Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish basketball final score

Mon, Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET · Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN

Non-conferenceACCNXPurcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN

E Illinois

0-2 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #348

Notre Dame

2-0 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #83

Final

7094

Final score

Projected 57.8 – 82.7

EIU win 2%ND win 98%

MarketClose

Spread

ND −28.0

open ND −27.5

Total

139.5

open 140.5

Our line

ND −24.8

as of Mon, Nov 9 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, E Illinois is the faster team (67.8, #275 of 365) and Notre Dame the slower (66.9, #296). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

68.6

per team, 40 min

Market total

139.5

Market close · open 140.5

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

69.9#247

E Illinois

69.4#270

Notre Dame

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

Our line

ND −24.8

Four factors +29.2 · not in these stats −4.4

From the four factors

Notre Dame has the ball+13.7

E Illinois has the ball−15.6

Notre Dame has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.8% #132 · EIU allows 66.8% #350+10.2

✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.1% #89 · EIU allows 39.3% #302+3.2

✓Gets to the lineFTR 33.3% #216 · EIU allows 44.5% #263 · FT 79.5% #50+0.8

✗Coughs it upTO% 17.9% #182 · EIU forces 19.2% #132 · ~13 turnovers−0.5

E Illinois has the ball

✗Coughs it upTO% 25.8% #341 · ND forces 23.2% #48 · ~18 turnovers−6.4

✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 42.6% #290 · ND allows 50.5% #183−4.3

✗Few second chancesOR% 23.9% #297 · ND allows 24.6% #62−3.7

✗Few trips to the lineFTR 26.5% #296 · ND allows 31.1% #111 · FT 63.0% #278−1.2

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

E Illinoisoffense vsNotre Damedefense

Share of shots by zone

E Illinois shoots

53.2

8.1

19.4

Notre Dame allows

17.6

5.9

20.0

56.5

D-I average

38.1

8.0

12.3

41.5

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	45.5%#310	73.3%#332	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	20.0%#268	20.0%#58	38.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	41.7%#108	47.1%#274	34.4%
Three	14.3%#354	32.7%#183	32.5%

Notre Dameoffense vsE Illinoisdefense

Share of shots by zone

Notre Dame shoots

27.3

14.1

44.4

E Illinois allows

50.0

1.5

10.3

38.2

D-I average

38.1

8.0

12.3

41.5

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	48.1%#287	73.5%#333	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	28.6%#234	0.0%#1	38.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	35.7%#156	57.1%#316	34.4%
Three	42.9%#36	42.6%#316	32.5%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

E Illinois

−14.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#339 of 365

Off reb %

23.9%

#297

Def reb %

60.7%

#302

Turnover %

25.8%

#341

Forced TO %

19.2%

#132

FT rate

26.5%

#296

FT allowed

44.5%

#263

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−2.6

Defensive rebounding−2.6

Ball security−5.4

Forcing turnovers+0.8

Foul shots drawn−2.9

Foul shots allowed−1.7

Notre Dame

+8.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#65 of 365

Off reb %

37.1%

#89

Def reb %

75.4%

#62

Turnover %

17.9%

#182

Forced TO %

23.2%

#48

FT rate

33.3%

#216

FT allowed

31.1%

#111

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.9

Defensive rebounding+2.3

Ball security+0.2

Forcing turnovers+3.6

Foul shots drawn−1.1

Foul shots allowed+1.8

Notre Dame has more extra scoring chances per game: +8.7 (#65 of 365) to E Illinois’s −14.4 (#339).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

E Illinois2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9 · last game: Iowa, Nov 6

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	Min/40, last 8	Last 3 vs before	Status	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
24	F	Sr	6'8"	3-3	22.3	7	—	Started last	14.0	1.7	1.0	2.0	65.9%	50.0%	0.7	81.3%	29.9%
3	G	Sr	6'1"	3-3	21.7	24	—	Started last	4.0	1.0	3.0	2.7	80.0%	0.0%	0.3	100.0%	13.3%
2	G	Sr	6'2"	3-0	21.0	16	—	Bench	4.3	1.0	0.0	2.3	68.8%	100.0%	0.3	100.0%	14.3%
7	F	Jr	6'5"	3-3	20.0	23	—	Started last	6.0	3.0	0.3	0.7	56.3%	0.0%	0.3	—	17.2%
11	F	Sr	6'6"	3-3	18.7	21	—	Started last	6.3	1.3	1.3	2.0	42.9%	44.4%	3.0	50.0%	28.2%
12	G	Fr	5'11"	3-0	18.3	18	—	Bench	2.3	2.0	1.7	2.7	31.8%	33.3%	1.0	—	19.7%
6	C	Sr	7'0"	3-0	18.3	22	—	Bench	9.3	7.0	1.3	1.3	52.6%	28.6%	2.3	47.1%	32.3%
1	G	So	6'2"	3-1	16.7	13	—	Bench	3.3	1.7	0.7	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	1.0	100.0%	18.2%
15	F	Sr	6'7"	3-0	14.0	22	—	Bench	2.0	1.0	0.3	1.0	22.2%	0.0%	1.0	100.0%	18.3%
5	G	Sr	6'7"	3-2	13.7	26	—	Started last	4.3	0.7	0.7	1.7	55.6%	0.0%	0.3	60.0%	23.4%
8	G	Fr	6'3"	3-0	7.0	3	—	Bench	2.0	0.7	1.3	0.7	37.5%	0.0%	0.3	—	27.7%
4	G	Jr	6'3"	2-0	8.5	—	—		0.0	0.0	1.0	0.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.5	0.0%	19.1%
9	F	Fr	6'6"	2-0	2.0	—	—		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.5	—	14.5%
23	G	So	6'4"	1-0	1.0	—	—		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game

E Illinois

Against the spread

Season

1-1

Home

0-0

Road

1-1

Last 10

1-1

avg cover −4.2

Missed the spread in the last game

Over / under

Season

2-0

Home

0-0

Road

2-0

Last 10

2-0

avg vs total +3.2

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 6	IowaAdjEM #15	A	L 47–91	+35.0	L−9.0	135.0	O138	72.5	140.5	64.8
Nov 2	IndianaAdjEM #41	A	L 57–91	+34.5	W+0.5	144.5	O148	80.6	128.6	70.8
Mar 5	UT MartinAdjEM #174	N	L 63–66	+8.0	W+5.0	126.0	O129	101.8	106.7	61.9
Mar 4	SIUEAdjEM #193	N	W 77–71 OT	+4.5	W+10.5	128.0	O148	111.5	102.8	69.0
Feb 28	SIUEAdjEM #193	A	L 50–77	+6.0	L−21.0	130.0	U127	83.0	127.9	60.2
Feb 26	LindenwoodAdjEM #280	A	W 71–67	+7.5	W+11.5	144.0	U138	102.7	96.9	69.2
Feb 21	S IndianaAdjEM #304	H	L 68–70	−4.5	L−6.5	136.0	O138	103.9	106.9	65.5
Feb 19	Morehead StAdjEM #339	H	L 70–73	+1.0	L−2.0	136.5	O143	105.5	110.0	66.3
Feb 14	Little RockAdjEM #282	H	W 78–72	+1.5	W+7.5	135.5	O150	117.5	108.4	66.4
Feb 10	W IllinoisAdjEM #359	A	L 70–79	−4.5	L−13.5	133.0	O149	97.2	109.7	72.0

Notre Dame

Against the spread

Season

2-0

Home

1-0

Road

0-0

Last 10

2-0

avg cover +7.2

Covered 2 straight

Over / under

Season

2-0

Home

1-0

Road

0-0

Last 10

2-0

avg vs total +1.5

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 5	MercyhurstAdjEM #322	H	W 83–56	−21.5	W+5.5	136.5	O139	131.4	88.7	63.1
Nov 1	VillanovaAdjEM #56	N	W 74–72	+7.0	W+9.0	145.5	O146	104.6	101.8	70.7
Mar 7	Boston CollegeAdjEM #105	A	L 69–77	−2.5	L−10.5	142.0	O146	91.7	102.4	75.2
Mar 4	StanfordAdjEM #85	H	L 78–86	+1.0	L−7.0	147.0	O164	122.9	135.5	63.5
Feb 28	NC StateAdjEM #43	H	W 96–90 OT	+6.5	W+12.5	155.0	O186	134.5	126.1	71.4
Feb 24	#1DukeAdjEM #1	H	L 56–100	+17.0	L−27.0	142.0	O156	78.3	139.8	71.5
Feb 21	PittAdjEM #88	A	L 68–73	+2.5	L−2.5	139.0	O141	108.4	116.4	62.7
Feb 14	Georgia TechAdjEM #142	H	W 89–74	−6.0	W+9.0	150.0	O163	129.3	107.5	68.8
Feb 10	SMUAdjEM #71	A	L 81–89	+10.5	W+2.5	154.0	O170	117.2	128.8	69.1
Feb 7	Florida StAdjEM #45	H	L 79–82	−1.0	L−4.0	153.0	O161	109.1	113.2	72.4

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

E IllinoisNotre Dame

Efficiency

95.2

111.0

110.9

103.4

69.9

69.4

16.5

-0.1

Shooting

42.6%

53.8%

48.1%

44.3%

14.3%

42.9%

63.0%

79.5%

26.5%

33.3%

Ball control & glass

25.8%

17.9%

19.2%

23.2%

23.9%

37.1%

39.3%

24.6%

17.7%

12.0%

8.6%

13.1%

Style

20.6%

47.9%

63.5%

29.3%

5.8%

12.1%

54.8%

56.9%

54.7%

33.1%

Roster

3.27

3.29

6'4.7"

6'5.7"

10.1%

34.3%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

E Illinois

Returning minutes: 10.1%Returning production: 6.2%

Lost

Kooper Jacobi 33.3 mpg, 11.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Meechie White 30.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to Indiana St
Zion Fruster 28.8 mpg, 13.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Terry McMorris 26.1 mpg, 7.6 ppg · transferred to San Diego
Preston Turner 19.6 mpg, 7.2 ppg · transferred to UTSA
Nazareth Fisher 13.4 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Tanner Vogel no D1 minutes last season
Gavin Welch no D1 minutes last season
Demar Burton no D1 minutes last season
Jalen Calloway no D1 minutes last season
Logan Kurtz no D1 minutes last season
Jaden Miller no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Notre Dame

Returning minutes: 34.3%Returning production: 29.4%

Lost

Cole Certa 26.9 mpg, 12.8 ppg · transferred to Clemson
Carson Towt 26.0 mpg, 5.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Jalen Haralson 23.2 mpg, 14.1 ppg · transferred to Tennessee
Garrett Sundra 17.9 mpg, 3.5 ppg · transferred to James Madison
Sir Mohammed 16.4 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to Penn
Markus Burton 9.7 mpg, 6.0 ppg · transferred to Indiana

Added

Ethan Roberts from Penn · 23.4 mpg, 13.0 ppg last season
Devin Brown from Davidson · 23.4 mpg, 6.4 ppg last season
Logan Duncomb from Winthrop · 22.9 mpg, 17.2 ppg last season
Braeden Smith from Gonzaga · 17.1 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
Bryce Ruglass Dortch from Rutgers · 13.2 mpg, 1.9 ppg last season
Yoro Diallo no D1 minutes last season

Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

Book	Spread (home) open → now	Total open → now	ML home	ML away
DraftKings	-28.5-105	141.5→139.5o-110 u-110	—	+4000
FanDuel	-27.5→-28.5-110	141.5→139.5o-110 u-110	—	—
BetMGM	-28.5-110	141.5→139.5o-115 u-105	—	—
BetRivers	-28.5→-27.5-118	142.5→139.5o-110 u-113	—	—
Fanatics	-28-110	141→140o-110 u-110	—	—
BetOnline	-27.5→-28-109	140.5→140o-110 u-110	—	—
Bovada	-28→-28.5-110	142→139.5o-110 u-110	—	+3500
theScore Bet	-28.5-105	141.5→139.5o-110 u-110	—	—
Hard Rock	-28.5→-27.5-115	142.5→139.5o-110 u-110	—	—
Kalshi	—	139.5o-108 u+104	—	—
Polymarket	-28.5+100	140.5o+113 u-117	—	—
Novig	-25.5→-28.5+102	141.5→139.5o+104 u-106	—	—

open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Tue, Nov 11	2025-26	E Illinois 58 – 78 Notre Dame

More games on Mon, Nov 9

Marshall at Ohio State · 6:00 PM ET
Syracuse vs Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
Howard at Penn · 6:30 PM ET
FGCU at Georgia · 7:00 PM ET
Radford at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
Grambling at Texas · 7:00 PM ET
Cleveland St at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota at Cincinnati · 7:00 PM ET
North Dakota at Clemson · 7:00 PM ET
Norfolk St at William & Mary · 7:00 PM ET
SC State at Chicago St · 7:00 PM ET
Long Island at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
Stonehill at Columbia · 7:00 PM ET
Wagner at UConn · 7:00 PM ET
Kansas City at Jacksonville · 7:00 PM ET
North Florida at Miami · 7:00 PM ET
SC Upstate at Coastal · 7:00 PM ET
UNC Greensboro at UIC · 7:00 PM ET
Oakland at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
Jackson St at Mississippi St · 7:30 PM ET
Florida A&M at UAB · 7:30 PM ET
North Alabama at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
UL Monroe at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
Boston U at Northwestern · 8:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
SIUE at Missouri · 8:00 PM ET
Illinois St at Purdue · 8:30 PM ET
Alabama A&M at DePaul · 9:00 PM ET
App State at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
Seton Hall vs Charlotte · 9:00 PM ET
E Washington at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
Rice at Stanford · 10:00 PM ET
Miss Valley St at Washington · 10:00 PM ET
Portland at Hawai'i · 11:59 PM ET

← Sun, Nov 8 · Tue, Nov 10 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.

Line	Our line	Close
Spread	ND −24.8	ND −28.0open ND −27.5
Total	—	139.5open 140.5