CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBartow Arena, Birmingham, AL
Florida A&M
Efficiency #316
2025-26: 15-16 · 12-8 conf
@
UAB
Efficiency #111
2025-26: 20-12 · 11-8 conf
Mon, Nov 9 · TBD
67.0
win 15%
Projected
79.1
win 85%
No line posted yet.
Model: UAB −12.1 · total 146.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UAB 69.6, Florida A&M 68.8 → 70.1 possessions
+3.9
UAB offense vs Florida A&M defense
+1.1
Florida A&M offense vs UAB defense
−7.0
Projected total
146.2
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UAB offense vs Florida A&M defense
+1.1
Florida A&M offense vs UAB defense
+7.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
UAB by 12.1
12.1
Florida A&M side ◂▸ UAB side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UAB.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UAB is the faster team (70.4, #78 of 365) and Florida A&M the slower (70.3, #81). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.2
model
Projected team totals
67.0 / 79.1
Florida A&M / UAB
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.8#135
Florida A&M
69.6#77
UAB
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashUAB
Style match: 3-point volume
UAB rarely shoots threes (30.5% of its shots); Florida A&M runs teams off the line (34.4% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.1% — both habits push the same way.
Pace
Track meet
UAB averages 70.4 possessions per 40, Florida A&M 70.3. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageFlorida A&M
Where Florida A&M struggles: ball control
Florida A&M turns it over on 21.5% of possessions (#359); UAB forces turnovers on 16.1% of opponent possessions (#215). Expect about 19.1%, 2.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.8 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageUAB
Where UAB struggles: shooting
UAB shoots an effective 48.4% (#305); Florida A&M allows 51.2% (#171). Expect about 49.5%, 1.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.5 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (UAB) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Florida A&M at about 37.9% of its shots from three, UAB about 29.1%.
ClashUAB
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
UAB (#2 in turnover rate) against Florida A&M (#43 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 15.9%. Historically Florida A&M's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
Florida A&M has the ball
OffenseUAB allowsvs D1 avg
49.2% #283
50.0% #98
-2.6 pt/100
21.5% #359
16.1% #215
-2.8 pt/100
30.9% #168
27.7% #53
-0.6 pt/100
37.4% #116
28.7% #38
-0.3 pt/100
70.3% #264
—
-0.2 pt/100
Florida A&M net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.6 pts/100
UAB has the ball
OffenseFlorida A&M allowsvs D1 avg
48.4% #305
51.2% #171
-2.5 pt/100
12.5% #2
19.1% #43
+1.1 pt/100
32.5% #104
30.9% #198
+1.0 pt/100
36.4% #141
39.6% #299
+0.4 pt/100
70.6% #251
—
-0.2 pt/100
UAB net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFlorida A&Moffense vsUABdefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida A&M shoots
40.3
7.2
15.5
37.0
UAB allows
37.4
7.5
16.3
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#208 | 58.6%#171 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.0%#303 | 37.9%#133 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.9%#347 | 35.5%#92 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.6%#249 | 32.6%#95 | 33.7% |
UABoffense vsFlorida A&Mdefense
Share of shots by zone
UAB shoots
45.0
7.3
17.6
30.1
Florida A&M allows
41.7
6.4
17.5
34.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#101 | 57.1%#115 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.3%#347 | 43.8%#265 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.2%#282 | 33.3%#35 | 38.0% |
| Three | 27.8%#364 | 34.9%#243 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFlorida A&M
−2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#272 of 365
Off reb %
30.9%
#168
Def reb %
69.1%
#198
Turnover %
21.5%
#359
Forced TO %
19.1%
#43
FT rate
37.4%
#116
FT allowed
39.6%
#299
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−3.3
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−1.1
UAB
+6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#11 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#104
Def reb %
72.3%
#53
Turnover %
12.5%
#2
Forced TO %
16.1%
#215
FT rate
36.4%
#141
FT allowed
28.7%
#38
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+2.9
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+1.7
UAB has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.2 (#11 of 365) to Florida A&M’s −2.0 (#272).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Florida A&M2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Florida A&M's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jaquan Sanders | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-26 | 31.8 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 49.6% | 34.1% | 5.8 | 83.7% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Tyler Shirley | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 30.5 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 47.5% | 31.1% | 2.9 | 78.3% | 27.1% | |
| 2 | Jordan Chatman | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-23 | 26.5 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 54.3% | 36.9% | 5.1 | 76.0% | 19.4% | |
| 1 | Antonio Baker Jr. | G | Jr | 6'3" | 29-17 | 27.0 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.4% | 24.4% | 1.4 | 83.8% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Micah Octave | G | Sr | 6'5" | 22-19 | 32.6 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 58.3% | 38.0% | 3.6 | 63.8% | 18.2% | |
| 10 | Kaleb Washington | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-7 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 47.5% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 77.3% | 28.1% | |
| 34 | Miles Ndalama | C | Jr | 6'11" | 25-25 | 22.9 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 48.8% | 20.6% | |
| 4 | Anquan Boldin Jr | G | Jr | 6'4" | 22-5 | 18.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 50.5% | 21.1% | 0.9 | 47.5% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Lenard Taylor Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 20-0 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 32.1% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 18.6% | |
| 12 | Anthony Knowles | G | Fr | 6'0" | 18-1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 28.7% | 20.6% | 1.9 | 75.0% | 23.5% | |
| 13 | Devere Palmer Jr | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-1 | 17.0 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 45.0% | — | 0.0 | 65.0% | 24.7% | |
| 55 | Tuscan Onuoha | F | Jr | 6'11" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 31.7% | |
| 14 | Malcolm Stute | G | Fr | 6'4" | 9-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 8 | Amir Rahman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 8-0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 29.2% | |
| 23 | Jacobi Hall | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAB2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chance Westry | G | So | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 51.7% | 24.1% | 2.7 | 70.8% | 29.1% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rivera | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-31 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 58.1% | 23.2% | |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-29 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 68.6% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Jacob Meyer | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-25 | 28.5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 3.6 | 80.3% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-4 | 22.6 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 75.9% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-12 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 41.0% | 29.5% | 1.9 | 84.4% | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Ahmad Robinson | G | Sr | 5'10" | 26-18 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 45.1% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 71.2% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | So | 6'2" | 30-11 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 24.1% | 4.4 | 52.9% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Quaran McPherson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 30.0% | 1.5 | 77.5% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Ari Gooch | G | So | 6'2" | 17-0 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 15.4% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Lance Carr | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.2% | |
| 3 | Joao Das Chagas | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Joey Kahn | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Jorden Pittman | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Justin Holloway | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Florida A&M2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Florida A&M's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jaquan Sanders | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-26 | 31.8 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 49.6% | 34.1% | 5.8 | 83.7% | 23.7% | |
| 22 | Tyler Shirley | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 30.5 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 47.5% | 31.1% | 2.9 | 78.3% | 27.1% | |
| 2 | Jordan Chatman | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-23 | 26.5 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 54.3% | 36.9% | 5.1 | 76.0% | 19.4% | |
| 1 | Antonio Baker Jr. | G | Jr | 6'3" | 29-17 | 27.0 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.4% | 24.4% | 1.4 | 83.8% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Micah Octave | G | Sr | 6'5" | 22-19 | 32.6 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 58.3% | 38.0% | 3.6 | 63.8% | 18.2% | |
| 10 | Kaleb Washington | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-7 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 47.5% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 77.3% | 28.1% | |
| 34 | Miles Ndalama | C | Jr | 6'11" | 25-25 | 22.9 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 48.8% | 20.6% | |
| 4 | Anquan Boldin Jr | G | Jr | 6'4" | 22-5 | 18.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 50.5% | 21.1% | 0.9 | 47.5% | 21.2% | |
| 0 | Lenard Taylor Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 20-0 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 32.1% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 18.6% | |
| 12 | Anthony Knowles | G | Fr | 6'0" | 18-1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 28.7% | 20.6% | 1.9 | 75.0% | 23.5% | |
| 13 | Devere Palmer Jr | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-1 | 17.0 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 45.0% | — | 0.0 | 65.0% | 24.7% | |
| 55 | Tuscan Onuoha | F | Jr | 6'11" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 31.7% | |
| 14 | Malcolm Stute | G | Fr | 6'4" | 9-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 8 | Amir Rahman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 8-0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 29.2% | |
| 23 | Jacobi Hall | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Florida A&M
Against the spread
Season
16-12-1
Home
6-4-1
Road
9-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-18
Home
3-8
Road
7-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +4.2
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Southern | N | L 70–73 | +2.0 | L−1.0 | 140.5 | O143 | 97.7 | 101.9 | 71.6 |
| Mar 11 | Jackson St | N | W 70–60 | −6.5 | W+3.5 | 142.5 | U130 | 100.0 | 85.7 | 70.0 |
| Mar 5 | Bethune | H | W 81–77 | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 145.5 | O158 | 112.9 | 107.3 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Grambling | A | W 66–59 | +5.0 | W+12.0 | 141.0 | U125 | 97.9 | 87.5 | 67.4 |
| Feb 26 | Southern | A | W 82–71 | +9.0 | W+20.0 | 146.5 | O153 | 116.6 | 100.9 | 70.3 |
| Feb 21 | Alabama St | H | W 76–63 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 144.5 | U139 | 108.8 | 90.2 | 69.8 |
| Feb 19 | Alabama A&M | H | L 61–63 | −2.0 | L−4.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 96.8 | 100.0 | 63.0 |
| Feb 16 | Alcorn St | A | W 86–78 | −1.5 | W+6.5 | 137.0 | O164 | 120.1 | 109.0 | 71.6 |
| Feb 14 | Jackson St | A | L 60–80 | −2.0 | L−22.0 | 144.0 | U140 | 86.4 | 115.2 | 69.4 |
| Feb 9 | Prairie View | H | W 100–96 | −3.0 | W+1.0 | 149.0 | O196 | 116.4 | 111.8 | 85.9 |
UAB
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
5-11
Road
8-4
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
7-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.2
Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Charlotte | N | L 78–83 | −5.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 117.2 | 124.7 | 66.6 |
| Mar 8 | East Carolina | H | W 90–83 | −10.0 | L−3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 118.1 | 108.9 | 76.2 |
| Mar 4 | Charlotte | A | W 80–74 | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 125.4 | 116.0 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | North Texas | H | L 58–62 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 141.5 | U120 | 90.4 | 96.7 | 64.1 |
| Feb 22 | Memphis | A | W 78–67 | +6.0 | W+17.0 | 152.0 | U145 | 108.7 | 93.4 | 71.8 |
| Feb 18 | Temple | A | W 76–71 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 115.1 | 107.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Tulane | H | L 54–55 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U109 | 86.1 | 87.7 | 62.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tulsa | A | W 68–63 | +10.5 | W+15.5 | 161.0 | U131 | 101.9 | 94.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 8 | Rice | H | W 71–65 | −9.5 | L−3.5 | 154.5 | U136 | 107.0 | 97.9 | 66.4 |
| Feb 5 | Memphis | H | L 80–90 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 156.0 | O170 | 100.3 | 112.8 | 79.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFlorida A&MUAB
Efficiency
100.7
109.0
109.5
106.2
68.8
69.6
—
—
Shooting
49.2%
48.4%
49.4%
51.3%
32.6%
27.8%
70.3%
70.6%
37.4%
36.4%
Ball control & glass
21.5%
12.5%
19.1%
16.1%
30.9%
32.5%
30.9%
27.7%
12.5%
8.1%
9.7%
9.7%
Style
37.7%
30.5%
44.1%
50.7%
14.2%
19.6%
52.6%
50.3%
29.4%
29.9%
Roster
3.61
2.89
6'5.5"
6'4.7"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFlorida A&M
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Florida A&M's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UAB
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.