CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK
North Alabama
Efficiency #343
2025-26: 9-21 · 4-15 conf
@
Oklahoma
Efficiency #47
2025-26: 21-16 · 9-12 conf
Mon, Nov 9 · TBD
65.3
win 6%
Projected
83.6
win 94%
No line posted yet.
Model: OU −18.3 · total 148.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Oklahoma 67.7, North Alabama 66.6 → 66.0 possessions
−4.9
Oklahoma offense vs North Alabama defense
+10.0
North Alabama offense vs Oklahoma defense
−4.4
Projected total
148.9
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Oklahoma offense vs North Alabama defense
+10.0
North Alabama offense vs Oklahoma defense
+4.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Oklahoma by 18.3
18.3
North Alabama side ◂▸ Oklahoma side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +18.2 against +18.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Oklahoma.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Oklahoma is the faster team (68.5, #174 of 365) and North Alabama the slower (65.6, #313). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.9
model
Projected team totals
65.3 / 83.6
North Alabama / Oklahoma
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.6#312
North Alabama
67.7#232
Oklahoma
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageOklahoma
Where Oklahoma scores: shooting
Oklahoma shoots an effective 54.9% (#40); North Alabama allows 55.2% (#337). Expect about 55.4%, 4.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +5.9 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversOklahoma
Oklahoma protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 14.0% is worth roughly +3.4 points per 100 possessions for Oklahoma's offense.
AdvantageNorth Alabama
Where North Alabama struggles: shooting
North Alabama shoots an effective 48.0% (#312); Oklahoma allows 51.0% (#162). Expect about 49.3%, 2.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.8 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Oklahoma, North Alabama) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect North Alabama at about 35.4% of its shots from three, Oklahoma about 45.2%.
ClashOklahoma
Style match: 3-point volume
Oklahoma takes 43.6% of its shots from three; North Alabama lets opponents take 43.3% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 45.2% — both habits push the same way.
GlassOklahoma
Oklahoma owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.0% is worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions for Oklahoma's offense.
North Alabama has the ball
OffenseOklahoma allowsvs D1 avg
48.0% #312
51.0% #162
-2.8 pt/100
17.5% #240
15.5% #254
+0.5 pt/100
31.2% #160
32.9% #296
+1.1 pt/100
37.6% #111
34.9% #176
+0.1 pt/100
68.4% #315
—
-0.3 pt/100
North Alabama net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.5 pts/100
Oklahoma has the ball
OffenseNorth Alabama allowsvs D1 avg
54.9% #40
55.2% #337
+5.9 pt/100
14.4% #37
14.5% #321
+3.4 pt/100
32.8% #92
32.2% #268
+1.6 pt/100
35.5% #161
30.3% #68
-0.3 pt/100
75.4% #68
—
+0.3 pt/100
Oklahoma net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +10.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNorth Alabamaoffense vsOklahomadefense
Share of shots by zone
North Alabama shoots
46.4
5.7
13.8
34.2
Oklahoma allows
36.2
6.5
17.2
40.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.8%#302 | 60.1%#235 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.0%#244 | 40.3%#196 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#300 | 35.0%#77 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.7%#327 | 34.1%#189 | 33.7% |
Oklahomaoffense vsNorth Alabamadefense
Share of shots by zone
Oklahoma shoots
35.7
4.6
16.1
43.6
North Alabama allows
40.9
3.9
11.9
43.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#143 | 60.2%#239 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.8%#25 | 53.3%#362 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.5%#46 | 41.4%#288 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#41 | 35.7%#292 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNorth Alabama
−0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#192 of 365
Off reb %
31.2%
#160
Def reb %
67.8%
#268
Turnover %
17.5%
#240
Forced TO %
14.5%
#321
FT rate
37.6%
#111
FT allowed
30.3%
#68
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.2
Defensive rebounding−0.5
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−1.5
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed+1.3
Oklahoma
+1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#134 of 365
Off reb %
32.8%
#92
Def reb %
67.1%
#296
Turnover %
14.4%
#37
Forced TO %
15.5%
#254
FT rate
35.5%
#161
FT allowed
34.9%
#176
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.8
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Oklahoma has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.1 (#134 of 365) to North Alabama’s −0.4 (#192).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
North Alabama2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted North Alabama's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donte Bacchus | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-29 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 50.8% | 27.1% | 2.0 | 64.0% | 27.1% | |
| 34 | Dallas Howell | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-29 | 31.9 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 46.0% | 30.2% | 6.6 | 64.5% | 19.0% | |
| 2 | Corneilous Williams | F | Jr | 6'9" | 29-29 | 32.5 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.1% | — | 0.0 | 72.5% | 21.6% | |
| 8 | Kevin de Kovachich | G | So | 6'4" | 30-30 | 31.2 | 11.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 47.4% | 33.7% | 3.5 | 79.2% | 25.2% | |
| 4 | Canin Jefferson | G | Jr | 6'2" | 22-18 | 30.1 | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 29.0% | 4.5 | 74.7% | 27.6% | |
| 3 | Braylon Patton | G | Fr | 6'0" | 26-12 | 17.1 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 1.3 | 56.8% | 28.4% | |
| 12 | Cortez Graham-Howard | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 46.3% | 33.3% | 1.3 | 61.9% | 21.8% | |
| 25 | DarKaun King | F | So | 6'7" | 17-1 | 14.6 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.7% | 40.0% | 1.2 | 66.7% | 18.3% | |
| 35 | Jamal Albritton | C | Sr | 6'9" | 28-1 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.5% | — | 0.0 | 36.4% | 10.0% | |
| 5 | Kedar Bodie | G | Jr | 6'3" | 12-0 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 31.6% | 36.4% | 0.9 | 70.0% | 23.9% | |
| 0 | Tank Washington | F | Jr | 6'7" | 9-1 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 28.9% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 14.4% | |
| 55 | King Walker | G | Fr | 6'6" | 12-0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 37.5% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 10.8% | |
| 21 | Israel Jenrette | C | So | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Mitchell Chaffee | C | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Oklahoma2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xzayvier Brown | G | Sr | 6'3" | 37-37 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 52.6% | 34.3% | 4.9 | 87.4% | 27.3% | |
| 32 | Duke Brennanat Villanova | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 31.0 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 65.8% | — | 0.0 | 61.3% | 22.3% | |
| 5 | B.J. Edwardsat SMU | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-28 | 33.2 | 12.7 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 55.1% | 37.2% | 4.0 | 77.1% | 21.8% | |
| 35 | Derrion Reid | F | Jr | 6'8" | 37-37 | 27.5 | 11.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 57.1% | 35.8% | 2.6 | 76.1% | 22.1% | |
| 15 | Tyler Hendricksat Utah Valley | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-28 | 29.8 | 11.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 61.7% | 44.8% | 4.8 | 79.1% | 20.4% | |
| 2 | Pop Isaacsat Texas A&M | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-8 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 54.7% | 39.6% | 4.7 | 76.0% | 25.0% | |
| 11 | Khani Roothsat Louisville | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-2 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 22.4% | 1.9 | 64.9% | 20.1% | |
| 7 | Dayton Forsythe | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-0 | 17.2 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 28.1% | 2.0 | 86.0% | 21.8% | |
| 9 | Yaak Yaakat Oregon St | C | Sr | 7'0" | 25-9 | 15.0 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 52.6% | 27.3% | 0.4 | 82.9% | 25.8% | |
| 8 | Kai Rogers | F | So | 6'10" | 23-0 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 72.7% | — | 0.0 | 57.1% | 10.5% | |
| 6 | Finley Keeffe | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Ben Moser | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Gage Mayfield | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Quincy Wadley | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Duke Brennan (from Villanova), B.J. Edwards (from SMU), Tyler Hendricks (from Utah Valley), Pop Isaacs (from Texas A&M), Khani Rooths (from Louisville), Yaak Yaak (from Oregon St)
North Alabama2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted North Alabama's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donte Bacchus | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-29 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 50.8% | 27.1% | 2.0 | 64.0% | 27.1% | |
| 34 | Dallas Howell | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-29 | 31.9 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 46.0% | 30.2% | 6.6 | 64.5% | 19.0% | |
| 2 | Corneilous Williams | F | Jr | 6'9" | 29-29 | 32.5 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.1% | — | 0.0 | 72.5% | 21.6% | |
| 8 | Kevin de Kovachich | G | So | 6'4" | 30-30 | 31.2 | 11.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 47.4% | 33.7% | 3.5 | 79.2% | 25.2% | |
| 4 | Canin Jefferson | G | Jr | 6'2" | 22-18 | 30.1 | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 29.0% | 4.5 | 74.7% | 27.6% | |
| 3 | Braylon Patton | G | Fr | 6'0" | 26-12 | 17.1 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 1.3 | 56.8% | 28.4% | |
| 12 | Cortez Graham-Howard | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 46.3% | 33.3% | 1.3 | 61.9% | 21.8% | |
| 25 | DarKaun King | F | So | 6'7" | 17-1 | 14.6 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.7% | 40.0% | 1.2 | 66.7% | 18.3% | |
| 35 | Jamal Albritton | C | Sr | 6'9" | 28-1 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 56.5% | — | 0.0 | 36.4% | 10.0% | |
| 5 | Kedar Bodie | G | Jr | 6'3" | 12-0 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 31.6% | 36.4% | 0.9 | 70.0% | 23.9% | |
| 0 | Tank Washington | F | Jr | 6'7" | 9-1 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 28.9% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 14.4% | |
| 55 | King Walker | G | Fr | 6'6" | 12-0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 37.5% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 10.8% | |
| 21 | Israel Jenrette | C | So | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Mitchell Chaffee | C | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26North Alabama
Against the spread
Season
10-18
Home
3-8
Road
7-9
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-16
Home
7-4
Road
5-11
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.0
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | FGCU | N | L 58–69 | +7.5 | L−3.5 | 139.5 | U127 | 93.1 | 110.7 | 62.3 |
| Feb 28 | West Georgia | A | L 63–75 | +5.0 | L−7.0 | 146.5 | U138 | 91.9 | 109.4 | 68.5 |
| Feb 25 | Bellarmine | H | W 73–68 | +3.0 | W+8.0 | 147.0 | U141 | 124.0 | 115.5 | 58.8 |
| Feb 21 | Lipscomb | A | L 51–73 | +12.0 | L−10.0 | 149.5 | U124 | 81.6 | 116.8 | 62.5 |
| Feb 18 | Queens | H | L 78–85 | +8.5 | W+1.5 | 155.5 | O163 | 115.7 | 126.1 | 67.4 |
| Feb 15 | E Kentucky | H | W 84–78 OT | +4.5 | W+10.5 | 149.5 | O162 | 112.6 | 104.6 | 74.6 |
| Feb 11 | West Georgia | H | L 73–82 | −1.0 | L−10.0 | 145.5 | O155 | 113.0 | 126.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 9 | C Arkansas | H | L 65–72 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 145.0 | U137 | 96.4 | 106.8 | 67.4 |
| Feb 7 | Austin Peay | A | L 62–91 | +12.5 | L−16.5 | 145.5 | O153 | 100.4 | 147.3 | 61.8 |
| Feb 4 | C Arkansas | A | L 60–81 | +10.5 | L−10.5 | 147.0 | U141 | 90.3 | 121.9 | 66.4 |
Oklahoma
Against the spread
Season
17-19-1
Home
7-9
Road
5-6
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +8.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 6 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-18
Home
9-7
Road
6-5
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +4.2
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | West Virginia | N | L 82–89 OT | −3.0 | L−10.0 | 138.5 | O171 | 114.2 | 123.9 | 71.8 |
| Apr 4 | Baylor | N | W 82–69 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 159.5 | U151 | 117.1 | 98.5 | 70.0 |
| Apr 1 | Colorado | N | W 90–86 OT | −9.0 | L−5.0 | 162.0 | O176 | 108.6 | 103.8 | 82.9 |
| Mar 13 | #17Arkansas | N | L 79–82 | +6.0 | W+3.0 | 167.0 | U161 | 112.9 | 117.2 | 70.0 |
| Mar 12 | Texas A&M | N | W 83–63 | +2.0 | W+22.0 | 162.0 | U146 | 127.0 | 96.4 | 65.3 |
| Mar 11 | South Carolina | N | W 86–74 | −8.0 | W+4.0 | 149.0 | O160 | 134.9 | 116.1 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Texas | A | W 88–85 OT | +6.5 | W+9.5 | 153.5 | O173 | 113.6 | 109.7 | 77.5 |
| Mar 3 | Missouri | H | W 80–64 | −1.0 | W+15.0 | 154.0 | U144 | 125.9 | 100.7 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | LSU | A | W 83–67 | +2.0 | W+18.0 | 156.0 | U150 | 127.1 | 102.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | Auburn | H | W 91–79 | +3.0 | W+15.0 | 158.0 | O170 | 137.2 | 119.1 | 66.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNorth AlabamaOklahoma
Efficiency
102.5
117.5
114.6
107.7
66.6
67.7
—
—
Shooting
48.0%
54.9%
49.1%
55.1%
30.7%
36.5%
68.4%
75.4%
37.6%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
17.5%
14.4%
14.5%
15.5%
31.2%
32.8%
32.2%
32.9%
11.0%
8.2%
9.9%
10.2%
Style
33.7%
43.6%
48.1%
37.1%
9.8%
10.1%
40.5%
50.9%
22.2%
29.7%
Roster
2.88
3.67
6'5.7"
6'5.9"
—
38.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNorth Alabama
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted North Alabama's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Oklahoma
Returning minutes: 38.4%Returning production: 36.7%
Lost
- Nijel Pack 30.5 mpg, 16.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tae Davis 29.7 mpg, 13.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mohamed Wague 22.4 mpg, 6.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jadon Jones 18.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kirill Elatontsev 8.6 mpg, 2.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kuol Atak 8.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Duke Brennan from Villanova · 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg last season
- B.J. Edwards from SMU · 27.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg last season
- Tyler Hendricks from Utah Valley · 24.5 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- Pop Isaacs from Texas A&M · 21.7 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Khani Rooths from Louisville · 14.1 mpg, 4.7 ppg last season
- Yaak Yaak from Oregon St · 11.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg last season
Returns 38% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.