CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHumphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
Jackson St
Efficiency #353
2025-26: 12-21 · 11-9 conf
@
Mississippi St
Efficiency #144
2025-26: 13-19 · 5-14 conf
Mon, Nov 9 · TBD
69.4
win 9%
Projected
85.0
win 91%
No line posted yet.
Model: MSST −15.6 · total 154.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Mississippi St 69.8, Jackson St 69.8 → 71.2 possessions
+6.3
Mississippi St offense vs Jackson St defense
+5.7
Jackson St offense vs Mississippi St defense
−5.8
Projected total
154.4
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Mississippi St offense vs Jackson St defense
+5.7
Jackson St offense vs Mississippi St defense
+5.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Mississippi St by 15.6
15.6
Jackson St side ◂▸ Mississippi St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Mississippi St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Mississippi St is the faster team (71.5, #32 of 365) and Jackson St the slower (71.0, #51). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
154.4
model
Projected team totals
69.4 / 85.0
Jackson St / Mississippi St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.8#65
Jackson St
69.8#66
Mississippi St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageJackson St
Where Jackson St struggles: shooting
Jackson St shoots an effective 45.7% (#354); Mississippi St allows 50.9% (#154). Expect about 47.9%, 3.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.9 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Mississippi St averages 71.5 possessions per 40, Jackson St 71.0. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 73 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMississippi St
Where Mississippi St scores: the offensive glass
Mississippi St rebounds 29.8% of its own misses (#210); Jackson St lets opponents grab 37.2% of their own misses (#359). Expect about 33.3%, 2.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashMississippi St
Style clash: ball movement
Mississippi St creates off the dribble (assists on 45.1% of its baskets); Jackson St allows assists on 60.9% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 53.2% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Jackson St has the ball
OffenseMississippi St allowsvs D1 avg
45.7% #354
50.9% #154
-4.9 pt/100
19.4% #336
12.8% #358
+1.3 pt/100
29.7% #215
30.7% #190
-0.2 pt/100
37.4% #117
32.3% #112
-0.1 pt/100
75.8% #55
—
+0.3 pt/100
Jackson St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.6 pts/100
Mississippi St has the ball
OffenseJackson St allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #172
53.0% #267
+1.4 pt/100
16.1% #146
16.5% #185
+0.7 pt/100
29.8% #210
37.2% #359
+1.8 pt/100
30.7% #288
41.9% #319
+0.2 pt/100
66.0% #353
—
-0.6 pt/100
Mississippi St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersJackson Stoffense vsMississippi Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Jackson St shoots
31.3
5.4
20.2
43.1
Mississippi St allows
32.7
5.5
22.0
39.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.1%#348 | 59.3%#207 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.0%#121 | 49.0%#348 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.4%#305 | 37.0%#131 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#311 | 33.9%#179 | 33.7% |
Mississippi Stoffense vsJackson Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Mississippi St shoots
32.8
7.7
20.2
39.3
Jackson St allows
40.9
5.8
13.8
39.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.2%#49 | 60.9%#266 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.3%#48 | 29.3%#12 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#182 | 31.1%#11 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#262 | 34.8%#236 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersJackson St
−5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#350 of 365
Off reb %
29.7%
#215
Def reb %
62.8%
#359
Turnover %
19.4%
#336
Forced TO %
16.5%
#185
FT rate
37.4%
#117
FT allowed
41.9%
#319
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding−2.1
Ball security−1.8
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−1.7
Mississippi St
−2.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#294 of 365
Off reb %
29.8%
#210
Def reb %
69.3%
#190
Turnover %
16.1%
#146
Forced TO %
12.8%
#358
FT rate
30.7%
#288
FT allowed
32.3%
#112
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−2.7
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.8
Mississippi St has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.8 (#294 of 365) to Jackson St’s −5.4 (#350).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Jackson St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Jackson St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jayme Mitchell Jr. | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 32.8 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 5.9 | 78.7% | 27.5% | |
| 24 | Daeshun Ruffin | G | Sr | 5'10" | 28-28 | 33.5 | 23.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 47.2% | 30.9% | 5.0 | 84.3% | 41.5% | |
| 1 | Dorian McMillian | G | So | 6'3" | 28-24 | 29.5 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 47.2% | 32.8% | 6.2 | 75.0% | 26.4% | |
| 4 | Devin Ree | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-18 | 20.8 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 43.6% | 27.6% | 3.0 | 88.2% | 17.9% | |
| 0 | Tamarion Hoover | G | So | 6'4" | 30-4 | 19.8 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 52.4% | 34.7% | 3.9 | 87.5% | 16.6% | |
| 12 | Delyle Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-5 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 33.5% | 25.6% | 1.4 | 60.0% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Raevon Thomas | F | Sr | 6'9" | 25-15 | 17.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 56.0% | 11.7% | |
| 8 | Dionjahe Thomas | F | Jr | 6'8" | 23-19 | 18.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 48.3% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 56.4% | 19.0% | |
| 2 | Jalen Tatum | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-6 | 26.5 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 39.8% | 41.7% | 1.1 | 63.0% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Kobe Butler | F | Fr | 6'7" | 27-4 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 39.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 83.3% | 12.8% | |
| 10 | Ebo Wilson | C | So | 6'10" | 18-7 | 10.8 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 28.6% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 11 | Mike Williams | G | Fr | 6'2" | 8-3 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 28.4% | 15.0% | 2.5 | 83.3% | 26.6% | |
| 9 | Deyan Kolev | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-1 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 12.8% | |
| 7 | Kedrick Simmons | F | Fr | 6'6" | 8-0 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 40.0% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 12.5% | |
| 13 | Cael Jones | G | Fr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 19.5% | |
| 5 | Keiveon Hunt | G | Sr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Mississippi St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Josh Hubbard | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 33.4 | 22.1 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 50.6% | 34.7% | 8.6 | 75.0% | 37.8% | |
| 11 | RJ Johnsonat Kennesaw St | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-22 | 28.1 | 14.5 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 52.7% | 42.3% | 3.8 | 63.4% | 29.9% | |
| 2 | Tajuan Simpkinsat Seton Hall | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-2 | 25.1 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 47.9% | 37.0% | 3.0 | 77.5% | 24.0% | |
| 22 | ND Okaforat Washington St | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 23.2 | 11.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 58.3% | — | 0.0 | 64.4% | 28.3% | |
| 13 | Kendyl Sandersat Utah | F | So | 6'8" | 32-0 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.4% | 40.3% | 2.4 | 38.7% | 15.9% | |
| 21 | Thomas Bassongat Florida St | F | So | 6'8" | 33-17 | 19.3 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 53.0% | 26.0% | 1.5 | 54.4% | 18.9% | |
| 24 | Ashton Mageeat Southern | G | So | 6'7" | 31-1 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 45.2% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 64.3% | 16.8% | |
| 1 | King Grace | G | So | 6'5" | 24-0 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.6% | 31.9% | 2.0 | 82.1% | 22.7% | |
| 8 | Cameren Paul | G | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Gai Chol | C | Sr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Tee Bartlett | C | So | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Jalyn Collingwood | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Trevor Reed | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Tristan Reed | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 99 | Willie Burnett III | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Thomas Bassong (from Florida St), RJ Johnson (from Kennesaw St), Ashton Magee (from Southern), ND Okafor (from Washington St), Kendyl Sanders (from Utah), Tajuan Simpkins (from Seton Hall)
Jackson St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Jackson St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jayme Mitchell Jr. | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 32.8 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 5.9 | 78.7% | 27.5% | |
| 24 | Daeshun Ruffin | G | Sr | 5'10" | 28-28 | 33.5 | 23.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 47.2% | 30.9% | 5.0 | 84.3% | 41.5% | |
| 1 | Dorian McMillian | G | So | 6'3" | 28-24 | 29.5 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 47.2% | 32.8% | 6.2 | 75.0% | 26.4% | |
| 4 | Devin Ree | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-18 | 20.8 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 43.6% | 27.6% | 3.0 | 88.2% | 17.9% | |
| 0 | Tamarion Hoover | G | So | 6'4" | 30-4 | 19.8 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 52.4% | 34.7% | 3.9 | 87.5% | 16.6% | |
| 12 | Delyle Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-5 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 33.5% | 25.6% | 1.4 | 60.0% | 16.3% | |
| 20 | Raevon Thomas | F | Sr | 6'9" | 25-15 | 17.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 56.0% | 11.7% | |
| 8 | Dionjahe Thomas | F | Jr | 6'8" | 23-19 | 18.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 48.3% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 56.4% | 19.0% | |
| 2 | Jalen Tatum | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-6 | 26.5 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 39.8% | 41.7% | 1.1 | 63.0% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Kobe Butler | F | Fr | 6'7" | 27-4 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 39.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 83.3% | 12.8% | |
| 10 | Ebo Wilson | C | So | 6'10" | 18-7 | 10.8 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 28.6% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 11 | Mike Williams | G | Fr | 6'2" | 8-3 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 28.4% | 15.0% | 2.5 | 83.3% | 26.6% | |
| 9 | Deyan Kolev | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-1 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 12.8% | |
| 7 | Kedrick Simmons | F | Fr | 6'6" | 8-0 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 40.0% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 12.5% | |
| 13 | Cael Jones | G | Fr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 19.5% | |
| 5 | Keiveon Hunt | G | Sr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Jackson St
Against the spread
Season
12-20-1
Home
6-3-1
Road
5-14
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −1.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16-1
Home
6-3-1
Road
8-11
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total +0.2
Under 2 straightOver in 2 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Florida A&M | N | L 60–70 | +6.5 | L−3.5 | 142.5 | U130 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 70.0 |
| Mar 10 | Grambling | N | W 68–65 | +7.0 | W+10.0 | 140.5 | U133 | 99.1 | 94.7 | 68.6 |
| Mar 5 | Miss Valley St | H | W 85–77 | −11.5 | L−3.5 | 145.0 | O162 | 128.8 | 116.7 | 66.0 |
| Mar 3 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | W 81–78 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 153.0 | O159 | 116.8 | 112.5 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | Texas Southern | A | L 57–82 | +6.0 | L−19.0 | 152.0 | U139 | 80.3 | 115.5 | 71.0 |
| Feb 26 | Prairie View | A | L 76–85 OT | +4.5 | L−4.5 | 161.5 | U161 | 102.1 | 114.2 | 74.4 |
| Feb 21 | Alcorn St | A | L 65–83 | +1.0 | L−17.0 | 149.0 | U148 | 90.7 | 115.8 | 71.7 |
| Feb 16 | Bethune | H | W 91–86 | +5.0 | W+10.0 | 150.0 | O177 | 118.0 | 111.5 | 77.2 |
| Feb 14 | Florida A&M | H | W 80–60 | +2.0 | W+22.0 | 144.0 | U140 | 115.2 | 86.4 | 69.4 |
| Feb 9 | AR-Pine Bluff | A | L 63–84 | +6.5 | L−14.5 | 156.5 | U147 | 96.1 | 128.1 | 65.5 |
Mississippi St
Against the spread
Season
10-22
Home
4-12
Road
5-5
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −5.7
Missed the spread 6 straightCovered 2 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16
Home
5-11
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +9.3
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Auburn | N | L 61–79 | +7.5 | L−10.5 | 159.0 | U140 | 85.6 | 110.8 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Georgia | H | L 96–102 | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 164.5 | O198 | 121.1 | 128.7 | 79.3 |
| Mar 3 | #5Florida | A | L 74–108 | +21.0 | L−13.0 | 160.5 | O182 | 98.6 | 143.9 | 75.1 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri | H | L 64–88 | +1.0 | L−23.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 93.0 | 127.9 | 68.8 |
| Feb 25 | #17Alabama | A | L 75–100 | +12.5 | L−12.5 | 175.5 | U175 | 98.8 | 131.7 | 75.9 |
| Feb 21 | South Carolina | A | L 89–97 | −1.0 | L−9.0 | 152.0 | O186 | 122.7 | 133.7 | 72.5 |
| Feb 18 | Auburn | H | W 91–85 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 155.0 | O176 | 135.0 | 126.1 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | Ole Miss | A | W 90–78 | +4.0 | W+16.0 | 145.0 | O168 | 127.3 | 110.3 | 70.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tennessee | H | L 64–73 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 147.0 | U137 | 91.6 | 104.5 | 69.9 |
| Feb 7 | #21Arkansas | H | L 68–88 | +6.0 | L−14.0 | 164.0 | U156 | 96.9 | 125.4 | 70.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeJackson StMississippi St
Efficiency
101.0
109.4
115.6
107.8
69.8
69.8
—
—
Shooting
45.7%
51.5%
44.6%
53.4%
31.4%
32.4%
75.8%
66.0%
37.4%
30.7%
Ball control & glass
19.4%
16.1%
16.5%
12.8%
29.7%
29.8%
37.2%
30.7%
11.1%
9.5%
12.4%
11.0%
Style
43.3%
40.1%
34.3%
44.5%
15.2%
14.1%
45.8%
45.1%
32.0%
37.3%
Roster
2.87
3.30
6'4.6"
6'5.2"
—
21.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputJackson St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Jackson St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Mississippi St
Returning minutes: 21.0%Returning production: 26.2%
Lost
- Jayden Epps 25.5 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shawn Jones Jr. 25.2 mpg, 5.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ja'Borri McGhee 22.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jamarion Davis-Fleming 20.3 mpg, 3.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Quincy Ballard 20.2 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Achor Achor 17.7 mpg, 6.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- RJ Johnson from Kennesaw St · 27.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg last season
- Tajuan Simpkins from Seton Hall · 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- ND Okafor from Washington St · 23.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Kendyl Sanders from Utah · 20.1 mpg, 5.2 ppg last season
- Thomas Bassong from Florida St · 19.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
- Ashton Magee from Southern · 10.3 mpg, 2.7 ppg last season
Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.