CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeville Arena, Auburn, AL
App State
Efficiency #180
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
@
Auburn
Efficiency #41
2025-26: 22-16 · 8-12 conf
Mon, Nov 9 · TBD
67.2
win 17%
Projected
78.3
win 83%
No line posted yet.
Model: AUB −11.1 · total 145.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Auburn 68.3, App State 65.5 → 65.5 possessions
−6.1
Auburn offense vs App State defense
+5.4
App State offense vs Auburn defense
−2.0
Projected total
145.5
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Auburn offense vs App State defense
+5.4
App State offense vs Auburn defense
+2.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Auburn by 11.1
11.1
App State side ◂▸ Auburn side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +11.2 against +11.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Auburn.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Auburn is the faster team (69.0, #146 of 365) and App State the slower (64.1, #355). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
145.5
model
Projected team totals
67.2 / 78.3
App State / Auburn
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.5#359
App State
68.3#179
Auburn
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageAuburn
Where Auburn scores: ball control
Auburn turns it over on 14.6% of possessions (#45); App State forces turnovers on 14.0% of opponent possessions (#335). Expect about 13.7%, 3.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.7 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
Auburn averages 69.0 possessions per 40, App State 64.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
GlassAuburn
Auburn owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.4% is worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions for Auburn's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (App State, Auburn's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect App State at about 45.0% of its shots from three, Auburn about 41.3%.
App State has the ball
OffenseAuburn allowsvs D1 avg
49.9% #240
53.7% #291
+0.6 pt/100
15.3% #84
16.3% #199
+1.4 pt/100
32.0% #123
30.9% #196
+0.8 pt/100
39.1% #77
34.3% #161
+0.2 pt/100
64.5% #362
—
-0.7 pt/100
App State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.3 pts/100
Auburn has the ball
OffenseApp State allowsvs D1 avg
53.0% #104
47.5% #33
-1.3 pt/100
14.6% #45
14.0% #335
+3.7 pt/100
37.0% #15
29.0% #106
+2.4 pt/100
43.2% #19
31.2% #86
+0.2 pt/100
74.4% #108
—
+0.2 pt/100
Auburn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersApp Stateoffense vsAuburndefense
Share of shots by zone
App State shoots
37.8
4.1
12.2
45.9
Auburn allows
37.6
5.3
16.9
40.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.6%#135 | 59.6%#213 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.5%#280 | 38.7%#152 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.4%#254 | 38.5%#181 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.4%#335 | 36.7%#336 | 33.7% |
Auburnoffense vsApp Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Auburn shoots
41.1
4.4
14.2
40.2
App State allows
35.5
5.0
18.7
40.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.5%#142 | 52.4%#19 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.7%#43 | 34.2%#46 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.1%#142 | 38.4%#172 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#147 | 32.2%#71 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersApp State
+2.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#84 of 365
Off reb %
32.0%
#123
Def reb %
71.0%
#106
Turnover %
15.3%
#84
Forced TO %
14.0%
#335
FT rate
39.1%
#77
FT allowed
31.2%
#86
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers−1.9
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Auburn
+5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#15 of 365
Off reb %
37.0%
#15
Def reb %
69.1%
#196
Turnover %
14.6%
#45
Forced TO %
16.3%
#199
FT rate
43.2%
#19
FT allowed
34.3%
#161
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Auburn has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.6 (#15 of 365) to App State’s +2.3 (#84).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
App State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kasen Jennings | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 15.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 46.7% | 32.2% | 5.6 | 76.9% | 31.2% | |
| 2 | Alonzo Dodd | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 31.4 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 52.7% | 28.0% | 3.9 | 70.4% | 29.3% | |
| 9 | Jalen Tot | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-16 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 48.9% | 33.6% | 7.8 | 69.8% | 25.6% | |
| 44 | Michael Marcus Jr. | F | So | 6'9" | 32-25 | 24.0 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 33.3% | 2.8 | 70.7% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Eren Banks | G | Jr | 6'3" | 30-16 | 25.4 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 25.0% | 4.1 | 50.0% | 20.2% | |
| 23 | Chad Moodie | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-7 | 12.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 58.6% | — | 0.0 | 41.5% | 14.0% | |
| 5 | Jason Clarke Jr. | G | So | 6'0" | 23-0 | 13.3 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 42.8% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 58.3% | 20.1% | |
| 21 | Andrin Njock | F | Fr | 6'6" | 21-2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 57.0% | 17.6% | 0.8 | 76.7% | 16.0% | |
| 6 | Jacari Brim | G | Fr | 6'2" | 20-0 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 52.2% | 35.3% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 11.7% | |
| 14 | Cameron O'Kelley | G | So | 6'3" | 3-0 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 28.6% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 24.3% | |
| 33 | Grant Clayton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 25.1% | |
| 32 | Luke Ledford | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 3.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 0 | KJ Vasser | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Ted Neal | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Tre McKinnon | F | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Auburn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thomas Dowdat Troy | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-33 | 36.1 | 14.4 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 52.6% | 33.3% | 5.7 | 80.0% | 23.3% | |
| 24 | Adam Olsenat South Alabama | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 36.0 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 52.9% | 39.5% | 8.3 | 84.3% | 26.3% | |
| 0 | Tahaad Pettiford | G | Jr | 6'1" | 38-36 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 46.6% | 29.0% | 6.6 | 82.5% | 31.0% | |
| 1 | Kevin Overton | G | Sr | 6'5" | 38-36 | 31.7 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 57.2% | 41.3% | 6.1 | 86.0% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kolby Kingat Utah State | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-0 | 19.3 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 60.8% | 39.3% | 3.3 | 74.7% | 20.4% | |
| 12 | Bukky Oboyeat Santa Clara | C | Sr | 7'1" | 34-34 | 17.8 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 69.1% | 24.2% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 20.9% | |
| 8 | Owen Freemanat Creighton | F | Sr | 6'10" | 26-9 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 60.2% | — | 0.0 | 64.3% | 23.5% | |
| 21 | Blake Muschalek | G | Sr | 6'3" | 26-0 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 60.0% | 11.6% | |
| 10 | Simon Walker | G | So | 6'5" | 13-0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 78.6% | 52.9% | 1.3 | — | 20.9% | |
| 7 | Drake Cardwell | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 13 | Bradley Pearson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | George Kimble IIIat Vanderbilt | G | Sr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jeremiah Bowman | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Joah Shay | G | Jr | 5'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 17 | Mantas Rubstavicius | G | — | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Narcisse Ngoy | C | — | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Thomas Dowd (from Troy), Owen Freeman (from Creighton), George Kimble III (from Vanderbilt), Kolby King (from Utah State), Bukky Oboye (from Santa Clara), Adam Olsen (from South Alabama)
App State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kasen Jennings | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 32.7 | 15.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 46.7% | 32.2% | 5.6 | 76.9% | 31.2% | |
| 2 | Alonzo Dodd | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 31.4 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 52.7% | 28.0% | 3.9 | 70.4% | 29.3% | |
| 9 | Jalen Tot | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-16 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 48.9% | 33.6% | 7.8 | 69.8% | 25.6% | |
| 44 | Michael Marcus Jr. | F | So | 6'9" | 32-25 | 24.0 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 33.3% | 2.8 | 70.7% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Eren Banks | G | Jr | 6'3" | 30-16 | 25.4 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 25.0% | 4.1 | 50.0% | 20.2% | |
| 23 | Chad Moodie | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-7 | 12.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 58.6% | — | 0.0 | 41.5% | 14.0% | |
| 5 | Jason Clarke Jr. | G | So | 6'0" | 23-0 | 13.3 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 42.8% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 58.3% | 20.1% | |
| 21 | Andrin Njock | F | Fr | 6'6" | 21-2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 57.0% | 17.6% | 0.8 | 76.7% | 16.0% | |
| 6 | Jacari Brim | G | Fr | 6'2" | 20-0 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 52.2% | 35.3% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 11.7% | |
| 14 | Cameron O'Kelley | G | So | 6'3" | 3-0 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 28.6% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 24.3% | |
| 33 | Grant Clayton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 25.1% | |
| 32 | Luke Ledford | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 3.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 0 | KJ Vasser | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Ted Neal | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Tre McKinnon | F | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26App State
Against the spread
Season
16-13-1
Home
7-6
Road
8-5-1
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +1.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
12-18
Home
5-8
Road
5-9
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.3
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Southern Miss | N | L 73–86 | −5.0 | L−18.0 | 137.5 | O159 | 106.5 | 125.4 | 68.6 |
| Feb 27 | Texas St | A | L 57–60 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 135.0 | U117 | 93.8 | 98.7 | 60.8 |
| Feb 21 | GA Southern | H | W 89–74 | −7.5 | W+7.5 | 146.5 | O163 | 125.2 | 104.1 | 71.1 |
| Feb 19 | Marshall | H | L 93–94 | −3.5 | L−4.5 | 143.5 | O187 | 139.9 | 141.4 | 66.5 |
| Feb 14 | James Madison | A | L 58–69 | −1.5 | L−12.5 | 135.0 | U127 | 94.7 | 112.7 | 61.2 |
| Feb 11 | GA Southern | A | W 81–65 | −1.5 | W+14.5 | 144.0 | O146 | 122.2 | 98.1 | 66.3 |
| Feb 7 | E Michigan | H | W 65–60 | −7.5 | L−2.5 | 131.0 | U125 | 100.7 | 92.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 4 | South Alabama | H | W 65–57 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 132.0 | U122 | 111.4 | 97.7 | 58.4 |
| Jan 31 | Troy | A | W 66–44 | +8.0 | W+30.0 | 137.5 | U110 | 112.1 | 74.8 | 58.8 |
| Jan 29 | Southern Miss | A | W 70–63 | −2.0 | W+5.0 | 134.0 | U133 | 105.2 | 94.6 | 66.6 |
Auburn
Against the spread
Season
16-22
Home
7-11
Road
3-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.6
Covered 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
23-15
Home
11-7
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5 | Tulsa | N | W 92–86 OT | −5.5 | W+0.5 | 159.5 | O178 | 112.5 | 105.2 | 81.8 |
| Apr 2 | Illinois St | N | W 88–66 | −8.0 | W+14.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 136.9 | 102.7 | 64.3 |
| Mar 25 | Nevada | H | W 75–69 | −8.0 | L−2.0 | 153.0 | U144 | 116.5 | 107.2 | 64.4 |
| Mar 22 | Seattle U | H | W 91–85 | −14.0 | L−8.0 | 146.0 | O176 | 125.2 | 116.9 | 72.7 |
| Mar 17 | South Alabama | H | W 78–67 | −18.0 | L−7.0 | 153.0 | U145 | 121.6 | 104.4 | 64.2 |
| Mar 12 | #25Tennessee | N | L 62–72 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 145.0 | U134 | 97.1 | 112.8 | 63.9 |
| Mar 11 | Mississippi St | N | W 79–61 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 159.0 | U140 | 110.8 | 85.6 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | #16Alabama | A | L 84–96 | +6.0 | L−6.0 | 175.0 | O180 | 118.0 | 134.9 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | LSU | H | W 88–74 | −10.5 | W+3.5 | 155.5 | O162 | 130.6 | 109.8 | 67.4 |
| Feb 28 | Ole Miss | H | L 79–85 | −11.0 | L−17.0 | 152.5 | O164 | 118.0 | 127.0 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeApp StateAuburn
Efficiency
106.6
118.2
107.0
107.4
65.5
68.3
—
—
Shooting
49.9%
53.0%
53.6%
53.9%
30.4%
34.4%
64.5%
74.4%
39.1%
43.2%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
14.6%
14.0%
16.3%
32.0%
37.0%
29.0%
30.9%
7.7%
9.2%
8.8%
12.4%
Style
45.9%
40.2%
43.1%
41.5%
12.0%
14.3%
47.8%
47.6%
27.2%
26.0%
Roster
3.17
3.79
6'3.9"
6'5.8"
85.9%
34.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputApp State
Returning minutes: 85.9%Returning production: 81.0%
Lost
- Luke Wilson 28.2 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
Added
- Tre McKinnon no D1 minutes last season
- KJ Vasser no D1 minutes last season
- Ted Neal no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Auburn
Returning minutes: 34.5%Returning production: 31.9%
Lost
- Keyshawn Hall 31.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sebastian Williams-Adams 27.4 mpg, 7.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elyjah Freeman 26.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- KeShawn Murphy 19.5 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Filip Jovic 17.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kaden Magwood 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Thomas Dowd from Troy · 36.1 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Adam Olsen from South Alabama · 33.8 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Kolby King from Utah State · 19.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Bukky Oboye from Santa Clara · 17.3 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Owen Freeman from Creighton · 9.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
- Narcisse Ngoy no D1 minutes last season
Returns 35% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.