.4	4.7	1.7	1.8	1.1	42.5%	34.0%	1.7	64.6%	21.1%
26	Matija Samar	G	Fr	6'6"	28-5	16.4	4.7	1.9	1.4	0.8	42.3%	28.9%	3.2	91.7%	21.9%
40	Noah Amenhauser	C	Jr	7'2"	29-8	12.2	5.1	2.2	0.4	0.8	57.7%	0.0%	0.0	70.0%	24.6%
3	Malcolm Christie	G	Sr	6'5"	15-0	13.2	4.6	1.0	0.2	0.3	54.3%	39.6%	3.5	75.0%	20.3%
1	Ja'Quavis Williford	G	So	6'7"	11-0	5.7	2.2	0.8	0.0	0.2	32.8%	15.8%	1.7	75.0%	34.2%
12	Stephen Olowoniyi	F	Jr	6'8"	8-0	4.6	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	41.7%	—	0.0	50.0%	23.9%
6	Kaan Yarkut	F	So	6'6"	1-0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	—	66.9%
8	Gavin Marrs	F	Jr	7'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

E Washington2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Isaiah Moses	G	Sr	6'0"	33-33	33.4	17.8	3.0	4.2	2.9	53.1%	41.3%	4.8	93.4%	30.8%
4	Alton Hamilton IV	F	Jr	6'8"	33-23	28.1	13.5	5.7	2.2	2.1	60.1%	36.4%	1.3	75.9%	25.8%
15	Kiree Huie	F	Sr	6'9"	33-32	25.3	12.8	5.2	0.8	2.0	54.8%	0.0%	0.0	58.0%	30.6%
12	Straton Rogers	G	Sr	6'5"	33-14	22.0	5.8	4.6	1.1	0.5	61.4%	28.6%	0.2	65.1%	13.4%
22	Jojo Anderson	G	Sr	6'1"	33-8	21.7	7.4	1.8	2.2	1.2	51.7%	36.8%	2.1	67.9%	21.0%
21	Johnny Radford	G	Sr	6'1"	33-11	18.8	6.5	2.0	0.9	0.7	49.2%	37.7%	3.9	82.6%	20.9%
1	Tyler Powell	G	Sr	6'5"	33-17	16.5	4.8	2.0	0.6	0.6	55.8%	36.8%	2.6	72.7%	16.9%
33	Emmett Marquardt	F	So	6'9"	30-11	15.9	5.5	2.8	0.8	0.9	54.5%	35.8%	2.7	86.4%	20.5%
5	Elijah Thomas	G	Sr	6'6"	30-4	10.9	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.3	38.9%	19.0%	1.4	75.0%	12.8%
11	Cole Scherer	G	Fr	6'2"	29-12	7.8	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.3	41.9%	24.3%	1.3	71.4%	20.7%
35	Shaumba Ngoyi	F	So	6'9"	20-0	4.3	0.6	0.9	0.1	0.3	50.0%	—	0.0	0.0%	12.9%
10	Maddox Monson	G	Sr	6'2"	11-0	3.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.2	42.3%	30.0%	0.9	—	19.6%
0	Angelo Winkel	F	Sr	6'8"	4-0	5.0	1.8	0.5	0.3	0.8	66.7%	—	0.0	75.0%	22.2%
55	Alan Gballou	F	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
9	Andrew Cook	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

E Washington

Against the spread

Season

19-13

Home

6-5

Road

12-6

Last 10

8-2

avg cover +7.0

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

19-13

Home

4-7

Road

13-5

Last 10

5-5

avg vs total +3.5

Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 10	IdahoAdjEM #156	N	L 68–81	+2.5	L−10.5	148.0	O149	95.1	113.2	71.5
Mar 9	Weber StAdjEM #203	N	W 84–79	−3.5	W+1.5	154.5	O163	121.1	113.9	69.3
Mar 2	IdahoAdjEM #156	H	L 81–85	−3.0	L−7.0	150.5	O166	121.0	127.0	66.9
Feb 28	N ArizonaAdjEM #329	H	W 88–57	−9.5	W+21.5	147.0	U145	138.6	89.7	63.5
Feb 26	N ColoradoAdjEM #146	H	W 82–72	+1.0	W+11.0	157.0	U154	122.8	107.8	66.8
Feb 21	Portland StAdjEM #145	A	W 67–55	+6.0	W+18.0	146.5	U122	101.1	83.0	66.3
Feb 19	Sacramento StAdjEM #280	A	W 102–94	−3.0	W+5.0	161.5	O196	140.2	129.2	72.8
Feb 14	Weber StAdjEM #203	H	W 84–66	−3.0	W+15.0	155.0	U150	122.3	96.1	68.7
Feb 12	Idaho StAdjEM #253	H	W 88–75	−3.5	W+9.5	147.5	O163	133.7	114.0	65.8
Feb 7	Montana StAdjEM #130	A	W 72–71	+5.0	W+6.0	148.0	U143	111.0	109.5	64.9

Oregon St

Against the spread

Season

15-18

Home

8-9

Road

5-6

Last 10

7-3

avg cover +6.5

Covered 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

19-14

Home

9-8

Road

7-4

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +0.8

Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 9	#12GonzagaAdjEM #8	N	L 56–65	+20.5	W+11.5	145.0	U121	88.7	102.9	63.1
Mar 8	San FranciscoAdjEM #148	N	W 78–77	+3.5	W+4.5	145.5	O155	118.1	116.6	66.0
Feb 28	Santa ClaraAdjEM #33	A	L 72–93	+16.5	L−4.5	153.0	O165	105.2	135.8	68.5
Feb 25	San DiegoAdjEM #269	H	W 92–82 OT	−6.5	W+3.5	144.0	O174	123.8	110.3	74.3
Feb 21	PepperdineAdjEM #307	H	W 83–73	−9.0	W+1.0	148.5	O156	115.3	101.4	72.0
Feb 15	Seattle UAdjEM #125	A	L 50–60	+7.0	L−3.0	136.0	U110	78.0	93.6	64.1
Feb 12	San FranciscoAdjEM #148	A	W 90–63	+9.0	W+36.0	141.0	O153	148.3	103.8	60.7
Feb 7	#6GonzagaAdjEM #8	H	L 61–81	+18.5	L−1.5	148.0	U142	109.8	145.7	55.6
Feb 4	Washington StAdjEM #174	H	W 74–64	+2.0	W+12.0	148.0	U138	109.5	94.7	67.6
Jan 31	San DiegoAdjEM #269	A	W 78–76 OT	+3.5	W+5.5	150.5	O154	95.4	93.0	81.8

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

E WashingtonOregon St

Efficiency

110.8

107.7

111.6

109.8

68.6

66.9

—

Shooting

53.7%

50.5%

53.6%

48.8%

35.9%

35.0%

74.3%

77.2%

36.1%

43.1%

Ball control & glass

17.7%

16.2%

15.3%

31.3%

26.8%

30.8%

32.1%

10.6%

10.7%

7.9%

9.3%

Style

34.7%

44.3%

44.2%

34.1%

9.8%

9.2%

49.0%

61.2%

37.4%

34.1%

Roster

3.59

2.39

6'4.6"

6'6"

—

85.8%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

E Washington

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted E Washington's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Oregon St

Returning minutes: 85.8%Returning production: 82.5%

Lost

Jorge Diaz Graham 17.4 mpg, 5.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Yaak Yaak 11.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma

Added

Gavin Marrs no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 86% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.