CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Abilene Chrstn.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 69.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Pepperdine is the faster team (69.5, #116 of 365) and Abilene Chrstn the slower (68.9, #153). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.0%#298 | 60.3%#243 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.2%#170 | 39.3%#163 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.5%#252 | 39.3%#214 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#310 | 40.9%#365 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.7%#280 | 60.5%#252 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.2%#300 | 49.1%#349 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.1%#108 | 39.6%#224 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.0%#319 | 35.5%#276 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAbilene Chrstn has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.5 (#199 of 365) to Pepperdine’s −1.3 (#245).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Styles Phipps | G | So | 6'2" | 32-32 | 34.0 | 13.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 45.1% | 27.0% | 2.3 | 78.5% | 26.7% | |
| 3 | Aaron Clark | G | So | 6'4" | 32-26 | 32.3 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 50.0% | 36.1% | 5.2 | 76.9% | 29.9% | |
| 23 | Javon Cooley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-27 | 30.1 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 48.0% | 29.5% | 4.3 | 83.2% | 23.3% | |
| 35 | Danilo Dozic | C | So | 6'10" | 27-26 | 31.3 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 52.2% | 36.3% | 4.6 | 77.0% | 21.3% | |
| 18 | Yonatan Levy | F | So | 6'10" | 32-28 | 20.5 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 31.9% | 1.5 | 76.2% | 17.3% | |
| 4 | Pavle Stosic | F | So | 6'9" | 31-12 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48.9% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 54.3% | 15.2% | |
| 14 | Stefan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 31-5 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 54.6% | 23.1% | 0.4 | 55.8% | 22.4% | |
| 77 | Luka Vudragovic | G | Fr | 6'6" | 31-4 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.3% | 24.6% | 2.2 | 84.6% | 21.3% | |
| 1 | David Mager | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-0 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 49.2% | 39.2% | 1.6 | 70.8% | 24.1% | |
| 33 | Nikola Radovanovic | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 16.0% | |
| 7 | Vladimir Sudar | F | Fr | 6'5" | 17-0 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 28.1% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 66.7% | 20.2% | |
| 9 | Pasha Shemirani | F | Fr | 6'5" | 17-0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 34.6% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 11.6% | |
| 24 | Preston Phillips | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 11.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 6.7% | |
| 25 | Anto Balian | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ty Virgil | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Yassine Gharram | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rich Smith | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-29 | 29.5 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 51.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 63.8% | 22.6% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Hubbard | F | Sr | 6'5" | 32-29 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 45.5% | 31.3% | 4.5 | 79.9% | 37.0% | |
| 23 | Joseph Venzant | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-23 | 25.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 55.3% | 41.4% | 0.9 | 77.3% | 10.4% | |
| 5 | Cbo Newton | G | So | 6'3" | 30-24 | 25.8 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52.5% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 69.0% | 23.9% | |
| 2 | Yaniel Rivera | G | Jr | 6'3" | 29-21 | 24.4 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 36.7% | 4.4 | 69.0% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Zy Wright | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-6 | 17.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 51.7% | 30.8% | 2.0 | 85.0% | 21.0% | |
| 21 | Cade Hornecker | F | Jr | 7'0" | 33-19 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 46.6% | 15.0% | 0.6 | 69.8% | 23.4% | |
| 10 | Joseph Scott | F | Jr | 6'9" | 28-7 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 52.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 51.3% | 24.4% | |
| 7 | Christian Alston | G | So | 6'7" | 30-0 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 38.1% | 22.2% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 31.6% | |
| 11 | Ma'Shy Hill | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-7 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 61.9% | — | 0.0 | 39.3% | 17.7% | |
| 24 | Isaac Dye | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-0 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 22.3% | |
| 3 | Tylan Lewis | G | Fr | 6'0" | 24-0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 14.1% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Carrillo | G | Fr | 5'10" | 9-0 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 45.0% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 15.6% |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Styles Phipps | G | So | 6'2" | 32-32 | 34.0 | 13.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 45.1% | 27.0% | 2.3 | 78.5% | 26.7% | |
| 3 | Aaron Clark | G | So | 6'4" | 32-26 | 32.3 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 50.0% | 36.1% | 5.2 | 76.9% | 29.9% | |
| 23 | Javon Cooley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-27 | 30.1 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 48.0% | 29.5% | 4.3 | 83.2% | 23.3% | |
| 35 | Danilo Dozic | C | So | 6'10" | 27-26 | 31.3 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 52.2% | 36.3% | 4.6 | 77.0% | 21.3% | |
| 18 | Yonatan Levy | F | So | 6'10" | 32-28 | 20.5 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 31.9% | 1.5 | 76.2% | 17.3% | |
| 4 | Pavle Stosic | F | So | 6'9" | 31-12 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 48.9% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 54.3% | 15.2% | |
| 14 | Stefan Cicic | C | Fr | 7'0" | 31-5 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 54.6% | 23.1% | 0.4 | 55.8% | 22.4% | |
| 77 | Luka Vudragovic | G | Fr | 6'6" | 31-4 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.3% | 24.6% | 2.2 | 84.6% | 21.3% | |
| 1 | David Mager | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-0 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 49.2% | 39.2% | 1.6 | 70.8% | 24.1% | |
| 33 | Nikola Radovanovic | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 16.0% | |
| 7 | Vladimir Sudar | F | Fr | 6'5" | 17-0 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 28.1% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 66.7% | 20.2% | |
| 9 | Pasha Shemirani | F | Fr | 6'5" | 17-0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 34.6% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 11.6% | |
| 24 | Preston Phillips | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 11.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 6.7% | |
| 25 | Anto Balian | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ty Virgil | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Yassine Gharram | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Portland | N | L 68–77 | +3.5 | L−5.5 | 154.0 | U145 | 98.2 | 111.2 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | Washington St | H | W 88–79 | +8.0 | W+17.0 | 158.0 | O167 | 116.6 | 104.6 | 75.5 |
| Feb 25 | Seattle U | H | L 80–87 | +7.5 | W+0.5 | 145.5 | O167 | 114.1 | 124.1 | 70.1 |
| Feb 21 | Oregon St | A | L 73–83 | +9.0 | L−1.0 | 148.5 | O156 | 101.4 | 115.3 | 72.0 |
| Feb 18 | Portland | A | W 95–87 | +7.0 | W+15.0 | 151.0 | O182 | 136.2 | 124.8 | 69.7 |
| Feb 14 | LMU | H | W 90–89 | +6.0 | W+7.0 | 148.5 | O179 | 126.4 | 125.0 | 71.2 |
| Feb 11 | Saint Mary's | A | L 60–88 | +24.5 | L−3.5 | 144.0 | O148 | 83.8 | 122.9 | 71.6 |
| Feb 7 | Pacific | H | L 59–92 | +7.5 | L−25.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 81.3 | 126.8 | 72.5 |
| Feb 4 | Seattle U | A | L 81–83 | +13.0 | W+11.0 | 139.5 | O164 | 105.8 | 108.4 | 76.5 |
| Jan 28 | San Diego | H | L 88–92 OT | +2.5 | L−1.5 | 150.5 | O180 | 109.6 | 114.5 | 80.3 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Utah Tech | N | L 74–80 | +1.5 | L−4.5 | 141.5 | O154 | 105.1 | 113.6 | 70.4 |
| Mar 11 | Tarleton St | N | W 84–78 | −1.0 | W+5.0 | 135.0 | O162 | 109.8 | 102.0 | 76.5 |
| Mar 7 | UT Arlington | H | L 57–64 | −1.0 | L−8.0 | 133.0 | U121 | 87.1 | 97.8 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | CA Baptist | A | L 48–87 | +10.0 | L−29.0 | 137.0 | U135 | 66.2 | 120.1 | 72.5 |
| Feb 28 | Utah Valley | A | L 67–74 | +15.0 | W+8.0 | 140.5 | O141 | 96.6 | 106.7 | 69.3 |
| Feb 26 | Utah Tech | A | L 81–85 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 139.0 | O166 | 115.9 | 121.7 | 69.9 |
| Feb 21 | Southern Utah | H | W 87–83 | −8.0 | L−4.0 | 143.5 | O170 | 115.9 | 110.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 16 | Tarleton St | A | L 62–65 OT | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 133.5 | U127 | 81.8 | 85.8 | 75.8 |
| Feb 14 | Tarleton St | H | W 73–59 | −3.0 | W+11.0 | 135.5 | U132 | 104.1 | 84.2 | 70.1 |
| Feb 12 | UT Arlington | H | W 67–63 | −1.5 | W+2.5 | 135.0 | U130 | 99.7 | 93.7 | 67.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputReturns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 2025-26 | Abilene Chrstn 71 – 63 Pepperdine |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.