CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
Alabama A&M
Efficiency #312
2025-26: 18-15 · 11-9 conf
@
DePaul
Efficiency #113
2025-26: 16-16 · 8-13 conf
Mon, Nov 9 · TBD
64.2
win 17%
Projected
75.3
win 83%
No line posted yet.
Model: DEP −11.1 · total 139.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: DePaul 67.7, Alabama A&M 66.9 → 66.3 possessions
−4.4
DePaul offense vs Alabama A&M defense
+1.5
Alabama A&M offense vs DePaul defense
−5.8
Projected total
139.5
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
DePaul offense vs Alabama A&M defense
+1.5
Alabama A&M offense vs DePaul defense
+5.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
DePaul by 11.1
11.1
Alabama A&M side ◂▸ DePaul side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help DePaul.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 66.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, DePaul is the faster team (67.7, #213 of 365) and Alabama A&M the slower (67.3, #232). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
66.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
139.5
model
Projected team totals
64.2 / 75.3
Alabama A&M / DePaul
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.9#296
Alabama A&M
67.7#236
DePaul

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageAlabama A&M
Where Alabama A&M struggles: shooting
Alabama A&M shoots an effective 49.2% (#281); DePaul allows 49.3% (#77). Expect about 49.1%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions.
ClashAlabama A&M
Style match: 3-point volume
Alabama A&M rarely shoots threes (34.0% of its shots); DePaul runs teams off the line (33.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.5% — both habits push the same way.
ClashAlabama A&M
Style clash: ball movement
Alabama A&M creates off the dribble (assists on 48.0% of its baskets); DePaul allows assists on 57.5% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 52.9% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Alabama A&M has the ball
OffenseDePaul allowsvs D1 avg
49.2% #281
49.3% #77
-3.1 pt/100
16.5% #165
18.6% #67
-1.3 pt/100
27.5% #283
31.1% #205
-1.1 pt/100
45.4% #3
37.8% #257
+0.8 pt/100
73.8% #141
—
+0.1 pt/100
Alabama A&M net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.5 pts/100
DePaul has the ball
OffenseAlabama A&M allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #243
52.1% #220
-0.6 pt/100
17.8% #256
16.6% #177
-0.6 pt/100
30.0% #197
29.5% #137
-0.4 pt/100
35.3% #169
38.6% #275
+0.3 pt/100
69.2% #295
—
-0.3 pt/100
DePaul net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.6 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Alabama A&Moffense vsDePauldefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama A&M shoots
DePaul allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim54.8%#30453.6%#3458.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)37.5%#23635.3%#6539.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)34.4%#30436.2%#11738.0%
Three35.0%#11435.4%#27433.7%
DePauloffense vsAlabama A&Mdefense
Share of shots by zone
DePaul shoots
Alabama A&M allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim55.4%#28762.2%#30258.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)44.9%#6632.9%#2839.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)36.4%#25532.0%#1738.0%
Three32.5%#25335.4%#27233.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Alabama A&M
+1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#126 of 365
Off reb %
27.5%
#283
Def reb %
70.5%
#137
Turnover %
16.5%
#165
Forced TO %
16.6%
#177
FT rate
45.4%
#3
FT allowed
38.6%
#275
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.9
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn+2.7
Foul shots allowed−0.9
DePaul
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#188 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#197
Def reb %
68.9%
#205
Turnover %
17.8%
#256
Forced TO %
18.6%
#67
FT rate
35.3%
#169
FT allowed
37.8%
#257
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−0.7

Alabama A&M has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.3 (#126 of 365) to DePaul’s −0.2 (#188).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Alabama A&M2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama A&M's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
00Kintavious DozierGSr6'1"33-3332.314.73.92.21.749.3%37.1%3.884.0%27.3%
1Koron DavisGJr6'7"33-3329.414.95.20.81.949.4%32.2%3.782.6%30.4%
3Sami PissisGSr6'3"30-2829.810.43.24.01.846.5%32.4%3.772.6%24.1%
10PJ EasonFSr6'9"32-3126.07.46.91.11.653.0%—0.060.6%18.5%
21James Graham IIIGJr6'8"27-2225.110.34.00.81.454.8%39.1%2.476.2%24.0%
24Lou HutchinsonGJr6'7"33-516.54.01.70.70.450.0%36.1%1.880.6%14.4%
4Gabe KincyGJr6'7"21-319.34.32.90.60.948.4%35.7%1.375.0%14.2%
2Bilal Abdur-RahmanGSo5'11"30-312.44.71.21.50.349.5%35.3%1.167.6%22.1%
30James FlippinFSr6'10"26-49.82.72.00.70.937.7%21.1%0.752.0%26.2%
13Angok AnyangFJr6'9"26-27.31.21.40.20.356.5%0.0%0.160.0%10.9%
5Jalen CarruthGSo6'7"14-08.42.31.00.10.148.3%35.0%1.460.0%16.8%
23Samuel OnuFJr6'11"17-06.51.00.90.10.450.0%0.0%0.143.8%13.5%
11Tajden DavisGJr6'5"20-15.11.00.80.10.344.1%20.0%0.371.4%15.8%
8Peyton Daniels Sr.GJr6'3"7-012.65.62.00.61.358.1%46.2%3.775.0%27.5%
20Isaiah RameyGJr6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
7Jayden JacksonGFr5'10"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Alabama A&MDePaul
Efficiency
104.6
106.3
112.9
103.5
66.9
67.7
—
—
Shooting
49.2%
49.8%
47.5%
50.5%
35.0%
32.5%
73.8%
69.2%
45.4%
35.3%
Ball control & glass
16.5%
17.8%
16.6%
18.6%
27.5%
30.0%
29.5%
31.1%
8.9%
10.8%
8.5%
10.7%
Style
34.0%
39.0%
39.1%
42.9%
14.9%
13.1%
48.0%
60.9%
29.7%
35.0%
Roster
3.39
3.13
6'5.6"
6'5.9"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Alabama A&M
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Alabama A&M's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

DePaul
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted DePaul's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.